Programme EU and UK gas security of supply Monday 23 Wednesday 25 January 2012 WP1121

Transcription

1 Programme EU and UK gas security of supply Monday 23 Wednesday 25 January 2012 WP1121 Forecasts indicate that by 2030 up to 70% of the EU s natural gas consumption will have to be imported. Ensuring gas security of supply at reasonable prices has consequently become a major preoccupation for both the European Union and its member states. The UK, for example, had been self-sufficient for gas since the 1960 s but is now increasingly dependent on imports. The need for policy initiatives at EU level has become widely accepted, but Europe-wide agreement on details and implementation has faced major obstacles. Efforts to formulate common EU energy policies, including on gas supply, are nonetheless continuing and making progress. UK Energy Minister Charles Hendry will open this Wilton Park conference with an important statement on the role of gas in the UK s future energy mix, with the ensuing roundtable discussion allowing participants to give the Minister their views on the UK gas market. The conference will then move onto a broader level, assessing global supply and demand for gas and key European gas security of supply issues: Is Europe on the right track to meet its stated objective an effective European gas security of supply policy? Can the current architecture on which EU gas security of supply policy is built deliver the responses needed in order to meet the growing risks and changing realities facing EU gas security objectives? How might European institutions and regulation need to adapt and respond to these growing risks and changing realities? In addressing these questions, the conference is drawing on a series of workshops organised by The Clingendael International Energy Programme (CIEP), the Loyola de Palacio Chair (LdP) of the European University Institute, and the Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM). The workshops covered the topics in sessions 4-6 below. With support from: The Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC), Foreign and Commonwealth Office, and Centrica plc In partnership with

2 Monday 23 January Participants arrive and buffet lunch available 1500 Welcome and introduction Richard Burge Chief Executive, Wilton Park, Steyning UK gas supply and demand: perspectives on the next 20 years How strongly will gas feature in the future UK energy mix? What are EU and global perspectives on the UK gas market? Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS): what role might it play in power generation and how could that potential role affect UK gas demand? Is UK gas infrastructure adapted for future supply & demand chains? Rt Hon Charles Hendry MP Minister of State, Department of Energy and Climate Change Photograph and tea/coffee The global gas market and Europe How high will global demand for gas go? How vulnerable are key drivers of gas demand growth to disruption? Will supplies be able to match demand growth? Where will the key sources of increased gas supply come from, and how vulnerable are they to potential disruption? Will unconventional gas play a major role in meeting increased demand? What impact might major global gas market developments have on European security of supply? As the largest OECD European gas producing country, how critical is Norway s role in helping to ensure security of gas supply for EU member states, and how might that role evolve in the future? Chair: John Roberts Energy Security Specialist, Platts, London Dick Benschop President-Director, Shell Netherlands; and Vice-President Gas Market Development, Royal Dutch Shell, The Hague Anne-Sophie Corbeau Senior Gas Expert, Coal and Power Division, International Energy Agency, Paris Per Rune Henriksen State Secretary, Norwegian Ministry of Petroleum and Energy, Oslo Rashid Al-Marri General Manager, South Hook Gas, London 1915 Reception followed by dinner After dinner speaker: Sam Laidlaw Chief Executive, Centrica plc, Windsor

3 Tuesday 24 January Breakfast Security of supply in the EU context Tea/coffee break What are the constitutive elements of security of supply with regard to gas? To what extent are these constitutive elements perceived differently by national policymakers, EU officials, regulators, and the various segments of the energy industry? Chair: Friedbert Pflueger Professor and Director of the European Centre for Energy and Resource Security (EUCERS), Kings College London Jacques de Jong Senior Fellow, Clingendael International Energy Programme, The Hague The role of gas in the European energy system up to 2050 (long term vision) and relations with key suppliers Lunch What is the EU view on the place of gas in the EU energy mix up to 2050 and the role of gas in the energy system? How should Europe organise its relations with external gas suppliers, encompassing the four key regions/supplier countries: Middle East/North Africa (MENA), the Caspian, Russia, and Norway. What might a comprehensive, long-term EU strategy look like for securing its gas relations with these four regions/supplier countries in ways that provide win-win solutions? Chair: Friedbert Pflueger Director, European Centre for Energy and Resource Security (EUCERS), Kings College London Cristobal Burgos Alonso Adviser, Internal Energy Markets, EU Commission, Brussels Leonid Grigoriev Deputy Director General, Russian Energy Agency, Moscow John Baldwin Rgional Advisor for the Caspian Region, BP plc, London Market design: a realistic vision for the EU gas market in the context of the 2050 long term vision How does the EU need to design its gas market for the post 2020 period in order to be consistent with the objectives listed in session four regarding a long-term strategy on the role of gas in the energy system? How should regulatory frameworks deal with cross border infrastructure and storage, taking into account the increasing interactions between the gas and electricity systems? What could this mean for the integration of internal markets for electricity, gas and carbon? Are there further impacts on industry structure and business models for the different parts of the supply chain? Chair: Anita Orban Ambassador-at-Large for Energy Security, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Budapest

4 Tea/coffee break Torben Brabo Market Director, Energinet, Ballerup; and Member of the Board, European Network of Transmission System Operators for Gas (ENTSOG), Brussels Pamela Taylor Associate Partner, Ofgem, London Alan Riley Professor of Law, City Law School, City University, London The role of gas in the European energy system up to 2020 the short term vision The implementation of the Infrastructure Package and 3d Energy Package requires efficiency and coherence. Will the network codes and the Framework Guidelines to come from the new European bodies ENTSOG and ACER be able to provide this efficiency and coherence? How can comitology respond to the changing needs of market players up to 2020? Will upstream and downstream players find in this new market framework the right conditions for investment and securing of gas supply? Will the EU policy help provide an environment consistent with adequacy of gas investment? Chair: Jean-Michel Glachant Director, Florence School of Regulation, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence Graeme Steele European Policy & Interconnectors Manager, National Grid, London Colin Lyle Board Member and Gas Committee Chairman, European Federation of Energy Traders (EFET), Amsterdam 1900 Reception followed by dinner Wednesday 25 January Breakfast Conclusions and recommendations for securing Europe s gas supplies Chair: Robert Grant Programme Director, Wilton Park Joint presentation of a tentative set of conclusions and recommendations on European gas security of supply Jean-Michel Glachant Director, Florence School of Regulation, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Florence Jacques de Jong Senior Fellow, Clingendael International Energy Programme, The Hague Manfred Hafner Senior Fellow, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milan Speakers: Edmund Hosker Director, International, Europe and Energy Security, Department of Energy and Climate Change, London

5 Helmut Schmitt von Sydow Professor, University of Lausanne and European College, Parma Tea/coffee break Session 7 continued 1230 Lunch 1400 Participants depart