A low-carbon future for EU industry fostering corporate co-benefits and innovative business models
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1 A low-carbon future for EU industry fostering corporate co-benefits and innovative business models Tomas Wyns
2 2050 decarbonisation trajectory for industry and current status of emissions
3 Industrial decarbonisation ~1-2 investment cycles 125% 100% 100% 80% Develop, Pilot & Demo Deployment 75% 60% 50% 25% 0% Industrial pathway source: EC 2011 EU ETS Innovation Fund %
4 80% reduction ref Chemicals industry
5 80% reduction ref Steel industry
6 80% reduction ref Cement industry
7 2050 decarbonisation strategies & examples
8 Steel industry Multi-purpose integrated steel plant: producing steel, cement, concrete aggregates (CCUS), high value chemicals (CCU) and/or electricity Higher levels of Re- and up-cycling steel through electric arc furnaces CCS with other operational co-benefits (renewable) Hydrogen steelmaking Product and business model changes: specialisation, product-service hybrid, leasing,
9 Examples HIsarna (ULCOS/Tata) steel slag + CO2 > concrete (CCUS Blue planet/carbicrete) Steelanol (CCU)(ArcelorMittal) Re/upcycling steel technologies (source Allwood 2016) Hydrogen based steel production (SSAB, Voestalpine)
10 Chemical industry Bio-based chemistry (intra-eu supply chain) gradually replacing petrochemicals (processes and products) Higher level of re/up-cycling (plastics) Further (renewables based) electrification of processes (e.g. H2, NH3) Product and business model changes (e.g. chemical services, leasing of chemicals)
11 Examples 3.7 billion investments in bio-based innovation from Deliver bio-based products that are comparable and/or superior to fossilbased products in terms of price, performance, availability and environmental benefits. on average reduce CO2 emissions by at least 50% compared to their fossil alternatives. Source: Solid State Ammonium Synthesis from: Horizon 2020, NER300 Utilisation of CO(2) from other industries e.g. steel industry
12 Cement industry Modernisation and efficiency gains (site + sector level) More clinker substitution (alternatives beyond BF slag and fly ash) CCS, but with co-benefits to clinker production process Alternative concrete formulas (physical/chemical) Concrete and cement re/up-cycling
13 Examples Aether cement (partial clinker replacement) re/up-cycle concrete to cement Calcium looping CCS Landfill-mining; plasmarok
14 Examples in other industries Aluminium: Advanced Green Aluminium Anode (AGRAL H2020), process demand response, selective recycling technologies Paper: Deep Eutectic solvents (pulping), waterless paper production, supercritical CO2, process electrification Ceramics: microwave assisted heating/gas-firing
15 Designing the Innovation Fund as part of a low-carbon investment and industrialisation strategy
16 Parameters for selection of projects CO2 abatement potential: e.g. using EU ETS benchmarks as a reference and CAPEX+OPEX per tonne But other criteria essential in evaluation: - higher productivity - higher value added products - better economic/process resilience (wider range of input materials, resource efficiency more diverse outputs) - specialisation (new markets) - efficient integration of different processes (incl. IT tech. I4.0) Lowers risk of white elephants and higher deployment/commercialisation rates of technology
17 Innovation Fund: a one stop shop? Innovation Fund a (project) finance toolbox (most) projects with high technology/construction risk will need (part) grant based finance (e.g. linked to TRL) Results based finance but milestone based (not 100% ex post) I.F. can enable/provide next layers of finance (equity, mezzanine, senior & minor debt, guarantees) Expand I.F. with participation of National Promotional Banks (NPBs) and private investors and use of EU guarantee : i.e. Investment Platform Projects could in principle be fully financed through I.F. (combination of finance tools, a one stop shop) Lean but professional management structure/administration of fund (see also Business Europe position paper Making innovation fund fitfor-purpose )
18 EU and national industrial strategies Essential that I.F. becomes part of broader EU and national industrial(isation) strategy At National/Member State level: R&D support industrial infrastructure support, zone planning (promoting industrial symbiosis) Tax breaks for low-carbon investments public procurement enhanced role of national promotional banks At EU level: mission oriented industrial policy: linking H2020, EFSI, I.F. procurement of low-carbon products under EU funds flexibility for Member States under SGP/macro-economic imbalance/eurostat ESA2010 State Aid rules flexibility/transparency protection against dumping
19 The EU finds itself at an important moment in the history of its industrial development. Ongoing and future process, product and business model innovations, will make deep emission reductions possible over the next decades. But public policy needs to play a catalysing role.
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