ENERGY TRANSITION AND REGION

Transcription

1 ENERGY TRANSITION AND REGION Ludwig Karg, B.A.U.M. München / Berlin 1 B.A.U.M. Consult GmbH Berlin Fanny-Zobel-Str Berlin Tel.: +49 (0) Fax: +49 (0) berlin@baumgroup.de Ludwig Karg L.Karg@baumgroup.de B.A.U.M. Consult GmbH München Gotzingerstr. 48/ München Tel.: +49 (0) Fax: +49 (0) muenchen@baumgroup.de B.A.U.M. 1

2 B.A.U.M Consult: Facilitator for Smart Cities and Regions Action Field Research Projects Consulting for national and local authorities Consulting for enterprises Services/Projects Smart Grids, electric mobility, renewable energies (consulting, communication, project management) Implementing climate protection concepts, creating master plans for city development, facilitating regional and city development processes Implementing energy efficiency programs, supporting certification processes, technology networking 3 Agenda Challenges Potentials Methods Tools Projects Outlook 4 B.A.U.M. 2

3 Agenda Challenges Potentials Methods Tools Projects Outlook 5 Goals are set 2 2 t 2 m 8 B.A.U.M. 3

4 When is a good moment for the turn? Now! 11 A new era of energies era of fire era of power 12 B.A.U.M. 4

5 The Future of Energy Supply Nuclear Water Natural Gas Coal Geothermal Solar Wind Biomass triangle of hope volatile & decentral Oil 13 Renewable Energies in the region of AllgäuNetz 14 B.A.U.M. 5

6 Generation exceeding Consumption consumption solar water biogas Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday 15 Smart Grids? Bild Stadt Differences in (distribution) grid topologies and different challenges within these grids require specialized solutions. Urban and rural grids have to be addressed differently. 16 B.A.U.M. 6

7 Crisis: problem and chance Agenda Challenges Potentials Methods Tools Projects Outlook 18 B.A.U.M. 7

8 Regional Value Added material and energy flow financial flow potentials 19 Integrated Energy and Climate Concept B.A.U.M. 8

9 Regional heat potential 2030 biogas biomass Genutzte used potential Potenziale Ungenutzte unused potential Potenziale geothermal heat pump solar thermal potential for heat in GWh/a 21 Regional power potential 2030 waste biogas biomass geothermal scenario 1: used potential unused potential scenario 2: additional potential water wind photovoltaic potential for regional power in GWh/a 22 B.A.U.M. 9

10 Heat Scenario 2030 heat demand in GWh/a % RE from BGL % RE from BGL heat mix 2010 heat mix 2030 biogas biomass geothermal heat pumps solar thermal 23 Power Scenario for heat pumps 500 power mix 2030 power demand in GWh/a % RE from BGL % RE from BGL power mix 2010 waste biogas biomass geothermal water wind photovoltaic 24 B.A.U.M. 10

11 Energy Storage (for Power Scenario) GWh/a 600 losses % RE buffer / storage 25 Does it pay? material and energy flow financial flow added value with energy and climate concept: 1 billion EUR by B.A.U.M. 11

12 Realistic potentials? reachible potential economical potential technical potential theoretical potential Bio Energy biogas from energy plants biogas from waste B.A.U.M. 12

13 More Bio Energy mono culture energy plants mixed crop cultures reactors for algae Hydro Power Pumped Hydro Run Water B.A.U.M. 13

14 More Hydro Power 31 Photovoltaics B.A.U.M. 14

15 More Photovoltaics 33 Catching the Wind 34 B.A.U.M. 15

16 Catching more Wind? 35 Agenda Challenges Potentials Methods Tools Projects Outlook 36 B.A.U.M. 16

17 Joining Forces citizens local government public administration Attracting People to Create a Plan B.A.U.M. 17

18 What is 1 KilowattHour? How long can a 40 W bulb be lit with 1 kwh? 1 day 39 What is 1 KilowattHour? How high can you take 1 ton of steel with 1 kwh? 367 m 40 B.A.U.M. 18

19 What is 1 KilowattHour? How far can an electric vehicle go with 1 kwh? 5 km 41 Electrification of Mobility 42 B.A.U.M. 19

20 Reinvention of Mobility Future? Future? 43 New Vehicles for Sustainable Mobility eo smart connecting car 44 B.A.U.M. 20

