Development Global Sea Freight Euroblock Forum

Transcription

1 Development Global Sea Freight Euroblock Forum Freising, 4. February 2010 Bild 1 Markus Lingohr Director Air & Sea Division Germany

2 Agenda Hellmann Worldwide Logistics Container, Ships& Harbors Effects of the economic crisis Outlook 2011ff

3 Hellmann - Innovation since 1871 Thinking Ahead Moving Forward 1871 company foundation by Carl Heinrich Hellmann 1982 Hellmann Worldwide Logistics opens up the first office in Hongkong Hellmann Worldwide Logistics today: employees 2,47 billions Euro turnover 12,7 billions deliveries per year A global network with 443 subsidiaries in 157 countries with employees

4 Container

5 Development of the container Shipowner Malcolm McLean first used a container for a delivery by sea freight in U.S.A. in the implementation of the ISO-container had been a substantial condition for the globalization of the world economy - the turnover rate of ready goods had been increased essentialy by container - today, two thirds of the world trade are being processed by container

6 Standard - Container The Abbreviation TEU (Twenty Foot Equivalent Unit) is the international standardized unit for container. This unit is being used worldwide to state capacity of ships, freight terminals and harbors. Standard-Container-Types:

7 Since 1956 demand for containers is multiple higher than economic growth demand-growth by year Multiplikator BIP-Wachstum 0.02 x 2.3 x 2.9 x 3.8 X? Container Trade growth GDP (BIP) growth

8 The global container-market and export from Europe

9 Global container-market 2009 (in TEU) growth-rates 2010 Asia remains the engine of global growth

10 Container-Export from Europe Asia & China are the main markets of Europe 8% 8% 7% 3% 17% 20% 37%

11 Container-Export from Europe North America is the second important market 8% 8% 7% 3% 17% 37% 20%

12 Container-Export from Europe Emerging Markets: Indien & MiddleEast 8% 8% 7% 3% 17% 20% 37%

13 Shipping Companies

14 20 shipping companies transport 72% of all containers. 10 shipping companies transport 53% of all containers

15 The world economic crisis 2009 Effects on the global sea freight

16 2009 had been the first year with a negative development in the global container-transport 2009

17 Due to the worlds economic crisis prices per container-unit (TEU) decreased dramatically US$ 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 This had lead to billion-high losses in all container-lines. 1,500 Frachtraten inklusive Bunker-Kosten/BAF

18 Reactions of shipping companies to the crisis in 2009 Optimization of sea transport Laid up Capacity closing of ships Orderbook Delay delayed acceptance of new ships Slow Steaming reduced speed from about 23 to 16 knots -> fuel costs = - 50%

19 Slow Steaming Consumption-optimization of the ships Effects: - higher economic efficiency - less CO2-emmissios - longer journey times - increasing reliability

20 Reactions of shipping companies to the crisis in 2009 Optimization of sea transport Increased Efficiency Change of circulations and journey-routes Use of bigger ships Sorting out of smaller units

21 Ships

22 Size-development of container-ships m length / up to TEU m length/ about TEU m length / about TEU m length / more than TEU

23 The biggest container-ship of the world 2006 volume BRZ : carrying capacity (dwt): length (ü. a.): 397 m breadth (ü. a.): 56,4 m draft: up to 16,5 m height 68 m driving power: speed: kw 27 knots = 50 km/h crew: 13 M/V Emma Maersk

24 The next container-ship-generation 2014 length : 440 Meter breadth : 59 Meter capacity : TEU maximum speed: 21 knots / 38,9 km/h draft : 16,50 m

25 Shipping-Company-Fleets in Thousand-TEU total fleet: capacity: ships 14 millionteu actual fleet New ships/orderbook Source: Alphaliner

26 Capacity development new ships Entwicklung der Bestellung von Schiffen Orders Orderbook/Current global fleet as % Planned new ships: ships with a capacity of 3,79 million TEU = + 27 % Orders Jan Nov

27 Harbors

28 Harbors in North-Europe Additional capacity of 25 million TEU planned

29 The biggest harbors in the world Container-turnover in TEU Big growth in China: +22,3% in the first half year 2010

30 Bigger ships need bigger harbors JadeWeserPort Wilhemshaven 18m depth of the water (SKN =Seekarten-Null) 130 ha area container-terminal independent to the tides Trimodal connection: (rail, road, sea)

31 Infrastructure from harbors to inland demand for rail- and inland-ship-transport

32 Outlook

33 Expectations for further development of the world trade are very positive world trade JP Morgan 11.2% 8.7% Deutsche Bank 12.6% 7.8% OECD 8.3% 7.4% Goldman Sachs 13.8% 7.3% IMF / Welt-Währungs-Fond -11.3% 9.0% 6.3% average growth : + 7,7 % Citibank -9.0% 11.0% 5.0% Durchschnitt / Average 11.0% 7.7%

34 Until 2015 the container-market will grow by 35% with notedly increased growth rates. average growth per year: 4,8 % average growth per year: 6% CAGR= Compound Annual Growth Rate

35 In Closing

36 Adjustment of the infrastructure to growing demand is the biggest challenge for the next year. ships Harbors Terminals Interior transport

37 Thank you very much for your interest.