!"#$%&'() NTVS!"#$% = = = == O == NIO N == Q N== !"#$% ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH

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= = = www.climatechange.cn 5 =!"#$% 29 ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH Vol. 5 No. January 29!"67-79 (29) -8-6!"#$%&'() NTVS!"#$% == NIO N O == O P P == Q N=!"#$%$&'%%()=ONMMQQO=!"#$%&=NMMMUNP=!

1 = = = 5 =!"#$% 29 ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH Vol. 5 No. January 29!"67-79 (29) -8-6!"#$%&'() NTVS!"#$% == NIO N O == O P P == Q N=!"#$%$&'%%()=ONMMQQO=!"#$%&=NMMMUNP=!"#$%& =NRMMMNQ=!"#$=NRPMMM =!"#$%&'()*+,-./2456=EPinus koraiensisf=!"#$%&'()*'+!"#$%&!"#$%&'!"#$%&'()!" 79624! 4!"#$%&'()*+,!-./245! !"# 4 4!"!"#$!". a!"#$%!" a!"#$%&'()87 9!!!"#$%&'()!*+,-85!"#$%&'()*+!!"!"!!"#P467===!"#A = ====!"#$%& '()!"!"#$%&'()*!"#$%&!"#$%&'( xj2z!!!"#$%&'()*+!"#$%!"#$%&'( xj6z!"#$%!"#$%&'()*!"#!"#$%& x7j9z!"#$!"#$%&!"#$%&!"!"#$%&'()"*+,-$4 xz!"#$%&'()*+,-. 2 9! xz!"#$%"&%'(!"!"#$%&'()*+,-.!"#$%&'()*$+,-./!!"#$%&'()*+!!"#$%&'()*+,-)./!"#$%&'()*+,-./2!"# ====!"#$%&'()*+,-./!"#$%&'()*+,-./.2!"#$%&!"796!"!"#$%&'(!"#!"#$%&'()*+,-. N== NKN==! ====!"#$%&'()*+,-./!!"!"#$%&!'()!28-4-7=!" !" #$%&'CCSF26-!"#$%&'()*ZD26X=!"#$%&'4752!979!"#!"#$%&!'(K= yinh@cma.gov.cn ==========!"! liuhb99@cma.gov.cn 8 Adv. Clim. Change Res., 29, 5 (): 8J2

2 796!"#$% 9!!"#$%&!'!"#$!"#$%&'()*!"#$ 2/!"#$%&'!"!"#$%&.4!"#$%&'( N292E 646 m!!"pinus koraiensis! 2 42! ====!"#$%&'%()* x2z!"#!"#$!"#$%&!"#$%&'(. mm!"#!"#$% COFECHA xz!!"#$%&'()*+,-./2!"#$%&'()*+,-./ 9!"#$%&'()!"#$!"#$ !"#$%&'()*+,-./!!"#$%!&' ()%*+, ====!"#$%&'( ARSTAN x4z!"#$%&'()* +, 9 a!"#$%&'()*+,-.!!"282 a!"#$%&'()*+! !"#$%&' 797!"# 6 29 a! SSS[.85!! =ESTDF!=ERESF=!"#=EARSF!"#$%&'(2!"#!"#$%&'2!"#$!"#$%&'()!*+!"#$%&'()*+,-%.!!"#$%&' (!"#$%&'!"#$%&'()*+,-. NKO==! ====!"#$%&'()*+,-./ 487N295E299. m95924!"#$%!"#!"#!!"#$%&'()96 8!"!"#$%&'(%)*+,- =!"#$%& Table Statistics of three chronologies at Fenglin site! STD RES J. ARS =!"#$%!"&'() Table 2 Statistics of common interval analysis (862J24) for standardized and residual series (RES) at Fenglin site r a r t r s SNR PC/% EPS!" ! r a!"#$%&'()*+r t!"#$%&'()* r s!"#$%&'()*+,-./snr!"pc!"#$%&'()*+,eps!"#$%&'(!"#$%&!"#$%mann- Kendall x5z Double-mass analysis x6z!"!"#!"!"#$%&'(!"#$%&'()*+,-!"#!"#$%!"#$%&'()*!"#$%&'()!"#$%&'!"#$%&' ====!"#!$%&' 479 mm6 9!"#$!% 7% 7!"# 5 mm!"#! 2!"#$!5 9!"# F O==!"#$%&'()*+,- ====!"#$%&"#' x7z!"!"#$%&'!" !"#$% 9!!"#$!!"!"#$%&'()*!"#!"#$%&'()*+,!"#$ 6.%!"#$%!"#$%&'!()* Adv. Clim. Change Res., 29, 5 (): 8J2 9

= = = www.climatechange.cn 2!"#$% = 29 /mm 6 2 8 4 J 2 4 6 8 2!"#$%!&'()959 24 Fig. Monthly precipitation and mean temperature in Wuying (959J24)!"#$%&'()*+,-./2 RES!"#$!"#$!"#$%&'()*+!!"#$!"#$%&'(!!"#$%&'!"#$%&'()!"#$%!"#$%&'()*!"# x8z!

3 = = = 2!"#$% = 29 /mm J !"#$%!&'() Fig. Monthly precipitation and mean temperature in Wuying (959J24)!"#$%&'()*+,-./2 RES!"#$!"#$!"#$%&'()*+!!"#$!"#$%&'(!!"#$%&'!"#$%&'()!"#$%!"#$%&'()*!"# x8z!"#$%&'( CO 2!" #$%&!"#$%!"#$% JJ!" 5 25!"445!"#$%!!!"#$%!"#$%&'!"#$%!"#$!"%&'(!"#!"#$%&!"'()!"#$%&'()*+,!"#$!"#!"#$%!"#$%!"#!"# x9z!"!"#$%&' x2z 4!"! 4.5!"#$%! 2 J J2 /!"#$%&'(5 9!"#!!"#$%8!!"#$%&!"#$2.!"#$% 9.2!"#$%J4.!"#$!!"#$!"#$% ====!"#$%&'()*+,-.!"#$%&'4!"#$%&'(!"#$%&'()*!"#$!" x2z P==!"#$ ====!"!T!" #RES t +!"!"# T!"#!$%&'()*+ RES t +!"#$%&'( 96 24!"#!"#$%& T =.RES t + J 5. () ====!"#$%&"'.59!"# 4.8%F! !!"!"#$%&'()*+,!"#$79624!"#$!"#$%&!!"#!"!"#$%&'().7!"#$%&'()*+,"-./2 ==== 2 (a)!"#$%!"&'()!"# $%&'()*+,-./2!"# x2z!"#$%&' =!"#$%&'()*+,-./ Table Correlation coefficients of RES chronology and monthly climate data! !.6.589* J.25 J...75 J J J. J.74! * J.66 J J J J.46 J.5!.94.58* J..42 J.4 J.5.72 J. J.6 J J J J. J.78.7!"#$%&'()*+,-./'2 *!"#$%&' 99%!"#$ 2 Adv. Clim. Change Res., 29, 5 (): 8J2

