Shippers meeting. Maintenance schedule. 2011, February 11 th

Shippers meeting Maintenance schedule 2011, February 11 th 1

2 Welcome

Agenda Le t s have a look back on 2010 Sophie Ménard Marketing & Sales 2011 maintenance schedule Marie Benoit Gas System Direction Annual previews Perrine Hagen Marketing & Sales Tran s@ctions, Key Transmission Figures and Newsletter Sophie Ménard Marketing & Sales Synthesis Sylvain Lemelletier Marketing & Sales Gas Dispatching visit Vincent Vinel Gas System Direction

Look back to 2010 Over 2010, 99.03% of firm capacity made available is at least equal to firm capacity planned. This means that 0,97 % of planned capacity has not been made available The restriction his higher than expected Reference = the works schedule published in February 2010. Annual rate: 99.03 % 5

Look back to 2010 Th e published works schedule was maintained closely in 2010 with a light recession comparing to 2009 Compared to 2007 : margin of error divided by more than 2 The good reliability of February Maintenance Schedule is still confirmed. 2.5 % 2007 1.1 % 2008 0.56 % 2009 0.97 % 2010 Rate of capacity reduced below forecast levels 6

Look back to 2010 3.25% of firm capacity has been released, compared with initial plans Reference = works schedule published in February 2010 Comparison: 2009 -> this rate was 2,91% 2008 -> this rate was 3,4% Annual rate: 96.75 % 7

Agenda Key points Principal figures describing the planning Main works Comparison of capacity restrictions with 2010 Graph of available capacities for each contractual points coordination with bordering TSO Storages filling 9

Key points Schedule for 2011 still under way GRTgaz is doing its best to optimise its work schedule in cooperation with the adjacent operators Consultation with Storengy and Elengy since June 2010 Consultation with TIGF since June 2010 Consultation meetings with other bordering TSO during October 2010 Restrictions for works in 2011 don t prevent filling the storages Publication of the reference works schedule foreseen at the end of February 2011 10

Principal figures In 2011 226 operations with impacts on capacities 1459 accumulated days for works Reminder of 2010 220 operations with impacts on capacities 1652 accumulated days for works 11

Principal figures : accumulated restrictions Accumulated restrictions during the summer en TWh 2010 2011 Evolution PIR 75,8 78,1 3% PITS 26,9 25,5-5% LINK 12,7 6,3-51% PITM 27,8 36,4 31% TOTAL 170,2 171,6 1% PIR : approximatively the same than in 2010 Entry Dunkerque, Entry Taisnières H&B, Entry Obergailbach, Entry & exit Midi, exit Oltingue PITS : little less restrictions (injection and withdrawal cumulated) in global than in 2010 Le ss works with impacts for injection in Sediane Littoral Link North to south & South to North : less restrictions than in 2010 Le ss works with impacts on this link PITM : more restrictions than in 2010 More works in the south-east of GRTgaz network More capacities in Terminal Cavaou more impacts on the contractual point 12

Main works for 2011 1 INSPECTIONS SECURITY EXCAVATIONS PIPES REPAIRS MAIN ENGINEERING PROJECTS CLEANING PIGGING 13

Accumulated available capacities Available capacities (TWh) in the summer 450,0 400,0 377 389 350,0 300,0 250,0 200,0 150,0 100,0 114 104 89 124 129 131 2010 50,0 2011 0,0 Entry PIR : less restrictions than in 2010 Exit PIR : more restrictions than in 2010 more works in the south so more impacts on Exit Midi Links: less impacts in 2011 than in 2010 Le ss works with impacts on links N<->S and injection in Sediane Littoral PITM: it seams that 2011 is approximatively the same than 2010 PITM Fos : more restrictions in 2011 PITM Montoir : less restrictions in 2011 14

PIR capacities Available capacity at the PIR in the summer (TWh) 140 120 107 107 104 114 117 100 96 80 60 48 47 45 45 69 59 2010 2011 40 20 12 15 0 En t ry Dunkerque En t ry Taisnières H En t ry Taisnières B En t ry Obergailbach Entry Midi Exit Oltingue Exit Midi 2011 : less works in the east of network 2011 : more works on B- gas network 2011 : more works in the south 15

