Integrated. Greenhouse Gas Monitoring for Germany
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1 CO 2 CO 2 CO 2 Integrated CH 4 CH 4 Greenhouse Gas Monitoring for Germany Andrea Kaiser-Weiss N 2 O N 2 O N 2 O
2 Core tasks of Germany's National Meteorological Service: Observing and forecasting the weather We observe. Issuing severe weather warnings We warn. Studying the climate in Germany We research. Evaluating changes in the climate We analyse. Providing climate change consultancy We advise. Monitoring radioactivity in the atmosphere We measure. Representing Germany in international organisations We network. 2
3 Motivation Germany, summer Modul K: Management & politikwirksame Ergebnisse Modul 3: THG Quellen und Senken 3
4 Plan Integrated Greenhouse Gas Monitoring System (ITMS) for Germany established: National Inventories Concentration and flux measurements from towers, masts (ICOS), ground, aircraft, satellites Spatially and temporally resolved GHG emission estimates 4
5 National Initiative ITMS contributions suggested by: 6 Research institutes: MPI-BGC, DLR, KIT-IMK-IFU, KIT-IMK-TRO, FZ Jülich, GEOMAR 4 Universities: IUP Uni Heidelberg, IUP Uni Bremen, IHM Techn. Uni Dresden, Bioklim. Uni Göttingen 3 Governmental agencies: DWD (BMVI), UBA (BMU), Thünen-Institut (BMEL) Consulting IG3IS and European research, ITMS brings scientific know-how into operations for societal application (GHG emission reduction) in Germany. 5
6 Community involved 6
7 Linked to European initiatives Components of an Integrated Greenhouse Gas Monitoring System (ITMS) for Germany, adapted from Fig. 9 of the European CO 2 report (doi /08644) Numerical weather prediction model: ICON-LAM, with CAMS boundary conditions 7
8 Observations in Germany Now: Integrated Carbon Observing system ICOS: tall towers (CH 4, CO 2, N 2 O) new certifications in Germany (3 rd Dec 2018) Future: satellite data (S5P, S5, GOSAT-1,-2, OCO-2,-3, MERLIN, CO2M): CO, CH 4, CO 2 and others (S1,S2) for land cover, vegetation 8
9 Advertisement Thursday 6th December, Hall E stand 11 9
10 National initiative DWD coordinates this national initiative: Module 2: Atmospheric Models & Inverse Methods Module 1: Greenhouse gas observation systems Module M: Management & Results for Political Decision Makers Module 3: Sources and Sinks of Greenhouse Gases 10
11 Atmosphere Monitoring CAMS global CO2 model/analysis (9km horizontal resolution) CO 2 on the international scale: UTC Credits: A. Agusti-Panareda nature run for CHE-project 11
12 Global initiative A national implementation of the IG3IS framework Integrated Global Greenhouse Gas Information System (IG3IS) see COP 24 side events Today 18:30 Room Bieszczady Tomorrow 08:15 IPCC-WMO Pavilion 12
13 Focus Emissions in Germany 2016 with Known Unknowns, all data based on UBA inventories emissions [Mt] absolute uncertainty largest contributors [Mt] Total CO CH N 2 O forests: 24 energy & transport: 22 livestock farming: 4 waste management: 4 cropland and grassland: 24 waste management: 17 HFC,CFC, others relative uncertainty [%]
14 Aiming to verify CH 4 N 2 O CO 2 CO 2 megatons per year: 818 ± 22 source: 589 ± ± 3 4 ± ± ± ± ± ± ± 0.2 Energy Transport Energetische Prozesse Industry 14
15 Aiming to reduce uncertainties CH 4 N 2 O CO 2 CO 2 equiv. megatons per year: 103 ± 27 source: 39 ± 10 2 ± ± ± ± 4.3 Cropland, grassland management Animal husbandry agriculture 15
16 Aims of ITMS CO 2 CO 2 CO 2 Value in combining German inventory knowledge (UBA), DWD operations, and atmospheric research (i.e., on ICOS, satellite and other obs., inversions, biogenic fluxes, emission processes) CH 4 CH 4 1. Operational objective verification of inventories 2. Reduce uncertainties N 2 O 3. Increase spatial + temporal resolution N 2 O N 2 O 4. Tackle unknown unknowns 5. Prepare for unforeseen events 18
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