Government and Military Satellite Communications

Transcription

1 Government and Military Satellite Communications 11 th Edition Report Brief NSR

2 NSR

3 Report Description NSR s Government and Military Satellite Communications, 11th Edition (GMSC11), is the longest-running assessment of the global demand, trends, and outlook of government and military use of commercial satellite communications. Building on a decade of data and analysis, GMSC 11 presents readers with an in-depth look at application drivers, regional conditions, and capacity demand over the next ten years. As ongoing budget constraints cut through all aspects of the government and military market, navigating the optimum balance of proprietary versus commercial, bulk versus managed, and one frequency versus another is at the forefront of every procurement decision. The report evaluation of the state of the market. GMSC 11 features more detailed and event-driven scenarios than ever before, analyzing the market from a series of various what ifs to explore the impact of potential events and policy changes on government and military satcom procurement, providing actionable information and perspective to players. Key Questions: How could the shift from boots on the ground to eyes in the sky alter the type and amount of capacity procured? Will short-term bulk leasing continue to dominate the market, or will governments take more steps towards managed services and consolidating operations? How will reduced budgets impact satcom procurement moving forward? Can HTS make a play against traditional FSS capacity? What role will proprietary government and military satellites play over the next decade? What will the growing demand for ISR and increasingly highresolution sensor suites mean for regional capacity demand? NSR 1

4 Key Features Report Segmentation Difference NSR s Government and Military Satellite Communications, 11th Edition, is divided into 5 market segments with further segmentation by region, by frequency band, by type of capacity, and by customer. Data and forecasts are provided on: NSR 2

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6 The Report Includes the Following Primary Elements: A base forecast of in-service units and revenues for all managed services Transponder/Capacity demand and revenues forecast for each frequency band and HTS, including bulk leasing and managed services Three additional scenarios for all market segments and frequency bands, with clearly stated scenario assumptions FSS/MSS Operator 2013 Market Share and Service Provider 2013 Market Share Proprietary satellite capacity supply, current and planned Regional demand and spending trends on satellite communications United Nations and NGO market assessment Assessment of potential changes in procurement strategy and novel approaches to obtaining satellite communications Regions Covered: North America Latin America Europe Middle East & Africa Asia Atlantic Ocean Region Indian Ocean Region Pacific Ocean Region Who Should Purchase this Report: Fixed Satellite Services (FSS) and Mobile Satellite Services (MSS) Operators Service Providers and Capacity Resellers Equipment Manufacturers Satellite Manufacturers Companies involved in the planning and advising of commercial satellite capacity for government and military applications Government regulators and agencies involved in procurement, planning, and operations of satellite communications network NSR 4

7 Table of Contents Executive Summary 1. Global Market Overview State of the Market Trends Current Debates Geopolitical Context Where s the growth? 2. Revenues & Market Share FSS Operators MSS Operators Service Providers 3. Government and Military Programs MILSATCOM Utilization MILSATCOM Programs MILSATCOM Supply Analysis Timeline of MILSATCOM Launches 4. Budget and Procurement Outlook Regional Outlook Alliances & Collation Efforts Humanitarian & NGO Markets Novel Approaches Procurement Processes Bottom Line NSR 5

8 5. Global Market Forecast Trends & Outlook In-service Units & Revenues Transponder and Capacity Demand & Revenues Comparison to Previous Forecasts 6. NSR s Scenarios Core Assumptions Scenario 1 More Boots on the Ground Scenario 2 What Sequester? Scenario 3 That Sequester 7. Bulk Leasing Market Summary C-band Ku-band Ka-band X-band GEO-HTS MEO-HTS Comparison to Previous Bulk Leasing Forecasts Forecast Overview 8. MSS Narrowband Market Summary Handhelds Land-Mobile Maritime Aeronautical Other Form Factors NSR 6

