Abundance within Planetary Boundaries

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Abundance within Planetary Boundaries"

Transcription

1 Abundance within Planetary Boundaries IIASA 12th March 2015 Prof. Johan Rockström Stockholm Resilience Centre Photo: Yann Arthus-Bertrand

2 Photos: Mattias Klum

3

4 The New Global Context Welcome to the Anthropocene Rising risks of tipping points Holocene our desired state of the Planet Great transformation to world prosperity on a stable and resilient planet Abundance within Planetary Boundaries

5 Living in a world characterised by: super wicked problems World Economic Forum (WEF), Global Risks Report 2013 Helbing, D. (2013) Globally networked risks and how to respond. Nature.

6 Syria drought and the civil war

7

8 An EAT perspective on the Great Acceleration Revised great acceleration figures generously provided by: Will Steffen, Wendy Broadgate, Lisa Deutsch, Owen Gaffney and Cornelia Ludwig, in prep (2014). Other Data Sources: Bach J.F., (2002). World Cancer Research Fund American Institute for Cancer Research, FAOstat, Land Commodities Research. Photo: atelierfood.se

9 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

10 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

11 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

12 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

13 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

14 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

15 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

16 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

17 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

18 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

19 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

20 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

21 Earth System Impacts

22 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

23 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

24 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

25 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

26 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

27 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

28 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

29 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

30 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

31 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

32 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

33 Steffen et al. The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration (Anthropocene Review) 16 January Design: Globaia

34 CO2 concentration Biodiversity loss Land degradation Water use O3 depletion... GREAT ACCELERATION

35 Rising Global Risks

36 Might the Earth System move to a new state? This would pose a severe challenge to contemporary civilization. Possibly a collapse? IPCC Projections 2100 AD Global Temperature ( C) 1 Now 0 Source: IGBP.net

37

38 Risks related to agreed global goal of 450 ppm Probability of Exceedance 7% 1,6% 4 6 Average Global Temp rise at Equilibrium (C) Global Challenges Foundation

39

40

41

42

43

44

45 45 Photo: Mattias Klum

46 Global Tipping Elements Melt of Greenland ice shelf Arctic sea-ice loss Boreal forest dieback Permafrost and tundra loss? Atlantic deep water formation Boreal forest dieback Climate change induced ozone hole? Indian monsoon chaotic multistability Dieback of Amazon rainforest Sahara greening Change in ENSO amplitude of frequency West African monsoon shift Instability of West Antarctic ice shelf Changes in Antarctic bottom water formation?

47 Two giants colliding Photo: N. Wijkmark/Azote

48 Are we leaving Edens Garden?

49 The Holocene - Humankinds years of grace Stockholm Resilience Centre and Rockström and others, Ecology and Society 2009:14 Photo: Michael A. Stecker

50 Human Prosperity within Safe Operating Space of Planetary Boundaries

51

52

53

54

55

56

57

58

59 Planetary Boundaries A safe operating space for humanity Steffen et al Science 16 January 2015

60 Global CO2 Emissions & Distribution (GtC) 365 ( ) OCEAN S ATMOSPHERE 155 ( ) TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS 545 ( ) 240 ( ) 180 ( ) 150 (60-240)

61 Pre-industrial Preindustrial

62

63

64

65 Current

66

67 A new direction: People and Planet Setting the agenda on Sustainable Development Goals

68 The future of energy: an accelerating challenge IIASA & IEA, Global Energy Assessment Report (2012) Photo: commons.wikimedia.com

69 Answering the challenge: green energy IIASA & IEA, Global Energy Assessment Report (2012) Solar PV installations leading countries Wind power in leading countries Photo: GreenGo Energy A/S

70

71 New collaborations for global sustainability WBCSD, World Resources Institute & SRC

72

73

74

75 Growth Without Limits Limits to Growth Growth within Limits Abundance within Planetary Boundaries

76 Social Tipping Point?

77 The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration Will Steffen, Wendy Broadgate, Lisa Deutsch,Owen Gaffney and Cornelia Ludwig 2015 Anthropocene Review Based on Steffen et al. (2004) Global Change and the Earth System More information

Water Resilience for Global Sustainability

Water Resilience for Global Sustainability Water Resilience for Global Sustainability Water Science Alliance Dresden 28th June 2016 Prof. Johan Rockström Stockholm Resilience Centre Photo: Yann Arthus-Bertrand 1.21 C Warmer than 20th Century Average

More information

Global Environmental Title Change and. the Arctic. Prof. Johan Rockström Stockholm Resilience Centre. Text

Global Environmental Title Change and. the Arctic. Prof. Johan Rockström Stockholm Resilience Centre. Text Global Environmental Title Change and Text the Arctic ARR Workshop and PSC Kautokeino 29th October 2012 Prof. Johan Rockström Stockholm Resilience Centre 1 2 Photos: Mattias Klum The exceptional reality

