The Computer Systems Design and Related Services Industry

Transcription

1 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook The Services Industry The Services Industry comprises establishments that are primarily engaged providg expertise formation technologies through one or more activities, such as writg, modifyg, testg and supportg software to meet the needs of a particular customer, cludg custom video design and development and Internet webpage development; planng and designg computer systems that tegrate hardware, software and communication technologies; on site management and operation of clients' computer and data processg facilities; providg advice the field of formation technologies; and other professional activities. 15 of the 31 EGTT occupations have employment forecast the Services Industry 1. Of those, all are represented the Lower Maland, only 1 is represented the North; 3 Southeastern BC; and 4 the Vancouver Island Coast region. Role of Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists and Technicians the BC Economy Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists and Technicians are practitioners who apply scientific theory and engeerg prciples to solve problems and execute discrete but related tasks many sectors rangg from aerospace, construction, environmental, manufacturg, and mg to formation technology and gas & petroleum. As the professionals tasked with applyg scientific knowledge, theory and novation to solve concrete dustrial problems, they are directly lked with the provce s novation, economic productivity and growth. These practitioners may be categorized to two ma occupational groups, one beg the Engeers and Geoscientists, the second Technologists and Technicians. Practitioners of these groups can be found carryg out a wide range of complex work the engeerg and applied science fields. There are however, general differences the range of roles and responsibilities for each. An Engeer s responsibilities may clude defg problems, conductg and narrowg research, analyzg criteria, fdg and analyzg solutions, and makg design decisions. They often supervise engeerg teams and manage complex engeerg projects. Technologists apply practical, applied science knowledge the management and execution of projects, the design of products and construction of buildgs and structures, and admisterg practical and operational telligence over a diverse range of dustries. They perform work areas such as design, production, marketg, testg, quality assurance, estimatg, spection, supervision, and project management. Technicians also use practical approach based methods to solve technical problems a 1 For details on occupations, please refer to the Occupational Snapshots at The Asia Pacific Gateway Skills Table wishes to acknowledge the fundg support from the Government of Canada s Sectoral Initiatives Program. The opions and terpretations this publication are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Government of Canada. We gratefully acknowledge the fancial support of the Provce of British Columbia through the Mistry of Jobs, Tourism and Skills Trag. Additional 2015 EGTT LMI Products EGTT LMI Project Executive Summary Industry Outlooks Regional Outlooks Occupational Snapshots APGST LMI Forecast Backgrounder More formation can be found at or contact the Skills Table at fo@apgst.ca or

2 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook diverse range of dustries, performg work such as testg, trouble shootg, spection, calibration, design draftg, data collection and matenance. When analyzg data found the National Occupational Classification System (NOC), Engeers are typically more concentrated an occupation that correlates with their disciple. Whereas, Technologists and Technicians can be found a wider variety of occupations which affects the ability to directly compare occupational data between the two groups. For stance, while Civil Engeers (NOC 2133) show large numbers, a similar number of related Technologists and Technician positions will be spread across the Civil (NOC 2231), Architectural (NOC 2251), Draftg (NOC 2253), Construction Inspector (NOC 2264), and other diverse occupational categories. Whether an Engeer, Geoscientist, Technologist or Technician, the skills to do these jobs require extensive specialized trag. With the rapid pace of technological novation, these professionals and their highly specialized skill sets are great demand. A note on the data: Much of the data this document will be for the occupations that have employment the dustry, but not solely for the subset that are currently workg the dustry. This is due to the limitations of the Industry data available 2. We have cluded both data sets this document to create a greater parallel with the other products this project. Where the data reflect the full occupation, the section or reference will state, for the occupations that have employment the dustry. This creates a fuller picture of the dustry and provides greater depth to the overview. NOC Occupation Title BC LM North SE VIC 0211 Engeerg Managers 2131 Civil Engeers 2132 Mechanical Engeers 2133 Electrical and Electronics Engeers 2141 Industrial and Manufacturg Engeers 2146 Aerospace Engeers 2147 Computer Engeers (Except Software Engeers and Designers) 2173 Software Engeers and Designers 2232 Mechanical Engeerg Technologists and Technicians 2233 Industrial Engeerg and Manufacturg Technologists and Technicians 2241 Electrical and Electronics Engeerg Technologists and Technicians 2252 Industrial Designers 2253 Draftg Technologists and Technicians 2255 Technical Geomatics and Meteorology 2281 Computer Network Technicians 2 Employment/Demand, Total Job Opengs, Attrition/Replacement, Expansion Demand. Services Industry 2

