Adapting to Rising Tides

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1 Adapting to Rising Tides Getting to Flood Resilience through Collaborative Planning and Capacity Building San Francisco Bay Conservation and Development Commission Wendy Goodfriend, BCDC Paul Detjens, CCCFCWCD September 8, 2016

2 What is Adapting to Rising Tides? A Bay Area Program that: o Provides guidance and support for adaptation at all scales - local, regional, state and federal o Develops, leverages and identifies best available data, information and research o Builds and supports partnerships with agencies and organizations o Identifies challenging issues or regional priorities that need further assessment o Continues to refine adaptation practices to ensure outcomes support taking action

3 ART Program Projects Local-scale projects Alameda County Contra Costa County Hayward Shoreline Resilience Study Oakland/Alameda Shoreline Resilience Study Regional-scale projects Stronger Housing, Safer Communities Hazard Mitigation and Adaptation Plans Regional Sea Level Rise and Shoreline Overtopping Maps and Analysis Sector-specific projects EBRPD Shoreline Parks Bay Area Transportation Climate Resilience CCJPA Intercity Rail Hot Spots Assessment Corte Madera Baylands Tidal Creeks and Flood Control Channels

4 Contra Costa ART Project Outcomes o A collaborative working group that has the information and capacity to understand and address current and future flood risks o A robust, multi-sector, multi-jurisdiction evaluation of current and future flooding o Development of innovative shoreline geospatial analysis and mapping o A comprehensive assessment of vulnerabilities and consequences based on ART s detailed assessment questions o A clear and compelling case for taking action on priority planning issues

5 Stakeholder Working Group o o o o o County Agencies: Conservation and Development, Flood Control, Public Works, Health Services, Mosquito and Vector Control, Office of Emergency Services Cities: Planning and Public Works Special Districts: Water, Wastewater, Parks Regional, State and Federal Agencies: ABAG, MTC, Congestion Management/Transportation, NOAA, FEMA Private Entities and Non-Governmental Organizations: Power, rail, refineries, industrial alliances and councils, community based organizations

6 Many Sectors and Assets Community Characteristics Individuals, households, neighborhoods Residential Housing Single-family, multi-family, mobile homes Community Facilities and Services Public health infrastructure Emergency facilities and services Waste collection and transfer stations Business and Industrial Land Uses Commercial land uses Industrial land uses Brownfields Hazardous Materials Sites Landfills (closed and open) Parks and Recreation Facilities Shoreline parks Marinas Water Management Water supply Wastewater Flood management Stormwater infrastructure Natural Shorelines Tidal wetlands Transportation Passenger and freight rail Local, state, interstate roads Bay trail Seaport (Port of Richmond) Marine oil terminals Energy and Fuel Supply Pipelines Refineries Power generation & distribution

7 ART Flood Exposure Analysis o Uses an equivalent water level approach to reduce the number of maps needed to understand flooding o Communicates that coastal and shoreline areas will first temporarily flooded before permanently inundated o Provides the information needed for local jurisdictions and agencies to develop appropriate and timely actions Source: AECOM

8 One Map = Many Futures ART has develop an approach to unlock sea level rise maps using geographically specific sea level rise and extreme tides matrix of equivalent water levels

9 Sea Level Rise Inundation Mapping Equivalent Water Levels High tide with 77 SLR Permanent Inundation or 100-year tide with 36 SLR 50-year tide with 48 SLR Temporary Flooding

10 Shoreline Mapping Location and elevation of seven shoreline defense types that can prevent inland flooding: Engineered Flood Protection Engineered Shoreline Protection Embankments Transportation Structures Non Engineered Berms Wetlands Natural Shoreline/Beach

11 Shoreline Example: Study transportation structures road embankment Structure primarily built for transportation purposes (not flood control) even if it has the "shape/structure" to provide some flood control benefits (e.g. major highways/railroads)

12 Example: wetlands wetland Presence of tidal marsh on edge of Bay or larger creek channels, with first structure Structure primarily built for transportation purposes (not flood control) even if it has the "shape/structure" to provide some flood control benefits behind (e.g. it mapped major highways/railroads) as well

13 Shoreline Overtopping Analysis

14 ART Assessment Questions Assessment questions are a tool to efficiently gather information about vulnerability and risk o Preliminary answers are gathered using readily available data, reports and studies o Findings are validated by working group members, topical experts, and those with local knowledge Written surveys Individual meetings Phone interviews Field visits

15 Costa Products o Assessment findings by sector and asset category o Asset-specific exposure analysis and mapping o Sea level rise and shoreline overtopping maps for ten equivalent water levels (GIS data + technical memo) o Identification of six crosscutting, key planning issues o Adaptation responses for asset categories and key planning issues

16 Taking Action: Lower Walnut Creek o Lower Walnut Creek Restoration Project o Deauthorization and restoration of 4 miles of Corps channel o SLR resiliency is essential part of LWC vision o Robust outreach and stakeholder engagement included in local planning effort o Close coordination with ART essential to minimize stakeholder confusion

17 Taking Action: Lower Walnut Creek o Cross pollination o LWC project provided input, inventory, and modelling data to ART o Asset Profile Sheet (one of many for ART)

18 Taking Action: Lower Walnut Creek Maximum Depth of Inundation 100-year Fluvial Flood, existing conditions and with 5ft SLR Existing Conditions Depth (feet) With 5 ft SLR

19 Taking Action: Lower Walnut Creek Projected Habitat Extents With Accretion and SLR Existing Conditions 2ft SLR 5ft SLR

20 Taking Action: Lower Walnut Creek

21 Project Outreach And Stakeholder Engagement on a Tiny Budget Paul R. Detjens 2 pm, Carmel AB

22 Contact Information

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