Economic Contributions of Agriculture, Natural Resources and Food Industries in Polk County, Florida

Transcription

1 Economic Contributions of Agriculture, Natural Resources and Food Industries in Polk County, Florida Sponsored Project Report to Polk County, Florida Farm Bureau Alan W. Hodges, Ph.D., Extension Scientist Thomas J. Stevens, Ph.D., Research Associate University of Florida-IFAS Food and Resource Economics Department Gainesville, Florida February 26, 2015

2 Objectives Profile economy and population of Polk County. Examine historical trends in population, demographics, economic activity. Compare Polk County agriculture to other counties in Florida and the U.S. Examine linkages of agriculture to other sectors of the economy. Evaluate total economic contributions of agriculture, natural resources, and food industries in terms of employment, output, income and tax revenues. Make recommendations for local economic development and protection of agriculture.

3 Sources and Methods USDA Census of Agriculture (2002, 2007, 2012) Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Information System ( ). IMPLAN state/county economic database ( ): industry output, employment, value added (GDP), labor income, taxes, commodity consumption, imports/exports, transfer payments (Implan Group, LLC). IMPLAN regional economic input-output model for Polk County used to evaluate multiplier effects of industry activity. 3

4 Located in the central Florida region between Orlando and Tampa on I-4 corridor. Lakeland-Winter Haven MSA Total area 2,011 square miles (5th largest county in FL). Abundant surface waters: 213 square miles of lakes, rivers, streams (2nd largest for noncoastal county). Heritage of agriculture and mining since 1800s, in citrus, cattle, and phosphate. Lake Wales Ridge is biodiversity hotspot Polk County Facts 4

5 Polk County Population and Employment, Source: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Profile table CA30. Employment includes both full-time and part-time jobs. 5

6 Polk County Population and Employment, Annual Percent Change, Source: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Profile table CA30. 6

7 Percent of Population % Share of Population Aged 65 Years+, in Polk County, Florida, and U.S., % 18% 17% 16% 15% 14% 13% 12% Polk % 65 Florida % 65 U.S. % 65 Sources: University of Florida, Bureau of Economic and Business Research; U.S. Dept. of Health and Human Services, Administration on Aging 7

8 Demographic Profile of Polk County, Florida Polk County Florida Persons under 5 years, percent, % 5.5% Persons under 18 years, percent, % 20.6% Persons 65 years and over, percent, % 18.7% Female persons, percent, % 51.1% White alone, percent, % 78.1% Black or African American alone, percent, % 16.7% Hispanic or Latino, percent, 2013 (b) 19.0% 23.6% Foreign born persons, percent, % 19.4% Language other than English spoken at home, pct age 5+, % 27.4% High school graduate or higher, percent of persons age 25+, % 86.1% Bachelor's degree or higher, percent of persons age 25+, % 26.4% Median value of owner-occupied housing units, $111,400 $160,200 Median household income, $43,113 $46,956 Persons below poverty level, percent, % 16.3% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, State and County Quickfacts

9 Direct Employment in Polk County Industries, 2012 (Fulltime and Part-time Jobs) Information & Communications, 1,741, 1% Manufacturing, 7,484, 3% Professional & Technical Services, 29,875, 12% Real Estate & Financial Services, 22,423, 9% Households, 3,245, 1% Health Care, 27,216, 11% Government, 16,179, 6% Education, 19,530, 8% Consumer Services, 8,643, 3% Construction, 13,167, 5% Total: 258,938 jobs Agriculture, Natural Resources, Related, 46,365, 18% Source: IMPLAN Group, LLC, 2013 Wholesale Trade, 7,430, 3% Retail Trade, 24,678, 10% Social Services & Organizations, 9,465, 4% Transportation, 15,180, 6% Travel & Entertainment Services, 5,869, 2% Utilities, 449, 0% 9

10 Direct Output in Polk County Industries, 2012 (Million Dollars) Information & Communications, $660, 2% Households, $2,161, 6% Health Care, $2,755, 8% Government, $1,428, 4% Manufacturing, $2,924, 8% Professional & Technical Services, $2,851, 8% Real Estate & Financial Services, $3,969, 11% Retail Trade, $1,805, 5% Social Services & Organizations, $568, 2% Education, $1,079, 3% Consumer Services, $889, 2% Construction, $2,086, 6% Total: $36.18 Billion Agriculture, Natural Resources, & Related, $8,915, 25% Source: IMPLAN Group, LLC, 2013 Transportation, $1,695, 5% Travel & Entertainment Services, $444, 1% Utilities, $417, 1% Wholesale Trade, $1,533, 4% 10

11 Billion 2012 Dollars Output Trend for Major Industry Groups in Polk County, $40 $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 Wholesale Trade Utilities Travel & Entertainment Serv. Transportation Social Services & Organizations Retail Trade Real Estate & Financial Services Professional & Technical Serv. Manufacturing Information & Communications Households Health Care Government Education Consumer Services Construction Agric., Natrl. Resrcs, & Related Source: IMPLAN Group, LLC, 2013

