- Shall contribute to increase the supply of clean renewable energy

Transcription

1 - Shall contribute to increase the supply of clean renewable energy

2 Selskapsstruktur 1% Class A shares 99% Class B shares Buskerud County Council Municipalities in Buskerud VARDAR AS HYDROPOWER Uste Nes AS ENERGI- SELSKAPET BUSKERUD BIOENERGY Hønefoss Fjernvarme AS Øvre Eiker Fjernvarme AS WIND POWER NORWAY Vardar Boreas AS WIND POWER ABROAD Vardar Eurus AS REAL ESTATE Vardar Eiendom AS

3 Wind power abroad comprises Vardar Eurus Vardar AS NEFCO VARDAR EURUS AS Estonia Lithuania Latvia Management Investments in renewable energy since establishment in 2004; windpower, biogas, technology Cooperation with the Estonian company Freenergy OÜ 10 operating windparks producing 340 GWh renewable energy pr year 5 windparks under construction, and Projects under developement 4 Energia OÜ

4 Overview of Renewable Energy Sector and the Company May 2011

5 Content Overview of 4energia Baltic energy market World energy outlook Electric power is everywhere present in unlimited quantities and can drive the world's machinery without the need of coal, oil, gas, or any other of the common fuels. - Nikolai Tesla 5

6 Overview of 4Energia 6

7 SPVs Investors 4E group ownership structure Solarcom 25% Atradius 25% development construction operating fund management trading balancing provider 25% 25% 90% Vardar A/S 10% NEFCO Vardar Eurus 33.7% EBRD Freenergy 66.7% Estonian private investors Management Biogas 5% Wind 90% Technology development 5% 7

8 Structure of 4Energia group Estonia 4Energia No empleyees 13 4Energia SIA 100% 95% 51% 40% Latvia Lithuania Baltics Estonia 4Energia UAB (3) Nordic Power Management (7) Empower 4Wind (13) Development, O&M Electricity trading Wind farm S&M The leading wind energy developer and operator in the Baltics 8

9 Activities of 4energia group Development choosing a suitable location for the Wind Farm, incl. measuring the wind and other procedures in order to ensure sufficient capacity of the Wind Farm for producing energy conducting the proceedings for building permits of the Wind Farm operations related to the right to use the land under the Wind Farm operations related to the network access of the Wind Farm conducting bids related to the equipment of the Wind Farm Construction project management of the construction of the Wind Farm, incl. exercising general control and supervision Operation management of the production process of the Wind Farm (incl. monitoring, maintenance, discovery and elimination of defects conclusion of insurance contracts Investor reporting Financial Trading feasibility study of the Wind Farm presentations to financial institutions and other persons finding resources for realisation of the Wind Farm Project, incl. mapping of possible financial institutions, conducting negotiations for organising the financing and introducing design documentation and information memorandum conducting contract negotiations necessary for the realisation of the Wind Farm Project trading of electricity incl forecasting, export, tendering, balancing etc balance provider in Estonian market, offering balance management services to customers representing and consulting electricity producers and related businesses in their production purchase and sale activity 9

10 Experienced team foto Martin Kruus (CEO of 4energia) Education: Tallinn Technical University - Thermal Engineering Previous employment: Eesti Energia, Director of Business Unit of Renewable Energy. Main responsibility was to establish and run power plants using renewable energy sources wind, hydro, biomass Ministry of Economic Affairs, Department of Management of State Companies Estonian Privatization Agency, Project Manager for IPO s Main accomplishments: Renovation of Estonian biggest hydro power plant Linnamäe HPP Building of Estonian first wind farm Virtsu wind farm Several feasibility studies and project management about CHPs foto Kalle Kiigske (CEO of Freenergy) Education: Estonian Business School Banking and Financial Management Previous employment: United Partners Group, Pan-Baltic investment bank, Partner, responsible for merchant banking and investments AS Hansa Capital leading asset-based finance company in the Baltics, Russia and Ukraine with total assets over EUR 1,7 billion, Hansa Capital is the industry s largest company in Eastern Europe and among top 50 in Europe, Member of Board and Head of Factoring and Trade Finance Several positions in Factor Chain International (Amsterdam, the Netherlands) - Member of the Communication Committee, Member of the Internal Audit foto Andrus Zavadskis (Technical Director) Education: Tallinn Technical University - M.Sc. Electrical Engineering, additional study in Aalborg University, Denmark Previous employment: Estonian Transmission System operator OÜ Põhivõrk, Analyst in Dispatch Centre Siemens Power Transmission and Distribution department, Project Manager in high voltage (10 kv 330 kv) substation turnkey building Main accomplishments: Construction of Harku substation (end-station for Estlink cable) Certificate of A-competence in all voltage levels from September 2002 Project Management IPMA-C level certificate 4Energia employs 14 professionals in Estonia and Lithuania 10

