Update on Nuclear Energy Programme in Bangladesh

Transcription

1 Update on Nuclear Energy Programme in Bangladesh MOHAMMAD SOHELUR RAHMAN, MD. ABDUR RAZZAQUE and DEBABRATA DAS BANGLADESH ATOMIC ENERGY COMMISSION (BAEC) Interregional Workshop on Advanced Nuclear Reactor Technology for Near-Term Deployment, IAEA HQ, Vienna, Austria, 4-8 July 2011

2 CONTENTS SITE AREA OF RNPP RECENT DEVELOPMENT OF RNPP ROADMAP FOR RNPP ENERGY AND POWER SITUATION OF BANGLADESH ENERGY POLICY AND GOVT. VISION NUCLEAR OPTION FOR BANGLADESH CONCLUSION

3 SITE AREA of Rooppur Nuclear Power Project (RNPP) Project Site Area : 105 Hectare Residential Area : 13 Hectare Proposed Power plant Location Ganges Gorai B a y o f B e n g a l

4 ABOUT RNPP SITE Nuclear power was identified as a viable proposition for Bangladesh as early as 1960's The Rooppur Nuclear Power Project (RNPP) site was selected in 1963 A number of feasibility studies were conducted, each of which established that the project is technically and economically feasible. Pre-implementation phase activities for construction of two units of reactors on the Rooppur site with a time lag of two years have been initiated.

5 Recent development of RNPP FINALIZATION OF SITE SAFETY REPORT Seismic loads Wind loads Tornado Tsunami Flood Aircraft crash Shock wave TM/ WSP 5-9 Nov. 2007

6 Necessary studies for evaluation of site specific design basis parameters of the reactor and sensitive structure and determination of cost-effective safe engineering solutions for development of RNPP Site are required for construction work GEOLOGY, STRUCTURAL GEOLOGY D SOIL MECHANICS AN SEISMOLOGY AND GROUND STABILITY OF THE AREA METEOROLOGICAL AND TROPICAL DITIONS OF THE AREA CON

7 Reviewing the geology and fault information Compilation of earthquake database Analysis of seismic source and seismicity characteris tics Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for 200, 475, 2475 year 1D Site response analysis (Site specific) study Development of site specific response spectrum

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10 Recent development of RNPP Declaration to implement RNPP was a Election Manifesto of all major Parries in the last National Parliament election of 2008; AT PRESENT, both the government party and the opposition party are in favor of implementation of RNPP;

11 Recent development of RNPP Signing of MOU between BAEC and ROSATOM and initialed on Peaceful Uses of Nuclear Energy in Peaceful Purposes between Russian Federation and Bangladesh in 2009 A Framework Agreement between the Government of the People s Republic of Bangladesh and the Russian Federation on cooperation in the field of the use of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes was signed on May 21, Decision of immediate implementation on NPP was taken by the National Parliament in 2010

12 Recent development of RNPP To accelerate the activities for starting construction of RNPP, the Government has formed eight Working Sub- Groups (Bangladesh Gazette, June 21, 2010) each of which consists of the representatives from the relevant ministries, organizations. These Working Sub-Groups are responsible for assessing the Nuclear Infrastructure of the country in the respective areas and identify the gaps of nineteen infrastructure items of Phase II (Decision Making Phase). An Inter-governmental Agreement between the People s Republic of Bangladesh and the Russian Federation on Cooperation Concerning the Construction of a Nuclear Power Plant was initialed on February 24, 2011.

13 Recent development of RNPP A National Committee headed by the Head of the Govt. was formed to review/supervise the overall development activities/contractual documents of RNPP (April 2011)

14 GOVERNMENT SUPPORT Annual Development Project ( ) Accomplishment of Essential Activities to Implement Rooppur Nuclear Power Plant Project IAEA SUPPORT IAEA S TC Project ( ) Establishing Nuclear Power (BGD 4024)

