Refining Petroleum Fuels & Products in Europe Outlook Proposals Requests. John Cooper, Director General
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1 Refining Petroleum Fuels & Products in Europe Outlook Proposals Requests John Cooper, Director General 7th EU Refining Forum Brussels, 2 February 2017
2 Agenda Outlook Key market changes Short term challenges Long term challenges Tomorrow s energy mix in transport Innovation and investment Conclusions Page 2
3 Outlook Key Fuels Market Changes Sulphur content of Marine Fuels A major implementation challenge for Fuels & Shipping Industries Crude oil price changes Lower for longer Global demand still growing Refining capacity build non-oecd Vehicle fleet changes Less diesel in small cars in Europe Impact of electrification Page 3
4 Short-term challenges EU refining needs to be competitive vs. non-eu refineries Fair deal on EU ETS among European Parliament, Commission & Member States Pragmatic definition of RED II: focus on and encourage wide range of sustainable bioenergies Action on air quality in cities: identify viable solutions, considering the specificity of individual cities Page 4
5 Long-term challenges Energy Outlook (IEA and others) petroleum products will be needed for many decades Innovation in policy is needed to achieve global carbon price convergence Economy wide carbon price to serve as a reference for support of cost-effective carbon abatement technologies Tomorrow's transport energy mix is chosen by today s vehicle regulation Page 5
6 Tomorrow's energy mix is chosen by today s regulation Tomorrow s vehicle fleet is chosen by today s regulation Tomorrow s energy mix decided by tomorrow s vehicle fleet Therefore we need the best possible regulation for vehicles, today Page 6
7 CO₂ EMISSIONS (TONNES) John Cooper, FuelsEurope 7 th EU Refining Forum Life cycle GHG Impact: Nissan Leaf vs Mercedes A class 40 Nissan Leaf (current regulation/rde) Mercedes A (current regulation/rde) Nissan Leaf (with manufacturing & recycling life cycle, EU mix) Mercedes A (with manufacturing & recycling life cycle) % DISTANCE (KM) Source: University of Trondheim, 2012/2013/2016 Page 7
8 Tomorrow's vehicle fleet is chosen by today s regulation Vehicle regulation should consider: The carbon life-cycle throughout vehicle manufacturing, energy production, recycling GHG improvements in fuels should be recognised Robust implementation of: EURO 6 standards Real Driving Emissions (RDE) Worldwide harmonized Light vehicles Test Procedure (WLTP) Best practice for maintaining vehicle performance in-use Page 8
9 Innovation and Investment We welcome the Commission s Innovation Fund initiative Innovation in policy also desirable longer term to overcome current limitations Support for development and implementation of: Low carbon technologies for use in the manufacturing of petroleum products Alternative feedstocks and components for liquid fuels to complement the current fuels This will allow to develop evolution of business models to include technologies such as: CCS & CCU Power-to-gas/liquids Sustainable biofuels Advanced energy efficiency and low carbon technologies Page 9
10 Conclusions The world will continue to use liquid fuels & ICE vehicles for decades to come European refineries and vehicles already the most efficient in the world We can demonstrate climate leadership: By innovation and new technology in fuels and vehicles With successful policy frameworks (including stable and predictable regulations) Fostering the evolution of business models Refining industry and liquid fuels can be part of the solution for the longer term Page 10
11 THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION This document was presented by John Cooper, Director General FuelsEurope 165, Boulevard du Souverain 1160 Brussels - Belgium T: Follow us: fuelseurope
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