3 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Total employment the Services (CSDRS) Industry represents 2% of Employment BC. The 15 occupations that are part of the Services Industry represent about 11% of total EGTT employment. Services Industry, Average Annual Employment by Region Region Average, Average, Industry, Industry, Average EGTT Scope, Average EGTT Scope, EGTT, EGTT, British Columbia 2,415,813 2,583,515 76,829 83,145 41,900 45,948 8,059 8,889 Lower Maland 1,541,102 1,674,890 58,584 64,348 33,016 36,865 6,865 7,666 North 170, ,129 2,574 2, Southeast 336, ,764 7,245 7,467 1,743 1, Vancouver Island Coast 368, ,732 8,425 8,688 6,943 7, Highlights The forecast shows a tight supply BC for the 15 occupations that have employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services Industry startg The first 2 years show the market tighteng. New supply is expected to average 98% of job opengs over the forecast, but to be ser (88%) the first 5 years. In Northern BC, supply lags job opengs at 89% for the full 10 years, which suggests creasg challenges over the 10 year forecast. In BC, the High Investment Scenario will generate a total of about 70 more job opengs than the Low the first 5 years of the forecast. In the second half of the forecast, the Low Investment Scenario generates 20 more job opengs. The net effect is for the High Investment Scenario to generate 50 more job opengs (0.35%) than the Low. Job opengs are created more by Attrition (61%) for the full 10 years of the forecast. Just under 1 4 workers the 15 occupations that have employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services Industry today will leave the labour market by the end of the forecast period. 2 5 Engeerg Managers will leave the BC workforce over the 10 years of the forecast. More than half of the new supply of workers the 15 occupations that have employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services are New Entrants newly traed and new to the workforce Computer Engeers (Except Software Engeers and Designers) are New Entrants. Over half of the new workers the 15 occupations that have employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services are immigrants to Canada. Electrical and Electronics Engeers have 45% of the new supply of workers comg from other countries. Services Industry 3

4 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook In BC, 7% of new workers the 15 occupations that have employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services come from other occupations. Engeerg Managers have 90% of their new supply come from other occupations. In Southeastern BC and the Vancouver Island Coast region, just under 1 3 new workers the 15 occupations that have employment the Services come from other regions and provces. 17% of the new supply of workers Technical Geomatics and Meteorology BC come from other provces. Changes the number of jobs and workers available the labour market are not driven by large scale projects and programs, but by the normal economic cycle. 85% of workers EGTT occupations the Services Industry live the Lower Maland; 1% Northern BC; 3% Southeastern BC; and 10% the Vancouver Island Coast region. On average, workers 15 occupations that have employment the Services Industry have years left their workg lives. Engeerg Managers have less time left their careers (5 15 years Mechanical Engeerg Technologists and Technicians have the most time left, at years. BC Labour Market: Three Economic Scenarios The Skills Table models the labour market based on three different economic scenarios to provide a range of plausible possibilities for changes the labour market. The Low Investment, or conservative, scenario cludes projects that are underway or certa, while the Moderate Investment, or expected, scenario adds projects that are planned and likely to proceed. The High Investment, or optimistic, scenario adds projects that have been announced but with more distant start dates or more regulatory approvals needed to proceed. The analysis that fols is based on the Moderate Investment Scenario. The impacts of the Low and High Investment Scenarios on the labour market are detailed the Impact of the Economic Scenarios section of this document. Services Industry 4

