Presentation for GLOBAL INSIGHT LVIII Maquiladora Industry Outlook Meeting Tijuana B.C.

Transcription

1 Presentation for GLOBAL INSIGHT LVIII Maquiladora Industry Outlook Meeting Tijuana B.C. MAQUILADORA EMPLOYMENT INDICATORS FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA January 26 th, 2007 Juan B. Morales de la Garza MBA CCP Senior Partner RUIZ-MORALES Y ASOCIADOS Tel :( ) Fax: ( ) ruizmorales@prodigy.net.mx 1

2 Employment Indicators in Baja California Maquilas Employment Indicators Increased Hiring Levels Increase in Maquila Employment Average Headcounts Increased Turnover Rates / Labor Shortage? 2.

3 Hiring Comparative Not Hiring Increased Hiring Levels 3

4 Hiring Comparative Increased Hiring Levels Hiring to Replace 4

5 Hiring Comparative Increased Hiring Levels Hiring to Grow 5

6 Maquila Jobs Created Oct (National Maquila Employment Increased 2.8%) (BC Maquila Employment Increased 3.3%) Tijuana Maquila Employment Increased +4.6% (Oct 05-Oct. 06) 6

7 B.C. Maquila Jobs Lost 2006 vs 2000 X ( National Maquila Employment Decreased -10.1% vs Oct ) X ( BC Maquila Employment Decreased -13.3% vs Oct ) X (Tijuana Maquila Employment Decreased -11.8% vs Oct 2000) 7

8 B.C. Maquila Plants Lost 2006 vs 2000 = (A nivel Nacional el Número de Plantas de Maquilas Disminuyó un -23.1%) = (A Nivel Estatal el Número de Plantas de la Maquíla Disminuyó en un -28.0%) = (El Número de Plantas de la Maquíla de Tijuana Disminuyó en un -29.5% ) 8

9 Tijuana Hourly Direct Labor Costs in U.S. Dollars 9

10 Average Headcounts 2006 vs

11 Increased Monthly Turnover Rates by Month 11

12 Employee Turnover Varies by City and Growth Monthly Average: 9.7% Tecate 9.3% Tijuana 6.6% Ensenada 5.9% Mexicali 12

13 In an Ideal World (Low Growth Labor Market) If you lose 1 Employee Or if you want to add 1 Employee GROWTH CURRENT HEADCOUNT CURRENT HEADCOUNT Then you Hire 1 Employee 13

14 In the Real World (High Growth Labor Market) If you want to add 1 Employee to your Headcount 14

15 In the Real World (High Growth Labor Market) If you want to add 1 Employee to your Headcount GROWTH CURRENT HEADCOUNT Then you Hire 4 Employees (or More) 15

16 Tijuana Inflation in 2006 higher than National Inflation Inflación 2006 Nacional Tijuana Mexicali Mensual Acum Mensual Acum Mensual Acum Ene 0.59% 0.59% 1.14% 1.14% 1.07% 1.07% Feb 0.15% 0.74% 0.42% 1.57% 0.45% 1.53% Mar 0.13% 0.87% 0.82% 2.40% 0.11% 1.64% Abr 0.15% 1.01% 1.73% 4.18% 1.01% 2.67% May -0.45% 0.56% -0.37% 3.79% -7.06% -4.58% Jun 0.09% 0.65% 0.12% 3.92% -0.06% -4.64% Jul 0.27% 0.93% 0.30% 4.23% 0.14% -4.51% Ago 0.51% 1.44% 0.43% 4.68% 0.41% -4.12% Sept 1.01% 2.47% 0.55% 5.26% 0.79% -3.36% Oct 0.44% 2.91% -0.29% 4.95% -0.05% -3.41% Nov 0.52% 3.45% -0.39% 4.54% 6.88% 3.24% Dic 0.58% 4.05% 0.66% 5.23% 0.45% 3.70% 16

