Heat pump markets and the need for quality Thomas Nowak European Heat Pump Association

Transcription

1 Growing for good? The European Heat Pump Market - Status and outlook Thomas Nowak Secretary General Heat pump markets and the need for quality Thomas Nowak European Heat Pump Association 1

2 2 European Heat Pump Association (EHPA) 124 members from 22 countries Heat pump manufacturers Component manufacturers National associations Consultants Research & test institutes EU-wide representative of heat pump industry Registered in Brussels EHPA represents the majority of players in the EU heat pump industry!

3 When we are talking about heat pumps in Europe Heating Cooling Hot water For all cold, average, warm climates Stiebel-Eltron Jussi Hirvonen Residential Commercial Industrial applications Alone or in combination (hybrid systems) 3 Friotherm

4 WP product / system 2011 ROHS 2012 WEEE 2009 RES-Directive 2010 EPBD 2012 EED Lot 1, Ecodesign Lot Energylabel 2014 Ecolabel Hydronic + buildings 2014 F-Gas building country region Europe target 2030 Climate & Energy framework 4

5 REVISION Renewable energy sources Directive 2009/28/EU REVISION Energy performance of buildings Directive (2010/31/EU) REVISION Energy Efficiency Directive (2012/27/EU) NEW Energy labelling framework Directive (2010/30) REVISION Emission trading scheme (ETS) reform NEW Directive on common rules for internal electricity market NEW Primary energy factor calculation (PEF) 5

6 European Heat pump markets + Market Report 2016 leaner & quicker stats.ehpa.org interactive online tool sales forecast 6 = spreading the word produce relevant information multiply the voices foster credibility

7 Market development Accumulated: 9.5 million units installed 7

8 Heat pump sales By energy source 8

9 Sanitary hot water sales Signs of saturation 9

10 Top 10 heat pump markets by volume > 881k units (89%) 10

11 Market performance Sales per 1000 households 11

12 Market potentials If Norway was everywhere 6.8 million units 12

13 Employment 2016 full time equivalents: total employment is higher technology leadership is in Europe 13

14 Market development: boilers and heat pumps 6.5 million boilers per year vs. 9.3 million heat pumps installed boilers heating HP Source: BRG / EHPA 14

15 December 2015 climate agreement: 2 C max, better yet, 1.5 C 15

16 35 years later? Business as usual Nationally determined contributions (NDC) 1.5 pathway 50% likelihood 2.0 pathways 66% likelihood Source: Rogelj et al. (2015): Energy system transformation for limiting end-of century warming to below 1.5C. Nature Climate change 16 Growing for good? The European Heat Pump Market - Status and outlook IEA HPC 2017 Rotterdam Thomas Nowak

17 17 Final energy demand for EU28 by end-use for H/C in all sectors in 2012 [total: TWh] Cooling =326 TWh!! % values apply on total! ource: Fraunhofer ISI et al. (2016): Report WP 1, p.83

18 Energy shares vs. emission in EU dwellings % 14% 10% 13% 4% 1% 2% District heating 7% 10% Oil District heating 4% 16% Gas Coal 22% Oil Gas Coal Biomass Biomass Heat pumps direct electric Heat pumps direct electric 18 45% Energy used Growing for good? The European Heat Pump Market - Status and outlook IEA HPC 2017 Rotterdam Thomas Nowak Source: own calculations. Data from % GHG emissions

19 The hexagon of heat pump benefits numbers for 2016 installed stock of 9.3 million units Renewable: 105 TWh Energy efficient 134 TWh final energy saved Employment full time jobs CO2 reduction 27.1 Mt 19 Demand response: 298 GW PM2.5 reduction

20 A possible vision for the 2050 energy system Source: 20

21 Join decarbheat 21

22 Conclusion The glas is at least half full 22 Thank you for you attention