21 Car Sharing as part of Shared Economy car sharing systems in more than 343 cities and towns in Germany fast growing offer of flexible car sharing models without hub binding ( free floating ) most popular systems in Germany: (3.150 cars, no stations, 300 e Smart in Stuttgart) (2.800 cars, 800 stations, 500 e cars by April 2014) (1.100 cars, no stations, 40 BMW Active E in Berlin) (1.800 cars, 700 stations) (1.000 cars, 250 stations) 45 Integrated Energy and Climate Concept Analysis Visions and Goals Development of Action Programm Decision and Implementation 46 B.A.U.M. 21

22 Strategic Energy Action Plans 47 Roles of regional and local governments own facilities legal sphere of influence (legisation, planning) activator, motivator, initiator, facilitaor and supporter 48 B.A.U.M. 22

23 Heat Demand in Laufen April 2013 Kreistagssitzung 49 Heat Demand in Laufen April 2013 Kreistagssitzung 50 B.A.U.M. 23

24 TOP 10 Activities in Freilassing Gemeinschaftsversorgung Mitterfeld Freilassing PV Dächer neues Gewerbegebiet Bürger Windkraftanlage Solarsiedlung Sonnenfeld J C H D E G B I Gemeindeeigene Verbräuche Sanierung BHKW Klärwerk Untersuchung Fernheizwerk A Modellprojekt Mikronetze PV überdachter Parkplatz F Energieoffensive Neuhofham 22. April 2013 Kreistagssitzung 51 Activity List BGL: Energy in Residential Areas M 2.1 M 2.2 M 2.3 M 2.4 M 2.5 Energie rund ums Haus Information und Beratung zur Gebäudesanierung Lösung des Vermieter-Mieter-Dilemmas Bauleitplanung 2030: Bauen für die Kraft der Sonne Qualitätssiegel für Fachkräfte Nutzen statt besitzen 22. April 2013 Kreistagssitzung 52 B.A.U.M. 24

25 Activity List BGL: Renewable Energies M 3.1 M 3.2 M 3.3 M 3.4 M3.5 M 3.6 M 3.7 M 3.8 M 3.9 Regenerative Energien Energiespeicher Zukunft für die Wasserkraft Solarwärme das Wecken eines schlafenden Riesen Rückenwind erzeugen Windkraft nutzen Biomasse und Kulturlandschaft: Neue Wege in der Bioenergie Energie aus Bioabfällen Neue Wege zur Erhöhung der Hackschnitzelproduktion Siedlungsspezifische Wärmeversorgung Wärmeverbrauchskataster 22. April 2013 Kreistagssitzung 53 Generation exceeding Consumption consumption solar water biogas Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday 54 B.A.U.M. 25

26 A new paradigm is needed... consumption oriented generation plus generation-oriented consumption 55 General Principle for the Power System Connect RES to the grid and manage generation and consumption as possible Connect short term and long term storages to the grid and control them via ICT Implement algorithms to make best use of demand side management, generation side management and storage short term storage long term storage B.A.U.M. 26

27 Adapting Consumption to Generation consumption solar water biogas Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday 57 Energy Management Systems Energy Butler Heating Refridgerator E-Car Washing Machine Micro-CHP Photovoltaics Distribution Grid ICT optimise internal energy supply and demand use smart storage devices react to tariff signals automatically trade controllable loads via ICT and virtual market places Ludwig Karg, B.A.U.M. Consult München / Berlin B.A.U.M. 27

28 Smart Home within the Smart Grid Smart Meter Building Manager Smart Building Smart Grid Energy Manager Smart Buidlings can help to reduce the complexities within the Smart Grid. They could become a key enabler for the market development in the Smart Energy sector. Ludwig Karg, B.A.U.M. Consult München / Berlin 59 Dezentralised Systems for a Secure Supply Decentralized steering structures consisting of object agents, grid agents and market agents E-Energy helped to realise cellular systems. These can create economic advantages in terms of subsidiary grid management. Furthermore, failures can be encapsulated and the cold-start ability of the cells can be enhanced. Ludwig Karg, B.A.U.M. Consult München / Berlin 60 B.A.U.M. 28

29 Adjusting the Load Curve via Flexibility +/- 10 % Load prognoses and the utilisation of flexibilties in generation, storage and consumption can serve to ensure a more efficient and wholesome integration of renewable energies into the energy system. Ludwig Karg, B.A.U.M. Consult München / Berlin 61 Curtailment consumption solar water biogas Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday 62 B.A.U.M. 29

30 Curtailment of Energy and Gain of Capacity grid connectin capacity (%) Quelle: cut energy portion (%) 63 Flexible Production consumption solar water biogas Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday 64 B.A.U.M. 30