11 Wind portfolio under 4energia management Wind Park Subsidiary Status MW MWh/y FE/VE/ Other Capacity Pakri EST Pakri Tuulepark OÜ In operation 18, /90 32,90% Virtsu I EST Roheline Ring Tuulepargid OÜ In operation 1, /25 32,70% Virtsu II EST Roheline Ring Tuulepargid OÜ In operation 6, /25 26,70% Sudenai LIT Vejo Elektra UAB, Lariteksas UAB In operation /50 29,00% Esivere EST Roheline Ring Tuulepargid OÜ In operation /25 29,80% Viru- Nigula EST Viru-Nigula Tuulepark OÜ In operation /100 30,60% Vanaküla EST Vanaküla Tuulepark OÜ In operation /100 30,50% Tooma I EST Tooma Tuulepark OÜ In operation /50 32,00& Virtsu III EST Roheline Ring Tuulepargid OÜ In operation 6, /25 29,90% Mockiai LIT Eurolanas UAB, Iverneta UAB In operation /50 36,30% Tooma II EST Tooma Tuulepark OÜ Under construction Paldiski EST Paldiski Tuulepark OÜ Under construction Aseri EST Aseriaru Tuulepark OÜ Under construction Ciuteliai LIT Naojoji Energija UAB Under construction Dundaga LAT Enercon SIA Total in operation 116, Under development Kunda EST Oceanside OÜ Under development Silute LIT Silute Vejo Projektai UAB Under development Silale LIT Vejo Elektra UAB, Lariteksas UAB Hiiumaa Under construction Total onshore construction/development 268, EST Hiiumaa Offshore Tuulepark OÜ * - FE Freenergy, VE Vardar Eurus /50 32,00% 26, /50 37,10% /50 33,80% /50 32,97% /50 29,70% /0 36,60% /50 32,80% /50 33,30% Planning /45/10 43,00% Total offshore development TOTAL ,75% Hiiumaa offshore Dundaga Sudenai Ciuteliai Mockiai Silute Tooma Esivere Virtsu II Paldiski Pakri Vanaküla Virtsu I Silale Virtsu III Kunda 4energia operating wind farm 4energia wind farm under development Viru-Nigula Aseri 11

12 Electricity generation by 4E wind farms, GWh ,7 Forecast , ,9 139,9 60, Plan to reach 300 GWh in electricity generation in

13 EUR th Nordic Power Management JV with the company s management Financial performance Founded in April NPM offers services in all activities related to the purchase and sale of electricity Balance provider and a manager of energy portfolios for its customers Currently portfolio under management: about 120 MW Largest non 4E related customers are Fortum Tartu, Estonian hydro power plants Traded 441 GWh in 2010 Wind farms accounted for 40% of traded electricity NPM employs 7 professionals with knowledge and long-time experience in financial and energy sector Key employees with Eesti Energia and Hansabank background Sales Sales split, 2010 Great business potential as Estonian electricity market fully opens in

14 EUR m Empower 4Wind JV with Empower, one of the largest service providers in Finland and the Baltic countries in the field of energy and telecommunications Service and maintenance of wind farms Troubleshoot Planned maintenance Construction, installation and reparation Repair parts Sales in 2010 reached EUR 687 m Strong growth in sales expected as new winds farms will be constructed/ operated Forecast 450 MW in the market by 2013 Company employs 13 professionals 1,2 0,9 0,6 0,3 0,0 0,7 Sales forecast 0,9 Sales split by client, 2010 WinWind 47,7% 4Energia 50,8% 1,0 1, Nordex 1,2% Other 0,2% Empower 0,2% 15