More information

Science for Global Sustainability

Science for Global Sustainability Science for Global Sustainability EU 2012 Scientific Support for the transition to a low carbon economy 6th March 2012 Prof. Johan Rockström Stockholm Resilience Centre Stockholm Environment Institute

More information

Human development in the Antrhopocene

Human development in the Antrhopocene Human development in the Antrhopocene Världens Eko 13th September 2011 Prof. Johan Rockström Stockholm Resilience Centre Stockholm Environment Institute The sense of urgency and our Sisyphusian dilemma

More information

The World in 2050 Sustainable Development Goals & Paris Climate Agreement within Planetary Boundaries

The World in 2050 Sustainable Development Goals & Paris Climate Agreement within Planetary Boundaries The World in 2050 Sustainable Development Goals & Paris Climate Agreement within Planetary Boundaries TWI2050 COP 23 6 th November 2017 Professor Johan Rockström Executive Director, Stockholm Resilience

More information

Tipping Points in the Earth System

Tipping Points in the Earth System Tipping Points in the Earth System Hermann Held Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) Email: held@pik-potsdam.de http://www.pik-potsdam.de Table of Contents Summary of Workshop on Tipping

More information

Human development within the safe operating space of the Planetary Boundaries

Human development within the safe operating space of the Planetary Boundaries Human development within the safe operating space of the Planetary Boundaries World Ecological Forum, Visby 30th June 2010 Johan Rockström Professor Stockholm Environment Institute & Stockholm Resilience

More information

Climate Stabilization & Energy Security in the 21st Century

Climate Stabilization & Energy Security in the 21st Century Bridging the Gap, Portoroz, Slovenia, 14-16 May 2008 Climate Stabilization & Energy Security in the 21st Century Professor H. J. Schellnhuber CBE Potsdam Institute, Oxford University, Tyndall Centre 1

More information

Overview of Climate Change Impacts

Overview of Climate Change Impacts Overview of Climate Change Impacts David A Warrilow Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Climate change and sustainable development New Delhi, 7-8 April 2006 Widespread impacts on the natural

More information

Will Steffen Emeritus Professor, Australian National University Senior Fellow, Stockholm Resilience Centre

Will Steffen Emeritus Professor, Australian National University Senior Fellow, Stockholm Resilience Centre The Anthropocene: Where is the Earth System Going? Will Steffen Emeritus Professor, Australian National University Senior Fellow, Stockholm Resilience Centre Our planet is a single system the Earth System

More information

Earth risks tipping into 'hothouse' state: study 6 August 2018, by Kerry Sheridan

Earth risks tipping into 'hothouse' state: study 6 August 2018, by Kerry Sheridan Earth risks tipping into 'hothouse' state: study 6 August 2018, by Kerry Sheridan A dried corn field is pictured on August 6, 2018 in Mitschdorf, eastern France, as a heatwave sweeps across Europe The

More information

Linking Sustainable Development Goals and Planetary Boundaries to explore energy pathways

Linking Sustainable Development Goals and Planetary Boundaries to explore energy pathways Systems Ecological Perspectives on Sustainability SYKE, Helsinki, September 2014 Linking Sustainable Development Goals and Planetary Boundaries to explore energy pathways Tiina Häyhä 1,2, Sarah Cornell

More information

Climate change why so little action? Comments by Anders Wijkman, vice

Climate change why so little action? Comments by Anders Wijkman, vice Climate change why so little action? Comments by Anders Wijkman, vice president, Club of Rome, at Third OECD World Forum in Busan, S Korea, october 29th, 2009. The Planetary Response CO 2, N 2 O, CH 4

More information

Policy: Sustainable development goals for people and

Policy: Sustainable development goals for people and We use cookies to improve your experience with our site. Accept and close More info. nature.com Publications A-Z index Browse by subject Access provided to Aalto University by library Archive Volume 495

More information

What is climate change? Tim Lenton University of Exeter

What is climate change? Tim Lenton University of Exeter What is climate change? Tim Lenton University of Exeter Outline A (geo)physiological view of the Earth The diagnosis: Dangerous tipping points ahead What to do about it? Medicate or tackle the underlying

More information

The Governed Planet? Climate Change Targets and Carbon Negative Technologies

The Governed Planet? Climate Change Targets and Carbon Negative Technologies 1 The Governed Planet? Climate Change Targets and Carbon Negative Technologies LUTHERAN EDUCATION AUSTRALIA Professor Tim Flannery Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute University of Melbourne John Tyndall,

More information

Think Tank Award Webinar Climate change impacts on terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystems

Think Tank Award Webinar Climate change impacts on terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystems Think Tank Award Webinar Climate change impacts on terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystems Prof. Dr. Josef Settele Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research; IPBES Global Assessment November 6th, 2017

More information

Climate Change 2017 The Nature of the Challenge

Climate Change 2017 The Nature of the Challenge Climate Change 2017 The Nature of the Challenge Will Steffen Emeritus Professor, Australian National University Senior Fellow, Stockholm Resilience Centre Outline of Talk 1. Basic climate science and impacts