Terminals capacities 80 Available capacity at the PITM in the summer (TWh) 70 68 69 60 61 61 50 40 2010 2011 30 20 10 0 PITM Fo s 2011 : a lot of works with impacts on Fos (pigging, security excavations, repairs, compressions works) PITM Montoir 2011 : less works with impacts on Montoir than in 2010 16 January 27th, 2011

Links capacities 70 60 Available capacity at the links in the summer (TWh) Forecast comparison (no achieve quantities) 22 50 21 40 18 30 17 Interruptible Firm 20 10 37 44 27 32 0 North to South 2010 North to South 2011 Injection Sediane littoral 2010 Injection Sediane littoral 2011 2011 : less works with impacts than in 2010 17

Coordination w ith adjacent operators Coordination with every adjacent TSOs (TIGF, Gassco, Fluxys, OGE, Transitgas) Particular iterating process for coordination with Elengy Elengy planed works during GRTg a z operations GRTg a z replaned some operations to coordinate with Elengy Storengy GRTg a z replaned some operations to respect as more as possible storages constraints 18

PTIM Fo s Minimum and Maximum capacities in PITM Fos with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 700 600 Elengy works in the same time 500 400 300 200 100 0 01/01/2011 15/01/2011 29/01/2011 12/02/2011 26/02/2011 12/03/2011 26/03/2011 09/04/2011 23/04/2011 07/05/2011 21/05/2011 04/06/2011 18/06/2011 02/07/2011 16/07/2011 30/07/2011 13/08/2011 27/08/2011 10/09/2011 24/09/2011 08/10/2011 22/10/2011 05/11/2011 19/11/2011 03/12/2011 17/12/2011 31/12/2011 Minimum with GRTgaz works Maximum with GRTgaz works 19

PITM Montoir 600 500 Minimum and Maximum capacities in PITM Montoir with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) Elengy sworks in the same time Optimisation of restrictions by GRTgaz to come, depending of details of works 400 300 200 Elengy sworks in the same time 100 0 01/01/2011 15/01/2011 29/01/2011 12/02/2011 26/02/2011 12/03/2011 26/03/2011 09/04/2011 23/04/2011 07/05/2011 21/05/2011 04/06/2011 18/06/2011 02/07/2011 16/07/2011 30/07/2011 13/08/2011 27/08/2011 10/09/2011 24/09/2011 08/10/2011 22/10/2011 05/11/2011 19/11/2011 03/12/2011 17/12/2011 31/12/2011 Minimum with GRTgaz works Maximum with GRTgaz works 20

PITS Sédiane littoral PITS SEDIANE LITTORAL firm capacity with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 300 Storengy works in the same time 250 200 150 Injection Firm marketable Capacity Injection Firm Capacity with works Injection Firm + Interruptible marketable Capacity Injection Firm + Interruptible Capacity with works 100 50 0 21

PITS Serene Sud PITS SERENE SUD firm capacity with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 250 200 No specific coordination with Storengy Injection marketable Firm Capacity 150 Injection Firm capacity with works 100 50 0 22

PITS Serene Nord PITS SERENE NORD capacity with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 250 Coordination with Storengy maintenance 200 150 Injection marketable Capacity 100 Injection Capacity with works 50 0 23

PITS Sediane PITS SEDIANE capacity with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 250 Storengy works in the same time 200 150 Injection marketable Capacity 100 Injection Capacity with works 50 0 24

PITS Sediane B PITS SEDIANE B firm capacity with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 120 100 80 60 Coordination with Storengy under progress Injection marketable Capacity Injection Capacity with works 40 20 0 25

PIR Dunkerque PIR ENTRY DUNKERQUE capacity with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 600 500 400 Marketable Capacity 300 In coordination with Ga ssco Capacity with works 200 100 In discussion for coordination with Gassco to postpone works on May 0 26

