Climate change: Impact on nitrogen export from different land-use types in a reservoir catchment
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1 Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Department of Forest Sciences, Institute of Soil Science and Site Ecology Climate change: Impact on nitrogen export from different land-use types in a reservoir catchment Raphael Benning, Stefan Julich, Karl-Heinz Feger SWAT 2013 Toulouse France,
2 Research area - REGKLAM Introduction Study sites Model setup Results Conclusions SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 2 of 19
3 Research area - Ammelsdorf catchment Climate (period ) Precipitation 1096 mm a -1 Mean annual temperature 4,3 C (Bernhofer et al., 2009) Size 51 km² SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 3 of 19
4 Projected climate change signals Temperature (until 2100) Precipitation (until 2100) WETTREG C CLM +4,5 C SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 4 of 19
5 Input data for Ammelsdorf catchment Introduction Study sites Model setup Results Conclusions 20 m resolution DEM (GeoSN, 2010) Land use, CIR 2005 (LfULG, 2010) Soil map BK50 (LfULG, 2011) SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 5 of 19
6 Model setup and measurement data 14 Subbasins 1312 HRUs Discharge data Ammelsdorf & Rehefeld (LHWZ, 2012) Water quality data Ammelsdorf (TUD) Calibration period Validation period (planned) 2012 SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 6 of 19
7 Model calibration discharge Introduction Study sites Model setup Results Conclusions Objective function: NSE mean = (NSE + log_nse) / 2 NSE mean Ammelsdorf 0.61 NSE mean Rehefeld 0.60 SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 7 of 19
8 Model calibration nitrogen Simulated vs. observed nitrogen exports: % % Objective function: Simulated annual export = ± 35 % of observed annual export SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 8 of 19
9 Projected annual nitrogen export Agricultural land SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 9 of 19
10 Projected annual nitrogen export Pasture land SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 10 of 19
11 Projected annual nitrogen export Forest land SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 11 of 19
12 Projected annual nitrogen exports Ammelsdorf gauge SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 12 of 19
13 Projected annual nitrogen exports Ammelsdorf gauge SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 13 of 19
14 Projected annual nitrogen exports Ammelsdorf gauge SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 14 of 19
15 Projected monthly nitrogen exports Ammelsdorf gauge SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 15 of 19
16 Projected monthly nitrogen exports Ammelsdorf gauge SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 16 of 19
17 Projected monthly nitrogen exports Ammelsdorf gauge SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 17 of 19
18 Conclusions The projected nitrogen exports contain high uncertainties due to the underlying uncertainties in the projected precipitation and potential land use changes. There is no significant trend within the projected nitrogen exports at the annual scale. The nitrogen exports at the monthly scale indicate distinct changes: Higher exports during the winter month and lower exports in spring. SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 18 of 19
19 Contact: Dipl.-Forstwirt Raphael Benning Technische Universität Dresden Institute of Soil Science and Site Ecology Pienner Str Tharandt Funding: FKZ: 01 LR 0802 SWAT 2013 Toulouse France Slide 19 of 19
Stefan Julich, Raphael Benning, Karl-Heinz Feger
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