Overview of. J a n e t W i j n g a a r d G A P R I M AV E R A, N o v e m b e r , D e B i l t
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1 Overview of J a n e t W i j n g a a r d G A P R I M AV E R A, N o v e m b e r , D e B i l t
2 IMPREX Improving predictions and management of hydrological extremes Horizon 2020 call: Water cycle under future climate 2
3 IMPREX Some facts Running 4 years (ends 30 September 2019) 8 million Euro funded by EU (Horizon 2020 programme) 64 Deliverables, 27 Milestones Results/generated data: Open source 23 partners, 9 countries
4 Partners 4
5 Topics of interest Based on first paper on IMPREX
6 Weather & Climate Services Current skill European region Country User Needs Droughts & Agriculture Water transport Hydropower Flood damage Hydropower Water utilities River Basin Single reservoir, City Unpredictable Economy Agriculture Hazards Minute Day Week Season 1yr 10yrs 100yrs
7 Characteristics IMPREX Weather events in a climate context Reliability of forecasts/projections and application oriented research Strong User/Stakeholder interaction; co-creation Team, combining different expertise forecasting/climate modelling sectoral experts & SMEs outreach & dissemination
8 WP2: Stakeholder survey and case study definition WP 1: Project managem ment WP3: Improved meteorological predictability and climate scenarios WP7: Flood damage WP8: Hydro power WP4: Improved predictability of hydrological extremes WP6: Sectoral impact surveys WP9: Transport WP10: Urban Water WP5: New concepts for impacts and risk assessment WP11: Droughts & Agriculture WP13: Sectoral Integration and Climate Services WP12: Water economy Scientific and Services Advisory Boa ard WP14: Outreach and Dissemination
9 Topics of interest Based on first article published
10 Case studies Applications in different sectors 10
11 Case study Central EU rivers Rhine Fresh water management (drought) Flooding Transport 11
12 Stakeholder Transport Skipper on an inland waterway craft in the Rhine River in charge of the safe execution of the transport Issues are: Decide on the maximum load to be carried Determine if lightering is necessary What is needed: real-time information on the measured water-levels along the route. short-term (several days ahead) forecast information on water levels, discharge, but also floods & river ice. Uncertainty information 12
13 Stakeholder Transport How to support the skipper, but also other stakeholders in the inland waterway transport Next steps: Ten day forecast for relevant parameters Semi operational: monthly and seasonal forecast Hindcasting: to show added value Workshops/training stakeholders (uncertainty) Ongoing process: Stakeholder feedback<-> tailoring system 13
14 Impact of IMPREX New tools and applications lead to More efficient management in water sectors Underpin adaptation strategies Pan European periodic risk outlook
15 & Case studies Modelling (high resolution)..
16 Segura case study Drought and Agriculture Issue Water scarcity; Extremely high inter-annual variability Main stakeholders needs Farmers association City Irrigators: Basin authority a seasonal flow forecasting system Missing High resolution climate projections
17 Benefits Scientific community: better understanding models; applicable to other regions Water sectors: earlier and better management/measures Politics: underpinned guidelines Society in general: less economic loss due to hydrological extremes
18 Acknowledgement IMPREX is a research project supported by the European Commission under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme Duration: 01/10/15 01/10/19 Bart van den Hurk hurkvd@knmi.nl Janet.wijngaard@knmi.nl
European. Climatic Energy Mixes (ECEM) Alberto Troccoli & ECEM Team. University of East Anglia & World Energy Meteorology Council.
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