5 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Key Facts : Labour Demand 3 Labour demand is created by the busess environment, economic circumstances and decisions affectg employers operations. It reflects the number of jobs available to be filled an occupation. The table be cludes the number of jobs, job opengs, and jobs created by Expansion for the Moderate Investment Scenario. It also shows the impact of the High and Low Investment Scenarios on each of those measures compared with the Moderate Investment Scenario. Scenario Impact Employment and Job Opengs, Services Industry Annual Average Employment Annual Average Employment Net New Positions % Growth Total Job Opengs Impact of High 11,160 14,671 14, % 20,058 British Columbia Total 2,415,813 2,583, , % 910,582 Impact of Low 20,316 10, % 8,371 Impact of High % 676 EGTT All All Industries 76,829 83,145 11, % 31,147 Impact of Low % 108 Impact of High % 225 Computer Systems Design and Related Services Total 41,900 45,948 6, % 14,360 Employment Impact of Low % 10 Impact of High % 47 EGTT Computer Systems Design and Related 8,059 8,889 1, % 2,622 Services Total Employment Impact of Low % 3 The number of positions the 15 occupations the Services Industry creases by 1,365 (18%) over the forecast period, with: just under 1,335 positions the Lower Maland, just over 5 Northern BC, just under 30 Southeastern BC, a decle of less than 5 the Vancouver Island Coast region, more than half of new positions beg for Software Engeers and Designers (just over 1 5 for Computer Network Technicians), and half of new positions Southeastern BC for Computer Network Technicians. 3 All of the formation this document is generated by the Skills Table from a labour market forecast based on the three economic scenarios. The statements and assessments of labour market conditions are based on the forecasts and, therefore, are expected conditions and outcomes relative to the economic conditions used to create the formation. Services Industry 5

6 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Employment by Occupation, Services Industry, British Columbia Annual Average Employment, % of EGTT CSDRS Total Employment Annual Average Employment, % of EGTT CSDRS Total Employment Net New Positions, Computer Systems 49,959 54,836 7,924 Design and Related Services Total Employment EGTT Computer Systems 8,059 8,889 1,364 Design and Related Services Total Employment % of EGTT CSDRS Net New Positions By Occupation Engeerg Managers % % % Civil Engeers % % 5 0.4% Mechanical Engeers % % % Electrical and Electronics % % % Engeers Industrial and % % 9 0.7% Manufacturg Engeers Aerospace Engeers % % 5 0.4% Computer Engeers 1, % 1, % % (Except Software Engeers and Designers) Software Engeers and 4, % 4, % % Designers Mechanical Engeerg % % 6 0.4% Technologists and Technicians Industrial Engeerg % % 7 0.5% and Manufacturg Technologists and Technicians Electrical and Electronics % % % Engeerg Technologists and Technicians Industrial Designers % % 5 0.4% Draftg Technologists % % 6 0.4% and Technicians Technical % % 9 0.7% Geomatics and Meteorology Computer Network Technicians 1, % 2, % % Services Industry 6

7 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook For the 15 occupations the Services Industry BC, 2,620 job opengs (growth and retirements combed) are expected to be created, with: just under 2,475 the Lower Maland, just under 15 Northern BC, 100 Southeastern BC, and just under 35 the Vancouver Island Coast region Total Job Opengs Industry: Computer Systems Design and Related Services, All EGTT, British Columbia High Moderate Low The majority of job opengs will be generated the first 5 years of the forecast. While all three scenarios fol the same trend, the Low Investment Scenario outperforms the High most of the second half of the forecast period. In BC, Expansion creates 39% of job opengs, 44% the first 5 years of the forecast, with: 46% of job opengs the Lower Maland, 54% the first 5 years, 43% Northern BC, 71% the first 5 years, 32% of job opengs Southeastern BC, 41% the first 5 years, positions decle the Vancouver Island Coast region, mostly due to decles the first few years of the forecast. Key Facts : Labour Supply The labour supply is created by the number of workers who have the skills and/or certifications to be qualified to work each occupation each year, cludg those who are newly traed, have moved from other provces or countries, or have moved from other occupations. Attrition Attrition contues to be the primary driver of job opengs, although its impact has decled from previous forecasts, particularly the Lower Maland. This decle is attributed to two thgs: more workers are remag the workforce after the age of 65; and the impact of the baby boom generation out of the workforce is lesseng as more and more have left. The oldest baby boomers will be ; the youngest turned Services Industry 7