More information

State of the global climate 2012 with reference to the past 20 years

State of the global climate 2012 with reference to the past 20 years State of the global climate 2012 with reference to the past 20 years 2012 Further developed from the past 20 year UNEP report Keeping Track of Our Changing Environment From Rio to Rio+20 (1992-2012) UNEP

More information

Bankrupting Nature. Global risks and pathways to global sustainability. Anders Wijkman and Johan Rockström. Nalen 6th december

Bankrupting Nature. Global risks and pathways to global sustainability. Anders Wijkman and Johan Rockström. Nalen 6th december Bankrupting Nature Global risks and pathways to global sustainability Anders Wijkman and Johan Rockström Nalen 6th december 2012 1 3-6-9 2 Photos: Mattias Klum Humanity has reached a planetary saturation

More information

Climate Change: current understanding and issues

Climate Change: current understanding and issues Climate Change: current understanding and issues Prof. Mohammed Messouli, Cadi Ayyad University, Morocco Sub regional Workshop on Better Air Quality in North Africa 23 25 November 2009, Ramada Plaza Hotel,

More information

Presentation given at What is science for? conference, Catalyst Science Centre, Widnes,

Presentation given at What is science for? conference, Catalyst Science Centre, Widnes, Presentation given at What is science for? conference, Catalyst Science Centre, Widnes, Cheshire, 25 February 2012 1 2 3 4 Main technological developments in energy sector included steam engine, electricity

More information

1.3 Energy and equilibria

1.3 Energy and equilibria 01 Foundations of ESS 1.3 Energy and equilibria Signifi cant ideas The laws of thermodynamics govern the fl ow of energy in a system and the ability to do work. Systems can exist in alternative stable

More information

Conclusions of the IPCC Working Group I Fifth Assessment Report, AR4, SREX and SRREN

Conclusions of the IPCC Working Group I Fifth Assessment Report, AR4, SREX and SRREN Conclusions of the IPCC Working Group I Fifth Assessment Report, AR4, SREX and SRREN R. K. Pachauri 11 November 2013 Warsaw, Poland Chairman, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 1 Problems cannot

More information

Synthesis. John McConnico

Synthesis. John McConnico Synthesis John McConnico 128 Environmental challenges in a global context 7 Environmental challenges in a global context Environmental challenges in Europe and in the rest of the world are intertwined

More information

GLOBAL WARMING. Earth should be in cool-down-period

GLOBAL WARMING. Earth should be in cool-down-period GLOBAL WARMING Global Warming is defined as the increase of the average temperature on Earth. As the Earth is getting hotter, disasters like hurricanes, droughts and floods are getting more frequent. Over

More information

Welcome to the ANTHROPOCENE

Welcome to the ANTHROPOCENE Welcome to the ANTHROPOCENE Mark Stafford Smith ANU Rio+20 Policy Forum, Nov 2011 Data visualization: Felix Pharand Globaia Setting Rio+20 in a new context key messages We are now a prime driver of change

More information

Human Impact on the Environment: Part I

Human Impact on the Environment: Part I Human Impact on the Environment: Part I The late Alan Gregg pointed out that human population growth within the ecosystem was closely analogous to the growth of malignant tumor cells, that man was acting

More information

Climate Change and Climate protection

Climate Change and Climate protection Climate Change and Climate protection Current state of Affaires Collapse of Wilkins ice shelf Feb. 2009 Prof. Dr. Anders Levermann Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany Der Vortrag steht

More information

Bankrupting Nature can we prevent it? Comments by Anders Wijkman, copresident of the Club of Rome, Passivhus Norden 2013, Gothenburg October 16, 2013

Bankrupting Nature can we prevent it? Comments by Anders Wijkman, copresident of the Club of Rome, Passivhus Norden 2013, Gothenburg October 16, 2013 Bankrupting Nature can we prevent it? Comments by Anders Wijkman, copresident of the Club of Rome, Passivhus Norden 2013, Gothenburg October 16, 2013 1 1972 We don t understand the logic of exponential

More information

Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? 12/13/2016. Yes!

Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? Is the Climate Changing? 12/13/2016. Yes! 1 2 3 Yes! 4 Yes! But Earth's climate is always changing! 5 Yes! But Earth's climate is always changing! 6 Throughout its 4.5 billion year history, Earth's climate has alternated between periods of warmth

More information

Chapter 3: How Climate Change will Affect People Around the World. Lawrence Tse Chris Whitehouse

Chapter 3: How Climate Change will Affect People Around the World. Lawrence Tse Chris Whitehouse Chapter 3: How Climate Change will Affect People Around the World Lawrence Tse Chris Whitehouse Outline 3.1 Introduction 1 C 3.2 Water 2 C 3.3 Food 3 C 3.4 Health 4 C 3.5 Land + 3.6 Infrastructure 5 C

More information

GEOG 401 Climate Change. After Taking Stock, Where Do We Go From Here?

