Climate Change and Transportation
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1 Climate Change and Transportation Impacts and Adaptation Options Climate Change Preparedness in New Jersey: Leading Practices and Policy Priorities May 22, 2013 John Posey, Ph.D.
2 Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are my own, and do not represent the National Climate Assessment or my employers.
3 Climate Impacts
4 Rising Temperatures Source: K. Kunkel et al., Regional Climate Trends and Scenarios for the National Climate Assessment, Part 9: Climate of the Contiguous United States. NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 142-9, 2013.
5 Rising Temperatures Source: K. Kunkel et al., Regional Climate Trends and Scenarios for the National Climate Assessment, Part 9: Climate of the Contiguous United States. NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 142-9, 2013.
6 Extreme Heat Source: K. Kunkel et al., Regional Climate Trends and Scenarios for the National Climate Assessment, Part 9: Climate of the Contiguous United States. NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 142-9, 2013.
7 Changing Precipitation Source: K. Kunkel et al., Regional Climate Trends and Scenarios for the National Climate Assessment, Part 9: Climate of the Contiguous United States. NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 142-9, 2013.
8 Changing Precipitation Source: K. Kunkel et al., Regional Climate Trends and Scenarios for the National Climate Assessment, Part 9: Climate of the Contiguous United States. NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 142-9, 2013.
9 Sea Level Rise...we use a physically plausible sea level model constrained by observations, and forced with four new Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) forcing scenarios...to project median sea level rises of 0.57m for the lowest forcing and 1.10m for the highest forcing by S. Jevrejeva et al., 2012, Sea level projections to AD2500 with a new generation of climate change scenarios. Global and Planetary Change 80-81,
10 Hurricanes The destructive energy of Atlantic hurricanes has increased in recent decades. The intensity of these storms is likely to increase in this century. Source: National Climate Assessment, 2009
11 Transportation Impacts
12 Rising Temperatures: Material Stress Bridge Expansion Joints Buckled Rails Source: Washington State Department of Transportation Source: Federal Transit Administration
13 Precipitation Changes Barge Traffic System Performance Road Closures Source: NCDOT National Weather Service
14 Sea Level Rise Source: NJTPA/Cambridge Systematics, Climate Change Vulnerability and Risk Assessment of New Jersey s Transportation Infrastructure.
15 Extreme Weather FTA USDOT
16 Positive and Indirect Effects Arctic shipping Great Lakes shipping Less snow (some places) Changing crop zones Greenhouse gas mitigation
17 Adaptation
18 Material Stress Street Trees Transportation Asset Management Source: MilliontreesNYC Source: Federal Highways Administration
19 Changing Precipitation Green Infrastructure Intelligent Transportation Systems Ritter, Ohio Public Library City of Raleigh, North Carolina
20 Changing Precipitation Levee Repair Community Rating System State of California
21 Sea Level Rise/Extreme Weather Flood Gates Bridge Elevation Source: Tina Hodges, Flooded Bus Barns and Buckled Rails, FTA Source: Confederation Bridge, NB/PEI
22 Sea Level Rise/Extreme Weather Retreat/Abandonment Evacuation Planning Source: James Titus, risingsea.net Federal Highways Administration
23 Extreme Weather Ventilation Grate Elevation Source: Tina Hodges, Flooded Bus Barns and Bucked Rails, FTA Source: Projjal Dutta, FTA
24 Concluding Thoughts High uncertainty Need for Robust Decision Making Green vs. gray infrastructure: Room for both. Many challenges not new Many adaptation tools already in use.
25 Climate Change and Transportation Impacts and Adaptation Options Climate Change Preparedness in New Jersey: Leading Practices and Policy Priorities May 22, 2013 John Posey, Ph.D.
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