AStrategicMarketOutlookforMedium-and-Large StainlessandDuplex(SAW)Pipesoutto2030

Transcription

1 AStrategicMarketOutlookforMedium-and-Large StainlessandDuplex(SAW)Pipesoutto2030 Inwhichregional markets willstainlessandduplexweldedpipesberequiredandinwhatquantities? Willtherebeenoughproduction capacity availabletomeetthemostlikelylong-termdemandscenarios? Whatareplant-by-plant capacity, production and share of duplex intotaloutputrates? This timely and ground-breaking report harnesses MBR s unique status as the world s foremost specialist in global analysis of the steel tube and pipe markets. Murat Balapanov, General Director, Caspian Pipe Industries NEW for2010

2 AStrategicMarketOutlookforMedium-and-Large StainlessandDuplex(SAW)Pipesoutto2030 Why is this study unique? MetalBulletinresearchpresentsabrandnewstudy, A Strategic Market Outlook for Medium-and-Large Stainless and Duplex (SAW) Pipes out to 2030, whichaimstoprovideclarityanddirectionata pivotaltimeforthestainlessandduplexstainless weldedpipesmarkets.thesearegenerallyrequired whenfluidsneedtobetransportedinsevere conditions atlowtemperatures,athighpressures,or incorrosiveenvironments. Theirusehasbecomecommonintheconstruction andoperationsofliquefiednaturalgasprojects, naturalgaspipelines,gastreatmentplantsandnuclear powerplants. NEW for2010 Withthenumberofenergy-relatedinfrastructure projectsassuredtoincreaseonaggregateworldwidein comingyears,metalbulletinresearchisforecasting a strong growth in demand, particularly for large and medium-diameter stainless and duplex stainless welded pipes (LMSS).Theglobaleconomiccrisiscan slowdowninvestmentprojectsintheenergysector onlyforaveryshortperiod. DemandforLMSSweldedpipeswillnotincrease uniformlyinallmarkets,however,neitherwillitarise forthemostpartclosetothecurrentcentresof productionineuropeandmatureasianeconomies. InthisstudyMetalBulletinresearchexaminespreciselywherelargeandmediumdiameterstainlessandduplexstainlessweldedpipeswillberequiredandinwhat quantitiesgoingoutto2030onaregionalbasis. MBr sastrategicmarketoutlookformedium-and- LargeStainlessandDuplex(SAW)Pipesoutto2030 isofstrategicimportanceto: Senior managers of steel tube and pipe makers; Suppliers of raw materials, equipment and services; Financial analysts; Legal advisers and international trade exports; Consultants Government departments; Energy/oil/gas producers; Engineering contractors; Any business for which international steel tube and pipe is important.

3 Whyisthisstudyessentialreading? A Strategic Market Outlook for Medium-and-Large Stainless and Duplex (SAW) Pipes out to 2030 offersexpertanalysis,marketforecasting,andindependentguidancetotheindustryin evaluatingthecurrentandprospectiverequirementsforstainlessandduplexsteelwelded(saw)pipes intheodrange8.5/8-48,medium-heavywallthickness(wt7.11mm-40mm)manufactured mostlyfromsteelplates. Thestudydoessobyanalysingindetailtheprospectsforgrowthinanumberofenergy-relatedand industrialsectors theend-useareasthatwillconsumethelion sshareoflmssweldedpipeinthe future.thisstudyalsoexaminesspecificitiesofsomeofthenationalmarketswherelmsswelded pipedemandwillgrowmostquicklyincomingyears. Asia Pacific Country LNG Marine Terminals Yingkou Pyeongtuek Dalian Incheon Quinhuangdao Tangshan Tianjin Province INDIAN OCEAN Port Qasim Pakistan Marshall LNG Project, Port Qasim Port of Mundra Kandia Port, Gulf of Kutch, State of Gujarat Pakistan Ratnagiri Mangalore Kochi (Cochin) Legend LNG Marine Terminals Liquefaction Facility Status Existing Proposed UnderConstruction Regasification Facility Status Existing Proposed UnderConstruction Dahej, State of Gujarat + expansion India Hazira, State of Gujarat Tuticorin Paradip Sri-Lanka India offshore Northwestern Myanmar Eunore Kerawalapitiya Southeast region Myanmar Jurong Island China Thailand Map Ta Phut Port Malaysia Singapore Quigdao Rishao Lianyungang Yancheng Hainun Island Brunei Malaysia Ningbo EAST CHINA SEA Philipines South Korea Shanghai LNG Thongximentang Island Zhejiang LNG Zhejiang-Wenzhou LNG Fujian LNG + expansion Taichung Guangxi Province Kudong Kaohaiung, Yungan Shantou Quang Zhuhai Dapeng Bay, Guangdong Province Hainan Mariveles, Bataan Province Northwest of Palawan Island Malaysia LNG MLNG Dua + expansion MLNG Tiga Batangas Brunei LNG (Lumut) + expansion Tougyeomg + expansion Cwungyang (Kwungyang) + expansion Yeosu PACIFIC OCEAN Source:MetalBulletinresearch