GEOG 401 Climate Change. After Taking Stock, Where Do We Go From Here? GEOG 401 Climate Change After Taking Stock, Where Do We Go From Here? What We Know (1) The planetary system will seek radiative equilibrium by changing surface temperature whenever the equilibrium is disturbed

More information

The Climate Change Challenge

The Climate Change Challenge The Climate Change Challenge Otto C. Doering, III Director, Purdue Climate Change Research Center Professor, Agricultural Economics PURDUE CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH CENTER The PCCRC is a faculty-led, university-based

More information

axa PAPERS Risk education and research No. 4 CLIMATE RISKS

axa PAPERS Risk education and research No. 4 CLIMATE RISKS axa PAPERS Risk education and research No. 4 CLIMATE RISKS Climate Risks Tsunami in Japan, tornadoes in the USA, earthquakes in New-Zealand, or major flooding in many parts of the world: 2011 was an extremely

More information

Global warming: Evidence, risks and mitigation options (or: Why global warming is an energy issue) Filippo Giorgi Abdus Salam ICTP, Trieste

Global warming: Evidence, risks and mitigation options (or: Why global warming is an energy issue) Filippo Giorgi Abdus Salam ICTP, Trieste Global warming: Evidence, risks and mitigation options (or: Why global warming is an energy issue) Filippo Giorgi Abdus Salam ICTP, Trieste Four frequent questions Is global warming happening? (If yes)

More information

The Science of Climate Change

The Science of Climate Change The Science of Climate Change Dr Mark Diesendorf Associate Professor & Deputy Director Institute of Environmental Studies University of New South Wales m.diesendorf@unsw.edu.au December 2014 1 Background

More information

ICCG Think Tank Map: a worldwide observatory on climate think tanks Arctic, Energy Poverty and Health in the Second Volume of IPCC s AR 5

ICCG Think Tank Map: a worldwide observatory on climate think tanks Arctic, Energy Poverty and Health in the Second Volume of IPCC s AR 5 ICCG Think Tank Map: a worldwide observatory on climate think tanks Arctic, Energy Poverty and Health in the Second Volume of IPCC s AR 5 Alice Favero, ICCG Arctic, Energy Poverty and Health Alice Favero

More information

Climate Change and SDGs: Policy Coherence? Leena Srivastava TERI University

Climate Change and SDGs: Policy Coherence? Leena Srivastava TERI University Climate Change and SDGs: Policy Coherence? Leena Srivastava TERI University Back in 2001 The relationships between climate change and sustainable development have been recognised for many years now and

More information

Biodiversity, a global threshold

Biodiversity, a global threshold Biodiversity, a global threshold Why preserving biodiversity should go hand-in-hand with climate mitigation in agro-ecosystems Prof. Katherine Richardson Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate

More information

ATOC 4800: Policy Implications of Climate ATOC 5000/ENVS5830: Critical Issues in Climate and the Environment Class Web Page:

ATOC 4800: Policy Implications of Climate ATOC 5000/ENVS5830: Critical Issues in Climate and the Environment Class Web Page: ATOC 4800: Policy Implications of Climate ATOC 5000/ENVS5830: Critical Issues in Climate and the Environment Class Web Page: http://atoc.colorado.edu/~whan/atoc4800_5000 Announcements 1. No Exams and Extra-credits;

More information

Introducing alien ecosystem engineers to Round Island, Mauritius

Introducing alien ecosystem engineers to Round Island, Mauritius Introducing alien ecosystem engineers to Round Island, Mauritius Species lost 2 giant tortoises Role dispersal of herbivore adapted seeds Surrogate species Aldabra Giant Tortoise Madagascar radiated tortoise

More information

Global Climatic Change. GEOG/ENST 2331 Lecture 22 Ahrens: Chapter 16

Global Climatic Change. GEOG/ENST 2331 Lecture 22 Ahrens: Chapter 16 Global Climatic Change GEOG/ENST 2331 Lecture 22 Ahrens: Chapter 16 Global Climatic Change! Review: Radiation balance! Enhanced greenhouse effect! human-induced change! Climate feedbacks Climatic change!

