Benefit of collaboration: what was done, what is left to do? A European experience with the ODYSSEE project. Didier Bosseboeuf, ADEME

Transcription

1 Benefit of collaboration: what was done, what is left to do? A European experience with the ODYSSEE project Didier Bosseboeuf, ADEME

2 Outline 1. The ODYSSEY of ODYSSEE 2. Key factors of success of ODYSSEE 3. Key features of ODYSSEE information and EED yearly reporting 4. ODYSSEE information and the NEEAP 3 : review of indicators availability in ODYSSEE 5. Future developments Impacts of ODYSSEE

3 Objectives of ODYSSEE MURE 2010 The objectives of the project are the following: o Monitoring energy efficiency progress (and CO2- reduction) o Comparing countries in their relative energy efficiency performance, as well as to benchmark values. o Understanding the energy demand trends for EU countries. o Analyzing and evaluating the performance of energy efficiency policies in the different EU Member States and at EU level. This project relies on two complementary and well established internet databases: o, ODYSSEE, on energy efficiency / CO 2 indicators and o MURE, on energy efficiency measures and their impact evaluation.

4 Key features and originality of the ODYSSEE data base Internet data base with free access to non profit organisation (New!!) ; Covering EU and 27 EU countries + Norway+ Croatia Non EU-OECD countries (through IEA) included but non public; Co-funded by the EU and mainly energy (efficiency) agencies over the last 20 years; Decentralised data collection mainly from EE implementers in a common format; Detailed level of analysis (beyond the energy balance and Eurostat); 1000 times series, 200 EE indicators, Long times series (1980 for EU 15, 1996 for EU27) Yearly updating Qualification of data and indicators Reference of data sources

5 Outline A long lasting cooperation among 29 European countries The ODYSSEE MURE network 33 partners including 18 energy efficiency agencies ECONOTEC C O N S U L T A N T S

6 The odyssee of ODYSSEE From research to mandatory reporting for the ESD target 6 pioneer countries in the framework of the EnR club and based on French and German know-hows on voluntary basis (no external funding) (1993); Extension to EU 15 countries with EU co-financing; Pilot project 2 Eastern European countries (EU cofinancing); Extension to 10 new EU member countries in 2005 (EU cofinancing) Since 207 coverage of EU 27 countries, plus(eu cofinancing) Croatia and Norway (EU cofinancing), formal exchange of data with AIE; ODYSSEE experts provided inputs for the EU recommendation on harmonized energy saving calculation for the ESD and CEN standard ODYSSEE experts provide inputs for MS for TD energy saving calculation for the ESD (NEAAP1 & 2)

7 The odyssee of ODYSSEE A dynamic approach to anticipate social demand (1/2) 1. Continuous scientific/technical development New indicators (benchmark, CO2, ODEX, Diffusion indicators, adjusted indicators etc.) New methodologies (climatic correction, decomposition analysis, short term indicators)

8 ODYSSEE is not only a statistical project it is above all a project on research and analysis A review of energy efficiency targets by country A series of research oriented reports on indicators methodologies: o Explanatory factors of the energy consumption variation o Short term indicators; o Quantification of the indicators uncertainty; o How to improve the calculation of energy savings by corrections for additional structural changes; o An assessment of energy savings from the EU ETS

9 100=2000 Energy efficiency index (ODEX) for final consumers (EU-27) Industry Transport Households (technical) Total ODEX= 88 in % energy efficiency improvement between 2000 and 2010 (or 1.2%/year) Net slow down since the economic crisis: 0.6%/year since 2007, compared to 1.5%/year between 2000 and 2007 Regular and larger gains for households (1.6%/year). No progress for industry since the beginning of the economic crisis (1.2%/year until 2007) Lower progress for transport (0.9%/year), due to negative savings for the transport of goods since the economic crisis. ESD ODEX calculated as a 3 years moving average to avoid short term fluctuations (imperfect climatic corrections, behavioural factors, business cycles). Services not included due to the difficulty of measuring energy savings. 9

10 Mtoe Decomposition of the energy demand variation by explanatory factors in the EU Variation consumption ESD Activity effect Lifestyles Climate effect Structure effect Energy savings Other Total industry households transport services agriculture 10

11 The odyssee of ODYSSEE A dynamic approach to anticipate social demand (2/2) 2. Continuous development of dissemination activities New software, Website redesign, end-users facilities More products (sectoral profiles, countrie profiles, brochures, leaflet, newsletters, tweet) International dissemination (DG EN, IEA, UN, WB, etc.)

12 Main deliverables of ODYSSEE MURE printed brochures : one on energy efficiency trends and one on policies. 4 sectoral reports on energy consumption and energy efficiency trends (macro, industry, transport, buildings). 3 sectoral reports describing energy efficiency policies and measures (industry, transport, buildings). Sectoral profiles : set of 175 slides presenting energy efficiency trends by sector (20 on macro indicators, 40 on transport, 30 on industry and 85 on buildings and appliances). Country profiles : 2 pages on main energy efficiency trends and policies by country in English and national language (29 countries + EU). Country reports : detailed national reports on energy efficiency and policies (28 countries). All deliverables available on the project web site

13 The 2 synthesis brochures of ODYSSEE-MURE

14 Classification of ODYSSEE indicators: 7 different types of energy efficiency indicators and 2 types of CO2 indicators Type Level 1. Energy intensities by sector & sub sector 2. Adjusted intensities final and industry 3. Specific energy consumption by sub sector & end-use 4. Benchmarked specific energy consumption steel, cement, paper, heating 5. Energy efficiency indices (ODEX) final and by sector 6. Energy savings final, by sector and sub sectors 7. Indicators of diffusion by sector 8. Decomposition of energy consumption by sector 8. CO 2 intensities by sector & sub sector 9. Specific CO2 emissions by sub sector & end-use 14