15 Infrastructure development programme Maintenance and continuous infrastructure improvement Nuclear power is considered as a possible option MILESTONE 0 Ready to include nuclear as realistic national energy strategy option MILESTONE 1 Ready to make commitment to a nuclear MILESTONE 2 Ready to invite bids for the first NPP MILESTONE 3 Ready to commission and operate first NPP PHASE 0 PHASE 1 PHASE 2 PHASE 3 Readiness to include nuclear as a national energy strategy option since 1960s Pre-Project activities after Agency Mission Preparatory work for construction of a RNPP after a policy decision has been taken Activities to implement first NPP, the RNPP Preproject Prepolicy RNPP definition RNPP Construction Op s 1960s Preparation for RNPP Implementation Commissioning RNPP Project Timeline (proposed according to Vision 2021 and Sixth Five Year Planning of Bangladesh

16 PRESENT ENERGY AND POWER SITUATION OF BANGLADESH Per capita availability of electricity and energy in Bangladesh is the lowest among the developing countries: ELECTRICITY ENERGY 220 kwh (per capita generation) 149 kwh (per capita consumption) 240 KGOE (Share of commercial energy is about 60%) Per capita GDP PPP GDP 638 USD 1,572 USD In terms of per capita GDP, per capita energy and electricity consumption, Bangladesh is a least developing country.

17 PRESENT ENERGY AND POWER SITUATION OF BANGLADESH Installed Capacity MW Generation Capacity MW Peak Demand 5450 MW Load Shed MW o Max. Generation in MW.The unofficial demand is more IPP 34% BPDB 66% Bangladesh is mainly a mono fuel country

18 PRESENT ENERGY AND POWER SITUATION OF BANGLADESH STRUCTURAL CHANGE IN ECONOMY 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Agriculture Industry Service sectoral contribution in total GDP 8.00% 7.00% 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% Agriculture Industry Service Total GDP Growth of sectoral and total GDP Relative share of Agriculture sector is decreasing Share of Industry is gradually increasing, which reflects the positive trend of Industrialization Infrastructure support that is adequate supply of energy and electricity is essential for rapid growth in Industrial sector

19 VISION 2021 OF PRESENT GOVERNMENT To transfer Bangladesh into a modern, knowledge-based a digital middle income group country by 2021 Socioeconomic target by % 8% 6% 4% 2% 6% 8% 10% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% Agriculture 25.70% 29.66% 25.58% 20.87% Industry 40% 15% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2009 Target Year % 45% 25% 36% 30% 16% 0% % % Agriculture Industry Service Sectoral contribution in total GDP GDP growth (%) Labor force The contribution of the industrial share will increase gradually upto 40% by 2021 from its present level of 29% for achieving the GDP growth to 10% by 2017 to be sustained thereafter. 19

20 Installed Capacity of BPDB Power Plant as on June 2011 Unit type Capacity Unit Total (%) Coal MW 3.66 % F. Oil MW 6.51 % Gas MW % HSD MW % Hydro MW 3.36 % Total MW 100 %

21 Derated Capacity of BPDB Power Plant as on June 2011 Unit Type Capacity Unit Total (%) Coal MW 3.52 % F. Oil MW 5.86 % Gas MW % HSD MW % Hydro MW 3.68 % Total MW 100 %

22 Bangladesh Power Sector: At a Glance SL. No. Items FY Upto May Generation Capacity (MW) Maximum Generation, June Net generation, MKWh (FY ) 26, Transmission line, km Grid sub-station capacity,mva (a) 400 KV and 230 KV (b) 132 KV Distribution line, km 2,66, Number of consumers (million) Number of village electrified 53, Per capita generation, kwh Access to electricity 47 % Source:

23 G. GRID ADAPTATION EXISTING NATIONAL GRID SYSTEM 230x132KV, 132x33KV and 33/11KV Sub-stations 230KV, 132KV & 33KV Transmission Lines (BPDB, PGCB, DESA, REB, DESCO, etc)

24 G. GRID ADAPTATION Grid Sub-Station AROUND RNPP SITE RNPP is located almost in the center of the western zone and is just about 5 km from Ishurdi sub-station The RNPP will feed into the Ishwardi Substation of BPDB where the east-west electrical inter-connector ties in

25 G. GRID ADAPTATION TRANSMISSION LINES AROUND RNPP SITE (existing) 230 KV Transmission line Name of lines Length Type East-West Interconnector 358 Double Khulna - Ishurdi 370 Double 132 KV Transmission line Goalpara-Ishurdi 338 Double Ishurdi-Bogra 212 Double