More information

Analysis. Document of WARMING 5TH IPCC REPORT. THE CERTAINTY OF AN INHERITANCE, GLOBAL WARMING. Document of Analysis 51/2013 1

Analysis. Document of WARMING 5TH IPCC REPORT. THE CERTAINTY OF AN INHERITANCE, GLOBAL WARMING. Document of Analysis 51/2013 1 Document of Analysis 51/2013 30 September 2013 Enter the WEB Sign up for our NEWSLETTER 5TH IPCC REPORT. THE CERTAINTY OF AN INHERITANCE, GLOBAL WARMING This document has been translated by a Translation

More information

Impacts of Climate Change on Ecosystems

Impacts of Climate Change on Ecosystems Introduction The main objective of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change is to stabilise greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level which will avoid dangerous human interference

More information

Sustainable Development and the End of History. Introductory Lecture by Alan AtKisson CEMUS Uppsala University 30 August 2017

Sustainable Development and the End of History. Introductory Lecture by Alan AtKisson CEMUS Uppsala University 30 August 2017 Sustainable Development and the End of History Introductory Lecture by Alan AtKisson CEMUS Uppsala University 30 August 2017 A brief self-introduction Founded: 1992 Mission: To Accelerate Sustainability

More information

Philip Sutton Convener Greenleap Strategic Institute

Philip Sutton Convener Greenleap Strategic Institute The science of greenhouse gas reduction targets: What is needed to avoid dangerous climate change? The zero-minus fast, with cooling target Philip Sutton Convener Greenleap Strategic Institute 16 December

More information

The Big Bang, the LHC and the God Particle

The Big Bang, the LHC and the God Particle The Big Bang, the LHC and the God Particle Cormac O Raifeartaigh (WIT) A dialogue abut how we are shaping the future of the planet Cormac O Raifeartaigh (FRAS) Laudato Si I What Is Happening to Our Common

More information

TOPIC #16 THE IPCC FINDINGS

TOPIC #16 THE IPCC FINDINGS TOPIC #16 THE IPCC FINDINGS About the IPCC, the Projections, & Impacts pp 87-92 Eden by Gregory Kitterle "A world civilization able to envision God and the afterlife, to embark on the colonization of space,

More information

Climate Change. The Scale & Urgency of the Challenge

Climate Change. The Scale & Urgency of the Challenge Climate Change The Scale & Urgency of the Challenge Brian Hoskins UK Climate Change Committee Director, Grantham Institute for Climate Change Imperial College, UK Royal Society Research Professor, University

More information

Global Warming of 1.5 C

Global Warming of 1.5 C Global Warming of 1.5 C Global Warming of 1.5 C An IPCC special report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the

More information

Transformative Pathways towards Sustainability:

Transformative Pathways towards Sustainability: Transformative Pathways towards Sustainability: can we think out of the box? can we act out of the box? Professor Dr. Pavel Kabat IIASA Director General and Chief Executive Officer Professor Earth System

More information

Thresholds and Points of No Return: Managing Arctic Ecosystems under Rapid Change

Thresholds and Points of No Return: Managing Arctic Ecosystems under Rapid Change Thresholds and Points of No Return: Managing Arctic Ecosystems under Rapid Change Carlos M. Duarte IMEDEA (CSIC-UIB), Mallorca, Spain Arvid Sveen Arctic Frontiers, Tromsø, 24 January 2011 What are ecological

More information

Current Update on Climate Science

Current Update on Climate Science Current Update on Climate Science Ben Santer Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA 94550 Email: santer1@llnl.gov 3 rd Annual CAFE

More information

Sustainable Consumption and Production: How to Make it Possible Learning from Others

Sustainable Consumption and Production: How to Make it Possible Learning from Others Sustainable Consumption and Production: How to Make it Possible Learning from Others Courtney Peyton Managing Director, March 20th 2008, Vilnius, Lithuania Likely climate impacts: At lowest potential temperature

More information

Climate change: facts, impacts and global security

Climate change: facts, impacts and global security Climate change: facts, impacts and global security Unesco Paris July 2009 Philip C. Reid FACTS IPCC 2007 Warming unequivocal Very high confidence that due to forcing by human activities Global surface

More information

Why Must We Care About Climate Change

Why Must We Care About Climate Change Why Must We Care About Climate Change Power Shift Malaysia Ontok-Ontok, Selangor 11 th September 2015 Prof. Datin Dr. Azizan Baharuddin Director-General Institute of Islamic Understanding Malaysia Photo:

More information

Presented by Dave Griggs Director, Monash Sustainability Institute" Sustainable Development Goals and the role of energy"! "

Presented by Dave Griggs Director, Monash Sustainability Institute Sustainable Development Goals and the role of energy! Presented by Dave Griggs Director, Monash Sustainability Institute" Sustainable Development Goals and the role of energy"! " Monash Sustainability Institute 2 The changing human enterprise, from 1750 to

More information

IPY/NSTA Web Seminar: The Role of Polar Regions in Earth s Changing Climate System

IPY/NSTA Web Seminar: The Role of Polar Regions in Earth s Changing Climate System LIVE INTERACTIVE LEARNING @ YOUR DESKTOP IPY/NSTA Web Seminar: The Role of Polar Regions in Earth s Changing Climate System Tuesday, November 27, 2007 6:30 p.m. - 8:00 p.m. Eastern time Agenda: 1. Introductions

More information

6-4 Charting a Course for the Future Slide 2 of 30

6-4 Charting a Course for the Future Slide 2 of 30 6-4 Charting a Course for the Future 2 of 30 Ozone Depletion What are two types of global change of concern to biologists? the ozone layer high in the atmosphere the global climate system 3 of 30 Ozone