15 Outline 1. The ODYSSEY of ODYSSEE 2. Key factors of success of ODYSSEE 3. Key features of ODYSSEE information and EED yearly reporting 4. Future developments Impacts of ODYSSEE

16 Use of ODYSSEE data to calculate ESD savings with top-down methodology for NEEAP2 15 countries used directly the Excel sheet included in the ODYSSEE template: Bulgaria, Croatia, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Spain, Sweden and UK; 7 other countries used part of ODYSSEE data: Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Portugal, Slovenia and Norway 16

17 ODYSSEE template to calculate ESD savings with top-down methodology: case of households Code ESD Energy Savings Units M1 Non electric uses ktoe M2 Electrical uses ktoe Total 1 with minimum indicators ktoe GWh P1 Space heating ktoe P2 Space cooling ktoe 0 0 P3 Water heating ktoe P4 Electrical appliances Refrigerators ktoe Freezers ktoe 7 14 Washing machine ktoe 0 0 Dish washers ktoe 0 0 TV ktoe Dryers ktoe 0 4 P5 Lighting ktoe Total 2 with preferred indicators ktoe GWh

18 Energy Efficiency Directive (EED Mandatory annual submission of indicators ( Annex XIV) (i) primary energy consumption; (ii) total final energy consumption; (iii) final energy consumption by sector : industry transport (split between passenger and freight households services; (iv) gross value added by sector industry services; (v) disposable income of households; (vi) gross domestic product (GDP); vii) electricity generation from thermal power generation; viii) electricity generation from combined heat and power; (ix) heat generation from thermal power generation; (x) heat generation from combined heat and power plants, including industrial waste heat; (xi) fuel input for thermal power generation; (xii) passenger kilometres (pkm), if available; (xiii) tonne kilometres (tkm), if available; (xiv) combined transport kilometres (pkm + tkm), in case (xii) and (xiii) are not available; (xv) population. In sectors where energy consumption remains stable or is growing, Member States shall analyse the reasons for it and attach their appraisal to the estimates objective of decomposition facility

19 Outline 1. The ODYSSEY of ODYSSEE 2. Key factors of success of ODYSSEE 3. Key features of ODYSSEE information and EED yearly reporting 4. Future developments Impacts of ODYSSEE

20 Future plans ( ) 3 updating Better quality check New indicators New methodologies (transport) Use for NEEAP3 reporting New website New dissemination products More dissemination (NDAP) User facilities development Consolidation of international activities (UN, Medener, IPEEC)

21 The new indicators facilities in ODYSSEE The project will develop six indicator facilities, linked to the ODYSSEE database, which will help to support the indicator analysis: 1. A decomposition facility to display in an interactive way the different factors behind changes in energy consumption (e.g. economic growth, lifestyle changes, energy savings, model shift). 2. A short term indicators facility to enable the update of energy savings to year n A market diffusion facility of energy efficiency and renewables technologies and practices to monitor progress in the priority areas of the IEE A benchmarking facility to enable any country to compare easily its energy performance with the country of its choice by adjusting different factors to the situation of its own country. 5. An energy saving facility, compiling top-down energy savings, energy savings potential and policy targets based. 6. An energy efficiency indicator scoreboard facility, to map out the energy efficiency position of each country, globally and by sector.

22 The new indicators facilities: decomposition facility The decomposition facility will enable countries to decompose the variation of the primary and final energy consumption over a given period into various components (e.g. economic growth, lifestyles, energy savings) This facility will be developed as an interactive database on internet enabling to display the different factors by country, by sector, for a selected period. Interface of the decomposition facility

23 Outline 1. The ODYSSEY of ODYSSEE 2. Key factors of success of ODYSSEE 3. Key features of ODYSSEE information and EED yearly reporting 4. Future developments Impacts of ODYSSEE

24 Impact of ODYSSEE MURE project 1. Capacity building for more than 100 experts on TD monitoring 2. Access to the full data base to 40 EU Commission's staff, 80 ministries officers, 70 staff agencies ). 3. Increasing use of Odyssee data and expertise for official reporting (ESD, IEA etc.) 4. Improvement of data coverage (Ireland) 5. Improvement of data quality (ie Spain, Sweden) 6. Better comprehensiveness on policies evaluation (BU vs TD) 7. Influence on standard (ISO 257 & CEN 242) and directive 8. International spread (Latin America, Mediterranean countries)

25 Synergies: What we gain through cooperation? Towards an harmonized system of EEI?? 1. Common understanding of energy efficiency 2. Increase the trust and confidence among partners 3. Facilitate the harmonisation of data 4. Increase the quality of benchmark 5. Allow the adoption of international standard (CEN/ISO) 6. Enrich methodologies (climatic correction, agriculture etc.) 7. Helpful for target setting and burden sharing

26 Conclusions : lessons learned 1. A step by step approach (20th birthday) 2. Co-funding 3. To gain confidence and trust among partners through workshop routine (exchange of information) 4. political needs push data coverage and quality 5. Useful for policies evaluation, target setting or potential 6. Accept semi-official data 7. More we are, more the benchmark is relevant (and funny) 8. Transparency and democracy (access to all data to all partners) 9. Continuous development to scotch to political developments 10. Disseminate, disseminate & disseminate