8 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Job Opengs, Attrition and Expansion, Services Industry Total Job Opengs, Attrition, Attrition, Attrition as a % of Job Opengs, Expansion, Expansion, Expansion as a % of Job Opengs British Columbia Total 910, , , % 242, , % Computer Systems Design 16,982 5,146 6, % 2,577 2, % and Related Services Industry Total EGTT All Total 31,147 8,379 9, % 10,019 3, % EGTT Computer Systems 2, % % Design and Related Services Industry Total By Occupation Engeerg Managers % % Civil Engeers % % Mechanical Engeers % % Electrical and Electronics % % Engeers Industrial and Manufacturg % % Engeers Aerospace Engeers % % Computer Engeers (Except % % Software Engeers and Designers) Software Engeers and 1, % % Designers Mechanical Engeerg % % Technologists and Technicians Industrial Engeerg and % % Manufacturg Technologists and Technicians Electrical and Electronics % % Engeerg Technologists and Technicians Industrial Designers % % Draftg Technologists and % % Technicians Technical % % Geomatics and Meteorology Computer Network % % Technicians Other 14,360 4,466 5, % 2,044 2, % Services Industry 8

9 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook For the 15 occupations the Services Industry BC, Attrition will average about 160 job opengs each year. Stated another way, the Services Industry will lose 160 experienced workers every year to Attrition alone, with: just over 130 the Lower Maland, less than 5 Northern BC, just over 5 Southeastern BC, just under 20 the Vancouver Island Coast region, 90% of all Industrial Engeerg and Manufacturg Technologists and Technicians job opengs comg from from Attrition (77% for Draftg Technologists and Technicians), and the Vancouver Island Cost region, where positions decle, all job opengs beg created by Attrition. On average, workers the 15 occupations that have Employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services Industry are 43 years of age. In the 15 occupations that have employment the Services Industry, labour supply is expected to grow by about 7,815 workers BC as a whole over the 10 years of the forecast, with: just over 7, 205 the Lower Maland, 50 Northern BC, just under 250 Southeastern BC, and 305 the Vancouver Island Coast region. Base Supply 4 is a measure of the decle the number of workers who are active an occupation at the begng of the forecast and subsequently leave due to retirement over the forecast period. Changes to the Base Labour Supply for the 15 That Have Employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services Industry, Region Base Supply, 2015 Decle, % Decle, % British Columbia 53,646 5, % 12, % Lower Maland 47,115 4, % 9, % North % % Southeast 4, % % Vancouver Island Coast 5, % 1, % New Supply In BC, new supply is expected to average 98% of job opengs over the forecast, but to be ser (88%) the first 5 years. This suggests that the labour market for the 15 occupations that have employment the Services Industry could be very challengg, especially the early years. 4 Base Supply is calculated by re the average number of unemployed workers for the period from the 2014 supply, then re Attrition from each year of the forecast. In essence, it demonstrates the changes each year to the cohort of workers the first year of the forecast. Services Industry 9

10 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook This holds true for all other regions except Northern BC, where supply lags job opengs at 89% for the full 10 years, suggestg creasg challenges over the 10 year forecast. Labour Supply Characteristics of the 15 That Have Employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services Industry, Totals Region Average Number of Qualified New Entrants Immigration Regional Mobility From Other Average Age British Columbia 59,270 11,248 8, , Lower Maland 48,092 9,065 8, , North Southeast 4, Vancouver Island Coast 5,935 1, New Supply by Type In BC, New Entrants generate 52% of the new supply of workers the 15 occupations that have employment the Services Industry, with: 50% the Lower Maland, 91% Northern BC, 67% Southeastern BC, 62% the Vancouver Island Coast region, six occupations 5 havg New Entrants represent more than 60% of the new supply (Computer Engeers [Except Software Engeers and Designers]) have the highest proportion, at 71%), and Engeerg Managers havg no New Entrants add to supply. International immigration is expected to add an additional 41% to the total new supply of the 15 occupations that have employment the Services Industry BC, with: 47% the Lower Maland, 3% Northern BC, 3% Southeastern BC, 3% the Vancouver Island Coast region, Electrical and Electronics Engeers havg 45% of the new supply of workers comg from other countries, and Engeerg Managers seeg Immigration add less than 10% to supply. 5 Aerospace Engeers; Computer Engeers (Except Software Engeers and Designers); Software Engeers and Designers; Mechanical Engeerg Technologists and Technicians; Industrial Engeerg and Manufacturg Technologists and Technicians; and Computer Network Technicians. Services Industry 10

