Trends in Oil and Gas 2014 Brazil Regional Seminar. Presented by Michael Graves, Industry Principal

Transcription

1 Trends in Oil and Gas 2014 Brazil Regional Seminar Presented by Michael Graves, Industry Principal

2 O&G Market Trends Copyrig h t 2014 OSIso f t, LLC. 2

3 Global Crude Oil Reserves 536 Billion Barrels (34%) 799 Billion Barrels (50%) 265 Billion Barrels (16%) C o p yr i g h t O S Is o f t, L L C.

4 MB/day Production Performance Crude Oil Production - South America Brazil Venezuela Argentina Colombia 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, The increase in production over the past decade is attributable to growth in Brazil, and Colombia, which offset production declines in Venezuela, and Argentina New liquids-rich prospective shale formations in South America: Vaca Muerta in Argentina, Ponta Grossa in Brazil, La Luna/Capachu shared by Colombia and Venezuela. Copyrig h t 2014 OSIso f t, LLC. 4

5 MB/day Refinery Capacity Forecast Refining Capacity - South America Brazil Venezuela Argentina Colombia Chile Others 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, South America provides 5.3% of Global Refining Capacity Brazil, Venezuela, Argentina, Colombia and Chile accounted for 90.2% of the total refining capacity in South America Between 2014 and 2018, eight new refineries are expected to become operational. The incremental capacity of these refineries will be 1,685 mbd in Copyrig h t 2014 OSIso f t, LLC. 5

6 Other Market Factors: Natural Gas: Argentina and Brazil are among the top 10 countries world-wide with recoverable shale gas. Despite recent production gains in South America, the continent is at risk of a decline in dry natural gas production because of maturing fields and a lack of continued investment. Panama Canal Expansion: Currently, no LNG trade is conducted through the canal. However, the expanded canal will be able to accommodate more than 80% of the world s current LNG carrier fleet. LNG Exports to Asia, the largest LNG import market, through the Panama Canal will increase with growing natural gas production in the Americas. Brazil s pre-salt layer: Analysts predict oil and gas reserves at more than 50 billion barrels of oil equivalent (current reserves are 13 BOE). Copyrig h t 2014 OSIso f t, LLC. 6

7 Conclusions O&G is a growth industry for South America Near-term focus is on liquids (crude) Planned refining capacity is on track to monetize existing reserves Natural Gas in South America will follow liquids with LNG export opportunities enabled by Panama Canal expansion Copyrig h t 2014 OSIso f t, LLC. 7

8 O&G IT Mega-Trends Copyrig h t 2014 OSIso f t, LLC. 8

9 IT Megatrends Big Data Analyze Everything Internet of Things Sensors Everywhere Cloud Host Anywhere Mobility Access Anytime IT/OT Convergence Eliminating Boundaries Copyrig h t 2014 OSIso f t, LLC. 9

10 The World of Enterprise Big Data and Analytics External Data Sources Big Data Warehousing / Statistical Analysis Tools Hadoop Hive Cloudera SAP Hana Geospatial Wiki Partners Suppliers Business Data Warehouse ERP (Business Transactions) Operational Data Warehouse Production / Process Data Models PI AF BI / MI Visualization Tools Microsoft BI / MI Oracle (OBIEE) Spotfire (Big Data) Cognos (Big Data) Tableau (Big Data) Internet of Things Shop Floor Systems Unified Real-time Data Infrastructure PI Data Archive Process Control Data Historian Manufacturin g Execution (MES) Process Control Data Historian Manufacturin g Operation Management (MOM) Process Control Data Historian PCS DCS PLC LIMS Networked I/O Process Analysis Tools MatLab SAS PI AF (Abacus) PI Data Link PI Process Book Corporate / Plant Data and Solutions C o p yr i g h t O S Is o f t, L L C.

11 Internet of Things (IoT) Real-time Operations Data is being created everywhere in the Digital Oil Field According to Gartner, there will be nearly 26 billion devices on the Internet of Things by 2020 Availability and accessibility of this data is critical PI System infrastructure will connect IoT data, to systems, to people, to actions Rolled-up quality data for supervisors C o p yr i g h t O S Is o f t, L L C. 12

12 The New Enterprise: Host Anywhere, Access Anytime PCS? HR CRM EAM CSC FIN Enterprise Enterprise Operational Applications Data Infrastructure C o p yr i g h t O S Is o f t, L L C.

13 SMS Safety Management / Expert System CEMS Continuous Emissions Monitoring System EHM Asset Reliability / Availability Monitoring OTS/LMS Operator Training / Learning Management PI System enables IT/OT Convergence ENTERPRISE RESOURCE PLANNING HS&E Quality Mgmt. Accounting Planning SCM Asset Management HR SAFETY ENVIRON. QUALITY PRODUCTION & OPERATION MANAGEMENT ASSET AVAILABILITY & REL. PEOPLE PT/QM Production Tracking / Quality Monitoring Production Accounting Remote Production Monitoring Well Survelance and Performance RBA Risk Based Analysis & Evaluation SQC Production FPSO OIS Compressio Applications and Solutions Functionality Statistical Operational Quality Control Analytics Monitoring Intelligence n Analysis ARM Analyzer Reliability Monitoring Production Reporting Value Chain Situational Awarenss OMS Operations Monitoring & Reporting CBM Condition Based Monitoring Unified Real-time Integration and Applications Infrastructure SAFETY CONTROL LIMS PROCESS ANALYZERS DCS PLC/SCADA ADVANCED CONTROL HISTORIAN DIAGNOSTIC SYSTEMS MANUAL DATA PLANT DATABASE OTHER D D D D COLUMNS FURNACES PUMPS HEAT EXCHANGERS TURBINES COMPRESSORS MOTORS VALVES TRANSMITTER S ACTUATOR S TRANSFORMERS OTHER C o p yr i g h t O S Is o f t, L L C.

14 Questions and Answers Copyrig h t 2013 OSIso f t, LLC. 15

15 Thank you Copyright 2014 OSIsoft, LLC. 777 Davis St., San Leandro, CA 94577