Fresh Deciduous Fruit (Apples, Pears, and Grapes): World Markets and Trade

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1 Fresh Deciduous Fruit (Apples, Pears, and Grapes): World Markets and Trade June 9 SUMMARY Global apple production is expected to expand percent and trade is expected to surge 5 percent in 8/9 due to strong demand from Russia and the Middle East. China dominates production and trade, and its exports are forecast to surge more than percent. Larger Global Apple Supplies and Growing Demand in Russia and the Middle East Is Expected Apples China s export market share is estimated to jump by over percent. China ecast to Grab World Export Market Shares from Others 4% % 7% Southern Hemisphere China % 9% EU % 9% 9% US Others % % 4.5 million MT (/7) 5 million MT (8/9F)

2 Page China is Shipping More to Russia and the Middle East Asia % Russia 9% 4% 48% % 7% Middle East Others 8% % 78, MT (/7) million MT (7/8) The European Union (EU) is the world s second largest apple exporter, with exports forecast to expand almost 5 percent due to strong demand from Russia and the Middle East, two of the EU s largest traditional markets. U.S. production is estimated at 4.5 million tons, up percent from last year, due to higher yields and good growing conditions. U.S. exports are forecast to climb more than percent, due to strong demand in Mexico, its top market. U.S. Gains Export Shares in North America but Loses in Asia % 44% North America 5% 5% Asia % Others 5% 5, million MT (5/) 74, million MT (7/8) WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE: DECIDUOUS FRUIT Office of Global Analysis Office of Global Analysis June 9

3 Page Northern Hemisphere Accounts for Most of Increase in Global Apple Exports Million Metric Tons N. Hemisphere S. Hemisphere /7 7/8 8/9F The northern and southern hemisphere countries supply each other in their off-seasons. Northern hemisphere shippers expect trade to grow over percent, while southern hemisphere traders estimate exports up percent. Northern and southern hemisphere suppliers anticipate production up more than percent due to expanded production and good growing conditions. Majority of Fresh Deciduous Fruit Trade Occurs During Northern and Southern Hemisphere Countries Off-Seasons N. Hemisphere Exports S. Hemisphere Exports Million Metric Tons, Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE: DECIDUOUS FRUIT Office of Global Analysis Office of Global Analysis June 9

4 Page 4 Pears Northern and southern hemisphere pear production is forecast to remain about the same as last year. However, northern hemisphere trade is forecast to dip percent due to weak demand and limited supplies. Southern hemisphere pear trade is expected to remain about the same as last year. Exports of U.S. pears are expected to decline 4 percent due to lower demand and smaller exportable supplies. Grapes Northern hemisphere grape production is estimated to be percent higher and trade is expected to be about 5 percent more than last year. Southern hemisphere grape production and trade are forecast to remain about the same as last year due to weakening demand, more alternative fruit choices, and increased competition. U.S. grape exports are forecast to grow percent as a result of continued demand. more information, please contact Shari Kosco at -7-8 or additional production, supply, and demand information, you may visit our website at NOTE: New countries have been added to the Production, Supply and Distribution (PSD) database to account for a better representation of global trade. These additional countries have data from /7 to 8/9. U.S. data for / to 8/9 has been revised to reflect Aug-July marketing year for apples and May-April for grapes. As a result, any comparison between this and previous reports should take this modification into account. WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE: DECIDUOUS FRUIT Office of Global Analysis Office of Global Analysis June 9

5 Apples: Production, Supply, and Distribution in Selected Countries, Metric Tons Selected Apple Countries Algeria / / /9 Argentina /7, / / Australia / / / Bangladesh / / /9 8 8 Belarus / /8 8/9 4 4 Brazil /7,94 9,5 7/ /9, ,9 Canada / / / Chile /7, /8, /9, China /7,59 4, 8,9 7, 7/8 4,8 4, 5,95 7,775 8/9 8,5 44,5,44 5, Colombia / / / Costa Rica / /8 8/9 5 5 Croatia / / /9 5 5 Ecuador / / / EU-7 /7, ,55,5 Office of Global Analysis June 9

6 Apples: Production, Supply, and Distribution in Selected Countries (Continued), Metric Tons 7/8 8/9 Guatemala /7 7/8 8/9 Honduras /7 7/8 8/9 Hong Kong /7 7/8 8/9 India /7 7/8 8/9 Indonesia /7 7/8 8/9 Japan /7 7/8 8/9 Kazakhstan /7 7/8 8/9 Kyrgyzstan /7 7/8 8/9 Libya /7 7/8 8/9 Malaysia /7 7/8 8/9 Mexico /7 7/8 8/9 New Zealand /7 7/8 8/9 Norway Peru /7 7/8 8/9 /7 9,7,5,75,, ,4,7 85 8,74, ,8,7, Office of Global Analysis June 9