11 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Labour Force Supply: That Have Employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services British Columbia Moderate Scenario 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Base Supply Immigration Mobility Occupational Mobility New Entrants Demand Mobility from other occupations (workers who are experienced another role and move to the occupation) is forecast to represent 7% of new supply BC: This will be 8% the Lower Maland. In Northern BC, workers to other occupations reduces new supply by 7%. In Southeastern BC, workers from other occupations reduce new supply by just under 1%. from other occupations add 5% to new supply the Vancouver Island Coast region. Engeerg Managers have more than 90% of their new supply come from other occupations. Computer Engeers (Except Software Engeers and Designers) lose close to 3% of their new supply to other occupations. In BC, workers the 15 occupations that have employment the Services Industry to the provce add a margal amount (under 0.5%) to new supply. In the Lower Maland, mobility reduces the workforce by about 5% of new supply. In Northern BC, worker mobility creases new supply by 12%. The crease is 31% of new supply Southeastern BC, 32% the Vancouver Island Coast region. 17% of the new supply of workers the Technical Geomatics and Meteorology occupation come from other provces. Impact of the Economic Scenarios In BC the High Investment Scenario will generate a total of about 70 more job opengs than the Low the first 5 years of the forecast. In the second half of the forecast, the Low Investment Scenario generates 20 more job opengs. The net effect is for the High Investment Scenario to generate 50 more job opengs (0.35%) than the Low. The forecast shows that both the supply and demand the 15 occupations that have employment the Services Industry are not substantially affected by the economic scenarios. Services Industry 11

12 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Expansion Demand: Services Industry, British Columbia High Moderate Low The demand for the 15 occupations that have employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services Industry does not show significant impact from the level of vestment, with the difference between High and Low beg about 50 job opengs. Labour Market Condition Metrics The table on the next page shows the four APGST measures 6 for the 15 occupations that have employment the Services Industry BC. Taken together, these dicators provide a quick reference scorecard on the conditions the Services Industry labour market. 6 There are four metrics used to summarize the formation from the forecast. (1) APGST Tightness Rankg: Assesses the tightness of the labour market; i.e., the degree of difficulty an employer may experience tryg to hire to the occupation. 1 = excess supply = Blue (more than 60% higher than normal unemployment) 2 = balanced supply and demand = Green (between 30 and 60% higher than normal unemployment) 3 = nearg a tight labour market = Yel (between 0 and 30% higher than normal unemployment) 4 = excess demand, limited supply = Red (be normal unemployment) (2) Supply Risk: A metric that assesses the extent to which new supply is keepg pace with job opengs. It als for an assessment, relative to the Rankg, of the extent to which conditions are tighteng or looseng the labour market. If the new supply is more than 90% of the job opengs, it is a LOW risk. If the new supply is between 80 and 90% of the job opengs, it is a MEDIUM risk. If the new supply is less than 80% of the job opengs, it is a HIGH risk. (3) Immigration Reliance: Assesses the extent to which the new supply is dependent on Immigration. Given that the levers that control immigration are not the control of employers, this measure provides sight to the potential that the new supply expectations could be affected by changes to immigration policy. If Immigration represents less than 10% of new supply, it is a LOW risk. If Immigration represents between 10 and 25% of new supply, it is a MEDIUM risk. If Immigration represents between 25 and 50% of new supply, it is a HIGH risk. If Immigration represents 50% or more of new supply, it is an EXTREME risk. (4) Mobility: Demonstrates the extent to which movement to or out of the provce affects the supply available to fill job opengs. For the regions, it measures movement to and out of the region to other regions BC as well as to other provces. No worker mobility leavg <10% leavg 10 25% leavg 25 50% leavg 50% or more Services Industry 12

