Eleanor Smith. Policy Officer of EREC

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1 Eleanor Smith Policy Officer of EREC Greenpeace Slovenia,7 th June 2011

2 Outline EREC & the REH 20% by 2020 Can we make it? RE-thinking 2050 A 100% Renewable Energy Vision for the European Union IPCC SRREN

3 Who is EREC? European Renewable Energy Council (EREC) founded in 2000 EREC secretariat from 1 person to 7.5 persons January 2004: Launch of the idea of a binding 20% RES target with sectoral targets April 2010: Launch of RE-thinking 2050 EREC members from 6 to 11 (30 persons to 132 persons)

4 EREC Member Associations

5 Renewable Energy House 100% Renewable Energy supply for heating, cooling & electricity in a monument protected historical building in the heart of Brussels

6 Europe s headquarters for RES EREC AEBIOM EGEC EPIA ESHA ESTELA ESTIF EUBIA EU-OEA EUREC European Renewable Energy Council European Biomass Association European Geothermal Energy Council European Photovoltaic Industry Association European Small Hydropower Association European Solar Thermal Electricity Association European Solar Thermal Industry Federation European Biomass Industry Association European Ocean Energy Association European Renewable Energy Conetres Agency ARE ECTP-E2BA EHPA EUFORES Greenovate! Europe HEA PV Cycle Alliance for Rural Electrification European Construction Technology Platform Energy Efficient Buildings Association European Heat Pump Association European Forum for Renewable Energy Sources The European Experts for Green Innovation Hydro Equipment Association European Association for the Recovery of PV Modules

7 The Renewable Energy House Headquarters for the European RE Sector 2800 m2 office building 3 large townhouses 100 pers./15 assoc. Showcase for EE and RE Listed building Urban environment Central point for RE issues Guided tour > visitors Source: EREC

8 The Renovation Project One single roof for the Renewable Energy Sector EE & RES Technologies Lighthouse for sustainable energy Source: EREC

9 Historic Building 19th Century Built Listed 1996 Renov. Phase I 2006 Renov. Phase

10 Primary energy consumption for HVAC [GJ/y] Energy concept 700 Limit thermal exchanges Insulation Ventilation Lighting -50% Reference building EREC efficiency EREC REH Natural gaz Solid fossil fuels Nuclear Wood Photovoltaic Solar Heat recovery Energy efficiency Building envelope Ventilation Lighting Renewable energy sources Biomass Solar thermal Geothermal Solar PV

11 100% Renewable Energy for the Renewable Energy House 100% RES Heating 100% RES Cooling 100% RES Electricity Biomass Solar thermal REH PV Installations Solar thermal Geothermal Biomass back-up Geothermal Green electricity supplier

12 20% RES by 2020 Can we make it?

13 11 percent The share of the EU s final energy consumption 1/ The amount that renewable energy contributes already to the EU s 20% GHG reduction target The number of jobs in the EU that already exist in the renewable energy sector 70 billion The annual turnover of the renewable energy industry

14 EU-27 efforts in RES 31% 13% 16% 13% 30% 18% 25% 16% 18% 20% 23% 17% 13% 42% 23% 11% 13% 10% 14% 34% 15% 25% 14% 38% 49% 15% 24% EU-27 BE BG CZ DK DE EE IE EL ES FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK RES share in 2020

15 March 2011 Provides an EU overview of the NREAPs Compares the 2020 NREAPs projections for RES developments with the RES industry projections Provides evaluation of the NREAPs based on the national associations input.

16 20% by 2020 Europe can do more! EU-27: Surplus of about 1% above the 2020 target 25 MS forecast to achieve or exceed their binding 2020 targets within national borders Only Italy and Luxembourg plan to use CoopMex to meet binding 2020 targets According to the RES industry projections, the EU-27 could reach Source: EU Roadmap 24.4%

17 RES increase by sector (%) NREAPs projections RES-E RES-H&C RES-T % % % Source: EREC based on the NREAPs

18 RES increase by sector (%) RES Industry projections RES-E RES-H&C RES-T % % % Source: EREC based on the NREAPs

19 RE-thinking 2050 A 100% Renewable Energy Vision for the European Union April 2010

20 The Unprecedented Growth of the Covenant of Mayors 2679!!! Source: Covenant of Mayors

21 Ljubljana Signatory to the Covenant of Mayors Mayor: Population: Zoran Janković 269,972 inhabitants Date of adhesion: 10 February 2009 Analysed Energy Use & EE for all pub. bdgs. Draft SEAP but due to local elections, final plan not submitted yet Covenant Technical Helpdesk:

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23 Policy Background 27 th Oct. 2010: COM launched a public consultation on a Roadmap for a low carbon economy by th March 2011: COM Communication Roadmap for moving to a competitive low carbon economy in 2050 (COM(2011) 112 final) 4 th Quarter 2011: 2050 Energy Roadmap

24 Source: European Commission

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26 RES share increased by 0.65%-point per year, so at this rate, by 2020, 18.35% RES in final energy consumption

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30 Share of RES-E (2020 NREAPs forecast) 65,7% 10,5% 6,6% 2,4% 10,2% 0,5% 3,8% 0,3% 0,2% Hydro Biomass PV CSP Wind onshore Wind offshore Geothermal Ocean 34% RES-E Conventional Energy Sources REPAP % RES-E Source: EREC based on NREAPs

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32 Share of RES-H&C (2020 NREAPs forecast) 0,5% 1,2% 21.3% RES-H&C 17,2% Geothermal 2,4% Solar Thermal Biomass 78,7% Heat Pumps based on RES Conventional Energy Sources REPAP % RES-H&C Source: EREC based on NREAPs

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34 Share of RES-T (2020 NREAPs forecast) 91,1% 5,9% 2% 0,7% 0,1% 0,2% Biodiesel 11.27% RES-T Bioethanol/ETBE RES-Electricity (non road transport) RES-Electricity (road transport) Others Conventional Energy Sources REPAP % RES-T Source: EREC based on NREAPs

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37 Economic Benefits Security of energy supply and related avoided fuel costs Capital requirements involved

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41 External costs + Internal costs = Social costs

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44 Economic Benefit 3,800 billion (CO 2 costs avoided 2050) + 1,090 billion (fossil fuels avoided 2050) ,090 billion - 2,800 billion (cumulative investments 2050) ,090 billion (Economic Benefit 2050)

45 Environmental Benefits

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47 Social Benefits 2007 Special Eurobarometer on energy technologies EU citizens in favour of RES, while the use of fossil and in particular nuclear energy is opposed by many Public acceptance Employment (6.1 million in 2050) Regional development Structural change bringing together industry, governments, local authorities and civil society

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49 Source: EREC

50 Enabling Policy Measures Supporting the transition towards a 100% renewable energy economy with all EU policy areas Less is more an ambitious framework for Europe s energy demand Effective and full implementation of the new RES Directive Binding renewable energy targets for 2030 Full liberalisation of the energy market Phasing out all subsidies for fossil and nuclear energy and introducing an EU-wide carbon and energy tax

51 Enabling Infrastructure Measures Electricity Infrastructure Moving Towards SuperSmartGrids Hybrid Energy Solutions and Virtual Power Plants Heating and Cooling Measures to Awaken the Sleeping Giant New Transport Solutions Enabling Energy Consumers Think Global, Act Local Smart-Energy Cities 2050 Smart-Energy Buildings 2050 Constructing a Better Climate

52 The collapse of the Old Oil Order Whatever the outcome of the protests, uprisings, and rebellions now sweeping the Middle East, one thing is guaranteed: the world of oil will be permanently transformed. Consider everything that's now happening as just the first tremor of an oilquake that will shake our world to its core Here, however, is the news that should be on the front pages of newspapers everywhere: that old oil order is dying, and with its demise we will see the end of cheap and readily accessible petroleum - forever. Michael T. Klare, European Energy Review, 7 th March 2011,

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56 Be part of a sustainble energy future support 100% renewable energy!