12 Farm Numbers, Land Area and Income in Polk County, Farm Numbers, Land, Income & Government Payments percent change percent change Number of Farms 2,415 2,768 3, % -11.1% Land in Farms (acres) 520, , , % -12.4% Average Size of Farm (acres) % -1.5% Total Cropland (acres) 125, , , % -28.3% Permanent Pasture and Rangeland (acres) 249, , , % -15.9% Total Woodland (acres) 114, ,271 78, % 48.7% Market Value of Products Sold ($1,000) $350,276 $398,956 $284, % 40.1% Average Value of Products Sold Per Farm ($) $145,042 $144,132 $91, % 57.6% Government Subsidies & Payments ($1,000) $5,214 $6,221 $4, % 52.9% Demographic Characteristics of Farm Operators Principal Operators - Age, Average (Years) % -0.2% Farm Operators (number) 3,761 4,060 4, % -3.7% Female Operators (percent) 31.7% 28.8% 23.6% Source: USDA-NASS, 2012 Census of Agriculture, Volume 1, Geographic Area Series, County Profiles. 12

13 Market Value of Agricultural Commodities in Polk County, Florida, and State and National Rankings, 2012 Item Value ($1000) State Rank National Rank All Agricultural Commodities 350, Crops 316, Vegetables, melons, & potatoes 8, Fruits, tree nuts, & berries 264, Nursery, greenhouse, floriculture, & sod 42, Livestock and animal products 34, ,191 Cattle & calves 24, Poultry & eggs (D) Hogs & pigs ,889 Sheep, goats, wool, mohair, & milk ,367 Aquaculture 5, Other animals & other animal products 2, Source: USDA-NASS, 2012 and 2007 Census of Agriculture, Volume 1, Geographic Area Series, County Profiles. (D) = Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual farms. 13

14 Crop Acreage and Livestock Inventory in Polk County, Florida and State and National Rankings, 2012 Item Number State Rank National Rank Crops (Acres) Oranges, all 71, Other oranges (Non-Valencia) 35, Valencia oranges 35, Grapefruit 3, Forages 21, Livestock Inventory (Number) Honeybee colonies 17, Cattle & calves 92, Goats, all 2, Horses & ponies 2, Layer chickens 7,

15 Polk County Agricultural Product Sales, 2012 (Thousand dollars) Fruits, nuts & berries, $264,249, 76.0% Nursery, greenhouse, floriculture, & sod, $42,951, 12.3% Vegetables, melons & potatoes, $8,235, 2.4% Unreported, $2,642, 0.8% Cattle & calves, $24,277, 6.9% Aquaculture, $5,628, 1.6% Other animals, $2,048, 0.6% Poultry & eggs, $131, 0.0% Sheep, goats, wool, & milk, $98, 0.0% Hogs & pigs, $17, 0.0% Total: $350 million Source: USDA, 2012 Census of Agriculture 15

16 Polk County Citrus Industry Over 70,000 acres bearing groves Production of 24,596 boxes ( ) 6 processing plants 11 packinghouses Employment impacts: 15,768 jobs Output impacts: $3.1 Bn (29% of state) Source: USDA-NASS Quickstats, and UF-IFAS study (2014)

17 Output by Polk County Agriculture, Natural Resources & Food Industry Groups (million dollars) Food & Kindred Products Distribution, $1,672, 19% Food & Kindred Products Manufacturing, $2,675, 30% Crop, Livestock, Forestry & Fisheries Production, $652, 7% Agricultural Inputs & Services, $3,015, 34% Forest Products Manufacturing, $596, 7% Mining, $298, 3% Total: $8.92 billion Nature-based Recreation, $6, 0% Source: IMPLAN Group, LLC

18 Direct Employment and Output by for Agriculture, Natural Resources and Food Industry Groups and Selected Sectors (>100 jobs), 2012 Industry Group / Sector Employment (Jobs) Output (M$) Crop, Livestock, Forestry & Fisheries Production Support activities for agriculture and forestry 6, Fruit farming 2, Cattle ranching and farming Greenhouse, nursery, and floriculture production Dairy cattle and milk production Mining Mining and quarrying other nonmetallic minerals Extraction of oil and natural gas Agricultural Inputs & Services Landscape services 2, Fertilizer manufacturing 1,796 2,732 Veterinary services Pest control services Food & Kindred Products Distribution Food services and drinking places 15, Retail Stores - Food and beverage 4, Wholesale trade, food & kindred products 2, Retail lawn and garden centers Industry Group / Sector Forest Products Manufacturing Employment (Jobs) Output (M$) Wood container and pallet manufacturing Paperboard container manufacturing Sanitary paper product manufacturing Engineered wood member and truss manufacturing Food & Kindred Products Distribution Food services and drinking places 15, Retail Stores - Food and beverage 4, Wholesale trade, food & kindred products 2, Retail lawn and garden centers Nature-based Recreation Golf courses Source: IMPLAN Group, LLC 2013