13 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Labour Market Metrics Table for the 15 EGTT That Have Employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services Industry Scenario APGST Tightness Rankg High Moderate Low Supply Risk High LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Moderate LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Low LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance High No tl. No tl. LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Moderate No tl. No tl. LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Low Mobility High Moderate Low No tl. No tl. LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Implications The forecast shows a tight supply BC for the 15 occupations that have employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services Industry startg The first 2 years show the market tighteng. This implies that after 2017, employers will have creasg challenges fdg the workers they need the provce as a whole. New supply is expected to average 98% of job opengs over the forecast, but to be ser (88%) the first 5 years. This suggests that the labour market for the 15 occupations that have employment the Services Industry could be very challengg, especially the early years. In Northern BC, supply lags job opengs at 89% for the full 10 years, which suggests creasg challenges over the 10 year forecast. In BC, the High Investment Scenario will generate a total of about 70 more job opengs than the Low the first 5 years of the forecast. In the second half, the Low Investment Scenario generates 20 more job opengs. The net effect is for the High Investment Scenario to generate 50 more job opengs (0.35%) than the Low. Services Industry 13

14 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook In summary, the impacts of the forecast labour market conditions for employers are: 1. Job opengs are created more by Attrition (61%) for the full 10 years of the forecast. 2. Just under 1 4 workers the 15 occupations that have employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services Industry today will leave the labour market by the end of the forecast period. 2 5 Engeerg Managers will leave the BC workforce over the 10 years of the forecast. 3. More than half of the new supply the 15 occupations that have employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services are New Entrants newly traed and new to the workforce Computer Engeers (Except Software Engeers and Designers) are New Entrants. 4. More than half of the new workers the 15 occupations that have employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services are immigrants to Canada. Electrical and Electronics Engeers have 45% of the new supply of workers comg from other countries. This high reliance on immigration to meet new supply needs creates risk for employers, as the levers that control the f of immigration are not their control. 5. In BC, 7% of new workers the 15 occupations that have employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services come from other occupations. Engeerg Managers have 90% of their new supply come from other occupations. 6. In Southeastern BC and the Vancouver Island Coast region, just under a third of new workers the 15 occupations that have employment the Services come from other regions and provces % of the new supply of workers the Technical Geomatics and Meteorology occupation BC come from other provces. 8. Conditions are challengg from 2017 onward all occupations and all regions. 9. Changes the number of jobs and workers available labour market are not driven by large scale projects and programs, but by the normal economic cycle % of workers EGTT occupations the Services Industry live the Lower Maland; 1% Northern BC; 3% Southeastern BC; and 10% the Vancouver Island Coast region. 11. On average, workers 15 occupations that have employment the Computer Systems Design and Related Services Industry have years left their workg lives. This implies a balance of ages and reasonable opportunities for employers to hire mid career, experienced workers. Engeerg Managers have less time left their careers (5 15 years). For this occupation, employers could beg to focus on succession management and the retention of their mature workforce. Mechanical Engeerg Technologists and Technicians have the most time left, at years. Services Industry 14

15 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook DATA TABLES EGTT That Have Employment the Services Industry Region: British Columbia High Investment Scenario Demand All Industries 51,804 53,080 54,808 56,528 58,002 58,617 59,139 59,429 59,906 60,430 Services Demand for Included 7,700 7,749 8,005 8,321 8,602 8,720 8,838 8,895 8,999 9,104 Labour Force Supply All Industries 54,889 55,999 57,168 58,328 59,481 60,305 61,071 61,611 62,177 62,942 Replacement Demand All Industries 1,046 1,106 1,159 1,205 1,248 1,289 1,322 1,350 1,371 1,390 Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand 1,106 1,297 1,765 1,759 1, Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries 2,152 2,403 2,924 2,964 2,746 1,893 1,826 1,638 1,861 1,930 Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries 1,136 1,126 1,119 1,125 1,127 1,122 1,122 1,125 1,128 1,132 Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries 2,304 2,215 2,324 2,359 2,402 2,115 2,087 1,889 1,935 2,158 APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH leavg leavg leavg Services Industry 15

