Catastrophic Response Planning
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1 Southern California Catastrophic Earthquake Plan Joint State / Federal Southern California Catastrophic Earthquake Plan Update California Utilities Emergency Association (CUEA) June 16,
2 Planning Methodology Refresher - The six step planning methodology (CPG 101) Current Step in the Planning Process 2
3 Concept of Operations (CONOPS) Execution: Phases coordinate the response Phase 1: Phase 2: Pre-incident Response 1a Normal Operations Plan, Organize, Equip, Train & Exercise 1b Elevated Threat Possible 1c Credible Threat Likely 2a Immediate Response 2b Deployment Occurring 2c Sustained Response JFO Established Phase 3: Recovery 3 Recovery Restoration and rebuilding 0 24 hrs hrs 72 hrs + Years SOC and REOCs activated Form Unified Coordination Group SOC, REOC functions transfer to JFO JFO Operations Recovery Organization 3
4 Response Organization 4
5 Planning Developmental Process 2016 Module 1 February-May Information Analysis Planning Factors Functional Operations Module 2 June - August Module 3 August - October Module 4 October - December Operational Impacts Geographic Operations STEP 1 Form a Collaborative Planning Team STEP 2 Understand STEP 3 Determine the Goals & SCCEP Situation Update Objectives Briefing STEP 4 Plan Development STEP 5 Plan Preparation, Review & Approval STEP 6 Plan 5 Implementation & Maintenance
6 Regional Threat/Risk Los Angeles Area UCERF3: Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast New earthquake forecast model study that concludes there is a greater than 99% probability that in the next 30 years Californians will experience one or more magnitude 6.7 or greater causing extensive damage and loss of life. 6
7 Analysis and Fact Sheet Development Analysis Process Operational Impact Vulnerabilities and potential failure points for systems supporting southern California communities. Planning Factors Requirements to support communities and jurisdictions based on known and anticipated needs of Operational Areas (OAs), responsible organizations, and communities. Information Collection Data Analysis Analysts use current, available science, functional area facts, Subject Mater Experts (SMEs) experience, After Action Reports (AARs), best practices, lessons learned, and stakeholder consensus. Planning Strategy - based on risk, throughput, and simplicity. Operational Strategy - Alignment of all movement strategies (command and control, evacuation, access, marshalling, transportation, maritime, debarkation, staging, and distribution). 7
8 Key Thread: Transportation Transportation Analysis Components Surface Transportation Aviation Transportation Maritime Transportation Railway Transportation Liquid Fuel Pipeline Distribution Restoring Transportation Infrastructure Situational Awareness/Assessment Lessons Learned 8
9 Surface Transportation California Priority Trade Corridors California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) designates California priority trade corridors as part of their Corridor System Management Plans. Three priority trade corridors pass through the earthquake hazard planning area. Caltrans Critical Support Maintenance Centers in the Planning Area District 5 - San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara District 6 Kern, Tulare District 7 Los Angeles, Ventura District 8 San Bernardino, Riverside District 9 Inyo District 11 San Diego, Imperial District 12 - Orange Three Highway Network Corridors Northern I-5, 101, 395; SR1, 33, 46, 58, 65, 100, 136, 190, 154, 155 La Basin I-5, 10, 15, 95,101, 110, 210, 215, 405, 605, 710, 101, 111, 213; SR1, 2, 23, 27, 33, 60, 62, 74, 77, 79, 86, 91, 126, 150, 138, 215, 232, 241, 243,247, 395 Southern I-5, 8, 10, 15, 805; SR56, 67, 74, 78, 79, 94, 98, 111, 195, 371 9
10 Key Hazards to Critical Lifelines Four critical lifeline areas have been identified that include the power grid, gas and oil pipelines, fiber optics, road, rail, and the California Aqueduct and Colorado River Aqueducts. Southern California Critical Infrastructure Corridors 10
11 Current Plan (2011) Strategy The 2011 SoCal Earthquake plan focused on: Primary Staging Areas Multi-mode transportation Hub and spoke distribution Current Staging Strategy - uses intermodal corridors to support Commodity Points of Distribution (C-PODs) - from the source to distribution that puts emphasis on functionality (not mode) enhancing the hub and spoke concept of operations. 11
12 Caltrans ShakeCast Integration Assessing Damage and Planning Access Corridors Strategy ShakeCast raises situational awareness by providing the best estimate of ground shaking by using a CISN sensor network within 4 minutes immediately following the event. It also can be used in planning access strategies by integrating existing ShakeMap scenario data to provide bridge damage which is the top priority for DOT inspection. 12
13 Analysis: ShakeCast UCERF3 Scenario San Andreas Fault (SAF) - Southern/S2 M 7.8: 13
14 Strategy enables all sectors to move within the incident area. Enables Rapid transition to private sector supply chains 14
15 Access Strategy: Design 15
16 Ardent Sentry 2015 Access Strategy Corridor approach: Green: Light/fast Blue: Bulk/Slow Grey North to South Edwards AFB Palmdale Airport Barstow Embark Point Mugu AirSta (NBVC) SCLA Embark MCAGC C29 Palms Embark Ontario Intl LB Airport March ARB Palm Springs Intl Port of LA/LB MCB Camp Pendleton Exercise Ardent Sentry corridors link ISB to FSAs and provide a structured way to: Gain access Manage span of control Create ISB FSA relationships Prevent conflict and cargo bump MCAS Mira mar Naval Base SD Embark US&R, DMAT 16
17 Close Up: Maritime Transportation staging areas used for Embarkation and debarkation (offload). The debarkation point is a critical location for command and control, marshaling, staging and distribution. The 4 public ports (Hueneme, Los Angeles, Long Beach and San Diego) must support the evacuation and sheltering/feeding (base camp) needs of the response. The key for success is private sector maritime stakeholders involvement/partnership to ensure port economic recovery, and area stabilization. Efforts need to be made to secure Port Planning Orders (PPOs) for the POLA to effectively access northern corridor through SR 110. Improve POLA/POLB Distribution Strategy 17
18 Access Strategy: Blue Corridor ESF 7 manages movement of cargo, including mutual aid/private Sector from Bay Area/Port Hueneme, if needed 18
19 Access Strategy: Grey Corridor Draft: Gray Corridor 19
20 Access Strategy: Green Corridor 20
21 Access Strategy: Green Corridor 21
22 Summary Update Movement coordination coordinating the activation, movement, staging and distribution of teams and commodities at the NRCC, RRCC, and IOF/JFO. Hub and spoke distribution update Reaching community sites through air and ground transportation. Update to Marine Transportation under ESF 7, supported by ESF 1, MARAD, DoD and private sector to establish Staging Areas. Includes DoD (DSCA) Support to ESF 1, ESF 7, ESF 8. Enable transition to private sector and regular supply chains Recovery is part of planning update preservation of the tax base Alignment of Staging and transportation for sourcing and providing water, fuel, distribution capabilities. 22
23 Questions For more information Contact Patrick T. Hammond Sr. California Governor s Office of Emergency Services Disaster Planning, SCCERP Lead, SESC, MEP Office Cell patrick.hammond@caloes.ca.gov Bartlett, Jonathon Federal Emergency Management Agency Response Division, Planning Office Cell Jonathon.Bartlett@fema.dhs.gov 23
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