More information

CLIMATE UPDATE MAY 2009 THE ROAD TO THE EU S +2 O C MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE LIMIT

CLIMATE UPDATE MAY 2009 THE ROAD TO THE EU S +2 O C MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE LIMIT CLIMATE UPDATE MAY 2009 THE ROAD TO THE EU S +2 O C MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE LIMIT Andrew Glikson Earth and paleoclimate scientist Australian National University According to the IPCC AR4-2007 report [1] a

More information

G8 Summit Symposium (June, 24) Drastic Change in the Earth System

G8 Summit Symposium (June, 24) Drastic Change in the Earth System G8 Summit Symposium (June, 24) Drastic Change in the Earth System during Global Warming Call for questions 1. Clarify causes and magnitude of sea level lrise (J. Church, M. Ikeda) 2D 2. Decay of glaciers

More information

Global Climate Change: What the Future Holds, and What We Can Do About It

Global Climate Change: What the Future Holds, and What We Can Do About It Global Climate Change: What the Future Holds, and What We Can Do About It Dr. David Karowe Professor, Department of Biological Sciences Schedule of Topics September 29: Recent climate change (Dave Karowe)

More information

Issue Brief: Integrating social-ecological resilience, biodiversity and ecosystem services into the Sustainable Development Goals

Issue Brief: Integrating social-ecological resilience, biodiversity and ecosystem services into the Sustainable Development Goals Issue Brief: Integrating social-ecological resilience, biodiversity and ecosystem services into the Sustainable Development Goals A contribution of Stockholm Resilience Centre and ICSU (International Council

More information

Greenhouse Effect & Climate Change

Greenhouse Effect & Climate Change Greenhouse Effect & Climate Change Greenhouse Effect Light energy from the sun (solar radiation) is either reflected or absorbed by the Earth. Greenhouse Effect When it is absorbed by the Earth (or something

More information

ATM S 211 Final Examination June 4, 2007

ATM S 211 Final Examination June 4, 2007 ATM S 211 Final Examination June 4, 2007 Name This examination consists of a total of 100 points. In each of the first two sections, you have a choice of which questions to answer. Please note that you

More information

Strengthening Links between Science and Policy for the Sustainable Development Goals

Strengthening Links between Science and Policy for the Sustainable Development Goals Strengthening Links between Science and Policy for the Sustainable Development Goals Kazuhiko Takeuchi Senior Vice-Rector, United Nations University 24 October 2015 14:00~ Elizabeth Rose Hall, Unite Nations

More information

Heat Confronting the New Climate Normal THE CLIMATE CHALLENGE FOR THE FORESTS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION. Turn Down. the. Public Disclosure Authorized

Heat Confronting the New Climate Normal THE CLIMATE CHALLENGE FOR THE FORESTS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION. Turn Down. the. Public Disclosure Authorized Turn Down the Heat Confronting the New Climate Normal THE CLIMATE CHALLENGE FOR THE FORESTS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION WE ARE HEADING TOWARDS A MUCH HARSHER CLIMATE In a sobering assessment Turn Down the

More information

Provisioning wild catch seafood in Australia s ocean economy: opportunities and challenges

Provisioning wild catch seafood in Australia s ocean economy: opportunities and challenges Provisioning wild catch seafood in Australia s ocean economy: opportunities and challenges Sarah Jennings 60 th AARES Conference February 2016 Canberra TASMANIAN SCHOOL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMICS Acknowledgements

More information

Sustainability and Climate Change: What Everyone Should Know

Sustainability and Climate Change: What Everyone Should Know University of Colorado, Boulder CU Scholar Science Boot Camp for Librarians West University Libraries Spring 5-1-2013 Sustainability and Climate Change: What Everyone Should Know Jim White University of

More information

ASTHO: Climate Change and Public Health February 19, 2008

ASTHO: Climate Change and Public Health February 19, 2008 ASTHO: Climate Change and Public Health February 19, 2008 Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious and SARS Diseases Convergence Model Genetic and Biological Factors Animals E I D Physical and Environmental

More information

Global Change Biology

Global Change Biology Objectives Introduce some of the more important issues in global change biology Predominate role of humans Importance for management of natural resources 1 Humans dominate the Earth This has led to substantial

More information

What Impact Would the Dieback of Amazonia Have on Regional and Global Climate, Carbon, Water, and Energy Cycles?

