GENERAL MEETING. France -June MUNICH ECONOMIC SITUATION ARTEMA - FRANCE

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1 GENERAL MEETING France -June MUNICH ECONOMIC SITUATION ARTEMA - FRANCE 1

2 Actual general economic situation Economic Situation of in 2009 : Mechanical Engineering Sector Power Transmission Industry Sector Forecasts for

3 ACTUAL GENERAL ECONOMIC SITUATION 3

4 ACTUAL GENERAL ECONOMIC SITUATION GDP Evolution in France 4

5 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION CZ - Manufacturing Industries C1 - Agrarian and food industries C3 - Electrical and electronic equipment C4 - Equipments of transport C5 - Other manufacturing products 5

6 INFLATION 6

7 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (%) Q Q ,8 % 9,6 %

8 ECONOMIC SITUATION OF FRENCH MECHANICAL INDUSTRY SECTOR in 2009 France June

9 MECHANICAL INDUSTRIES: TOTAL PRODUCTION In billions 2009 : - 15 % 10 employees or more

10 EMPLOYMENT IN MECHANICAL INDUSTRIES (Thousands of employees) French Mechanical Industries: First Industrial Employer in France 2009 : - 5,5 % employees employees or more

11 FRENCH MECHANICAL INDUSTRIES - COMMENTS French Mechanical Industry Investment 2009: - 25% French Total Investment Industry: - 24 % France June

12 ECONOMIC SITUATION OF POWER TRANSMISSION INDUSTRY SECTOR in

13 SITUATION IN POWER TRANSMISSION (without bearings) 2009 Evolution 2009 / 2008 Forecast 1st Quarter 2010 French Production in 1000 euro Orders in 1000 euro ,07 % na ,7 % na 13 13

14 POWER TRANSMISSION PRODUCTION IN MILLIONS

15 SITUATION IN POWER TRANSMISSION COMMENTS Important and very fast decreasing of the incoming orders Postponement and cancellation of orders No visibility for the next months Financial difficulties of customers 15 15

16 WEAK CUSTOMER GROUPS All customers groups are affected, Specially automotive industry and construction machines. Only Energy, Defense and Rail were positive 16 16

17 FORECASTS FOR 2010 For Mechanical Industry France - May

18 BAROMETER OF THE MECHANICAL INDUSTRIES MAY 2010 Monthly variations of the productive activity with regard to the same month of the previous year, in % Final realization - Semi final - Provisional 2nd forecast 1st forecast

19 BAROMETER FOR THE MECHANICAL ENGINEERING INDUSTRY MAY 2010 Monthly Variations of the productive activity with regard to the same month of the previous year, in % Final realization - Semi final - Provisional 2nd forecast 1st forecast

20 FORECASTS Forecasts for 2010 Mechanical Engineering Industry Between 0 and + 2% France - May

21 FORECASTS FOR 2010 For Power Transmission Industry France - May

22 BAROMETER FOR ALL TRANSMISSION INDUSTRIES MAY 2010 Annual slip in % of volume and the productive activity Final realization - Semi final - Provisional 2nd forecast 1st forecast

23 BAROMETER FOR ALL TRANSMISSION INDUSTRIES MAY 2010 Evolution in % of the production, the mobile accumulation of the last 12 months Final realization - Semi final - Provisional 2nd forecast 1st forecast

24 Montly Indicator of tendency on activity by opinion poll to the members companies ARTEMA J J/A S O N D J F M A Size of the Sample Mars Avril Settle opinions on activity last month 0 January February 10 June July/August September October November December 20 24

Indicator of tendency on activity : Balance of opinions 2009 2010 ARTEMA J J/A S O N D J F M A Size of the Sample 22 30 29 28 23 32 27 25 28 25 10

25 Indicator of tendency on activity : Balance of opinions ARTEMA J J/A S O N D J F M A Size of the Sample Balance of opinions: Activity of the last three months 0 March M April A 10 June July / August September October November December January February 20 25

26 Montly Indicator of tendency on activity by opinion poll to the members companies ARTEMA J J/A S O N D J F M A Size of the Sample Settle opinions on activity current month 0 January February March April 10 June July / August September October November December April 20 26

27 Indicator of tendency on activity : Balance of opinions ARTEMA J J/A S O N D J F M A Size of the Sample Balance of opinions: Activity of the next three months June July / August September October November October January Ja February Ja March Ja April Ja 20 27

28 SITUATION IN POWER TRANSMISSION - COMMENTS Slow growth supported by exports Not just a technical rebound Some new projects France - May

29 FORECASTS FOR THE NEXT SIX MONTHS 1. By REGIONS Orders Shipments Expectations Expectations Europe and Africa NA > -10% Decrease >-5% - (-10%) <-5% 0 <5% Increase >5% - 10% >10% NA > - 10% Decrease >-5% - (-10%) <-5% 0 <5% Increase >5% - 10% >10% Asia and Australia Americas 29

30 FORECASTS FOR THE NEXT SIX MONTHS 2. By PRODUCTS Orders Shipments Expectations Expectations Decrease Increase Decrease Increase NA > -10% >-5% - (-10%) <-5% 0 <5% >5% - 10% >10% NA > - 10% >-5% - (-10%) <-5% 0 <5% Open Gearing >5% - 10% >10% Worm Gearing Helical Gearing Bevel Gearing Planetary Gearing Couplings and Clutches Gear motors 30 30

31 FORECASTS Forecasts for 2010 Power Transmissions Between +5 and +10% France - May

32 39/41, rue Louis Blanc PARIS LA DEFENSE artema-france.org info@artema-france.org France June 2010

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