Implementation of Agricultural Managed Aquifer Recharge in the Central Valley: Large Scale Long Term Success?
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1 Implementation of Agricultural Managed Aquifer Recharge in the Central Valley: Large Scale Long Term Success? Giorgos Kourakos, Helen Dahlke, Tiffany Kocis, Mehdi Ghasemizade, and Thomas Harter (Presenter) Long Term Change in Central Valley Groundwater Storage Sacramento Valley San Joaquin Valley Tulare Lake Basin Central Valley California. All rights reserved
2 Long Term Change in Central Valley Groundwater Storage Sacramento Valley San Joaquin Valley Storage Reservoir for MAR? Tulare Lake Basin Central Valley Let s try an experiment in rewriting history rootsofaction.com California. All rights reserved
3 ... let s consider the 10% highest daily stream flows in the Central Valley in the last century. > 50 years of daily flows 93 gages Impaired flows: 80 Unimpaired flows: 13 Kocis and Dahlke, ERL 2017 High Magnitude Flows: 10% largest flows at each gage Kocis and Dahlke, ERL 2017 California. All rights reserved
4 . and assume that these HMF are in excess of what anyone may currently be using. LA Times, February 2017 High Magnitude Flows (HMF) Harter / Putah Creek, February 2017 High Magnitude Flows Kocis and Dahlke, ERL 2017 California. All rights reserved
5 High Magnitude Flow Frequency by Year Type Sacramento (Freeport) 7 of 10 years 2.7 MAF/yr San Joaquin (Vernalis) 4.7 of 10 years 1.3 MAF/yr Kocis and Dahlke, ERL 2017 Cumulative HMF as Function of HMF Cutoff California. All rights reserved
6 and assume we can manage to divert those for recharge in the agricultural landscape, recharge basins, flood plains, ASR wells. Helen Dahlke / UC Davis NPR Let s take the historic HMF and simulate a NEW history with the Central Valley Groundwater Model C2VSIM DWR, Report on C2VSIM 3.02, 2013 Conceptual Model California. All rights reserved
7 Let s take the historic HMF and simulate a NEW history with the Central Valley Groundwater Model C2VSIM DWR, Draft Report, Water Available for Recharge, Conceptual Model SAGBI Accounting for Deep Tillage Gained 518,879 acres of suitable land Toby O Geen et al., California Agriculture 69(2):75-84, 2015 California. All rights reserved
8 Simulation Tool: C2VSim (Fine Grid) Two Distribution Scenarios: Local Distribution of HMF CV Wide Distribution of CMF California. All rights reserved
9 C2VSIM Elements: Cumulative Applied Water Locations with Excellent SAGBI Score Locations with Excellent or Good SAGBI Score per element (ᴓ 400 acres) (Maximum) Water Level Increase: Kaweah Subbasin California. All rights reserved
10 Result of Rewriting History: CV Groundwater Storage Base Scenario (Actual) Relative Gain in Groundwater Storage over Time California. All rights reserved
11 Relative Gain in Groundwater Storage by Region MAF MAF MAF Recharge Locations v. Stream Locations California. All rights reserved
12 Where is all the Recharge Water? Total Stream Discharge: Comparison California. All rights reserved
13 Detailed Budget Analysis: Kaweah Basin Regional Recharge Analysis: Kaweah Basin California. All rights reserved
14 Regional Recharge Analysis: Kaweah Basin Orland Artois Water District, NW Sacramento Valley: Water table rise as function of recharge distribution California. All rights reserved
15 OAWD Recharge Scenario: 30 TAF/winter Each Year Change in Water Level Across OAWD: Layer 1 Layer 2 Layer 3 95 th percentile 95 th percentile 95 th percentile median median median 5 th percentile 5 th percentile 5 th percentile Key Take Away Total groundwater depletion Total storage capacity Storage away from streams => better water table recovery Do MAR on less than ideal soils => more farmland winter recharge Long term storage will increase/recover some baseflow North to south transfer of water needed for most effective storage Integrated water models can capture some unintended/surprising consequences Disclaimer: this modeling analysis intended only to show largescale effects / trends California. All rights reserved
16 California. All rights reserved
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