International Rendering Symposium, 2016 International Poultry Expo. Global Market Report: Opportunities and Risks. January 28, 2016 Atlanta, GA
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1 International Rendering Symposium, 2016 International Poultry Expo Global Market Report: Opportunities and Risks January 28, 2016 Atlanta, GA Kent Swisher
2 Overview Where We Are Domestic Markets Global Markets Markets Risks and Opportunities
3 Where We Are - Markets
4 Where We Are - Production
5 Where We Are - Production
6 Where We Are - Consumption U.S. Consumption of Processed Animal Protein Meals by Sector 2010 Informa Study Fish 3% Export 8% Other 4% Cattle 6% Poultry 39% Pets 31% Swine 9%
7 Where We Are - Consumption
8 Where We Are Fats - Trend
9 Where We Are Proteins - Trend
10 Conclusion Production is declining but is expected to rebound with the cattle cycle Biofuel use continues to replace fat exports while domestic use is stable Processed animal protein exports are becoming more important and have grown 46% in the last 5 years
11 Domestic Risks and Opportunities Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) Food Safety and Modernization Act (FSMA) Disease Fears Perception Pet Food Animal Byproducts and/or Coproducts? Sustainability Production and Consumption Statistics USDA/NASS
12 Strategic Intention - Global Domestic and international markets Promote the demand and market access for rendered products to domestic and international customers. Secure adequate resources from key strategic partnerships (members, federal government and strategic allies).
13 Global Markets - Feed
14 Global Markets - Protein
15 Global Markets - Tallow
16 Top 4 Rendering Industries
17 Rendered Fat Risks and Opportunities 25% of U.S. domestic rendered fat production now goes to biofuel. The largest importer of tallow is now Singapore renewable diesel. The largest importer of UCO/yellow grease is now the EU. 19% of U.S. rendered fat exports go to biofuel production overseas. Renewable fuel producers large scale.
18 U.S. Exports Processed Animal Protein Meals
19 Rendered Protein Meals Risks and Opportunities Globally Poultry and aquaculture sectors drive demand (Asia, Mexico, and Chile!). Ruminant MBM markets are still lacking due to BSE constraints. Avian influenza risk for exports. Other disease risks. Perception. Additional EU meals entering the market place.
20 Risks and Opportunities
21 Supply Risks and Opportunities
22 Risks and Opportunities
23 Risks and Opportunities
24 Risks and Opportunities Trade Weighted US Dollar Index 2005 to Present (TWEX)
25 Key Constraints to Market Access Disease related issues - either perceived or real. Currency issues strength of the dollar. Non tariff trade barriers. Commercial disputes. Education. Competing products palm oil, soybean meal.
26 U.S. and Brazilian Soybean Exports Source: USDA FAS: Oilseeds: World Markets and Trade
27 Things We Can Change Domestic and international markets Promote the demand and market access for rendered products to domestic and international customers. Secure adequate resources from key strategic partnerships (members, federal government and strategic allies).
28 Key Strategic Partnerships World Organization for Animal Health (OIE) Terrestrial Animal Health Code AI and BSE Private certification entities World Wildlife Fund Aquaculture Stewardship Council (WWF, ASC) Global Aquaculture Alliance Best Aquaculture Practices (BAP) U.S. government USDA/FAS, APHIS, USTR Rendering industries - Latin America, Australia, New Zealand, Europe Other?
29 Things We Can Change Perception Global standard setting bodies (OIE, FAO, CODEX) Government policies/procedures Certification standards effecting rendered products Trade negotiations Commercial disputes Export demand through U.S. food donation programs Food for Peace, Food for Progress
30 Specific - Initiatives US/EU Free Trade Agreement (TTIP) Market Access UCO and Tallow NOM 60 Mexico Food For Peace/Food For Progress Ghana, Dominican Republic Tallow and Yellow Grease approved Efforts to get MBM in programs
31 Market Access - China
32 Promote the Demand and Market Access of Rendered Products
33
34
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