7 Apples: Production, Supply, and Distribution in Selected Countries (Continued), Metric Tons 7/8 8/9 Philippines /7 7/8 8/9 Russia /7 7/8 8/9 Saudi Arabia /7 7/8 8/9 Serbia /7 7/8 8/9 Singapore /7 7/8 8/9 South Africa /7 7/8 8/9 Sri Lanka /7 7/8 8/9 Taiwan /7 7/8 8/9 Thailand /7 7/8 8/9 Turkey /7 7/8 8/9 Ukraine /7 7/8 8/9 United Arab Emirates /7 7/8 8/9 United States /7 7/8 8/9 Venezuela /7,5,8, ,,458, ,5 4, 4, , ,5, 4,,4,9, ,898,45, ,4,5 74,5,4 745,57,57 45 Office of Global Analysis June 9

8 Apples: Production, Supply, and Distribution in Selected Countries (Continued), Metric Tons 7/8 8/9 Vietnam /7 7/8 8/9 Uruguay /7 7/8 8/9 Total Selected Apple Countries /7 7/8 8/9 8 54,7 5,7 57, ,47 4, 4, ,54 9,89 4,874 4,4 7,5 4,88 5, 44,595,9 Note: From 994, the United States is on a Aug-July marketing year. All other Northern Hemisphere countries are on a July-June marketing year. Southern Hemisphere countries are on a calendar year indicated as the second year of the split year. Imports and exports will not equal due to statistical discrepancies. /4/9 ::48 PM Office of Global Analysis June 9

9 Pears: Production, Supply, and Distribution in Selected Countries, Metric Tons Selected Pear Countries Argentina / / / Australia / / / Brazil / / /9 8 8 Canada / / / Chile / / / China /7,98 98,77 8 7/8,895 4,5 95 8/9, 45,5, EU-7 /7,75 4 8,544 7/8,55 7,98 9 8/9,,8 79 Hong Kong / /8 9 8/9 8 8 Indonesia / / /9 9 9 Japan / / / Malaysia / / /9 4 4 Mexico /7 85 7/ / New Zealand /7 7/ /9 Norway /7 9 9 Office of Global Analysis June 9

10 Pears: Production, Supply, and Distribution in Selected Countries (Continued), Metric Tons 7/8 8/9 Philippines /7 7/8 8/9 Russia /7 7/8 8/9 Saudi Arabia /7 7/8 8/9 Singapore /7 7/8 8/9 South Africa /7 7/8 8/9 Thailand /7 7/8 8/9 Turkey /7 7/8 8/9 United Arab Emirates /7 7/8 8/9 United States /7 7/8 8/9 Venezuela /7 7/8 8/9 Vietnam /7 7/8 8/9 Total Selected Pear Countries /7 7/8 8/ ,88 8,97 8, ,47,49, ,5 5,87,85,7,5,987,,8,5 Note: Northern Hemisphere countries are on a July-June marketing year. Southern Hemisphere countries are on a calendar year indicated as the second year of the split year. Imports and exports will not equal due to statistical discrepancies. /4/9 :: PM Office of Global Analysis June 9

11 Grapes: Production, Supply, and Distribution in Selected Countries, Metric Tons Selected Grape Countries Argentina / / /9 55 Australia / / /9 4 4 Brazil /7,4 79,78 7/8,9 5,7 8/9, 7,4 Canada / / / Chile /7, /8, /9, China /7 4, ,5 7/8, ,89 8/9 4, ,98 EU-7 /7,54, /8,974 7,8 5 8/9, ,4 5 Hong Kong / / / India /7, /8, /9, 99 Japan / / /9 5 7 Mexico / / / Russia /7 7/ /9 7 7 South Africa / / /9 Turkey /7, 5,949 Office of Global Analysis June 9

12 Grapes: Production, Supply, and Distribution in Selected Countries (Continued), Metric Tons 7/8 8/9 Ukraine /7 7/8 8/9 United States /7 7/8 8/9 Total Selected Grape Countries /7 7/8 8/9,, ,5,97 5, ,,9,4 7,97, ,5,,48,75,89 47,8 5,7 49,7 4,45 49 Note: From 994, the United States is on a May-April marketing year. All other Northern Hemisphere countries are on a June-May marketing year. Southern Hemisphere countries are on a calendar year indicated as the second year of the split year. Imports and exports will not equal due to statistical discrepancies. From, China's production was adjusted to reflect only table grapes. Any comparison with previous years and reports should take this into account. /4/9 ::59 PM Office of Global Analysis June 9

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