Wood products global markets, development, trends

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1 Estonian Forest and Wood Industries Association Summer seminar, Tallinn, 13 June 2012 Wood products global markets, development, trends Filip De Jaeger, Secretary General CEI-Bois - European Confederation of Woodworking Industries aisbl

2 CEI-Bois European Trade Association of the wood products and furniture sector Founded in Paris in 1952 Registered in Belgium as an international not for profit organisation (aisbl) Registered with European Commission (registration number ), European Parliament and EESC

3 Members National federations Sub-sector federations EOS/OES: Sawmilling EPF: Particleboard, MDF and OSB FEFPEB: Wooden packaging and pallets FEIC: Plywood FEP: Parquet FEROPA: Fibreboard WEI/IEO: Wood preservation

4 National federations AT: Organisation Fachverband der Holzindustrie Österreichs BE: Fedustria CH: Lignum / Holzwirtschaft Schweiz DE: HDH DK: Traeets Arbejdsgiverforening - Dansk Industri FI: Finnish Forest Industries Federation FR: Union des Industries du Bois UIB, Fédération Nationale du Bois (FNB) IT: Federlegno-Arredo NL: VVNH, Nederlandse Bond van Timmerfabrikanten PT: AIMMP SE: Swedish Federation of Wood and Furniture Industry (TMF), Swedish Forest Industries Federation (Skogsindustrierna) UK: Timber Trade Federation (TTF), ConFor (Confederation of Forest Industries) SI: GZS CCIS-Wood Processing and Furniture Association NO: Trelastindustriens Landsforening Confemadera HU: FAGOSZ - Hungarian Federation of Forestry and Wood Industries LV: Latvian Forest Industry Federation EE: Estonian Forest and Wood Industries Association

5 A reliable partner at the crossroads of European policy making European Council European Commission CEI-Bois and member federations European Parliament Exchange of views and information Critical evaluation and commenting Fact-based positions and policy proposals Co-operation with other forest-based sector organisations EESC and other institutions

6 CEI-Bois focus Secure and strenghten the competitiveness of the woodworking industries Stress the role of wood and wood-based products in sustainable development Further the use of wood in construction and interior applications

7 The EU woodworking and furniture industries Economic 201 billion/year 365,000 companies Mainly SME Social 2.4 million workers Strong in rural areas, Major contributor to rural development Environmental Sustainable raw material supply Wood = only naturally renewable material Growing forest area and growing stock in Europe Low energy consumption

8

9 Turnover developments in the two main subsectors Wood products Furniture

10 Growth rates in the woodworking sector

11 Woodworking in EU Member States

12 Extra-Eu imports NACE code /06 10/ ,5% 20,9% ,0% 17,1% 16, ,0% 22,6% 16, ,9% 21,4% 16, ,9% 13,6% 16, ,7% -8,4% 16, ,7% 14,5% Subtotal ,3% 18,6% ,9% 21,4% Total ,0% 20,2%

13 Extra-Eu imports

14 Extra-Eu imports: origin

15 Extra-Eu exports NACE code /06 10/ ,7% 27,5% ,7% 14,9% 16, ,5% 16,4% 16, ,2% 12,9% 16, ,0% 15,9% 16, ,7% 8,9% 16, ,2% 12,0% Subtotal ,6% 19,7% ,3% 11,0% Total ,0% 15,0%

16 Extra-Eu exports

17 Extra-Eu imports: destination

18 Distribution of turnover

19 Wood Products Global Markets developments & trends

20 World shaped by political boundaries

21 World shaped by population Source: Worldmapper, 2009

22 As shaped by forest products production Sources: Worldmapper & FAOStat, 2009

23 Shaped by wood and paper consumption Sources: Worldmapper & FAOStat, 2009

24 As shaped by forest products exports Sources: Worldmapper & FAOStat, 2009

25 As shaped by forest products imports Sources: Worldmapper & FAOStat, 2009

26 Comments The forest products markets are undergoing fundamental changes Formerly net exporters became net importers (USA) Exporting countries building domestic consumption But as evidenced by these maps, the world is far from equality Unequal distribution of resources (forest and financial) and populations ensures inequality and trade Changes happening fast, with big impacts

27 Structural change in forest sector 4 underlying reasons Downturn in demand forcing rationalization of production capacity Globalization of forest products markets, e.g. China s rise as a major provider of forest products in the global markets Climate change policies: escalation of wood energy production, consumption and trade International control of origins of wood to ensure sustainable and legal production.

28 Recent developments in key wood sectors

29 Sawmilling (EOS): Softwood Sawn Softwood Consumption Sawn Softwood Production

30 Sawmilling (EOS): Hardwood Sawn Hardwood Consumption Sawn Hardwood Production

31 Wood-based panels (EPF)

32 Wood-based panels (EPF)

33 Plywood production (FEIC) Plywood production in FEIC member countries x 1,000 m³

34 Plywood consmption in EU

35 Market situation for parquet: Production

36 Market situation for parquet: Consumption

37 Pellets (Aebiom)

38 Conclusions Woodworking and furniture sector have still not fully recovered from the crisis Subdued expectations for 2012 No immediate strong recovery expected (impact of construction activity, financial crisis, consumer confidence, ) High raw material and energy costs

39 EU economic sentiment indicator

40 Industrial confidence indicator

41 Construction confidence indicator

42 Sector is confident about the future Policy providing opportunities Role of wood construction in meeting greenhouse gas reduction targets (Roadmap 2050) EU policies on raw materials Accounting for carbon storage and substitution effects under Lulucf

43 Issues to be solved/managed Implementation of EUTR (European Union Timber Regulation) Trade issues Russian export duties / WTO accession Tariff and non-tariff barriers for EU products in third countries Roundwood exports to China

44 CEI-Bois Rue Montoyer 24 B-1000 Bruxelles

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