16 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Region: British Columbia Moderate Investment Scenario Demand All Industries 51,752 52,994 54,588 56,293 57,739 58,415 58,977 59,298 59,759 60,183 Services Demand for Included 7,694 7,740 7,982 8,301 8,578 8,704 8,821 8,884 8,976 9,058 Labour Force Supply All Industries 54,881 55,983 57,109 58,234 59,343 60,155 60,901 61,429 61,973 62,694 Replacement Demand All Industries 1,046 1,105 1,159 1,204 1,248 1,286 1,319 1,348 1,369 1,390 Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand 1,048 1,263 1,625 1,742 1, Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries 2,094 2,368 2,784 2,946 2,716 1,951 1,865 1,670 1,843 1,824 Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries 1,136 1,126 1,120 1,124 1,126 1,119 1,120 1,122 1,126 1,129 Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries 2,294 2,212 2,280 2,325 2,355 2,099 2,064 1,875 1,914 2,113 APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH leavg leavg leavg leavg leavg leavg Services Industry 16

17 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Region: British Columbia Low Investment Scenario Demand All Industries 51,623 52,744 54,131 55,769 57,293 58,156 58,885 59,267 59,758 60,183 Services Demand for Included 7,677 7,711 7,925 8,243 8,534 8,682 8,824 8,885 8,978 9,055 Labour Force Supply All Industries 54,805 55,856 56,913 58,013 59,121 59,977 60,762 61,268 61,802 62,514 Replacement Demand All Industries 1,046 1,103 1,155 1,201 1,244 1,285 1,318 1,345 1,366 1,388 Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand 915 1,135 1,410 1,674 1, Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries 1,961 2,238 2,565 2,875 2,792 2,147 2,042 1,731 1,871 1,820 Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries 1,135 1,124 1,116 1,121 1,123 1,116 1,118 1,120 1,124 1,126 Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries 2,222 2,153 2,209 2,296 2,351 2,138 2,102 1,853 1,906 2,104 APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries LOW LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH leavg leavg leavg leavg leavg Services Industry 17

18 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Region: Lower Maland High Investment Scenario Demand All Industries 41,487 42,627 44,136 45,700 47,081 47,689 48,218 48,501 48,932 49,379 Services Demand for Included 6,492 6,574 6,818 7,121 7,392 7,508 7,625 7,678 7,774 7,869 Labour Force Supply All Industries 44,028 45,090 46,155 47,215 48,289 49,059 49,769 50,279 50,797 51,476 Replacement Demand All Industries ,019 1,047 1,079 1,097 1,116 Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand 1,046 1,164 1,544 1,600 1, Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries 1,847 2,019 2,443 2,542 2,394 1,615 1,568 1,371 1,548 1,582 Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries 1,977 1,919 1,966 2,004 2,055 1,789 1,756 1,583 1,616 1,793 APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries LOW LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH EXTREME EXTREME EXTREME EXTREME leavg leavg leavg leavg No worker migration leavg leavg leavg leavg Services Industry 18

19 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Region: Lower Maland Moderate Investment Scenario Demand All Industries 41,442 42,560 43,960 45,508 46,855 47,504 48,062 48,364 48,776 49,131 Services Demand for Included 6,486 6,567 6,801 7,104 7,368 7,491 7,608 7,663 7,747 7,820 Labour Force Supply All Industries 44,021 45,077 46,106 47,132 48,158 48,913 49,601 50,097 50,590 51,227 Replacement Demand All Industries ,018 1,046 1,076 1,095 1,113 Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand 1,000 1,136 1,434 1,585 1, Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries 1,801 1,991 2,333 2,526 2,355 1,662 1,596 1,391 1,523 1,479 Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries 1,968 1,913 1,935 1,968 2,002 1,772 1,731 1,566 1,588 1,747 APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries LOW LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH EXTREME EXTREME EXTREME EXTREME leavg leavg leavg leavg leavg leavg leavg leavg leavg leavg Services Industry 19

