The EA/Defra Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk R&D Programme (FCERM) and Estuary Research Progamme (ERP) Stefan Laeger (Environment Agency)
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1 The EA/Defra Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk R&D Programme (FCERM) and Estuary Research Progamme (ERP) Stefan Laeger (Environment Agency) Project FD2119 Estuaries Research Programme Phase 2 2 Final dissemination March 2008
2 Context / Drivers Recent Floods! 5m people/ 200bn property at risk EA is Operator and Regulator Coastal Overview (England) EU Directives: Floods, WFD, Habitats Boscastle 2004 East Coast Storm Surge Nov 07
3 Additional responsibilities: Coastal overview (England) Lead for all sea flooding risk Fund and oversee coastal erosion works Ensure that sustainable Shoreline Management Plans are in place Work with LPAs to ensure flood and coastal erosion works are properly planned, prioritised, completed and maintained Ensure that third party defences are sustainable
4 EA/Defra FCERM R&D Programme Underpins our investment in FRM and Coastal Erosion by providing the key evidence required to: Manage Flood and Coastal Erosion risk Develop policy and strategy Optimally and efficiently manage assets Prepare for and manage flood incidents effectively Addresses arising challenges (e.g. climate change) through user-oriented, mainly applied research and delivery to end-users
5 EA/Defra FCERM R&D Programme Established 2000, rev Serves all Operating Authorities 4 Themes Strategy and Policy Development (SPD) Modelling and Risk (MAR) Sustainable Asset Management (SAM) Incident Management and Community Engagement (IMC)
6 Sustainable Asset Management Design, build, maintenance, management of (coastal) defences Best practice design guidance for engineering structures Condition assessment Channel and floodplain maintenance practices Environmental impact of flood risk management
7 Incident Management and Community Engagement (IMC) Real time flood events rainfall detection, flood forecasting, warning, response, recovery Work on weather radar, links with Met Office. Probabilistic forecasting and warning Social analyses of flood warning and response
8 Modelling and Risk (MAR) Improving knowledge and process understanding Developing methods, models and assessment tools Integrating impact assessment and system models Overall aim: to aid decision making and address uncertainty
9 Collaborations Making Space for Water Thames Estuary 2100 Met Office CIRIA Research Councils FRMRC - EPSRC FREE - NERC Floodsite CRUE ERANet Other EA Science Progs
10 The Estuary Research Programme (ERP) Unprecedented environmental, commercial and legislative pressures on estuaries Limited understanding how estuaries may evolve/respond to natural/anthropogenic changes Established in 1998 as a three phased 10yr R & D programme Purpose To enable estuary managers, planners and regulators to make informed decisions To develop an Estuary Management System (EMS) containing physical, ecological, social, economic factors
11 Coastal overview (England) Robust science is needed Geomorphology Understanding and managing erosion processes Mapping and modelling Large scale coastal/estuarine erosion and small scale beach erosion
12 The Estuary Research Programme (ERP) FD Scoping Study 10 year research plan to ultimately deliver s an EMS Phase 1(completed): FD1401 -The Estuarine Morphology and Processes Holistic Assessment SYStem project (EMPHASYS) Produced a guide to the prediction of morphological change in estuaries - Estuary Impact Assessment System (EIAS) mk1 FD Produced training materials and an estuaries database to raise awareness FD2115 Review of ERP phase & research plan for ERP phase 2
13 The Estuary Research Programme (ERP) Phase 2 (nearly completed): FD Estuary Processes (EstProc) FD Review of Geo-morphological Concepts FD Hybrid estuary model development FD Estuary Simulators Development (EstSim) FD2119 Develop/disseminate the enhanced EIAS, scope out need/requirements for ERP Phase 3 programme. ERP Phase 3 (Start in )
14 The Estuary Research Programme (ERP) Associated projects: FD2002 Future Coast Produced behavioural statements for coasts and estuaries Geomorphological manual for assessing future shoreline behaviour under unconstrained and managed scenarios FD2308 Joint Probability Mapped dependence between variables relevant to flood risk River flow and surge Wave height and sea level Rainfall and sea level Wind sea and swell Developed a simpler desktop and a more sophisticated analytical approach
15 Objectives of FD2119 Consult interested stakeholders Scope and deliver an Enhanced Estuary Impact Assessment System (EIAS) Scope out ERP phase 3 Integrated Estuary Management System (EMS) & associated tools Disseminate the outcomes of ERP phase 2 projects and provide training
16 Consultation Aim: To assess needs of Operating Authorities, flood mgt industry, other organisation in estuary management Findings: Improved confidence to enable better decision making and planning Improved certainty in the results of estuary predictions (and possible range) Easy access to information Need for training
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