PIR Taisnières H PIR ENTRY TAISNIERES H capacity with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 700 600 500 Marketable Capacity 400 300 No specific coordination with Fluxys Capacity with works Quality Conversion B to H marketable Quality Conversion B to H with works 200 In coordination with Ga ssco 100 0 27

PIR Taisnières B PIR ENTRY TAISNIERES B capacity with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 250 200 150 100 Fluxys works in the same time In discussion for coordination with Storengy Marketable Capacity Capacity with works Quality Conversion H to B marketable Quality Conversion H to B with works 50 0 28

PIR Obergailbach PIR ENTRY OBERGAILBACH capacity with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 700 600 500 400 Marketable Capacity Capacity with works 300 200 No impactant works in OGE 100 0 29

PIR Entry Midi (TIGF to South) PIR ENTRY Midi (TIGF to South) capacity with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 90 80 70 60 50 Marketable Capacity Capacity with works 40 30 20 Coordination with TIGF 10 0 30

PIR Exit Midi (South to TIGF) PIR EXIT Midi (South to TIGF) capacity with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 400 350 300 250 Marketable Capacity 200 Capacity with works 150 100 Coordination with TIGF 50 0 31

PIR Oltingue PIR EXIT OLTINGUE capacity with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 250 200 150 Marketable Capacity Capacity with works 100 50 In discussion with Transitgas for optimization 0 32

Link North to South Link NORTH to SOUTH capacity with GRTgaz works (GWh/day) 400 350 300 250 Firm marketable Capacity Firm Capacity with works 200 150 Firm + Interruptible marketable Capacity Firm + Interruptible Capacity with works 100 50 0 33

Filling of storages GRTgaz made a study for each storage group Realistic hypotheses (level before filling beginning, use of storage and LNG Terminals, target level) GRTg a z works and restrictions (PIR, PITS, PITM) No specific problem to perform storages filling 34

Filling of Sediane littoral and Serene Sud Forecast for filling of Sediane Littoral and Sérène Sud in 2011 35

Filling of Sediane and Serene Nord Forecast for filling of Sediane and Sérène Nord in 2011 36

Filling of Sediane B Forecast for filling of Sediane B with GRTgaz works 37

Filling of Salins Forecast for filling of Salins in 2011 38

Agenda Shipper Su rve y Feedback Schedule reminder Re su lt s of the 2011 Shipper Su rve y Interconexion Point : Dunkerque (IR0006) Terminal : Fos (IT0001 & IT0003) Advices for 2011 40

Shipper Survey Feedback & Schedule Reminder 41

Shipper Survey Answering rate: 67% of answer Compared to quantities : reliable study Improvement since last year (48% of answer) As a Reminder, we ask you: Prevision of monthly nominations For each contractual point For one year and/or gas season Late answer: 40% of the answers are sent later than the deadline Warn us if specified contact in charge of the Shipper Survey 42

Shipper Survey : New evolutions Jan/Fe b.2010 Jun/Jul.2010 From Fe b 10 From Jul.10 Nov.2009 until Mar 10 Apr.2010 until Oct.10 Oct.2010 Winter Gas Season Summer Gas Season Winter + Summer Previsions From November 09 until October 10 Summer Previsions Precisions about Summer From April 09 until October 10 43

Shipper Survey Important in order to: Plan the longterm use of its network Adapt the maintenance program Contacts: Your operational contract manager transmission-ops@grtgaz.com Obligation due to the Transmission Contract «At each Operator s Request, at the most one time a month,the shipper shall notify GRTgaz of its best forecasts for delivery, transport and offtake for each Network Point [ ]»(Clause 34) 44

45 Re sult s of the 2011 Shipper Survey

Re sult s of the 2011 shipper survey Comparison between : Maintenance Program sent in December Forecasts received from shippers Figure out difficult periods Adjust in consequence the maitenance program Focus on 3 specific contractual points: Interconnexion Point Dunkerque Fos Terminal North South Link 46

Dunkerque Maintenance program close to forecasts on 2 periods Maintenance of 8 and 14 days vs. monthly forecasts 47

