Thailand Energy Security. Tanwan Topoklang Plan and Policy Analyst Ministry of Energy Thailand 29 March 2018

Transcription

1 Thailand Energy Security Tanwan Topoklang Plan and Policy Analyst Ministry of Energy Thailand 29 March

2 Contents Overview of Energy Situation Energy System Energy Security Summary

3 K Barrel per Day crude oil equivalent Energy Demand Increase *Jan 2018 NG Primary Energy Consumption Oil Import Coal 2018* Lignite Hydro/import electricity Demand Growth 0.9% Total 2,131 KBD crude oil equivalent Source : EPPO, Ministry of Energy, Thailand

4 K Barrel per Day crude oil equivalent Net Import Country Oil *Jan 2018 Net Import of Primary and Secondary Energy Import Coal 2018* NG and LNG Electricity Total 1,384 KBD crude oil equivalent Net Import Growth 1.5% Source : EPPO, Ministry of Energy, Thailand

5 Security Challenges *Jan 2018 Domestic Supply 4.6% 976 KBD* Net Import 1.5% 1,384 KBD* Consumption 0.9% 2,131 KBD* Decreasing of indigenous energy resource: Natural gas High depends on external supply sources: more than 65% mainly crude oil (85%) and LNG (20%) Supply shortage could affect enormously to Thailand economy Source : EPPO, Ministry of Energy, Thailand

6 Long-term Energy Security Target Thailand Integrated Energy Blueprint 20-year masterplan ( ) Import dependency Energy cost Energy security Fuel diversification Reduce Natural gas for Electricity from 64% to 37% Renewable and Alternative energy Increase RE to 30% Energy Efficiency Reduce energy intensity (EI) 30% Source : Chatchawan Chaichana and Sarawut Kaewtathip Emergency Response for Thailand Energy Sector

7 Intuitional Arrangement: NESO NESO * Crisis Management Committee Energy Fund Administration Institute EFAI Energy Regulatory Commission ERC Office of Permanent Secretary OPS Department of Mineral Fuels DMF Department of Alternative Energy Development and Efficiency DEDE Department of Energy Business DOEB Energy Policy and Planning Office EPPO Petroleum Executive Management Committee (Chairman : Permanent Secretary of Energy) Energy Security Management Task Force (Chairman : Inspector General) PTT public company limited PTT Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand EGAT *National Emergency Strategy Organization (NESO) is a working group setup by Ministry of Energy (MOEN) chaired by Minister of Energy to prepare and manage Thailand s energy emergency situation. NESO members consist of representatives from departments under Ministry of ENergy and related organizations, including PTT and EGAT.

8 Energy Security Preparedness Import Oil Oil Stockpiling Pipeline Extension Domestic NG Fuel switching Myanmar NG Demand Response LNG Exercise

9 Oil Stockpiling Legal Framework The Fuel Trade Act 2000 DOEB announcement: Oil Stockpiling 2015 Private Sector Stockpiling Oil Stockpiling (Above Ground Tank) Oil product 1% Crude 6% Commercial Stock (14 days) Legal Reserve (25 days) Oil Stock (39 days) days oil reserve Source : DOEB Ministry of Energy, Thailand (March 2018)

10 Oil Pipeline Extension North and North East pipelines ensure sufficient logistic capability = security of oil supply Source : DOEB Ministry of Energy, Thailand (March 2018)

11 Emergency Response Exercise 1-3 Emergency Exercise Experience Since 2010 More than 250 participations/year Scenario Exercise Supply disruption Infrastructure crash

12 Emergency Response Exercise Natural Gas 4 Power 2 Oil 3 Demand Restraint 7 Units 1 Natural Gas 2 Oil 3 Demand Restraint 4 Power 5 Executive 6 Cooperation 7 Media Strategy 5 Executive 6 Cooperat ion 7 Media Strategy

13 Emergency Response Exercise The structure and command NESO Line of Command 2. Communication One message Timely communication Through Media 3. Law The legal restriction: Environmental s permission, Transportations permission The contractual agreement 4. Type of fuel switching Gas dependency Spec of power plant capacity Oil or gas pipeline 5. Technology 6. Capacity building

14 Summary Thailand Emergency response system is well prepared and steadily strengthened Thailand aware of energy resources limitation / high import dependency Energy security management is vital Long-term : TIEB Short-term : Infrastructure development ex. oil pipeline / Institutional arrangement (NESO) / Emergency preparation Key recommendation to ASEAN Share lessons learned and experiences Strengthen collaboration in energy security preparedness

15 ขอบค ณค ะ Thank you Policy and Strategy Management Office Ministry of Energy Thailand

16 Thailand Energy System Source : Chatchawan Chaichana and Sarawut Kaewtathip Emergency Response for Thailand Energy Sector