Saskatchewan Flood & Natural Hazard Risk Assessment: Introduction to Stakeholder Workshops

Transcription

1 Saskatchewan Flood & Natural Hazard Risk Assessment: Introduction to Workshops Darrell R. Corkal, P.Eng. 1 Saskatchewan Flood and Natural Hazard Risk Assessment Workshop 1 Walker Projects, Inc. / h2adapt inc. May 2017 SRC Pub No D17

2 Saskatchewan Flood & Natural Hazard Risk Assessment A social and natural science project funded by: Saskatchewan Ministry of Government Relations Government of Canada: National Disaster Mitigation Program To better understand Saskatchewan s: Exposure to Natural Hazards (e.g. Fires, Floods, Drought, Other) Range of severity and variability (Intensity, Frequency, Duration) Geographic distribution Natural Hazard Impacts to People, Places, Economic activities, Industry, Environment Current mitigation measures and practices Risk and changing risk factors (historic and future) Concepts for improved mitigation to: reduce risk & vulnerability for current and future exposure improve disaster preparedness & response strengthen capacity & increase resilience Outcome: Classify/Rate Saskatchewan s natural hazard risks

3 Floods Provincial Disaster Assistance Program (Sask) $335 million expended from local states of emergencies declared Source: Prov. Auditor, Saskatchewan, 2015 Report Vol.1, Table 5 Emergency%20Preparedness.pdf 1.8-million Canadian households are in flood-prone areas, and most of them do not know it. L. Perreaux, May12,2017 Globe & Mail WSA, 2014; Yorkton Cr

4 Wildfires Forests / grass fires La Ronge Forest Fires June 2015 >10,000 people evacuated ~1.7 million hectares of forest burned Gov of Sask, 2015

5 Drought Dust Storm Lomond; PFRA 1920s-30s drought impacted people and environment Drought was more extensive across Canada $5.8 B drop in Can. GDP $3.6 B drop Can. ag prod. 1.6 B drop Sask ag prod. 41,000 Can. jobs lost SRC/PFRA: Lessons Learned from Cdn Drought Drought, inc. multi-year Grey: Natural characteristic Black: years historic record Sauchyn, D. 2016, VACEA, IACC

6 Other Hazards Hail Slumping/landslide Tornado/ wind Ice/snow Insects Disease Earthquake Other Kawacatoose First Nation Tornado, Mar 7, 2011 Gov. of Saskatchewan

7 Workshops Your Knowledge is key Natural hazard risks to you/ your area of interest Current Mitigation Practices insights for Concepts for future risk from natural disasters Improving capacity and resilience to natural disasters

8 Insights (Natural Hazards) - an example of breakout activities Impacts Risks Identify geographic areas For HISTORIC IMPACTS For CURRENT MITIGATION For FUTURE SCENARIOS For FUTURE MITIGATION STAKEHOLDER KNOWLEDGE Impact identified by s Human Health Economic Infrastructure Homes Recreation Community Industry Institutional Severity of Impact Low Medium High Footer text her

9 Today s Session is to gather Expertise Historic Hazards Fires Floods/Excessive Wet Conditions Drought/Excessive Water Scarcity discussions Breakout Groups Plenary Future Scenarios Changing Risk Breakout Groups Plenary Data Summary Adjournment Step 5 Review Input Step 4 Future Risk Step 1 Historic Hazards Step 3 Future Scenarios Step 2 Insights

10 Why are we doing this? Hazard Risk Assessments help us understand and manage risk knowledge is critical Step 5 Review Input Step 1 Historic Hazards Step 2 Historic Hazards Your contributions will help shape future mitigation/adaptation planning Step 4 Future Risk Step 3 Future Scenarios Corkal, 2017

11 References Prov. Auditor, Saskatchewan, 2015 Report Vol.1, Table 5; Emergency%20Preparedness.pdf Les Perreaux, May 12, 2017, The Globe and Mail, Quebec floods recede but competing demands fill prevention debate. M. Johnston, June, wildfires areal burn, evacuees, Pers. Comm. Corkal, D.R, H. Diaz & D. Sauchyn, 2011: Changing Roles in Canadian Water Management: A Case Study of Agriculture and Water in Canada s South Saskatchewan River Basin. Int. J. of Water Resources Dev., 27:4, , E. et al., Lessons Learned from the Canadian Drought Years of 2001 and 2001: Synthesis Report for AAFC. Sauchyn, D. and F. Santiañez, Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Extremes in the Americas, IDRC. Diaz, H. et al, Institutional Adaptations to Climate Change Project, Integration Report, University of Regina. Corkal, D., Strengthening Regional and Agricultural Economic Security to Address Extreme Climate: Floods, Droughts and Storms, Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Extremes in the Americas, Cypress Hills workshop report, University of Regina. Government of Saskatchewan, various photos. AAFC- Prairie Farm Rehabilitation Administration, dust storm photo n.d. Corkal, D Hazard Risk Assessment photo