15 Wind energy projects 16

16 Pakri Wind Park 18,4 MW Company: Pakri Tuulepark OÜ Shareholders: 90% Vardar Eurus AS 10% Freenergy AS Capacity: 18,4 MW (8 x Nordex N90, 2,3 MW hh 80m) Annual production: MWh/year Total investment: 22,4 M ( 1,22 M per MW) Status: in operation since 2005 Viru-Nigula Wind Park 24 MW Company: Viru-Nigula Tuulepark OÜ Shareholders: 100% Vardar Eurus AS Capacity: 24 MW (8 x 3 WinWind WWD3 3 MW, hh 90m) Yearly production: MWh/year Total investment: 26,1 million ( 1,09 M per MW) Launching:

17 Virtsu I Wind Park 1,2 MW Company: Roheline Ring Tuulepargid OÜ Shareholders: 75% Freenergy AS 25% Vardar Eurus AS Capacity: 1,2 MW (2 x Enercon E44, 600 kw, hh 63 m) Yearly production: MWh Total investment: 1,2 million ( 1,03 million per MW) Status: Operating since 2002 Virtsu II Wind Park 6,9 MW Company: Roheline Ring Tuulepargid OÜ Shareholders: 75% Freenergy AS 25% Vardar Eurus AS Capacity: 6,9 MW (3 x Enercon E70, 2,3 MW hh 85 m) Yearly production: MWh/year Total investment: 7,8 million ( 1,13 million per MW) Status: Operating since IV Q 2008 Esivere Wind Park 8,0 MW Company: Roheline Ring Tuulepargid OÜ Shareholders: 75% Freenergy A 25% Vardar Eurus AS Capacity: 8,0 MW (4 x Enercon E70, 2,0 MW, hh 85 m) Yearly production: MWh/year Total investment: 8,7 million ( 1,08 million per MW) Status: Operating since

18 Sudenai Wind Park 14 MW Company: UAB Lariteksas, UAB Vejo Elektra Shareholders: 50% Vardar Eurus AS 50% Freenergy AS Capacity: 14,0 MW (7 x Enercon E82, 2,0 MW, hh 78 m) Yearly production: MWh/year Total investment: 20,7 million ( 1,48 million per MW) Launching: 4Q 2008 Mockiai Wind Park 14 MW Company: UAB Eurolanas, UAB Iverneta Shareholders: 50% Vardar Eurus AS 50% Freenergy AS Capacity: 12,0 MW (6 x Enercon E82, 2,0 MW, hh 108 m) Yearly production: MWh/year Total investment: 23,3 million ( 1,9 million per MW) Launching: 4Q

19 Planned Hiiumaa offshore wind park Depth Distance from shore Geology Hiiumaa m 5-15 km Sand, gravel, clay, limestone Example of geological gross section 20

20 Biofund projects 21

21 Biomass concepts Possible uses of biomass Solid biomass (wood) Wet biomass Anaerobic digestion Biogas Steam boiler / CHP Gas engine Electricity 1/3 Heat 2/3 Electricity 1/2 Heat 1/2 Capacity range MWel 0,2 2 MWel Raw material collection area Max 100 km Max km Critical partners Heat consumers Raw material suppliers 22

22 4e Biofund targets 4e Biofond is the investment company developed by 4energia to enhance the development of projects of power production in biogas plants and combined heat and power (CHP) plants There are extensive natural resources (wood, peat, arable land) as well as recently introduced favorable legislation (feed-in tariffs) in Estonia for developing and operating biogas plants and CHPs Baltic states total Biogas 20 MW CHP 85 MW Estonia Biogas 6 MW CHP 25 MW Currently there are 6 projects in pipeline with total capacity of 15 MW and total equity investment requirement of 15 M EUR Full value chain from the property of land and control over fuels (wood, peat, biogas) to sales of heat and power is being developed If successful, then the business concept will be used also for Ukraine and Russia Latvia Biogas 7 MW CHP 30 MW Total target capacities for Baltics is over 100 MW Lithuania Biogas 6 MW CHP 30 MW 23