31 Identifying and Eliminating Grid Bottlenecks Prognosis Systems Control Room Regional Value Creation New monitoring, prognosis and scheduling tools can enable a temporally optimised integration of renewable energies on low and medium voltage level. Ludwig Karg, B.A.U.M. Consult München / Berlin 65 Regional Feed-in Management cut energy portion (%) 429 non flexible facility operation flexible biogas plant, heat supply etc Installed [MW] wind 625 PV Curtailment of few generation peaks allows for over-linear reduction of installed grid connection capacity at the transmission grid. Ludwig Karg, B.A.U.M. Consult München / Berlin 66 B.A.U.M. 31

32 The Merit Order for Power Management 1. Flexibility Generation 1) Consumption 2. Transport 3. Storage 1) keep stored if stored! 67 Smart energy supply with overlapping grids power grids gas grid heat grids mobility grids 68 B.A.U.M. 32

33 My Home myenergysystem? grid parity of PV! home energy management energy autarky? 69 Cost Optimisation for the Energy Turn Electriciy Costs The construction of a Smart Grid is costly. Yet, a clever combination of grid reinforcement and grid smartening can help to keep the overall costs of energy supply low in a long term perspective. 70 B.A.U.M. 33

34 I want to be smart Save energy Being rewarded for my flexibility Generate energy at home Switch retailer on the internet 71 Human Needs (according to Maslow) Self-Fulfilment creativity, transcendence Individuality Success, spontaneity Social Needs love, mobility, networks Security Need housing, work Basic Needs air, food, water, light 72 B.A.U.M. 34

35 Hydro power meets art (hydro power station in Kempten) 75 Innovative Investment Tool: B.A.U.M. Future Fund capital investment technology for efficiency investor enterprises, private entities, public institutions return of investment roll back from cost reductions 76 B.A.U.M. 35

36 Structures for the Energiewende Energieagentur Energy Agency Regional Regionale Supply EVU Cooperation Kooperation Reg. Efficiency Funds Energy and Climate Manager RE Cooperative Citizens and Enterprises (and their organizations) 77 Opportunities for the Suppliers of Today and Tomorrow Energy Supplier Energy Supplier plus Service Provider The changes within the energy system require and enable new developments of energy products and services. B.A.U.M. 36

37 Smart Energy: a System of Systems Energy Information System cellular organism, decentral processing and control, encapsulation of errors central control, bidirectional communication to generation, storage and consumption central control, limited ICT with grid components, generation and consumption appliances monopol like market model regulated oligopol, new services, new functions (e. g. flexibility operator) big number of market participants using open market platforms Energy Market System Energy Provision System centralized generation, hierarchical grid distributed generation, levelled optimization cellular system with autonomous parts (e. g. micro or nano grids) Ludwig Karg E-Energy Programme Information Agenda Challenges Potentials Methods Tools Projects Outlook 80 B.A.U.M. 37

38 Guideline: On the road to a 100% Renewable Energy Region Contents: 1) Renewable energies and regional development 2) Processes 3) Structures 4) Strategies 5) Communication 6) Instruments and measures available in German, English, Polish, Slovenian (order from info@baumgroup.de) 81 The sources of the book enterprise consultancy energy technology regional marketing regional development 82 B.A.U.M. 38

39 Balancing Tools: EcoRegion and EcoBusiness 83 Management Tool: European Energy Award (eea) 84 B.A.U.M. 39

40 From Projects to Products Grid Operation System Data Warehouse Market Place Virtual Energy Flex Aggregator Field Metering Units Smart Meter Gateway Smart Meter Feedback system Energy Manager Gateway Energy Manager Smart Applications Ludwig Karg E-Energy Programme Information Funded by Build your own Smart Grid: the E-Energy Animation Ludwig Karg, B.A.U.M. Consult München / Berlin, IRED Conference, Berlin, December 4, 2012 B.A.U.M. 40

41 Agenda Challenges Potentials Methods Tools Projects Outlook 87 Energy Planning in Central Europe This project is implemented through the CENTRAL EUROPE Programme co financed by the ERDF 88 source: W ildpoldsried Quelle: Autor: eza! B.A.U.M. 41

42 Energy Planning in Central Europe CEP REC: Introduction of Regional Energy Concepts Support the use of renewable energy sources and increase energy efficiency Development of regional energy concepts in 9 pilot regions Common standards as examples to follow 15 Project Partners from 8 countries This project is implemented through the CENTRAL EUROPE Programme co financed by the ERDF The project is implemented through the Central Europe Programme co financedbythe ERDF source: eza! 89 Strategic Energy Action Plans in the Alpes 90 B.A.U.M. 42