What Impact Would the Dieback of Amazonia Have on Regional and Global Climate, Carbon, Water, and Energy Cycles? What Impact Would the Dieback of Amazonia Have on Regional and Global Climate, Carbon, Water, and Energy Cycles? Richard Betts*, Peter Cox* #, Chris Jones*, Mike Sanderson*, Stephanie Woodward* *Hadley

More information

Geo-engineering a new Copernican Revolution. An ultimate solution for Reducing Global Warming? Raoul Weiler

Geo-engineering a new Copernican Revolution. An ultimate solution for Reducing Global Warming? Raoul Weiler Geo-engineering a new Copernican Revolution. An ultimate solution for Reducing Global Warming? Raoul Weiler University of Leuven, Belgium EU-Chapter Club of Rome, Belgium (CoR-EU) World Academy of Art

More information

3. Examine the impact of human activity on carbon flows/soil/nutrient stores. (10marks)

3. Examine the impact of human activity on carbon flows/soil/nutrient stores. (10marks) Rainforest Case study Qs: 1. Examine how physical and/or human factors affect the stores and flows of the carbon/water cycle in the tropical rainforest (10marks) 2. With reference to a drainage basin within

More information

Global warming: Evidence, risks and mitigation options. Filippo Giorgi Abdus Salam ICTP, Trieste

Global warming: Evidence, risks and mitigation options. Filippo Giorgi Abdus Salam ICTP, Trieste Global warming: Evidence, risks and mitigation options Filippo Giorgi Abdus Salam ICTP, Trieste Four frequent questions Is global warming happening? (If yes) Is global warming due to human activities?

More information

The Carbon Cycle and Energy Security

The Carbon Cycle and Energy Security The Carbon Cycle and Energy Security EQ1: How does the carbon cycle operate to maintain planetary health? 6 & 8 markers = AO1. 12 & 20 markers = AO1 and AO2 larger weighting Carbon cycle Fluxes IPCC Anthropogenic

More information

Working Group II: Climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability

Working Group II: Climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability Fact sheet: Climate change science The status of climate change science today United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Enough is known about the earth s climate system and the greenhouse effect

More information

Past, current and projected changes of global GHG emissions and concentrations

Past, current and projected changes of global GHG emissions and concentrations Past, current and projected changes of global GHG emissions and concentrations Corinne Le Quéré, University of East Anglia lead author, WGI Chapter 6 Yann Arthus-Bertrand / Altitude Change in greenhouse

More information

The Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment (ACCE) Report: A Key Update

The Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment (ACCE) Report: A Key Update Agenda Item: ATCM 14, CEP 7 Presented by: SCAR Original: English Submitted: 05/04/2013 The Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment (ACCE) Report: A Key Update 1 The Antarctic Climate Change and the

More information

Planetary boundaries and environmental tipping points: What do they mean for sustainable development and the global agenda?

Planetary boundaries and environmental tipping points: What do they mean for sustainable development and the global agenda? Planetary boundaries and environmental tipping points: What do they mean for sustainable development and the global agenda? WORKSHOP REPORT 4 5 NOVEMBER 2013 Planetary boundaries and environmental tipping

More information

3/5/2012. Study Questions. Global Warming. Weather: daily temperature and moisture conditions Climate: long-term weather patterns

3/5/2012. Study Questions. Global Warming. Weather: daily temperature and moisture conditions Climate: long-term weather patterns Study Questions Global Warming 1. Explain what is meant by the term Greenhouse effect. 2. List 3 indications that global climate is currently increasing. 3. Describe 3 possible consequences of global warming.

More information

Dangerous Climate Change: Tipping Points and Radical Geoengineering. Peter Cox Professor of Climate System Dynamics University of Exeter

Dangerous Climate Change: Tipping Points and Radical Geoengineering. Peter Cox Professor of Climate System Dynamics University of Exeter Dangerous Climate Change: Tipping Points and Radical Geoengineering Peter Cox Professor of Climate System Dynamics University of Exeter United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) The

More information

Erosion of Agriculture

Erosion of Agriculture Erosion of Agriculture The shrinking area of productive land and the earth s steadily expanding human population are on a collision course. Soil erosion and land degradation issues are local, but the effect

More information

Atmosphere. The layer of gas surrounding the Earth

Atmosphere. The layer of gas surrounding the Earth Earth and Space Notes: Atmosphere Atmosphere The layer of gas surrounding the Earth Breakdown: Nitrogen (~79%) Oxygen (~21%) Argon, CO2, methane, ozone, water, nitrous oxides, sulphur dioxide, etc Gases

More information

Today. Events. Terrestrial Planet Climate. Homework DUE. Review next time. Exam next week

Today. Events. Terrestrial Planet Climate. Homework DUE. Review next time. Exam next week Today Terrestrial Planet Climate Events Homework DUE Review next time Exam next week Wonders of the Industrial Age From 1912 Weather and Climate Weather is the ever-varying combination of wind, clouds,

More information

Recent carbon trends and the fate of the natural sink

Recent carbon trends and the fate of the natural sink Recent carbon trends and the fate of the natural sink Biosphere between sink & source 22.01.2008 Johannes Enssle GCM 2007 Student presentation Physical Fundamentals of Global Change Content 1. Recent global

More information

MILLER/SPOOLMAN 17 TH LIVING IN THE ENVIRONMENT. Chapter 7 Climate and Biodiversity

MILLER/SPOOLMAN 17 TH LIVING IN THE ENVIRONMENT. Chapter 7 Climate and Biodiversity MILLER/SPOOLMAN LIVING IN THE ENVIRONMENT 17 TH Chapter 7 Climate and Biodiversity Core Case Study: Different Climates Support Different Life Forms Climate -- long-term temperature and precipitation patterns

More information

Points in the Earth s

Points in the Earth s Major Tipping Points in the Earth s Climate System and Consequences for the Insurance Sector The Tipping Points Report was commissioned jointly by Allianz, a leading global financial service provider,

More information

Ocean Literacy The ocean is a major influence on weather and climate.