Fos (Cavaou + Tonkin) Emission Maintenance program close to forecasts : during10 days Forecasts close to the CMNT twice in the year Pejorative conditions of CMNT elaboration 48

Focus North South Link Forecasts not close to the maintenance program Improvement since last year: No congestion sign on this contractual point 49

50 Advices for 2011

Advices for 2011 You meet some difficulties with the Maintenance Program: If Global analysis shows no Congestions Optimisation possible Daily Capacity/Auctions availbale UIOLI available Analysis can be done in B2B Contact your GRTgaz Operational Contract Manager B2B meetings can be organized to manage a better use of network 51

Publication planning Year Y-1 Year Y E-mail publication of guidelines on maintenance works impacts for the year Y Concertation with adjacent operators advances - update of the provisional schedule by e-mail Shipper s Meeting : maintenance works schedule presentation bilateral meetings on shipper s demand Maintenance Works Schedule First publication on ECT website ECT is updated every day 53

Trans@ctions Maintenance works schedule Research Re su lt s 54

55 Trans@ctions Publication notice

56 Key Transmission Figures Maintenance works data

Transmission Operation news 1st publication on Maintenance Works and Capacity restriction Give more information on: Why maintenance works? How does GRTg a z publish its restriction? GRTg a z maintenance forecasts Maintenance work schedule conformity 57

Synthesis A constant volume for the maintenance schedule Th e schedule is reliable Please give us your forecast It is difficult to get your schedules Please, send us your forecasts! You will discover new tools to drive the maintenance schedule Tran s@ctions, Key Transmission Figures 59

Synthesis You can contact us for a B to B meeting Call your usual operationnal contact Any questions? 60

The Dispatching visit You have registered for safety reasons 2 groups maximum 20 persons per group 1 group at 1 pm 2 nd group about 1.45 pm Duration : about 30 minutes Any questions? 62

The National Dispatching of GRTgaz Offer implementation Gas system management National Dispatching activities 9 février 2011

Offer implementation Gas system management Dispatching activities From contractual to physical issues 9 février 2011

Offer implementation Gas system management Dispatching activities Market exchange places Independent entries / exits of gas quantities, balanced on a daily basis 76 shippers 688 TWh transported in 2010 515 TWh consumed in 2010 313 TWh exchanged on the Title transfer points ( PEG s ) in 2010 9 février 2011

Offer implementation Gas system management The network Dispatching activities Working linked to gas entries and gas exits at every time 32200 km of high pressure transmission system 25 compressor stations 4500 delivery points 22 interconnections 9 février 2011

Offer implementation Gas system management Dispatching activities Roles of the parties Th e shippers provide gas. Th e y nominate gas quantities at the entry and exit points, balanced on a daily basis : with adjacent operators : the entry and the exit allocated quantities are the nominated quantities ; with the final customers : the exit allocated quantities are the real consumptions. GRTg a z transport the gas in accordance with the shippers nominations and manages the residual balancing on an hourly and a daily basis. 9 février 2011

Offer implementation Gas system management Dispatching activities Gas system = Gas + network + IT Using flexibility sources Using transmission capacities 9 février 2011

Offer implementation P Gas system management In practice Dispatching activities Use of transmission capacities Operating margin Operating margin 0 Customers deliveries 9 février 2011

Offer implementation Gas system management Dispatching activities On D-1 day : Offer implementation Collecting the shipper s requirements on entry/exit points for the D-day ; D-day consumptions forecasting ; D-day operating sequences planning. On D-day : Adaptation of the operating sequences in respect with up-dated shipper s demands on entry/exit points ; Operating sequences implementation; Technical risks management. 9 février 2011

Offer implementation Gas system management Dispatching activities Th e Maintenance Supervisor Officer establishes adaptes the the hourly setpoints concerning operating sequences the gas system Th e Customer (established management on D-1 Relationship Operator day) manages the relationship with customers on real time Dispatching operational manager Th e Network Operator implements the hourly operating sequences (established on D-1 day, and adapted on D-day) Th e Gas Flow Manager establishes the D+1 day hourly operating sequences 9 février 2011

Thank you for your attention! 9 février 2011