19 Million $s in Sales Output (Sales) Trend for Agriculture, Natural Resources and Food Industry Groups in Polk County, ,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Agricultural Inputs & Services Food & Kindred Products Manufacturing Food & Kindred Products Distribution Crop, Livestock, Forestry & Fisheries Production Forest Products Manufacturing Mining Nature-based Recreation Source: IMPLAN Group, LLC Values expressed in 2012 dollars. Data not available for 2003,

20 Employment in Polk County Agriculture, Natural Resources and Food Industry Groups, 2012 (Fulltime and Part-time Jobs) Food & Kindred Products Distribution, 23,295, 50% Crop, Livestock, Forestry & Fisheries Production, 9,655, 21% Agricultural Inputs & Services, 5,868, 13% Food & Kindred Products Manufacturing, 4,869, 11% Total: 46,365 jobs Nature-based Recreation, 108, 0% Mining, 1,000, 2% Source: IMPLAN GROUP, LLC., 2013 Forest Products Manufacturing, 1,569, 3% 20

21 Fulltime and Part-time Jobs Employment Trend in Agriculture, Natural Resources and Food Industry Groups in Polk County, ,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Food & Kindred Products Distribution Crop, Livestock, Forestry & Fisheries Production Agricultural Inputs & Services Food & Kindred Products Manufacturing Forest Products Manufacturing Mining Nature-based Recreation 0 Source: IMPLAN Group, LLC. Data not available for 2003 and

22

23 Selected IMPLAN Multipliers for Polk County, Florida Sector Name Employment Jobs per Million $ Output Value Added Dollars Per Dollar Labor Income Fertilizer manufacturing Food services & drinking places Fluid milk & butter manufacturing Wholesale trade businesses Frozen food manufacturing Fruit & vegetable canning, pickling, & drying Distilleries Fruit farming Retail Stores - Food & beverage Support activities for agriculture & forestry Mining & quarrying other nonmetallic minerals Services to buildings and dwellings

24 Total Economic Contributions of Agriculture, Natural Resources and Food Industry Groups in Polk County, 2012 Industry Group Agricultural Inputs & Services Crop, Livestock, Forestry & Fisheries Production Food & Kindred Products Distribution Employment (Jobs) Output Value Added Labor Income Other property income Business Taxes Million Dollars ,988 5,140 1, ,615 1, ,226 1,776 1, Food & Kindred Products Manufacturing Forest Products Manufacturing 19,845 4,692 1, , Mining 2, Nature-based Recreation Total 86,023 14,382 5,702 3,449 1, Estimates include regional multiplier effects

25 Total Economic Contributions of Agricultural Commodity Groups in Polk County, 2012 Commodity Group Employment (Jobs) Industry Output (Mn$) Value Added (Mn$) Labor Income (Mn$) Other Property Income (Mn$) Business Taxes (Mn$) Fruit & Vegetable Farming & Processing Forestry, Wood & Paper Product Manufacturing 15,990 2,684 1, ,796 1, Environmental Horticulture 3, Livestock Farming & Animal Products Manufacturing 1, Fishing & Seafood Products Note: Estimates include regional multiplier effects. 25

26 Trends in Total Output Contributions of Agriculture, Natural Resources and Food Industry Groups in Polk County, Note: Estimates include regional multiplier effects. Values expressed in 2012 dollars. Data not available for 2003 and

27 Total Tax Contributions of Agriculture, Natural Resources and Food Industries in Polk County, 2012 Local and State Taxes Source: Implan Group, LLC Million Dollars Percent Tax on Production and Imports: Sales Tax % Tax on Production and Imports: Property Tax % Tax on Production and Imports: Other Taxes % Personal Tax: NonTaxes (Fines - Fees) % Other Local and State Taxes and NonTaxes % Total Local and State Taxes % Federal Taxes Social Ins Tax- Employee Contribution % Social Ins Tax- Employer Contribution % Tax on Production & Imports: Excise Taxes % Tax on Production & Imports: Custom Duty & NonTaxes % Corporate Profits Tax % Personal Tax: Income Tax % Total Federal Tax % Total Local, State, and Federal Taxes 1, %

28 Conclusions Farmland is 45 percent of Polk County s total land area, but declined over 100,000 acres since 2002, due to development, land conversion. County has high rankings for ag. commodities in state and U.S. Agricultural sales growing slowly (increased 23% since 2002). Citrus industry is dominant in Polk County, but threatened. Extensive linkages between ag. producers, processing, distribution, allied inputs and services sectors. Strong growth in food manufacturing and distribution. Large export base for farm and food products. Agriculture, natural resources and food industries are important contributors to Polk County economy (2012): Employment: 86,023 jobs, 33% of county workforce. Value added: $5.70 billion, 31% of GDP Labor income: $3.44 billion. Tax revenues: $1.33 billion overall, $280 million in sales taxes, $218 million local property taxes.

29 Thank You for Your Attention! Project report available at: Author Contact Alan W. Hodges University of Florida 1113 McCarty Hall, P.O. Box Gainesville, FL Telephone: