Pennsylvania s Phase III Watershed Implementation Plan: What are the Expectations?
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1 Pennsylvania s Phase III Watershed Implementation Plan: What are the Expectations? Phase 3 WIP Steering Committee April 3, 2017
2 Agenda Progress Made and the Job Ahead of Us Need Your Engagement to Move Forward Midpoint Assessment Allocations Issues Schedule EPA Expectations Phase 3 WIP Game Plan
3 Total Nitrogen per Acre Loads and Trends: Chesapeake Watershed Improving Trends: 54% Degrading Trends: 27% No Trend: 19% PA: Majority improving Improving: 14 Degrading: 3 No change: 1
4 Changes in Nitrogen per Acre Loads: Susquehanna Watershed
5 Total Phosphorus per Acre Loads and Trends: Loads per acre Above average in PA Eastern part of basin Bay Watershed trends: Improving Trends : 68% Degrading Trends : 20% No Trend : 12% PA trends: Majority improving Improving: 14 Degrading: 3 No change: 1
6 Changes in Phosphorus per Acre Loads: Susquehanna Watershed
7 Pennsylvania Nitrogen Loads: Agriculture Urban Runoff Wastewater+CSO Septic Forest % 1% 28% 11% 45% Where will the remaining nitrogen reductions* come from? *Based on the jurisdictions Phase II WIPs % Agriculture 20% Urban 2% Septic Systems
8 million lbs. Pennsylvania Nitrogen Loads and Goals: Milestone 2017 Target 2025 Target 140 Agriculture Urban Runoff Wastewater+CSO Septic Forest + NonTidal AtDep
9 million lbs. Pennsylvania Nitrogen Loads and Goals: Milestone 2017 Target 2025 Target Agriculture Urban Runoff Wastewater+CSO Septic Forest + NonTidal AtDep 11 million lbs. 34 million lbs
10 million lbs. Pennsylvania Nitrogen Loads and Goals: Milestone 2017 Target 2025 Target 140 Agriculture Urban Runoff Wastewater+CSO Septic Forest + NonTidal AtDep
11 Pennsylvania Phosphorus Loads: Agriculture Urban Runoff Wastewater+CSO Forest % 1% 28% 45% % 2025 Where will the remaining phosphorus reductions* come from? 76% Agriculture 24% Urban *Based on the jurisdictions Phase II WIPs.
12 Pennsylvania s Source Sector Challenges Needs to reduce 19 million lbs. nitrogen by 2017 and a total of 34 million lbs. by 2025 Responsible for 69 percent of remaining basinwide nitrogen load reductions by 2025 Agriculture will likely be responsible for much more than 80 percent of these nitrogen reductions by 2025 The technical assistance/compliance infrastructure, cost share funding are not in place to deliver on these needed reductions
13 EPA Baywide Expectations Top 4 Programmatic and numeric implementation commitments for Strategies for engagement of local, regional and federal partners in implementation Account for changed conditions: climate change, Conowingo Dam infill, growth Develop, implement local planning goals below the statemajor basin scales
14 EPA Pennsylvania Expectations EPA will be providing a set of Pennsylvania Specific Phase III Watershed Implementation Plans Expectations with Pennsylvania Agency Secretaries
15 Mid-point Assessment Data Collection & Analysis Water Quality Monitoring and Trend Analysis Conowingo Dam Climate Change Sector Growth Policy and Methodology Decisions Planning Targets By state, basin Equity vs Cost-effectiveness Model Calibration Expert Panel Reports BMP Efficiencies Historical Data Cleanup
16 Midpoint Assessment Schedule Dates in BLUE may change June-July: 2017: Partnership s review of models October 2017: Draft Phase III WIP planning targets Resolution of Issues around Conowingo, Climate Change, Sector Growth October -Dec 2017: Partnership review of targets Dec 2017: Final Phase III WIP planning targets Aug 2018: Draft Phase III WIPs shared for partner, stakeholder review Dec 2018: Final Phase III WIPs due
17 Phase 3 Watershed Implementation Plan Stakeholder Input and Outreach Steering Committee/Workgroups Website Communications Strategy Being Developed: One-Day Kick-Off Conference, Listening Sessions, Public Comment Planning Targets & Implementation Sector Specific Local Area Goals Priority Areas/Watersheds Measurable Outputs, Milestones Emphasis on Local Water Quality, Local Goals, Local Benefits
18 Local Planning Goals Jurisdictional Boundaries (County, Township, Borough, Conservation District) Federal or State Facilities Regional Entity Boundaries (River Basin Commission, Planning Commission) Watershed or sub-watershed Segment-shed as defined in the TMDL Area with a defined need for pollutant reduction (ex. MS4s) Targeted area with high pollutant loadings
19 Phase 3 WIP Schedule Dates in BLUE may change April, May, 2017 Form Steering Committee and Workgroups June 5, 2017 Phase 3 WIP Kick-Off Conference, Radisson Harrisburg June 2017 Follow-up Written Comment Response to Conference July 2017 through October 2017 Bay Program Partnership Works Through Issues Workgroups Formed, Convened Comments Compiled, Additional Information and Data Compiled October 2017 through March 2018 Workgroups and Steering Committee develop the WIP Additional Outreach Around Development of Local Planning Goals/Sector Specific Plans June 2018 Public Comment Period of Draft Phase 3 WIP August 2018 Submit to EPA for Partnership Review October, November 2018 Revise in Response to Partnership Review December 2018 Submit Final Phase 3 WIP
20 Other Resources Chesapeake Bay Program Website Chesapeake Bay Assessment Scenario Tool - CAST County level scenario calculator Chesapeake Bay Facility Assessment Scenario Tool - BayFAST Facility level scenario calculator Phase 6 Model Data Visualization Tool New Beta 4 Run
21 Contact Information: Veronica Kasi DEP Chesapeake Bay Website:
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