Ocean Literacy The ocean is a major influence on weather and climate. Freshand Salt Principle 3 Ocean Literacy The ocean is a major influence on weather and climate. Great Lakes Literacy The Great Lakes influence local and regional weather and climate. 49 Fresh Salt and

More information

Do we actually need an energy transformation? Prof. Dr. Anders Levermann

Do we actually need an energy transformation? Prof. Dr. Anders Levermann Do we actually need an energy transformation? Prof. Dr. Anders Levermann In Physics We Trust Collapse of Larsen Ice Shelf in Antarctica John Mercer (Nature, 1978): If the global consumption of fossil fuels

More information

The carbon and climate problem

The carbon and climate problem The carbon and climate problem What is the evidence? What are the caveats? What are the long-term implications? Prof. Ric Williams www.liv.ac.uk/climate 1 1. What is the evidence? data/simple theory CO

More information

The human pressure on the planet Earth and the international efforts to limit climate change UNIVERSITÀ DI ROMA SAPIENZA FLAMINIA TUMINO

The human pressure on the planet Earth and the international efforts to limit climate change UNIVERSITÀ DI ROMA SAPIENZA FLAMINIA TUMINO The human pressure on the planet Earth and the international efforts to limit climate change UNIVERSITÀ DI ROMA SAPIENZA FLAMINIA TUMINO Summary: Part I Science Part II Policy Part III Carbon footprint

More information

ANU Climate Update changes: building momentum. Professor Mark Howden

ANU Climate Update changes: building momentum. Professor Mark Howden ANU Climate Update 2018 changes: building momentum Professor Mark Howden ANU Climate Change Institute Vice Chair, IPCC Working Group II @ProfMarkHowden CO 2 emission rising again: record levels At these

More information

11/15. Agenda. Albedo Effect Simulator: Discussion Climate Change Notes

11/15. Agenda. Albedo Effect Simulator: Discussion Climate Change Notes Agenda 11/15 Albedo Effect Simulator: Discussion Climate Change Notes Announcements -Test (11/20) -Notebook check (tomorrow) -Lab due (11.59pm, tomorrow) -No quiz tomorrow Criteria Table of contents labeled

More information

State of the planetary life support system

State of the planetary life support system State of the planetary life support system "We're simply talking about the very life support system of this planet Joachim Hans Schellnhuber, Director of the Potsdam Climate Impacts Institute and Climate

More information

WORLD CLIMATE RESEARCH PROGRAMME

WORLD CLIMATE RESEARCH PROGRAMME WORLD CLIMATE RESEARCH PROGRAMME Guy P. Brasseur, Chair WCRP Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO, USA CLIMATE CHANGE REDUCING AND

More information

ENHANCING RESILIENCE TO REDUCE CLIMATE RISKS: SCIENTIFIC RATIONALE FOR THE SUSTAINED DELIVERY

ENHANCING RESILIENCE TO REDUCE CLIMATE RISKS: SCIENTIFIC RATIONALE FOR THE SUSTAINED DELIVERY GEF Council November 16-18, 2010 Washington, D.C. GEF/C.39/Inf.18 November 10, 2010 ENHANCING RESILIENCE TO REDUCE CLIMATE RISKS: SCIENTIFIC RATIONALE FOR THE SUSTAINED DELIVERY OF GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL

More information

PAN EURASIAN EXPERIMENT (PEEX)

PAN EURASIAN EXPERIMENT (PEEX) PAN EURASIAN EXPERIMENT (PEEX) TOWARDS A NEW MULTINATIONAL ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE RESEARCH EFFORT IN ARCTIC AND BOREAL PAN-EURASIA REGIONS What is PEEX? PEEX Pan-Eurasian Experiment study is a multidisciplinary

More information

Overview. Lessons from China Three New Stresses. Failing States Tipping Points. Peak Oil Rising Food Insecurity Climate Change

Overview. Lessons from China Three New Stresses. Failing States Tipping Points. Peak Oil Rising Food Insecurity Climate Change ! Overview A Civilization in Trouble Lessons from China Three New Stresses Peak Oil Rising Food Insecurity Climate Change Failing States Tipping Points Time for Plan B Stabilizing Population, Eradicating

More information