43 Grids und mobility: joint demonstration projects 91 Wildpoldsried: the 2020 village in the Allgäu people cows 9 windmills, biogas plant m² PV 50 full electric vehicles controllable substation 400 kw battery 180 PMUs Ludwig Karg E-Energy Programme Information B.A.U.M. 43

44 Combining regional supply of food and energies 1 THE REGIOMARKET PROJECT 2 DEFINITIONS: REGIONAL MARKETS & REGIONAL MARKETING 3 DEFINITIONS: BRANDS AND REGIONAL BRANDING 4 POTENTIALS AND BENEFITS OF COOPERATIVE REGIONAL MARKETING AND BRANDING 5 BUILDING A REGIONAL MARKETING COOPERATION - THE PROCESS 6 COOPERATION AND STRUCTURES 6.1 Central elements of a model structure for cooperative regional marketing initiatives 6.2 Financing a structure for cooperative regional Marketing 6.3 Defining Rules for the Partnership 7 MEASURES AND PROJECTS FOR A COOPERATIVE REGIONAL MARKETING 8 SUCCESSFUL ALPINE SPACE BRAND AND MARKETING SYSTEMS 93 DG CONNECT Energy project in Future Internet PPP Major issues: internet of things smart home and smart city electric vehicles smart factory security market >>>> boost for smart applications in smart energy domain Budget: > 10 mio 94 B.A.U.M. 44

45 THE FUTURE INTERNET OF ENERGY ICT Internet Smart Energy Energy Benefits of using the future internet: lower costs for application development easy access for new partners scalability of applications Future Internet of Energy: organizing many... (volatile) distributed energy production (flexible and unpredictable) consumers electric vehicles (as consumers and storage) 95 APPS FOR THE SMART ENERGY WORLD original trials plus open call FINESCE SME contest Phase III APP APP APP APP APP APP APP APP APP APP APP APP APP APP API Layer Virtual Power Smart Factory Smart Home Electric Vehicles emarket Place Plant and Prosumers DSE DSE DSE DSE DSE DSE DSE DSE GE GE GE GE GE GE GE GE Device Sensor Actor Device Actor 96 B.A.U.M. 45

46 DG ENERGY EEGI objective: Peak shaving and energy saving with a full range of incentives (Cluster 1: Integration of smart customers, C1.2.2) Budget: 2.1 mio Leadpartner: VITO (BE) & BAUM (DE) The idea of the project Support the energy utility of the future to effectively cooperate with smart consumers, who want to reduce energy consumption and costs change lifestyle routines to smart customers, who want to get services to become a prosumer, i. e. produce as well as consume energy or provide energy services a market partner with providing consumption flexibility or energy services smart citizens, who want to become part of a smart energy community help ensure quality of supply and environment preservation Ludwig Karg, B.A.U.M. München / Berlin S3C Project Information B.A.U.M. 46

47 Key Differentiators S3C centres around end users and addresses them as consumers, customers and good citizens as well. S3C follows approaches from social sciences and behaviour psychology and includes experience from other fields. S3C creates guidance for decision makers and future research by providing guidelines and a proven toolkit for practitioners. Ludwig Karg, B.A.U.M. München / Berlin S3C Project Information Human Needs (according to Maslow) Self-Fulfilment creativity, transcendence Individuality Success, spontaneity Social Needs love, mobility, networks Security Need housing, work Basic Needs air, food, water, light Ludwig Karg, B.A.U.M. München / Berlin S3C Project Information B.A.U.M. 47

48 Virtual Power Systems Cornerstones for a Sustainable Energy Supply in the Alpine Space Managing Production and Consumption VPS (Virtual Power System) matching generation and consumption (including storage) optimizing PRODUCTION usage of existing grid CONSUMPTION new business models (tariffs, services) VPP (Virtual Power Plant) VLP (Virtual Load Plant) multiple power generators (different type) multiple power consumers (private, biz) controlling effectiveness and efficiency demand side management to control load protection of grid (no overloads, no peaks) controlling and optimizing appliances 102 B.A.U.M. 48

49 Ein wichtiges Alpenraumprojekt Strategies to use a variety of mobile and stationary storages to allow for extended accessibility and the integration of renewable energies 103 We are not only responsible for what we do but also for what we don t. 104 B.A.U.M. 49