9 Comparison to Previous MSS Narrowband Forecasts Forecast Overview 9. Fixed VSAT Market Summary Ku-band X-band GEO-HTS Comparison to Previous Fixed VSAT Forecasts Forecast Overview 10. Comms-on-the-Pause Market Summary Ku-band Ka-band X-band GEO-HTS L-band Comparison to Previous COTP Forecasts Forecast Overview 11. Comms-on-the-Move Market Summary Land-Mobile Summary by Region Summary by Frequency Band Comparison to Previous COTM Land-Mobile Forecasts Maritime Summary by Region Summary by Frequency Band NSR 7

10 Comparison to Previous COTM Maritime Forecasts Aeronautical Summary by Region Summary by Frequency Band Comparison to Previous COTM Aeronautical Forecasts UAV Summary by Region Summary by Frequency Band Comparison to Previous COTM UAV Forecasts Forecast Overview Annex. Forecast Methodology NSR 8

11 List of Exhibits Global GMSC In-Service Units, by Region Global GMSC Revenues, by Managed Service Market Segment Global GMSC Transponder and Capacity Demand by Frequency Band Satellite Operators Gov/Mil Market Share, 2013 Service Providers Gov/Mil Market Share, 2013 GMSC Global In-service Units Variance, by Scenario GMSC Global Capacity Revenues Variance, by Scenario FSS Bulk Leasing, by Scenario FSS Bulk Leasing, by Region FSS & HTS Bulk Leasing, by Frequency Band Global Narrowband In-service Units, by Scenario Narrowband Total Retail Revenues, by Region Narrowband In-service Units, by Platform Global Fixed VSAT In-service Units, by Scenario Fixed VSAT Total Retail Revenues, by Region Fixed VSAT Transponder and Capacity Demand COTP In-service Units, by Scenario COTP Total Retail Revenues, by Region COTP Transponder and Capacity Demand GMSC COTM Global In-service Units, by Scenario GMSC COTM Global Retail Revenues, by COTM Vertical GMSC COTM Global Capacity Demand Global GMSC Transponder and Capacity Demand Transponder and Capacity Demand, Global FSS Capacity Demand, by Market Segment, 2013 FSS Operators Gov/Mil Market Share, 2013 FSS Operators Gov/Mil Revenues MSS Operators Gov/Mil Market Share, 2013 MSS Operators Gov/Mil Revenues NSR 9

12 Service Providers Gov/Mil Market Share, 2013 Service Providers Gov/Mil Market Share by Revenue Table: Key Military Satellite Communications Programs MILSATCOM Supply Total System Capacity UN Peacekeeping Mission Deployments UN Peacekeeping Mission Funding Gov/Mil 1-50 kg Satellites Launched, by Application* Global FSS Capacity Demand, by Market Segment, 2013 Global FSS Capacity Demand, by Market Segment, 2023 Table: Global Government & Military In-service Units & Revenue Summary Global GMSC In-Service Units, by Frequency Band Global GMSC In-Service Units, by Region Global GMSC In-Service Units, by Market Segment Global GMSC Total Retail Revenues, by Region Global GMSC Revenues, by Market Segment Global GMSC Retail & Wholesale Revenues Table: Global Government & Military Transponder & Capacity Summary Global GMSC Transponder and Capacity Demand by Frequency Band Global GMSC FSS Transponder Demand, by Region Global GMSC HTS Capacity Demand, by Region Global GMSC FSS Transponder Demand by Market Segment Global GMSC HTS Capacity Demand by Market Segment Global GMSC Transponder and Capacity Revenues by Frequency Band Global GMSC FSS & HTS Transponder Revenues by Market Segment Comparison of Global GMSC In-Service Units Forecasts Comparison of Global GMSC Retail Revenue Forecasts Comparison of Global GMSC Transponder Demand Forecasts Comparison of Global GMSC HTS Bandwidth Demand Forecasts Bulk Leasing Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario NSR 10