4 796!"#$% 2!"!"# 4!"!"!"#$%& R.59!"#$% r.54!.!"!"#!"#!"r E!"#$%!"R E.292!"#$%&'S!"#$!%&'()*+,-.S 2!"# $%&"# '()*)+,!"!"#$%&'99%!"!"#$%!"&'()*+t s!"!"#$%&'($%)*+,&-+!"#$%&'!()*+,t s %!"#$!"#$%&'( / / 5 (a) J (b) J (c) (a)!"# $%&!"#!" (b) !"#$%&' a!"#$(c)!"#$% Fig. 2 (a) The comparison between measured (solid line) and reconstructed (dash line) October mean temperature series in 96J24, (b) the reconstructed October mean temperature series of Wuying in 796J24 (The thick line denotes the - year running mean value), (c) The sampling size for the reconstructed temperature series!"#$! 29 a!"#$%4!4!"#8 847!848 86! !9 97! 98 95!95 97U! ! 847!"#$%&'(!"#$%&'$()* x22z ====!"#$%&'()*+,-./ 2 9! xz 4! xz!!"#95924!"#$%!&!"#$%&'().7!!"#!"#$%&'()*+ 5!"#!"#$%& 2 9 4!"#$%&'()*+,!!"#$%&'()*+,-%&'()*!"!"4!"4!"# 2 9!"#$%&'(()*+ 4!"#$%&'8!"#$%&' 9 4! 6!" 7! 9!"#$%&'(')!*+,-./!"#$%&'!"#$%&'!" 5=!"#$%&'()*+,-E F Table 5 The correlation coefficients between Wuying temperature and Changbai temperature in 959J24 a!"!! 2!"# =!"#$%&' Table 4 Statistical parameters of the reconstructed October mean temperature series of Wuying R r R E t s S S Q==!"#$%&'()* ====2 (b)!"#!"#$%& ====!"# x2z!"#$%&'()!"29 a!"#$%&'7!"#$% /!!"# 5.6 a4.67 a. a 2.46 a!". a!"#!"!"#$5 a Adv. Clim. Change Res., 29, 5 (): 8J2 2

5 = = = 22!"#$% 29!"#$%&' ()*!"+,-.9 a!"#$%&'()*+,%&!" !"#$.5pY.2!"#$%!"#$%&'()*+ ====! T! F x24z Lepage x25z!"#$%&'() a!"#$%&'()*!"#$!"#$%&'( a!"#$%!"# T Lepage!"#$%&!"#$ 87 9!"# a!!!"#$ 95% 99%87!"#$%9!"#$84!"#$%!F!Lepage!"#$%85!"#$%&'( 95%!"#!"#$!"#$!"#$ !"#$%&'()*+,-./!"#$%&'()*+#,-./,- x7z 85 89!"#$%&'!"#$%&'()*+,-./ x26z T % 2 95% (a) R=== ()!"#!"#$%&'(!"#$%&'()*+,-./4!"#$%&'()*!"#$%!"#$%&'()* (2)!"79624!"#$ 29 a!"#$%&' 4! 4!!". a!"#$% a!"#$%&'()87 9!!!"#$%&'()!!85!"#$%&'()*+! [] Fritts H C. Reconstruction Large-Scale Climate Patterns from Tree-Ring Data [M]. Arizona: University of Arizona Press, 99: J286 [2] Cook E R, Bird T, Peterson M, et al. Climate change in Tasmania inferred from a 89-year tree-ring chronology of Huon Pine [J]. Science, 99, 25: 266J268 [] Briffa K R, Jones P D, Schweingruber F H, et al. Unusual twentiethcentury summer warmth in a -year temperature record from Siberia [J]. Nature, 995, 76: 56J59 [4] Jacoby G C, Lovelius N V, Shumilov O I, et al. Long-term temperature trends and tree growth in the Taymir region of northern Siberia [J]. Quaternary Research, 2, 5 (): 2J8 F 4 2 (b) % 95% [5] Davi N K, Jacoby G C, Wiles G C. Boreal temperature variability inferred from maximum latewood density and tree-ring width data, Wrangell Mountain region, Alaska [J]. Quaternary Research, 2, 6 (): 252J 262 Lepage (c) % 95% !"#$%&'() (a) T (b) F (c) Lepage Fig. Analysis of the abrupt change of the reconstructed October mean temperature series of Wuying (a) T test, (b) F test, (c) Lapage test [6] [7] [8] [9] Esper J, Cook E R, Schweingruber F H. Low-frequency signals in long tree-ring chronologies for reconstructing past temperature variability [J]. Science, 22, 295 (556): 225J225,.!"#$%45 a!"#$%&'( [J].!, 999, 2 (): 64J7,, Park Won-Kyu,.!"#$%&'( 88!"#$% [J].!, 2, 48 (9): 952J957,,,.!"#$%&'()*+,-. 22 Adv. Clim. Change Res., 29, 5 (): 8J2