23 Oisu biogas plant Company: Oisu Biogaas OÜ Shareholders: 60% Estonia OÜ 40% 4E Biofond OÜ El. capacity: 0,7 MW Heat capacity: 0,74 MW Heat production: MWh/y Total investment: 2,6 MEUR Status: launching 2Q 2010 Oisu biogas plant s views and position plan Vinni biogas plant Company: Vinni Biogaas OÜ Shareholders: 50% Askoterm OÜ 50% 4E Biofond OÜ El. capacity: 1,1 MW Heat capacity: 1,7 MW Heat production: MWh/y Total investment: 3,4 MEUR Status: launching 2Q

24 Technology projects 25

25 4E Technology fund Growth potential of wind energy sector in Estonia New Estonian Energy Plan draft sets the share of wind energy to be increased to 900 MW by Leads to need for local balancing power solutions. The development of related technologies and services market is very important. Need for balancing and reserve power, MW Target sectors Renewable energy technology (including design and production of prototypes); Development and production of renewable energy storage and balancing technologies; 20% of the investment amount can be invested to listed renewable energy and technology companies. Balancing power stations Peak load reserve stations Projects Offshore wind measurements SODAR (sound detection and ranging) system installed near Hiiumaa Service team for wind parks to provide S&M for operating wind parks Energiasalv hydro pumping power station to provide balance power incl to Hiiumaa Offshore in cooperation with Maardu Graniidikaevandus Development of fuel cell and hydrogen production Production of small scale wind turbines - new concept to reduce significantly visual and noise pollution. 26

26 $ nominal/barrel Main challenges of the energy sector Climate change Power capacity renewal in EU Existing Additional demand World oil prices, (2 scenarios) 200 High Price 180 Reference

27 Global renewable energy market 28

28 Gigatonnes EU targets for the energy sector Individual country targets for renewable energy (2006) Reductions in energy-related CO2 emissions Target 2020 in% Sweden Latvia Finland Austria Portugal Denmark Slovenia Share of renewable energy 2006 in% Nuclear CCS Renewables & biofuels Energy efficiency 550 Policy Scenario 450 Policy Scenario 9% 14% 23% Estonia Romania 30 54% Lithuania France 25 Spain Greece Germany Italy Ireland Reference Scenario 550 Policy Scenario 450 Policy Scenario Bulgaria United Kingdom Poland Slovak Republic Netherlands Hungary Cyprus Czech Republic Belgium Luxembourg

29 Electricity generating costs : offshore vs. other technologies Electricity generation costs EUR per MWh Offshore Installed cost 3MEUR /MW Range CO2 cost Lowest price Range Lowest price Range CO2 cost Lowest price Onshore Installed cost 1,3MEUR /MW Typical cost of gas and coal generation, 70EUR /MWh Onshore Installed cost 1,7MEUR /MW Coal Nuclear Gas Mean annual wind speed at hh, m/s 0 30 Source: Wind Power Monthly

30 Global wind energy market Leading wind markets, cumulative MW installed Wind power installed in Europe by the end of 2009, (cum. MW) USA Germany Sweden China Spain India France UK Portugal Denmark Rep. of Ireland Portugal UK Spain France Norway 431 Denmark Netherlands Poland Germany Belgium Czech 563 Republic Luxembourg 192 Slovakia 3 35 Austria Hungary Switzerland 18 Italy Croatia 28 Finland 146 Estonia 142 Latvia 28 Lithuania 91 Greece Romania 14 Ukraine 94 Bulgaria 177 Turkey 801 Russia 9 31 Source: EWEA, Global Wind Energy Council