13 Bulk Leasing Capacity Revenues, Scenario 1 MSS Narrowband In-service Units, Scenario 1 MSS Narrowband Total Retail Revenues, Scenario 1 Fixed VSAT In-service Units, Scenario 1 Fixed VSAT Total Retail Revenues, Scenario 1 Fixed VSAT Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 1 COTP In-service Units, Scenario 1 COTP Total Retail Revenues, Scenario 1 COTP Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 1 GMSC COTM Global In-service Units, by Scenario 1 COTM Total Retail Revenues, Scenario 1 COTM Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 1 Bulk Leasing Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 2 Bulk Leasing Capacity Revenues, Scenario 2 MSS Narrowband In-service Units, Scenario 2 MSS Narrowband Total Retail Revenues, Scenario 2 Fixed VSAT In-service Units, Scenario 2 Fixed VSAT Total Retail Revenues, Scenario 2 Fixed VSAT Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 2 COTP In-service Units, Scenario 2 COTP Total Retail Revenues, Scenario 2 COTP Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 2 COTM In-service Units, Scenario 2 COTM Total Retail Revenues, Scenario 2 COTM Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 2 Bulk Leasing Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 3 Bulk Leasing Capacity Revenues, Scenario 3 MSS Narrowband In-service Units, Scenario 3 MSS Narrowband Total Retail Revenues, Scenario 3 Fixed VSAT In-service Units, Scenario NSR 11

14 Fixed VSAT Total Retail Revenues, Scenario 3 Fixed VSAT Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 3 COTP In-service Units, Scenario 3 COTP Total Retail Revenues, Scenario 3 COTP Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 3 COTM In-service Units, Scenario 3 COTM Total Retail Revenues, Scenario 3 COTM Transponder & Capacity Demand, Scenario 3 Table: Global Government & Military Bulk Leasing Market Summary FSS Bulk Leasing, by Region HTS Bulk Leasing, by Region FSS & HTS Bulk Leasing Revenues, by Region FSS & HTS Bulk Leasing, by Frequency Band FSS & HTS Bulk Leasing Revenues, by Frequency Band Bulk Leasing C-band Transponder Demand C-Band Bulk Leasing Revenues Bulk Leasing Ku-band Transponder Demand Ku-Band Bulk Leasing Revenues Ka-Band Bulk Leasing, by Scenario Ka-Band Bulk Leasing Revenues Ka-Band Bulk Leasing, by Region Bulk Leasing X-band Transponder Demand X-Band Bulk Leasing Revenues GEO-HTS Bulk Leasing, by Region GEO-HTS Bulk Leasing Revenues MEO-HTS Bulk Leasing MEO-HTS Bulk Leasing Revenues Comparison of Bulk Leasing Transponder Demand Comparison of Bulk Leasing Capacity Revenues FSS Bulk Leasing, by Scenario NSR 12

15 FSS Bulk Leasing, by Region FSS & HTS Bulk Leasing, by Frequency Band Table: Global Government & Military MSS Narrowband Market Summary Global Narrowband In-service Units, by Region Narrowband Total Retail Revenues by Region Narrowband In-service Units by Platform Narrowband Total Retail Revenues by Platform Satellite Handhelds In-service Units, by Scenario Satellite Handhelds Total Retail Revenues Land Mobile Narrowband In-service Units, by Scenario Land Mobile Narrowband Total Retail Revenues Maritime Narrowband In-service Units, by Scenario Maritime Narrowband Total Retail Revenues Aeronautical Narrowband In-service Units, by Scenario Aeronautical Narrowband In-service Units, by Region Aeronautical Narrowband Total Retail Revenues Other MSS Form Factors In-service Units, by Scenario Other MSS Form Factors Total Retail Revenues Comparison of Narrowband In-service Units Comparison of Narrowband Total Retail Revenues Global Narrowband In-service Units, by Scenario Narrowband Total Retail Revenues by Region Narrowband In-service Units by Platform Table: Global Government & Military Fixed VSAT Market Summary Table: Global Government & Military Fixed VSAT Revenue Summary Fixed VSAT In-service Units, by Region Fixed VSAT Total Retail Revenues, by Region Fixed VSAT Ku and X-band Capacity Revenues, by Region Fixed VSAT In-service Units, by Frequency Band Fixed VSAT Total Retail Revenues by Frequency Band NSR 13

16 Fixed VSAT TPE and Capacity Demand Fixed VSAT Ku-band In-service Units Fixed VSAT Ku-band Total Retail Revenues Fixed VSAT X-band In-service Units Fixed VSAT X-band Total Retail Revenues Fixed VSAT GEO-HTS In-service Units Fixed VSAT GEO-HTS Total Retail Revenues Comparison of Fixed VSAT In-service Units Forecasts Comparison of Fixed VSAT Total Retail Revenue Forecasts Comparison Fixed VSAT Transponder Demand Forecasts Comparison of Fixed VSAT HTS Capacity Demand Forecasts Global Fixed VSAT In-service Units, by Scenario Fixed VSAT Total Retail Revenues, by Region Fixed VSAT Transponder and Capacity Demand Table: Global Government & Military COTP Market Summary Table: Global Government & Military COTP Revenues Summary COTP In-service Units, by Region COTP Total Retail Revenues, by Region COTP In-service Units, by Frequency Band COTP Total Retail Revenues, by Frequency Band COTP TPE and Capacity Demand COTP Ku-band In-service Units, by Scenario COTP Ku-band Total Retail Revenues COTP Ka-band In-service Units, by Scenario COTP Ka-band Capacity Demand COTP Ka-band Retail and Wholesale Revenues COTP X-band In-service Units, by Scenario COTP X-band Total Retail Revenues COTP GEO-HTS In-service Units, by Scenario COTP GEO-HTS Total Retail Revenues NSR 14

17 COTP L-band In-service Units, by Scenario COTP L-band Total Retail Revenues Comparison of COTP In-service Units Forecasts Comparison of COTP Total Retail Revenue Forecasts Comparison of COTP Transponder Demand Forecasts Comparison of COTP GEO-HTS Capacity Demand Forecasts COTP In-service Units, by Scenario COTP Total Retail Revenues, by Region COTP Transponder and Capacity Demand Table: Global Government & Military COTM Market Summary Table: Global Government & Military COTM Revenues Summary GMSC COTM Global In-service Units, by Region GMSC COTM Global Total Retail Revenues GMSC COTM Global In-service Units, by COTM Vertical GMSC COTM Global Retail Revenues, by COTM Vertical GMSC COTM Land-Mobile In-service Units, by Region GMSC COTM Land-Mobile Total Retail Revenues GMSC COTM Land-Mobile In-service Units, by Capacity GMSC COTM Land-Mobile Retail Revenues, by Capacity GMSC COTM Land-Mobile Capacity Demand Comparison of Global GMSC COTM Land-Mobile In-Service Units Forecasts Comparison of Global GMSC COTM Land-Mobile Retail Revenues Forecasts GMSC COTM Maritime In-service Units, by Region GMSC COTM Maritime Total Retail Revenues GMSC COTM Maritime In-service Units, by Capacity GMSC COTM Maritime Retail Revenues, by Capacity GMSC COTM Maritime Capacity Demand Comparison of Global GMSC COTM Maritime In-Service Units Forecasts Comparison of Global GMSC COTM Maritime Retail Revenues Forecasts GMSC COTM Aeronautical In-service Units, by Region NSR 15

18 GMSC COTM Aeronautical Total Retail Revenues GMSC COTM Aeronautical In-service Units, by Capacity GMSC COTM Aeronautical Retail Revenues, by Capacity GMSC COTM Aeronautical Capacity Demand Comparison of Global GMSC AeronauticalIn-Service Units Forecasts Comparison of Global GMSC Aeronautical Retail Revenues Forecasts GMSC COTM UAVs In-service Units, by Region GMSC COTM UAVs Total Retail Revenues GMSC COTM UAVs In-service Units, by Capacity GMSC COTM UAVs Retail Revenues, by Capacity GMSC COTM UAVs Capacity Demand Comparison of Global GMSC COTM UAV In-Service Units Forecasts Comparison of Global GMSC COTM UAV Retail Revenues Forecasts GMSC COTM Global In-service Units, by Scenario GMSC COTM Global Retail Revenues, by COTM Vertical GMSC COTM Global Capacity Demand NSR 16