6 796!"#$% 2 [] [J].!=(D ), 24, 4 (2): 45J5,.!"#$%&'()*+,-./ [J].!, 997, : 76J85 [8].!"#$%&=[M].= :!", 99: 7J 7 [9].!" [M]. :!"#$, 999: 75J76 [].!"#$%&'()*+,-*./#=[D]. [2]!"#$%&.!=[M].= :!"#$, 999: [2] [] [4] :!"#$%#&'()##*, 26: J9 Stocks M A, Smiley T L. An Introduction to Tree Ring Dating [M]. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 968: MJ5 Holmes R L. Computer-assisted quality control in tree-ring dating and measurement [J]. Tree-Ring Bulletin, 98, 4: 69J78 Cook E R, Kairiukstis L A. Methods of Dendrochronology: Applications in Environmental Sciences [M]. Dordrecht, Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 99: J94 86J869 [2],,.!"#$%&'()*+,-.+ [C]// !"#$.!"#$%&'(!"=E F. :!", 996: 6J26 [22] Portter S C. Pattern and forcing of Northern Hemisphere glacier variations during the last millennium [J]. Quaternary Research, 986, 26: 27J48 [2].!"#$%&'( [M]. :!", 24: 25J225 [5] Mann H B. Non-parametric test against trend [J]. Econometrika, 945, : 245J259 [24],.!"#$%&'() [J].!, 992, 6 (4): 482J49 [6] [7] Kohler M A. On the use of double-mass analysis for testing the consistency of meteorological records and for making required adjustment [J]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 949, : 88J89 Fritts H C. Tree Rings and Climate [M]. London: Academic Press Incorporation, 976: J567 [25] Yanetani T. Discontinuous changes of precipitation in Japan after 9 detected by the Lepage test [J]. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 992, 7 (): 95J [26],.!"# 758 4!"#$ [J].!"#, 2, 4 (2): 88J96 Reconstruction of the October Mean Temperature Since 796 at Wuying from Tree Ring Data Yin Hong, 2, Guo Pinwen, Liu Hongbin 2, Huang Lei 2, Yu Hongmin, Guo Shiyou, Wang Fang 4 ( Department of Atmosphere Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 244, China; 2 National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 8, China; Climate Center of Heilongjiang Province, Harbin 5, China; 4 Meteorological Bureau of Yichun City, Yichun 5, China) Abstract: The growth of Pinus koraiensis at the Fenglin national natural reserve of Wuying, Heilongjiang Province, is significantly correlated with the local October temperature of previous year. The mean temperature of October in Wuying was reconstructed for the period of 796J24 using residual tree ring chronology. In addition, the temperature in the late dekad of April also affected the tree ring radial width to some extent. In the past 29 years, there were 4 colder periods and 4 warmer periods in the reconstructed series; the most significant period of. years was detected by the power spectrum method. The abrupt changes on -year time scale were also detected in the reconstructed series by the smoothing T-test, the smoothing F-test and the Lepage-test; the significant abrupt changes in mean value were presented in about 87 and 9, and the significant abrupt changes in standard deviation in about 85. Key words: Wuying; climate change; tree ring; temperature reconstruction Adv. Clim. Change Res., 29, 5 (): 8J2 2

Reconstruction of October Mean Temperature since 1796 in Wuying Based on Tree Ring Data

ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH 1(2): 100 106, 2010 www.climatechange.cn DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1248.2010.00100 ARTICLE Reconstruction of October Mean Temperature since 1796 in Wuying Based on Tree Ring