What is the Copernicus Climate Change Service?
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1 What is the Copernicus Climate Service? Copernicus for Climate Adaptation and Mitigation Copernicus EU Copernicus EU Copernicus EU
2 INTRODUCTION The Copernicus Climate Service (C3S) has been designed to respond to environmental and societal challenges associated with climate change. Will combine observations with latest science to develop quality-assured information about past, current and future climate change. A web portal has been developed, providing access to climate datasets, project information and news: 2
3 WHAT IS CLIMATE CHANGE? Climate change is the large-scale, long-term shift in weather patterns driven by changes in average temperatures. Evidence for climate change includes: higher temperatures changing rainfall patterns rising average sea-levels melting of glaciers and ice-sheets more frequent extreme weather events Global average surface temperatures have risen by 0.9 C since this rate is extremely high. 3
4 WHAT IS CLIMATE CHANGE? Each month from September 2015 to August 2016 has become the warmest on record for that particular month. 4 4
5 WHAT IS C3S? Aims to combine expertise from across Europe Aims to provide key indicators on climate change drivers and impacts Aims to support European climate change policy Aims to deliver economic value to Europe by: 5
6 WHAT WILL C3S PROVIDE? Combines in-situ and satellite-based observations with climate models and expertise Information used to generate Climate Indicators for Europe, such as temperature increase, sea level rise, etc. Average surface air temperature anomaly for August 2016 relative to August average for period
7 WHAT WILL C3S PROVIDE? Climate indicators will be used for monitoring and predicting future change Aim to support adaptation and mitigation policies across a number of sectors: 7
8 C3S SERVICES: CLIMATE DATA STORE A Climate Data Store (CDS) will provide access to the geophysical information needed to analyse the Climate Indicators in a consistent, scientific manner. The CDS will provide: estimates of ECVs, climate indicators, and relevant information near-real time climate monitoring facility access to multi-model seasonal forecasts climate projections at global and regional scales access to research computing facilities data processing and visualisation tools 8
9 C3S SERVICES: SECTORAL INFORMATION SYSTEMS 7 demonstrator projects have already been initiated: These will work with sectors to develop services Will help users plan for the impacts of climate change 9
10 C3S SERVICES: CURRENT PROJECTS & PROVIDERS Climate AGRICLASS Telespazio VEGA CLIM4ENERGY CEA ECEM University of East Anglia (UK) EDgE NERC Centre for Ecology & Hydrology SWICCA Swedish Meteorological & Hydrological Institute UrbanSIS - Swedish Meteorological & Hydrological Institute 10
11 C3S SERVICES: OUTREACH Climate An outreach strategy is planned to ensure effective and consistent communication to users Currently, C3S can be reached via: Web portal ( Twitter Instagram ( Slideshare ( DEMO of Web portal 11
12 & The Water Sector Copernicus for Climate Adaptation and Mitigation Copernicus EU Copernicus EU Copernicus EU
13 WHY IS COPERNICUS NEEDED IN WATER SECTOR? Climate Climate and the water cycle are closely linked Climate change poses direct challenge to water management Water sector companies in Europe are already experiencing effects of climate change A plan is essential for the industry to grow and adapt Copernicus can provide data and tools to help understand climate change impacts inform policy and decision-making ensure resilience in the future 2
14 WHAT IS SWICCA? Climate Service for Water Indicators in Climate Adaptation (SWICCA) A proof-of-concept study (Nov 2015 Feb 2018) Aims to provide data and guidance for climate change impact assessments in the water sector Aims to bridge gap between: climate data providers water managers policy makers Aims to demonstrate the impact climate change datasets can have on their sector SWICCA web portal delivers pan-european data for visualisation, inspection and download: 3
15 WHAT DOES SWICCA PROVIDE? Climate Impact Indicators are used to show the impact of climate change on environmental phenomena Over 15 Indicators are accessible through SWICCA chosen based on their relevance and importance to the water sector. Temperature Freezing degree days Precipitation Relative humidity Water runoff Soil water content River flow Flood recurrence Indicators will be combined with climate scenarios and local data to create practical products for clients 4
16 WHAT DOES SWICCA PROVIDE? Climate Interactive data visualisation tool allows you to plot Climate Impact Indicators and future projections Mean precipitation (mm/ year) Predicted % change in precipitation in 2020 s relative to
17 SWICCA: CASE STUDY - GREECE Location: Asopos River Basin, ~ 720 km 2, Central Greece Background: The metal industry uses water from two reservoirs: Evinos and Mornos. Water supply is important for: Constituent of production Effluent (waste water) receiver These reservoirs also supply water to Athens Evinos Reservoir Mornos Reservoir Location of study area 6 6
18 SWICCA: CASE STUDY - GREECE Problem: Industrial activity creates significant pressures on: Water demand & availability Water quality Climate change may increase these pressures Client needs: Metal industry Needs to assess water-related risks under climate change to ensure business sustainability Will the current water supply strategy be adequate for the next years? Will it be necessary to invest in more effective effluent treatment facilities? Secretariat for Water Needs to assess climate change impacts on water quality and protect this important water resource 7
19 SWICCA: CASE STUDY - GREECE Water demand & availability SWICCA datasets used Seasonal river flow characteristics Precipitation to assess future discharge Temperature to assess reservoir loss due to evaporation Future population to assess future water needs SWICCA scenario projections: SWICCA and local data used to model annual water budgets for Evinos & Mornos reservoirs for different climate scenarios Seasonal river flow indicators predict a 5-7% decrease in available water through discharge in next 30 years However, preliminary results indicate that the system will safely satisfy future water needs 8
20 SWICCA: CASE STUDY - GREECE Water quality SWICCA datasets used Seasonal river flow characteristics River discharge especially low-flow when maximum pollutant concentrations appear SWICCA scenario projections: SWICCA and local data combined to assess pollution loads from industrial activity in Asopos Basin 3 different industrial scenarios, 11 climate scenarios Asopos river discharge is not expected to change drastically Analysis is ongoing to model future pollutant levels Future water quality depends on future industrial growth/decline 9
21 SWICCA: SUMMARY It is important to assess climate change impacts on water resources to ensure business and environmental sustainability in the future It is important to balance the interests of the environment and the industrial sector Interaction with clients has revealed that they are not entirely aware of potential climate-related risks Existing tools are not necessarily sufficient for local scale analysis SWICCA provides climate data, climate impact indicators and future climate projections in an easily accessible format SWICCA aims to bring climate experts and stakeholders together to discuss how best to tackle the challenges of climate change 10
22 SWICCA: DEMO Climate DEMO of SWICCA Web Portal 11
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