31 Baltic renewable energy market 32

32 MW Energy sources in Baltics Three distinctive modes of electricity generation represented on a large scale Comments Projected demand and generation capacities Electricity generation split Origin of energy sources: Estonia local, Latvia local hydro, imported electric energy and natural gas, Lithuania imported Total annual consumption of electric energy: Estonia 7 TWh/year, Latvia 6 TWh/year, Lithuania 12 TWh/year, total about 25 TWh/year Major shutdown of amortized energy plants: Lithuania decommissioned Ignalina nuclear plant in 2009, Estonia to shut down 75 % of capacity of oil shale power plants in 2013 There will be gap between production and consumption capacities in Baltic states in the amount of MW by 2015 Additionally, MW of capacities will be based on natural gas imported from Russia, being therefore with limited reliability and having upwards price pressure Although the new plants are planned to be developed, these will require huge investments and will not be probably completed before 2016 Estonian oil-shale based electricity production, albeit with relatively low energy efficiency, is a dominating energy source in the country In Latvia electricity is generated mostly by three Daugava hydro power plants After the decommissioning of INPP Lithuania relies heavily on local gas PP and electricity import Importance of the issues of energy security and energy independence is increasing in the Baltics Shutdown of Elektrenai Lithuanian Power Plant Peak demand Shutdown of Ignalina NPP (Lithuania) Shutdown of old energy blocks in Narva power plants (Estonia) Gap to be filled Installed capacity Note: Generating capacities to be constructed in the future are not taken into account, as no definite plans on the time of their completion exist yet Gas 20% Oil shale 91% Imports 30% Natural gas 35% Gas 4% Wind 1% Hydro 47% Imports 59% Other 3% Hydro 3% Other 4% Other 3% Note: Electricity generation split i for Lithuania after Ignalina NPP decommission is estimated based on experts opinion Source: Freenergy, Eesti Energia

33 Energy System Integration Baltic power systems are connected to each other and Russia and Byelorussia Since the end of 2006 Estlink (350 MW) connects Estonian and Finnish power systems, allowing to exchange the electricity between Baltics and Nordpool Planned new interconnections: 2010 Fennoscan 2: Finland-Sweden 500/800 MW Estlink2, 650 MW Lithuania-Poland, 1000 MW Lithuania-Sweden, 1000 MW connection allows entering to German electricity market Possibly additional Latvia-Sweden and/or Estonia-Sweden links will be built NordPool market: ca 50 EUR/MWh Sweden 1000 MW 800 MW Finland 350 MW 650 MW Existing grid connection Baltic Sea Estonia 400 MW 1000 MW Russia Planned grid connection Access to German electricity market: ca 60 EUR/MWh 1000 MW 2000 MW Lithuania 700 MW Russia 1000 MW 2000 MW 1000 MW Source: COWI report

34 Ireland Norway Germany Portugal Spain Italy Denmark Austria Czech Republic Luxembourg Slovenia Belgium Sweden Malta Finland EU Slovakia Croatia France UK Poland Hungary Cyprus Turkey Latvia Greece Lithuania Romania Estonia Bulgaria EUR/MWh EUR/MWh Electricity prices Power prices are to converge with Finland Nord Pool area Comments Electricity prices in the Baltics are among the lowest in the EU on the back of fully amortized production facilities of power plants Since April 2010 Estonia partly liberalized its electricity market: clients with annual consumption exceeding 2 GWh should buy electricity in the open market Consumers with annual demand of more than 2 GWh constitute approximately 1/3 of the total market Full market liberalization is scheduled in 2012 Since April 2010 Estonia became a part of Nord Pool Spot, largest electrical energy market in the world Estlink connects Estonia to the Nordic power market, offering Baltic participants a liquid market and a trustworthy reference price Export to Finland has been very active: most of the time Estilink grid connection is used at the maximum available capacity Estonian electricity prices should converge with the Finnish level, especially after construction of undersea grid connection EstLink 2 Electricity prices on Nord Pool s 1 spot market remain mainly influenced in the long run by the level of water in the reservoirs of the Norwegian and Swedish hydropower plants 2 Electricity price forecast in Estonia by International Energy Agency European electricity prices for domestic users (with taxes) in EU average EUR 173.5/MWh 105,3 101,1 94,5 0 Source: International Energy Agency, Eurostat 1) Nord Pool is the trade name of the Nordic power exchange where electricity is traded on a day-ahead basis 2) It is estimated that around 76% of observed variation in Nord Pool spot price is explained by Nordic hydrological balance 35

35 Wind conditions Distribution of full load hours in Europe (80 m hh onshore, 120 m hh offshore Source: EEA, 2008 The best wind conditions in Europe lie on Norwegian and British isles coasts Wind conditions in the coastal areas of Baltics are comparable with those on the coast of Spain and the inland of France and Germany (average wind speed m/s) The most attractive wind areas in Baltics are comparable with those of inland of Denmark, the leading wind energy country in Europe 36