17 Mexicali Inflation in 2006 slightly lower than National Inflation, but Inflación 2006 Nacional Tijuana Mexicali Mensual Acum Mensual Acum Mensual Acum Ene 0.59% 0.59% 1.14% 1.14% 1.07% 1.07% Feb 0.15% 0.74% 0.42% 1.57% 0.45% 1.53% Mar 0.13% 0.87% 0.82% 2.40% 0.11% 1.64% Abr 0.15% 1.01% 1.73% 4.18% 1.01% 2.67% May -0.45% 0.56% -0.37% 3.79% -7.06% -4.58% Jun 0.09% 0.65% 0.12% 3.92% -0.06% -4.64% Jul 0.27% 0.93% 0.30% 4.23% 0.14% -4.51% Ago 0.51% 1.44% 0.43% 4.68% 0.41% -4.12% Sept 1.01% 2.47% 0.55% 5.26% 0.79% -3.36% Oct 0.44% 2.91% -0.29% 4.95% -0.05% -3.41% Nov 0.52% 3.45% -0.39% 4.54% 6.88% 3.24% Dic 0.58% 4.05% 0.66% 5.23% 0.45% 3.70% 17

18 Turnover - Rethink Hiring Profiles Typical Hiring Profile for Assembler Position: Age: 16 to 20 years. Sex: Fem ale Education: E lem entary S chool. Residency: 1 year m inim um living in the C ity. Experience: Previous Maquiladora Experience Required. P roxim ity: M ust live w ithin w alking distance of the P lant. DISCLAIMER: Hiring Practices must comply with Local Regulations. Crosstab First Job in Maquiladoras? Total Yes, it s my first Maquila Job No, I have worked in other Maquilas Count % within First Job in Maquiladoras? Count % within First Job in Maquiladoras? Count % within First Job in Maquiladoras? * Likely to Retain After 2 Years Yes No Total % 60.3% 100.0% % 61.0% 100.0% % 60.6% 100.0% 18

19 Leaner and Meaner Companies. Strategic Initiatives Outsourcing Trend Conclusions Main Challenges Companies Face: Competing not only in Labor Costs but in Total Costs Do the Right Things (Hire the right people and Treat them right). Strategic Direction: Finding Competitive Niche Clusters (Medical, Electronics, Aeronautical, Automotive, etc.) Rapid Response Quality Finding the Right Mix (Mexico & China). 19

20 THANK YOU! QUESTIONS? 20

21 Turnover - Rethink Hiring Profiles * Likely to Retain A fter 2 Y ears Typical Hiring Profile for Assembler Position: Age:? Better to go with Adults & Middle Age. Sex: Education: Elementary School. Residency:? Experience: Proximity: DISCLAIMER: Hiring Practices must comply with Local Regulations. Teenagers Node 1 No Y es Total (53.88) 215 Node 0 No Yes Total (100.00) A ge Clasification A d u lts ;Mid d le A g e,< mis s in g > Node 2 No Y es Total (46.12) 184 i95-less 1 year in Tijuana Less than 1 year Residency More than 1 year Residency <missing> Node 3 No Y es Total (16.54) 66 Node 4 No Y es Total (36.84) 147 Node 5 No Y es Total (0.50) 2 21

22 Turnover Treat People Right Likely to Retain A fter 2 Y ears Node 0 Yes No Total (100.00) 632 i79-81-i Feel Departments w ithin this Company Work Together to reach Objectives. No Node 1 Yes No Total (58.39) 369 Yes Node 2 Yes No Total (41.61) I Feel Confident going to the HR Department to Solve my Problems: i67-85-i Feel Confident going to the HR Department to Solve my Problems: Yes No Yes No Node 3 Yes No Total (19.46) 123 Node 4 Yes No Total (38.92) 246 Node 5 Yes No Total (24.37) 154 Node 6 Yes No Total (17.25) 109 i Our Supervisor listens to Suggestions to Improve our Work: Yes Node 7 Yes No Total (19.62) 124 No Node 8 Yes No Total (4.75) 30 22

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24 Source: National Baja Poblacion Tijuana INEGI Mayo 2006 Employment California Tijuana (INEGI y CONAPO) Mar ,191, , ,702 1,795,470 Empleo Mar ,279, , ,787 1,295,781 Empleo Difer Mar 2001 (87,967) (37,351) (26,085) 499,689 24