JASPERS Workshop October 2014

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1 ADAPTACLIMA-EPAL JASPERS Workshop October 2014 Ana Luís

2 AGENDA 1. EPAL A BRIEF INTRODUCTION 2. THE ADAPTACLIMA-EPAL PROJECT 3. GUIDING QUESTIONS FOR DISCUSSION

3 AGENDA 1. EPAL A BRIEF INTRODUCTION 2. THE ADAPTACLIMA-EPAL PROJECT 3. GUIDING QUESTIONS FOR DISCUSSION

4 THE WATER SUPPLY SYSTEM 2,9 Million people 146 years old (1868) 2 Water Treatment Plants 710 km Trunk Mains 25 Chlorination Points 41 Pumping Stations 42 Water tanks Asseiceira WTP CASTELO DO BODE OTA Vale da Pedra WTP ALENQUER VALADA TEJO LEZÍRIAS

5 AGENDA 1. EPAL A BRIEF INTRODUCTION 2. THE ADAPTACLIMA-EPAL PROJECT 3. GUIDING QUESTIONS FOR DISCUSSION

6 AIM AND OBJECTIVES WHY? One of the most vulnerable sectors to climate changes in Southern Europe countries are water resources (IPCC, 2007); EPAL s mission is to manage the urban water cycle in a sustainable way. AIM ADAPTACLIMA-EPAL Adapting urban water cycle to climate change scenarios aimed at providing the company with a strategy to adapt to climate changes in the medium and long term, allowing planning and implementation of actions to reduce vulnerability of company activities to climate change. Anticipate impacts on design and operation of the water supply system; Ensure overall resilience to climate change; Secure confidence and trust from customers, shareholder and regulator.

THE OUTSET: PROJECT TEAM GAC - EPAL RESEARCHERS In order to allow knowledge generation

7 THE OUTSET: PROJECT TEAM GAC - EPAL RESEARCHERS In order to allow knowledge generation and to raise awareness about climate change issues within the company, the Board of EPAL appointed an internal work group, GAC. GAC assured the coordination of several climate change studies, namely Adaptaclima and PREPARED Enabling Change. The knowledge generated enabled EPAL to perform a consultancy for EIB regarding TOR preparation for Seychelles Water. Scientific coordination of the project was led by CCIAM (Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation and Mitigation Research Group) from Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon. Due to its multidisciplinary character, the project also involved teams from other universities.

THE OUTSET: TERMS OF REFERENCE Clause nº 4 Deadline ( ) 30 months

data to FCUL; b) to edit a book with the conclusions of the

deadlines set for each task, according to Appendix I; Clause nº 15

8 THE OUTSET: TERMS OF REFERENCE Clause nº 4 Deadline ( ) 30 months Clause nº 5 Main obligations of EPAL a) to provide all the relevant data to FCUL; b) to edit a book with the conclusions of the project; c) to create a link between EPAL s website and the website of the project. Clause nº 6 Main obligations of FCUL a) to comply with all the deadlines set for each task, according to Appendix I; Clause nº 15 Transfer of ownership 1. ( ) 2. In the end of the project, the ownership of all those data and documents shall be transferred to EPAL.

METHODOLOGY HadCM3 - Hadley Center (A2 / B2) GLOBAL

(climatic drivers) IMPACTS AND VULNERABILITIES

Selection of measures GLOBAL SOCIOECONOMIC SCENARIOS

9 METHODOLOGY HadCM3 - Hadley Center (A2 / B2) GLOBAL CLIMATE SCENARIOS (IPCC) DOWNSCALED CLIMATE SCENARIOS (climatic drivers) IMPACTS AND VULNERABILITIES Superficial and underground water sources ADAPTATION Selection of measures GLOBAL SOCIOECONOMIC SCENARIOS (SRES, IPCC) DOWNSCALED SOCIOECONOMIC SCENARIOS (non-climatic drivers)

10 ACTUAL AND FUTURE VULNERABILITY VULNERABILITY VULNERABILITY

11 STAKEHOLDERS CONSULTATION Basin level Municipalities Reservoir level Research and associations Holding - AdP National Health Authority - DGS Portuguese Environmental Agency - APA Water regulator - ERSAR Simtejo CM Lisbon SMAS Sintra SMAS Oeiras e Amadora A. Cascais Electrical utility - EDP Portuguese Water Resources Association - APRH National Laboratory of Civil Engineering - LNEC National Strategy of Adaptation to Climate Change - ENAAC Civil Protection - SNPC Nature and Forest Conservation Institute - ICNF All stakeholders considered that the project was both innovative and relevant to their activities. Existing or planned measures implemented by the stakeholders were identified. It was agreed that EPAL would send a questionnaire to each of these stakeholders (strong feedback from the Holding and from the Regulator). Meeting with EDP gave rise to a second one, where an agreement was made regarding the elaboration of a protocol safeguarding the joint management of the reservoir in case of droughts.

ADAPTATION OPTIONS - IDENTIFICATION A MEASURES TO ALTER WATER SUPPLY B MEASURES TO ALTER WATER DEMAND C D MEASURES TO REINFORCE PROCESSESS AND INTERNAL COMPETENCES MEASURES

Alternative water sources A2. Alternative abstraction structures in C. Bode A3. Enlargement of storage capacity A4. Reinforcement of sub-systems interconnections A5.

