Vulnerabilidad y Adaptación a los Extremos Climáticos en las Américas

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1 Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Extremes in the Americas (VACEA) Vulnerabilidad y Adaptación a los Extremos Climáticos en las Américas Principal Ivestigators: Los investigadores principales Dr. Dave Sauchyn, University of Regina, Canada Dr. Fernando Santibañez, Universidad de Chile, Ssntiago

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3 International Research Initiative on Adaptation to Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Extremes in the Climate Change (IRIACC) Americas (VACEA) Principle investigators: Dr. D. Sauchyn, Canada and Dr. F. Santibañez, Chile support activities in Canada and low and middle income countries $12.5 million for up to five research projects IDRC funding (50%) will be directed to the low and middle income team members. the Tri-Council funding (50%) enabling the participation of Canadian team members

4 VACEA - Objective The overall objective is to improve the understanding of the vulnerability of rural agricultural and indigenous communities to shifts in climate variability and to the frequency and intensity of extreme climate events, and to engage governance institutions in Canada, Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Colombia in enhancing their adaptive capacity to reduce rural community vulnerability.

5 Research themes, related projects and key questions 1. The characteristics and drivers of regional hydroclimatic variability and extreme events, and shifts in the frequency and intensity of inter-annual variability and extremes as a consequence of global climate change; 2. The past, current and future vulnerabilities of rural agricultural and indigenous populations to climate hazards and related stressors; 3. The impacts of climate variability and extremes on agricultural productivity and environmental services that support rural communities; and 4. The adaptive management practices and governance policies that improve adaptive capacity and reduce climate-related risk

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8 Innovative features in relation to science and knowledge gaps Whereas most assessments of climate change impacts and vulnerability rely on scenarios of shifts or trends in average climate, our focus is the dominant climate hazards at local and regional scales: climate variability and extreme events. Another focus is the climate sensitivity of agricultural productivity and environmental services, which is a major determinant of the vulnerability of rural communities The VACEA project is a comparative assessment of adaptive practices and adaptation options in six river basins in five countries. We will consider the influence of governance institutions and pubic policies on the vulnerability of rural people and their capacity to mediate risk and optimize opportunity.. We will develop consistent methodologies for 1) the vulnerability assessment of rural communities, 2) probabilistic analysis of climate extremes, and 3) climate impact modeling. An integrated risk assessment (probabilities and consequences) based on indicators of exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity.

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10 Research Sites (Watersheds)

11 Research Sites (Watersheds) Rural agricultural communities characterized by economic activities that are sensitive to climate variability and extreme events. Indigenous populations include the Kainai First Nation (Canada), the Guaranies (Brazil) and Diaguitas (Chile). Four of the six rivers (Chinchiná, Mendoza, Choapa, Oldman) are fed by snowmelt and rainfall runoff from mountainous headwaters. Droughts and floods are serious climate hazards in these basins. The Araranguá River basin in southern Brazil has been recently repeatedly devastated by tropical storms, rarely experienced in the region prior to In Canada, Swift Current Creek sheds runoff from a prairie landscape where dryland agriculture is dependent on spring and summer rain, while the Oldman River heads in the Rocky Mountains and is used primarily for irrigation. Thus there are sufficient similarities and contrasts among the chosen river basins to enable a multi-national comparative study of the human and environmental dimensions of the impacts and adaptive responses to short-term climate variability and extreme events.

12 What results do you expect to see emerge in relation to advancing the current state of knowledge and informing policies or practices? new knowledge of regional climate variability and extremes and the impacts on rural livelihoods, ecological services and agriculture, and on existing sensitivities and adaptive capacity; informing practices and policies that facilitate adaptation processes that manage risks and opportunities, and guide local and regional decision-making; establish networks that enhance the adaptive capacity of governments, industry and civil society; improve governments capacities to reduce the vulnerabilities of rural agricultural and indigenous communities; indicators of vulnerability and indices of risk that can be used by communities and governance institutions to better prepare for future change and uncertainty; training programs on climate change, vulnerability, and adaptive capacity; a next generation of social and natural scientists will skills in interdisciplinary and applied research

13 Los investigadores del proyecto

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