20 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Region: Lower Maland Low Investment Scenario Demand All Industries 41,357 42,388 43,631 45,114 46,504 47,267 47,933 48,270 48,711 49,075 Services Demand for Included 6,474 6,542 6,751 7,051 7,326 7,464 7,600 7,653 7,739 7,806 Labour Force Supply All Industries 43,977 44,995 45,975 46,967 47,977 48,740 49,435 49,891 50,374 51,012 Replacement Demand All Industries ,014 1,043 1,071 1,091 1,110 Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand 912 1,044 1,268 1,517 1, Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries 1,713 1,899 2,165 2,455 2,397 1,778 1,708 1,417 1,553 1,489 Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries 1,928 1,871 1,876 1,932 1,988 1,774 1,740 1,527 1,568 1,744 APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries LOW LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH EXTREME EXTREME EXTREME EXTREME leavg leavg leavg leavg moderate leavg leavg leavg leavg leavg leavg Services Industry 20

21 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Region: North High Investment Scenario Demand All Industries Services Demand for Included Labour Force Supply All Industries ,010 1,020 1,017 1,021 1,022 1,025 1,033 Replacement Demand All Industries Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries No tl. No tl. leavg LOW No tl. No tl. No tl. leavg high LOW No tl. No worker migration No tl. No tl. Services Industry 21

22 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Region: North Moderate Investment Scenario Demand All Industries Services Demand for Included Labour Force Supply All Industries ,000 1,001 1,008 1,008 1,014 1,023 Replacement Demand All Industries Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW HIGH LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries No tl. No tl. No worker migration LOW LOW No tl. No tl. No worker migration LOW No tl. LOW MEDIUM Services Industry 22

23 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Region: North Low Investment Scenario Demand All Industries Services Demand for Included Labour Force Supply All Industries ,000 1,007 1,013 1,021 1,033 Replacement Demand All Industries Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries Count too small HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries No tl. No tl. No tl. No worker migration LOW LOW No tl. LOW LOW MEDIUM MEDIUM Services Industry 23

24 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Region: Southeast High Investment Scenario Demand All Industries 3,943 3,971 4,063 4,141 4,174 4,164 4,157 4,154 4,175 4,212 Services Demand for Included Labour Force Supply All Industries 4,122 4,122 4,166 4,219 4,257 4,276 4,303 4,315 4,336 4,372 Replacement Demand All Industries Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries No tl. No tl. No tl. LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Services Industry 24

25 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Region: Southeast Moderate Investment Scenario Demand All Industries 3,938 3,966 4,048 4,125 4,161 4,156 4,153 4,154 4,178 4,212 Services Demand for Included Labour Force Supply All Industries 4,122 4,120 4,165 4,214 4,253 4,276 4,298 4,312 4,332 4,370 Replacement Demand All Industries Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries No tl. No tl. No tl. LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Services Industry 25

26 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Region: Southeast Low Investment Scenario Demand All Industries 3,911 3,919 3,968 4,036 4,091 4,137 4,177 4,197 4,217 4,240 Services Demand for Included Labour Force Supply All Industries 4,102 4,090 4,116 4,162 4,211 4,255 4,303 4,329 4,357 4,388 Replacement Demand All Industries Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries No tl. No tl. No tl. LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW leavg leavg Services Industry 26

27 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Region: Vancouver Island Coast High Investment Scenario Demand All Industries 5,447 5,539 5,634 5,700 5,749 5,777 5,778 5,786 5,807 5,838 Services Demand for Included Labour Force Supply All Industries 5,767 5,808 5,847 5,886 5,918 5,954 5,978 5,995 6,020 6,060 Replacement Demand All Industries Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries No tl. No tl. LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Services Industry 27

28 Engeers, Geoscientists, Technologists & Technicians (EGTT) Industry Outlook Region: Vancouver Island Coast Moderate Investment Scenario Demand All Industries 5,445 5,537 5,626 5,697 5,748 5,783 5,785 5,802 5,823 5,850 Services Demand for Included Labour Force Supply All Industries 5,767 5,812 5,855 5,897 5,932 5,969 5,995 6,013 6,034 6,072 Replacement Demand All Industries Services Replacement Demand for Included Expansion Demand Services Expansion Demand for Included Total Job Opengs All Industries Services Total Job Opengs for Included Average Age All Industries New Entrants All Industries Net International In Migration All Industries Net Interprovcial In Migration All Industries Net Other In Net New Supply All Industries APGST Tightness Rankg All Industries Supply Risk All Industries LOW HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance All Industries No tl. No tl. LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Services Industry 28