26 G. GRID ADAPTATION Government should actively consider the issue of HV grid adaptation An arrangement can be made through making a MOU between BPDB or Power Cell or PGCB with a suitable company of NPP operating country to address the stability of the country s T&D network for induction of NPP

27 Present Picture of Power Sector of Bangladesh BANGLADESH IS FACING TWIN ENERGY CRISES An urban energy crisis characterized by power shortages and gas shortage A rural energy crisis reflected in the increasing inability of the rural poor to access traditional biomass Both crises need urgent attention, as they directly affect the nation s development prospects and the basic livelihoods of urban and rural populations 27

28 PRESENT GOVT. VISION Making electricity available for all by 2021 Ensuring reliable and quality supply of electricity Providing electricity at a reasonable and affordable price Addition of 20,000 MW of generating capacity by 2021

29 Vision 2021: Energy Security and Electricity for all in 2021 Targets of electricity production 29 By the year 2013: 7,000 MW By the year 2015: 8,000 MW Possibility Domestic coal and imported coal based power plants ; Availability of new gas both in offshore and onshore Perspective plan of Electricity generation mix: Energy Target Current (%) 2021(%) 2030 (%) Gas Coal Oil Hydro Nuclear Renewable 0 3 6

30 National Energy Policy of Bangladesh National Energy Policy, 1996: Nuclear energy was identified as a component of energy mix The Revised Draft National Energy Policy of Bangladesh (2008) has outlined the nuclear power program as follows: PERIOD By 2020 By 2025 Beyond 2025 PLAN ON NPP Implementation of 2 units of NPP Addition of more 2 units to ensure 10% of total generation from NPP Nuclear share should be 25% in overall generation mix Nuclear Energy Policy is a component of the National Energy Policy 30

31 TARGET YEAR (Long Term Planning) 2021 Addition of more than 10,000 MW during the period Annual new addition would be about 2000 MW

32 ABOUT INDIGENOUS RESOURCES GAS Current proven and probable (2P) reserves are 15 TCF while cumulative production is about 7.0 TCF COAL Total in-situ coal reserve is about 1000 MT HYDRO Existing generating capacity: 230 MW Sangu and Muhuri are two potential sites with total capacity 350 MW WIND Construction of total capacity 1.8 MW Wind potential is too limited and total potential capacity is about 350 MW

33 POWER AND ENERGY SYSTEM PLANNING: HIGH CASE Maximum utilization of indigenous gas and coal, imported options of both coal, gas after 2015, introduction of nuclear from 2015 and ambitious expansion after 2020 and solar from solar GasIm_PP CoalIm_PP GasIn_PP Hydro Oil_PP NPP CoalIn_PP Nuclear Solar Hydro Suggested: Ambitious Vision for Nuclear Scenario, Imported Gas Coal & Renewable

34 LEGISLATIVE FRAMEWORK Nuclear Safety and Radiation Control Act 1993 and Rules 1997 based on IAEA BSS 115 A draft of new law entitled Bangladesh Atomic Energy Regulatory Act (BAER Act-2011) has been formulated by the Regulatory Body and awaits approval.

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36 For strengthening nuclear regulatory infrastructure suitable for RNPP, draft Bangladesh Atomic Energy Regulatory Act (BAER Act 2011) has been prepared by BAEC on the basis of the IAEA guidelines and recommendations This draft BAER Act-2011 was reviewed by IAEA for technical comments and awaits for GOVT. approval Article 6 of the draft BAER Act-2011 establishes the Regulatory Body which would be independent from any Licensees The draft BAER Act-2011 has the provision of adoption of the codes, guides and regulations of the government of the suppl ying the first NPP, International Agency(s) and any advanced nations

37 CONCLUSIONS Diversification of energy mix with indigenous gas and coal, imported coal and gas, introduction of nuclear and Renewable are necessary for sustainable development Nuclear Power has become an Inevitable Option for ensuring energy security in the mid to longterm future

38 CONCLUSIONS Nuclear Vision The Draft National Energy Policy of Bangladesh(2008) has outlined the nuclear power program as follows: PERIOD By 2020 By 2025 Beyond 2025 PLAN ON NPP Implementation of 2 units of NPP Additional 2 units to ensure 10% of total generation from NPP Nuclear share should 25% in overall generation mix

39 Thank you for your kind attention