By V. Otieno, E. Kayijamahe & A. Royer

Transcription

1 13 th EUMETSAT Users Forum - September 2018 IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre - ICPAC USE OF MESA STATIONS FOR NATURAL RESOURCE AND FOOD SECURITY MONITORING By V. Otieno, E. Kayijamahe & A. Royer

2 Outline 2 Overview of GMES & Africa ICPAC Overview of MESA stations Applications Natural Habitat Agriculture Rangeland Forest Monitoring

3 GMES & Africa East African Region 3 Project Title: Monitoring Natural Resources and Food Security in the East African Region Objective: Promote sustainable long-term management of natural resources in the East Africa region by providing decision and policy makers with information and tools needed for implementation of sustainable environmental policies at regional and national level Region: East Africa Region : Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda INTERGOVERNMENTAL AUTHORITY ON DEVELOPMENT

4 4 GMES & Africa East Africa Region Consortium : Five institutions Lead institution: IGAD Climate Predication and Applications Centre Partners: Makerere University Uganda Tanzania Forest Service Tanzania Kenya Wildlife Service Kenya INTERGOVERNMENTAL AUTHORITY ON DEVELOPMENT

5 GMES & Africa Result Areas 5 Four Result Areas: Strengthening infrastructure and data access: Assuring and increasing data, knowledge and information access Consolidation and extension of Natural Resources Applications Capacity building and utilization Raising awareness and outreach INTERGOVERNMENTAL AUTHORITY ON DEVELOPMENT

6 GMES & Africa Application Areas 6 Four Applications: Natural Habitats Monitoring and Assessment Tropical Forest Surveillance, Monitoring and Assessment Agriculture Seasonal Monitoring, Early Warning and Assessment Rangeland Seasonal Monitoring, Early Warning and Assessment INTERGOVERNMENTAL AUTHORITY ON DEVELOPMENT

7 MESA stations 7 Hardware and software system: to receive, process and display Earth Observation data for environmental monitoring and climate services Provided through MESA to RICs/CIC and National Focal Points (NFP) INTERGOVERNMENTAL AUTHORITY ON DEVELOPMENT

8 8 MESA Stations Architecture estation: a wall-to-wall EO processing server EUMETCast Station LA N PC 1 PC 2 Other GIS Suites Reception Processing Analysis

9 No. of Stations MESA stations distribution 9 Total of 16 stations Dataset chirps Distribution of MESA stations per Country Eastern Africa Region - ICPAC fewsnet 5 tamsat-rfe lsasaf-lst 4 lsasaf-et 3 vgt-fapar 2 vgt-ndvi vgt-lai 1 vgt-fcover 0 vgt-dmp Djibouti Eritrea Ethiopia Kenya Rwanda Somalia South Sudan Sudan Uganda modis-firms INTERGOVERNMENTAL AUTHORITY ON DEVELOPMENT Country

10 10 Use of MESA Stations in GMES & Africa

11 Protected Areas Monitoring 11 For the EA region, Protected Areas are not only a habitat conservation resource but economic resource Two main threats to Effects of climate change & variability Human population growth

12 Objective PA Monitoring 12 Monitor and assess the state of natural habitats at various levels to support decision making process HOW? Monitoring eco-climatic conditions within and around the Protected Areas Modelling forage availability, demand and forage balance for protected areas Land Use Land Cover Change of Protected Areas Highlight IMPACT potential locations for human-wildlife conflicts Understand and project animal movement in search of pasture Provide information useful for Wildlife Authorities when planning wildlife translocation across/within parks

13 Rainfall Estimate NDVI 13 Eco-climatic Evolution Regional Monitoring Feb May 2017

14 Rainfall anomaly - comparison with LTA NDVI Ratio - comparison with LTA National Level Monitoring 14 Feb May 2017

15 15 National PA Monitoring NDVI & RFE

16 16 National PA Monitoring DMP & Fire

17 Rainfall anomaly - comparison with LTA NDVI Ratio - comparison with LTA Hotspot Monitoring Tsavo NP 17 Feb May 2017

18 Hotspot Monitoring Tsavo NP 18

19 19 Impacts of Extreme Weather Conditions

20 20 Agriculture Monitoring, Early Warning and Assessment Monitor and assess crop conditions, forecast food production and food security and issue timely early warning information to decision makers Crop masks crop-type specific Seasonal crop monitoring and yield forecasting Feed into food security early warning systems at national, regional and global Food Security and Nutrition Working Group (FSNWG) Global Agricultural Monitoring Initiative (GEOGLAM) Crop monitor

21 Objective Agriculture Monitoring 21 Monitor and assess crop conditions, forecast food production and food security and issue timely early warning information to decision makers HOW? Seasonal crop conditions monitoring Monitoring of the evolution of growing season Major crop forecast Dynamic crop masks Grain trade prices trends IMPACT Food security assessment Food availability, storage and distribution Trade and market information

22 Rainfall anomaly - comparison with LTA NDVI Ratio - comparison with LTA Agriculture Monitoring 22

23 Admin Level Monitoring 23

24 Seasonal Crop Monitor 24 Assessment from country Focal Points Synthesized info to bulletin Crop conditions and early warning Major grain market information

25 Crop Condition Forecast 25 Rainfall Outlook for OND 2018 Forecast Rainfall Onset Dates for OND 2018

26 26 Rangeland Monitoring, Early Warning and Assessment Rangelands cover big part of the EA region (Arid and Semi-arid Lands ASALs) and form a critical ecosystem home to pastoralists, agro pastoral communities and wildlife conservancies. INTERGOVERNMENTAL AUTHORITY ON DEVELOPMENT

27 3 : Rangeland Monitoring 27 Monitor and assess pasture conditions, forecast fodder balance and livestock carrying capacity and provide timely early warning information to decision makers and stakeholders HOW? Monitor and assess vegetation health Modelling forage availability, demand, balance and livestock carrying capacity Develop rangeland masks IMPACT Minimize loss of livestock Minimize resource conflict Livestock migration planning Highlight potential wildlife livestock conflict location

28 Karamoja Cluster Monitoring 28 Aug 2018 DMP FCover Rainfall Estimate

29 Beyond MESA & GMES 29 ICPAC and other organisation Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Environment Atlases Distaste Risk Management Academia

30 30 Thank you Merci