4 Thestudyincludesthefollowingmarketinformation: AfullbreakdownofcurrentLMSSweldedpipe capacity,%duplexrates,andproductionspecification ratesworldwide; By-plantandmajor-countryanalysisofLMSScapacity, production(2008)andutilisationrates,including Outokumpu,Butting,Erndtebrucker,InoxTechetc; regionaldemandoutlook(involumeterms)forlmss weldedpipeoutto2030forkeyregionsincluding Europe,AsiaandAmericas,India,MiddleEast,Africa andoceania; DetailedanalysisofLMSSOD:8-48 endapplicationmarketsfor2008; Detailedby-regionalperspectivesforglobalnaturalgas productionandlng;off-shoreoilproduction,refinery andpetrochemical,desalinationwaterplants,and nuclearpowergenerationoutto2030; regionalmarketsizeinformationformedium-sized stainlesstubesod8-14splitbyplate/coilandlargesizedtubesover14 ; AnalysisofsizedistributionofLMSSPipewith OD>8 ;steelgradestructureoflmsspipe; Detailsofplannedcapacityadditions. World interregional natural gas trade by the IEA reference scenario Bcm Pipelines LNG Share of LNG Source:MetalBulletinresearch Size distribution of LMSS Pipe with OD>8 25% 7% 3% 35% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% % LNG Withanalysisandprojectionsinvaluabletoconsumers, producers,traders,investorsandfinancialinstitutionsthe Strategic Market Outlook for Medium-and-Large Stainless and Duplex (SAW) Pipes out to 2030 studyis anessentialtoolforcorporateplanningbydecision makersacrosstheindustryoverthecomingdecade. 8 <14 35% 8 <14 30% 8 <14 25% Source:MetalBulletinresearch 30% 8 <14 7% 8 <14 3%

5 Contents 1 Introduction 1.1 Study market areas 2 Middle East & North Africa (MENA) energy prospects 2.1 Overview and MENA context Worldcontext MENAcontext 2.2 MENA energy and desalinated water demand Naturalgas Off-shoreoilproductionandsourgas refiningcapacity Chemicalandpetrochemicalplants Waterdesalination PipelineprojectsinMiddleEastandAfrica 3 India energy prospects 3.1 India energy sector Energypolicychallenges 3.2 Energy demand projection in the reference scenario 3.3 Energy supply projections in the reference scenario Oilproduction Oilrefiningandpetrochemicals Naturalgassupply NaturalgasimportsandLNGplants Powergeneration Investments(estimatedbyInternational EnergyAgency) 4 Central Africa, South Africa, Australia 4.1 Nigeria Naturalgasproduction LNG Oilproduction refineries 4.2 Angola Naturalgasproduction LNG 4.3 Oil production 4.4 Refineries 4.5 South Africa 4.6 Australia 4.7 Cost positioning 5 World market of welded stainless and duplex pipes 5.1 Overall world market of welded stainless and duplex steel pipes 5.2 Market segments and large diameter pipes market share 6 Market for LMSS welded with diameter over Market size by region 6.2 Large and medium size stainless and duplex steel pipes characteristics 6.3 LMSS welded pipes: historical demand and outlook to 2012 and to Producers 8 Definitions and acronyms 9 References Order now see over for details

6 A Strategic Market Outlook for Medium-and-Large Stainless and Duplex (SAW) Pipes out to 2030 PLEASE SELECT: UK 4995 US$ Order before May and get a 10% discount. Call +44 (0) MBR0047 Study published february 2010 Other relevant Metal Bulletin Research publications include: :: Welded Steel Tube and Pipe Monthly :: Seamless Steel Tube and Pipe Monthly :: The five Year Outlook for the Large-diameter Linepipe Market :: A New Era for the Middle East & North African Steel Industry: five Year Outlook :: North American Steel Markets :: The New China Effect: China s Steel & raw Materials Industries & their Global Impact :: The Indian Steel Industry: Market Projections & Company Strategies out to 2015 :: Steel raw Materials: Weekly Market Tracker :: Steel: Weekly Market Tracker :: Global Steel Cost Service :: Energy Outlook and Market Perspectives for Steel Seamless Pipes in the Middle East and North Africa :: The five Year Outlook for the Global OCTG Market