Convention on Long-range Transboundary

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1 Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution Gothenburg Convention Protocol 30 years 10 years Integrated Assessment Modelling 36 th meeting 6 7 October 2009 Laxenburg, Austria Matti Johansson Secretary for Working Group on Effects (WGE), s on Integrated Assessment Modelling (TFIAM) and on Reactive Nitrogen (TFRN) UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE

2 Organization of the Convention Executive Body Implementation Committee Working Group on Effects Steering Body of EMEP Working Group on Strategies and Review Forests Emission Inventories and Projections POPs Waters on Emission Inventories and Projections Network of Experts on Benefits and Economic Instruments Materials Main Research Measurements and Modelling Expert Group on Techno-economic Issues Vegetation Chemical Heavy Metals Integrated Monitoring Meteorological Synthesizing - West Expert Group on Particulate Matter Modelling and Mapping Coordination for Effects Meteorological Synthesizing - East Reactive Nitrogen on Health WHO Bonn Integrated Assessment Modelling Joint Expert Group on Dynamic Modelling for Integrated Assessment Modelling Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution

3 Working Group on Strategies and baseline scenario Review (August/September 2009) CIAM to send the developed baseline data in the GAINS model format to Parties for validation Parties within the geographical scope of EMEP to respond by end 2009 CIAM to present the consolidated baseline for TFIAM in Feb 2010 Parties outside the geographical scope of EMEP to submit similar data Reactive Nitrogen to update annex IX of Gothenburg Protocol guidance document framework code on agricultural practice understanding of Nr cycle (ammonia; budgets; human diet) explore ambition levels in technical annexes CIAM, EGTEI long-term strategy of Convention being prepared

4 Steering Body to EMEP (September 2009) thematic day for GAINS model review knowledge was found comprehensive GAINS useful to support the revision of 1999 Protocol uncertainties to be communicated clearly earlier reduction requirements not overestimated possible systematic biases required additional sensitivity analyses effects not directly discussed other decisions CIAM to update agricultural emission data in collaboration with the Reactive Nitrogen develop cost curves for target indicators target setting with WGE use technical annexes by EGTEI

5 Working Group on Effects (September 2009) long-term aims (updating strategy) sufficiency and effectiveness of emission reductions links between air pollution and climate change (biodiversity, black C and Nr cycle) Convention and its scientific networks model for outside (effects-oriented nature) common workplan items airborne N effects on the environment and health (TFRN, TFIAM) key monitored/modelled parameters (Guidelines for reporting on effects) target setting: 2020 and non-binding aspirational 2050 (TFIAM, CIAM) quantification of policy-relevant effects indicators and linking them to IAM Gothenburg Protocol health impacts of ozone and PM might be currently underestimated update annex I workshops (flux-based ozone; empirical N critical loads and dose-responses) participate in ex-post analysis of GAINS scenarios call for data ( Modelling&Mapping; proposed to become led by France) regionalized applications of dynamic models of vegetation change harmonized land use map for Europe to be served in all meetings and to maintain current official documentation s to contact National Integrated Assessment Modelling (NIAM) network Global Atmospheric Pollution Forum offered to facilitate outreach activities

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