Country Briefing: France

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1 Country Briefing: France April, 8 Dr. Edward Yardeni eyardeni@ Debbie Johnson 8-- djohnson@ Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box

2 Table Of Contents Table Of Contents Real GDP - Industrial Production - Purchasing Managers Indexes Merchandise Trade -7 Retail Sales 8 Unemployment 9 Consumer & Business Confidence Consumer Prices - Interest Rates Stock Market April, 8 / France www.

3 Real GDP Figure. REAL GDP: FRANCE (quarterly percent change, saar) Total (.8) Q Household Consumption (.9) -8 Q Gross Fixed Capial Formation (.) - 8 Q Source: INSEE/Haver Analytics. -8 Page / April, 8 / France www.

4 Real GDP Figure. REAL GDP: FRANCE (quarterly percent change, saar) Exports of Goods & Services (.) Q Imports of Goods & Services (.) Q Government Consumption (.) Q Source: INSEE/Haver Analytics. - Page / April, 8 / France www.

5 Figure. FRANCE: INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (=, sa/wda) Industrial Production Total Manufacturing Figure. FRANCE: INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (yearly percent change) Total Manufacturing Page / April, 8 / France www.

6 Figure. FRANCE: INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (=, sa/wda) Industrial Production Capital Goods Consumer Goods Durable Goods Nondurable Goods Intermediate Goods Energy Page / April, 8 / France www.

7 Figure. Purchasing Managers Indexes FRANCE: COMPOSITE OF MANUFACTURING AND NONMANUFACTURING PMIs* Mar 7 8 * An index above indicates an increase in manufacturing activity. An index below indicates a decrease in manufacturing activity. Source: Haver Analytics. Figure 7. FRANCE: MANUFACTURING & NONMANUFACTURING PMIs* M-PMI NM-PMI Mar 7 8 * An index above indicates an increase in manufacturing activity. An index below indicates a decrease in manufacturing activity. Source: Haver Analytics. Page / April, 8 / France www.

8 Figure 8. FRANCE: MERCHANDISE TRADE (billion euros, sa) Balance Merchandise Trade Exports Imports 8 8 (yearly percent change) Exports Imports Source: Haver Analytics. - - Page / April, 8 / France www.

9 7 Figure 9. FRANCE: MERCHANDISE TRADE WITH EUROPEAN UNION (EU7) COUNTRIES (billion euros, sa) Merchandise Trade Exports Imports Source: Haver Analytics. 8 Figure. FRANCE: MERCHANDISE TRADE WITH NON-EUROPEAN UNION (EU7) COUNTRIES (billion euros, sa) 8 Exports Imports Source: Haver Analytics Page 7 / April, 8 / France www.

10 Retail Sales Figure. FRANCE: RETAIL SALES EX MOTOR VEHICLES (=, sa) Source: Istituto Nazionale di Statistica. 7 Figure. FRANCE: RETAIL SALES EX MOTOR VEHICLES (yearly percent change) Page 8 / April, 8 / France www.

11 .. Figure. FRANCE: UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (percent) Unemployment Q Figure. FRANCE: REGISTERED UNEMPLOYED (millions, sa) Feb Page 9 / April, 8 / France www.

12 Figure. Consumer & Business Confidence FRANCE: CONSUMER CONFIDENCE (long-term average=, sa) Mar Figure. FRANCE: BUSINESS CLIMATE INDICATOR (sa) Mar Page / April, 8 / France www.

13 Figure 7. FRANCE: CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (yearly percent change) Total Consumer Prices Feb Excluding Tobacco Feb Tobacco Mar Page / April, 8 / France www.

14 9 Figure 8. FRANCE: CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (yearly percent change) Consumer Prices 9 Food Mar Manufactured Goods - Mar Energy Feb Services Mar 8 8 Page / April, 8 / France www.

15 Figure 9. FRANCE: ECB REFINANCING RATE (daily, percent) Interest Rates / FRANCE: -MONTH T-BILL RATE (daily, percent) - - / FRANCE: -YEAR GOVERNMENT BOND YIELD (daily, percent) - / Source: Haver Analytics. Page / April, 8 / France www.

16 7 Figure. FRANCE: STOCK PRICE INDEX (CAC ) Stock Market / Source: Reuters America, Inc. 7 Page / April, 8 / France www.

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