Navin Kumar

Transcription

1 Container Shipping in India: Mapping the cargo Containers India 2014 Navin Kumar 20 Aug 2014

2 Presentation outline 2 India s international trade Cargo / hinterland mapping Trade partners Outlook Conclusions

3 3 INDIA S INTERNATIONAL TRADE

4 India's international trade CAGR Exports Imports Total Trade % 16.2% 15.4% % 20.5% 19.8% % 4.0% 4.9% India s international trade grew from just $45.5 billion in 1993 to $802.7 billion in While the country s trade grew at a CAGR of ~15% over last two decades, imports grew faster than the exports. Faster growth in India s imports has adversely affected the country s trade balance India had about $130 billion of trade deficit in Source: UNCOMTRADE Database, Drewry Maritime Research The present government has announced intentions to minimise trade deficit by promoting domestic production to meet country s own demand, and increase exports.

5 India's container throughput % % % % 8 14% % % 7% % % 2-5% Throughput (million teu) Annual growth-right Source: Drewry Maritime Research 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% One of the salient feature of Indian container market is that it is primarily O- D traffic driven, transshipment contributing only marginally to the total throughput. Therefore, it is a very stable market growing at an exceptional pace. Container traffic in India has achieved a CAGR of around 13% over the last 10 years, while annual average growth rate over the last five years has hovered around 5%. In 2002, major ports in India accounted for almost 99% of the container traffic. However, over the last few years the container traffic at non-major ports in India has increased considerably, primarily due to the growth registered by Mundra and Pipavav.

6 6 CARGO / HINTERLAND MAPPING

7 Product category wise India s trade 2013 Others 51% Others 41% Export Imports RMG/Textiles 11% Reefer food products 8% Electrical & electronic goods 17% Chemicals 11% Fabric/Yarn 10% Steel Products 9% Machinary/ spares 16% RMG/Textile sector has traditionally dominated the exports. Chemicals, especially cyclic hydrocarbons, are the second most exported containerized cargo from India. Steel products and Reefer food products are other major products in India s export basket. Rising income levels and invention of end user gadgets have led to higher imports of electrical and electronics good. Advanced mechanisation and industrialization in India has resulted in higher imports of machinery and spares. 7 Food Products 6% Steel Products 8% Chemicals 12% Source: UNCOMTRADE Database, classified and compiled by Drewry Maritime Research

8 Major centres of cargo origin Exports from India Export 8 Others 45% Tamil Nadu 16% Maharashtra 14% Gujarat 12% NCR 13% Tamil Nadu is the single largest containerised cargo producing state in India with a market share of 16%. Major exports include Automobile parts, RMG/textile and electronics. Delhi NCR is the only non-coastal state to feature among top 4 cargo producing centres. Source: Drewry Maritime Research

9 Major centres of cargo destinationn Imports in India 9 Import Others 35% Tamil Nadu 20% Maharashtra 18% Gujarat 12% NCR 15% Tamil Nadu is also the single largest containerised cargo importing state in India with a market share of 20%. Major imports include Electronics, metal scrap and automobile spares. Top 4 importing centres account for ~65% of India s total containerised cargo import. Source: Drewry Maritime Research

10 10 TRADE PARTNERS

11 Country wise trade direction of India s container trade (in $ billion) 11 Exports Imports Changing ranks of India s export partners Country USA China UAE Germany UK Changing ranks of India s import partners Country China USA Germany Korea, Rep Japan Source: UNCOMTRADE Database, classified and compiled by Drewry Maritime Research

12 Changing share of top trade partners of India 12 Major export destinations Major import sources Source: UNCOMTRADE Database, classified and compiled by Drewry Maritime Research

13 13 OUTLOOK

14 Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC) 14 Components being developed along DMIC Manesar-Bawal investment region Ahmedabad-Dholera investment region Surat-Navsari Industrial Area alsad-umbergaon Industrial Area Source: DMIC Development Corporation Dadri-Noida-Ghaziabad investment region Khushkhera-Bhiwadi-Neemrana investment region Pithampur-Dhar-Mhow investment region Shendra-Bidkin industrial park Dighi Port industrial area Sinnar-Nashik Industrial Park LEGEND DMIC Investment Region Other Key Investment Zones Seaports Identification and development of Greenfield ports. Up-gradation of existing ports. Dedicated Jetties for cargo movement. Rail Construction/ Augmentation of new rail links/feeder lines to DFC. Developing additional DFC spurs and regional rail links. Roads Construction / Augmentation of major arterials and expressways. Developing additional feeder roads. Developing regional connectivity to DFC Rail heads. Industrial Setting up self-sustainable manufacturing/industrial regions. Promote development of processing activities (SEZs/ Industrial Parks/ Port Based Industries, Integrated Food/ Agro Parks). Logistics Setting up free trade warehousing zone, container freight stations, cargo hubs, truck terminals, etc.

15 Dedicated Freight Corridor (DFC) 15 Western Dedicated Freight Corridor Alignment Post commissioning, it would facilitate higher number of trains running on a particular corridor. For example, the number of trains running on Ahmedabad-Marwar corridor could increase from 15 trains each way to 72 trains per way; and the trains running on JNP- Vadodara corridor would increase from 9 to 49. Eastern and Western corridors will be constructed simultaneously. It is envisaged that the corridors will be fully operational over their entire length by Western DFC Project Timelines Section Year Phase 1 Revari Vadodara (920 Km) Phase 2 Vadodara JNPT (430 Km) Phase 3 Rewari Dadri (140 Km) Source: Dedicated Freight Corridor Corporation of India (DFCCIL) Source: DFCCIL

16 16 CONCLUSIONS

17 Conclusions 17 Policy initiatives by the new government aimed at providing impetus to manufacturing, will create more cargo centres. Containerization penetration to be increased by producing more processed goods and light cargo. Containerization of containerisable general bulk cargo to be promoted, innovative ideas needed to tap the market potential. Efficient transportation network needs to be developed, spread uniformly, to connect India s coastline both East and West. Liner Shipping Connectivity Index Source: UNCTAD Stats, 2014

18 Thank You! 18 Drewry was founded in 1970 as a provider of independent information and advice to the global maritime industry. Since then we have worked with over 4,000 clients in more than 100 countries. We are privately owned with research and advisory teams in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. London Drewry Christopher Street London EC2A 2BS,United Kingdom T: +44 (0) E: info@drewry.co.uk Singapore Drewry 15 Hoe Chiang Road, #13-02 Tower Fifteen Singapore T: E: singapore@drewry.co.uk Delhi Drewry 209 Vipul Square, Sushant Lok-1 Gurgaon , India Telephone: /32 E: india@drewry.co.uk Shanghai Drewry 555, 5th floor Standard Chartered Tower, 201 Shi Ji Avenue, Pudong District, Shanghai, China T: +86 (0)