12 ADAPTATION OPTIONS - IDENTIFICATION A MEASURES TO ALTER WATER SUPPLY B MEASURES TO ALTER WATER DEMAND C D MEASURES TO REINFORCE PROCESSESS AND INTERNAL COMPETENCES MEASURES TO CHANGE INSTITUTIONAL RELATION WITH OTHER STAKEHOLDERS E MEASURES TO GUARANTEE WATER QUALITY F MEASURES TO GUARANTEE INTAKE AND OTHER INFRASTRUCURES INTEGRITY A1. Alternative water sources A2. Alternative abstraction structures in C. Bode A3. Enlargement of storage capacity A4. Reinforcement of sub-systems interconnections A5. Dredging in Tagus river bed A6. Enlargement or construction of new spurs B1. Sensibilization campaigns B2. Promoting actions for the efficient use of water B3. Restrictions in the use of water ( )

ADAPTATION OPTIONS - SELECTION 3 groups C.

30 min each / 2 measures 1 moderator + 1 speaker / group Free

000 to 1M ] : [1M to 5M ] : [> 5M ] Extra Group3 : [ 1 ano] :

multiple stakeholders : Benefits only if CC scenarios become real

13 ADAPTATION OPTIONS - SELECTION 3 groups C. Bode, Valada-Tejo, underground sources, whole system 4 rounds / 30 min each / 2 measures 1 moderator + 1 speaker / group Free methodology : [< ] : [ to 1M ] : [1M to 5M ] : [> 5M ] Extra Group3 : [ 1 ano] : [1-5 anos] : [ 5 anos] : EPAL : EPAL + 1 stakeholder : EPAL + multiple stakeholders : Benefits only if CC scenarios become real : Benefits even if CC scenarios don t turn real : Benefits even if CC scenarios don t become real and Co-benefits for other sectors

F E D C B A ADAPTATION OPTIONS - PRIORITIZATION Curto prazo A4.1 Systems interconnections D1.1 Protocol C. Bode E4.1 WTP requalification Médio prazo A1.1 A2.1 C. Bode Dam bottom discharge A2.2 B2.

14 F E D C B A ADAPTATION OPTIONS - PRIORITIZATION Curto prazo A4.1 Systems interconnections D1.1 Protocol C. Bode E4.1 WTP requalification Médio prazo A1.1 A2.1 C. Bode Dam bottom discharge A2.2 B2.4 B2.6 Water losses reduction D1.2 Shared solutions D1.3 E1.1 E1.2 Intakes protection zones Longo prazo A1.4 Desalination plant in Lisbon New spur in Tagus river A6.1 A.Extra Water import via maritime vessels B1.1 B.Extra Reduce pressure at peak hours C1.1 C3.1 C4.1 C.Extra Forecast models based on CCindicators I&D E.Extra New wells Consideration of CC impacts in the design of assets F3.1? climate change indicators

KEY CHALLENGES AND MAIN INSIGHTS! Making researchers and EPAL experts work together.! Designing the adaptation plan rigid or flexible? CC indicators.

15 KEY CHALLENGES AND MAIN INSIGHTS! Making researchers and EPAL experts work together.! Designing the adaptation plan rigid or flexible? CC indicators.! Accepting uncertainty may be too high for some impacts to be modelled.! Engaging stakeholders beyond Adaptaclima. Adaptaclima is a valuable input to long-term planning at EPAL (strategic risk management), allowing a better scheduling and allocation of resources. Climate change knowledge is now internalized at EPAL (including data for modelling). The territorial scale of Adaptaclima enables the creation of synergies with other stakeholders (knowledge and implementation of measures). Adaptaclima is a successful example of collaboration between industry and research.

16 It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the one that is the most ADAPTABLE to change. Charles Darwin

17 AGENDA 1. EPAL A BRIEF INTRODUCTION 2. THE ADAPTACLIMA-EPAL PROJECT 3. GUIDING QUESTIONS FOR DISCUSSION

18 GUIDING QUESTIONS 1) What kind of national/regional climate change model is available in your country? Do you need to wait for a state-of-the-art model before initiating actions? How could you develop adaptation and resilience projects with an outdated forecasting model? 2) How is the adaptation challenge integrated in proper engineering in your country? Are adaptation works considered separately or integrated in general upgrading works? To what extend are national design standards amended to cover climate change? If not, any Plan B for developing adaptation projects resilient to climate change? 3) How dependent is the success of an adaptation project from stakeholder consultations? How can you identify relevant stakeholders and what are the means to reach out to them? Any fall-back options for adaptation projects in case their feed-back is limited? 4) With regard to a critical challenge/difficulty observed by EPAL - how can there be a Plan B for dealing and overcoming this key challenge? How can the next promoter learn from the insights and experiences gained by EPAL?

Massimo Marra JASPERS Networking Platform Senior Officer ph: +352

19 19 For info or further questions on this presentation, or on the activities of the JASPERS Networking Platform please contact: Massimo Marra JASPERS Networking Platform Senior Officer ph:

HYDROPREDICT 2012 Vienna, 25th September 2012

HYDROPREDICT 2012 Vienna, 25th September 2012 Developing an Adaptation Strategy to Climate Change: the example of a Portuguese water supply company Nuno Grosso, David Avelar, Tiago Lourenço, Rita Jacinto, Maria João Cruz cciam.adaptaclima@fis.siam.ul.pt