36 GWh Source: 4E, Eurostat, countries statistical offices. Gross electricity consumption for 2010 is projected on the same level as in the period 12m m2009 EU targets drive RES electricity development 2010: Additional RES capacity to be installed in Latvia to fulfill EU targets Electricity eee consumption and RES share ,7% 5,1% ,3% 40,5% ,0% EST LAT LIT 7,1% Projected gross electricity consumption 2010, GWh Projected RES share in 2010 EU target for RES share in % 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Estimated renewable electricity generation in 2010* 2010 Estonia Latvia Lithuania Hydro Installed capacity, MW Generated electricity, GWh Share in electricity consumption 0,24% 38,66% 3,52% Wind Installed capacity, MW Generated electricity, GWh Share in electricity consumption 3,96% 1,02% 2,71% Biomass Installed capacity, MW Generated electricity, GWh Share in electricity consumption 4,53% 0,83% 0,88% Total RES share 8,72% 40,51% 7,11% EU target share 5,10% 49,30% 7,00% Difference with EU target +3,62% -9,79% +0,11% Need for additional renewable electricity to meet EU targets (GWh) * 4E indicative scenario based on projected operational capacities in Estonia due to usage of Narva PP partly as a biomass PP and due to installation of wind capacities and Lithuania due to additional wind capacities are expected to fulfill 2010 EU targets for RES share in gross electricity consumption Installation of new RES capacities in Latvia is minimal; despite the expected decrease in electricity consumption Latvia needs approximately 637 GWh of renewable electricity to reach EU targets 37

37 EU targets drive RES electricity development 2020 targets: lots of new capacities to be installed Final energy sss consumption and RES share 25,0% 17,5% 40,0% 29,9% EST LAT LIT Final Energy consumption 2008, GWh Final Energy consumption 2020, GWh RES in Final energy consumption 2008, % RES share in final energy consumption targets for Estonia Latvia Lithuania Final energy consumption, GWh RES in final energy consumption, % 25% 40% 23% RES energy, GWh Growth in RES compared to 2008, GWh New installed capacities* to fulfill EU 2020 targets 4E s scenario Biomass new istalled capacity*, MWel Biomass electricity from CHP 2020, GWh Biomass heat from CHP 2020, GWh Wind new installed capacity*, MW Wind total installed capacity 2020, MW Wind electricity 2020, GWh Biogas new installed capacity*, MWel Biogas energy 2020, GWh Hydro new installed capacity*, MW 0 2,5 10 Hydro electricity 2020, GWh Biofuels increase in consumption 2020*, GWh * New compared to 2008 According 4E s indicative scenario around 3,600 MW of wind energy capacity and 650 MWel of biomass/biogas energy capacity should be additionally installed in the Baltics to meet EU 2020 targets Most of growth potential in renewable energy in the Baltics lies in the development of wind energy in Latvia and Lithuania and biomass CHP in all three Baltic countries Source: 4E indicative scenario, countries statistical offices, Eurostat 23,0% 15,6% RES in Final energy consumption 2020, % 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 38

38 Legal framework Estonia Latvia Lithuania Support type Feed-in premium Feed-in tariff Feed-in tariff Subsidy, EUR/MWh Can sell to Market (~40 EUR/MWh) Market/ GridCo GridCo Balance responsibility Yes Yes No Imbalance responsibility Hourly prices set by TSO 0.8/1.2 coefficients 1 Generators not responsible Final price 2, EUR/MWh Notes: 1) Deficit imbalance price 1.2 x fixed price; surplus imbalance price 0.8 x fixed price 2) Approximate resulting income of wind generator per each generated MWh in 2009 based on current market price and imbalance cost assessment for 20 MW wind park Estonian wind energy capacity estimate Latvian wind energy capacity estimate Lithuanian wind energy capacity estimate MW Capacity, MW Capacity, MW (Estonian Energy Policy estimate) Cap (GWh/y) GWh/y MW Capacity, MW Capacity, MW (Estimated according to EU Climate Pacage) MW Capacity, MW Capacity, MW (Estimated according to EU Climate Pacage)

39 4 Contacts Martin Kruus Chairman of the management board Nelja Energia OÜ (4energia) Tel Kalle Kiigske Chairman of the management board Freenergy AS Tel Tor Ottar Karlsen Chairman of the board Vardar Eurus as Johannes Rauboti CEO Vardar