Update of RA VI Contributions to GFCS

Transcription

1 Mechanism for WMO contributions to the GFCS (Geneva, Switzerland, 18 th October 2017) Update of RA VI Contributions to GFCS Ivan Čačić President RA VI Main contributor to the Report Mr. Ernesto Rodriguez Camino Co-Chair WG CHI in RA VI

2 OUTLINE 2 /21 Introduction - characteristics of RA VI Designated Global Producing Centres Long Range Forecasting (GPC-LRF) Current and planned deployment of RCCs, RCOFs in RA VI Revision of GPC-LRF and RCC Network: new elements Main contributions under RA VI umbrella Analysis of country based information from the WMO 2015 Impacts Survey Some preliminary conclusions

3 Introduction - characteristics of RA VI 3 /21 Geographical and climatological conditions of RA VI RA VI encompasses a very wide variety of climates / climate conditions and ecosystems from Mediterranean to Arctic Most countries of RA IV are strongly influenced by midelatitude perturbations and Atlantic ocean with a marked contrast between humid Northern and dry, water stressed, Southern regions Social conditions 50 members in RA VI Relatively small area with large population (approximately760 million) High population density in urban areas and certain sub-regions On average high level of economical development but with important sub-regional differences 50 Members

4 Designated Global Producing Centres Long Range Forecasting (GPC-LRF) 4 /21 RA VI contributes with a significant number of designated GPC-LRF (5 out of 13) to the implementation of the Climate Services Information System (CSIS)

5 Current and planned deployment of RCCs, RCOFs in RA VI 5 /21 Polar RCC (in process of implementation) Established of RA-VI RCC Network by Res. 1 at RAVI-15, Sept Formal designation by Res. 5 (EC-65) following recomendation of CBS-15, May 2013 South East European Virtual Climate Change Center (SEEVCCC) [Estab. 2008] Further information at

6 Current and planned deployment of RCCs, RCOFs in RA VI 6 /21 NEACOF Interregional RAVI RAII Since 2011 MedCOF Interregional RAVI RAI Since 2013 Last MedCOF-8 SEECOF Since 2008 Last SEECOF-17 Last NEACOF-12

7 Revision of RCC Network: New elements 7 /21 WMO RA VI Workshop on RCC Implementation and the Third Coordination Meeting of RA VI RCC Network (11 14 October 2016, Belgrade, Serbia) Progress from Implementation Plan to Operational Plan for the RAVI RCC Network including the following new elements: Feedback Mechanism Improved collaboration with neighbouring RCCs RCC in the context of relevant intergovernmental activities: European activities: EUMETSAT, ECMWF, Copernicus CIS and Arab League activities Improved online access to RCC Network products and services Single RCC web portal Seamless RCC Network products and services as a long-term vision

8 8 /21 Vision Contribution to WMO activities Special focus on GFCS Climate and Hydrological services Support of NMHSs - enhance capacities Task Teams directly related with GFCS implementation RCCs and RCOF (climate) Climate Watch System (climate) Agricultural Meteorology (joint) Water Scarcity and Drought (joint) Hydrological modeling, forecasting and warning (hydro) Data operations & Management (joint)

9 9 /21 Targeted training for RCOFs 1 st MedCOF Training Workshop (Madrid, October 2015) 2 nd MedCOF Training Workshop (Rome, November 2016) Planned 3 rd MedCOF Training Workshop (2018)

10 10 /21 Climate Watch New established website with restricted access, but free for all RA VI NMHSs Special reports on selected climate events. See:

11 11 /21 EUPORIAS project has developed reliable and trusted climate services for a number of sectors: water management, floods, road transportation, renewable energy, etc provided examples of 'end-to-end' climateto-impacts-to-decisionmaking services operating on the Seasonal and Decadal (S2D) time scales

12 12 /21 RA VI /CCl Website on Data Rescue Website from last intersessional period maintained and developed Section added on proxy data in hydrology Other sections have incorporated new information and links to relevant resources

13 13 /21 Two flagship initiatives from EU contributing to GFCS

14 14 /21 ERA4CS: European Research Area for Climate Services (I) ERA4CS Consortium is aiming to boost research for Climate Services (CS) CS are seen as driven by user demands. First activities started in 2016 with the launch of a large scale Joint Transnational Call for research proposals with cash and institutional funding from at least 18 countries and co-fund support of the European Commission ERA4CS is on the way to initiate a strong partnership between Joint Programming Initiative Climate and others key European and international initiatives (as Copernicus, KIC-Climate, JPIs, WMO/GFCS, Future Earth, Belmont Forum ) in order to work towards a common vision and a multiyear implementation strategy, including better co-alignment of national programs and activities up to 2020 and beyond

15 15 /21 ERA4CS: European Research Area for Climate Services (II) Topic A: Advanced co-development with users AQUACLEW: Advancing QUAlity of CLimate services for European Water CIREG: Climate information for integrated renewable electricity generation CitiSense: Citizen Sensing Urban Climate Resilience through Participatory Risk Management Systems CLIM2POWER: Translating climate data into power plants operational guidance CLIMALERT: Climate Alert Smart System for Sustainable Water and Agriculture ClimApp: Translating climate service into personalized adaptation strategies to cope with thermal climate stress ClimINVEST: Tailored Climate Information for Investment Decisions CLISWELN: Climate Services for the Water-Energy-Land Nexus Co-Cli-Serv: Co-development of place-based climate services for action CO-MICC: Supporting risk assessment and adaptation at multiple spatial scales: Co-development of methods to utilize uncertain multi-model based information on freshwater-related hazards of climate change CoCliME: Co-development of CLimate services for adaptation to changing Marine Ecosystems EVOKED: Enhancing the value of climate data translating risk and uncertainty utilizing a Living Labs approach INNOVA: Innovation in Climate Services Provision INSeaPTION: INtegrating SEA-level Projections in climate services for coastal adaptation ISIpedia: The open inter-sectoral impacts encyclopedia SALIENSEAS: Enhancing the Saliency of climate services for marine mobility Sectors in European Arctic Seas SENSES: Climate Change ScENario SErviceS: Mapping the future WATExR: Integration of climate seasonal prediction and ecosystem impact modeling for an efficient adaptation of water resources management to increasing climate extreme events

16 16 /21 ERA4CS: European Research Area for Climate Services (III) Topic B: Institutional integration DustClim: Dust Storms Assessment for the development of user-oriented Climate Services in Northern Africa, Middle East and Europe ECLISEA: European advances on CLImate services for coasts and SEAs EUPHEME: EUropean Prototype demonstrator for the Harmonization and Evaluation of Methodologies for attribution of extreme weather Events INDECIS: Integrated approach for the development across Europe of user oriented climate indicators for GFCS high-priority sectors: agriculture, disaster risk reduction, energy, health, water and tourism MEDSCOPE: MEDiterranean Services Chain based On climate PrEdictions SERV_FORFIRE: Integrated services and approaches for Assessing effects of climate change and extreme events for fire and post fire risk prevention URCLIM: URban CLIMate services WINDSURFER: WIND and wave Scenarios, Uncertainty and climate Risk assessments for Forestry, Energy and Reinsurance

17 17 /21 C3S: COPERNICUS CLIMATE CHANGE SERVICE (I) C3S is still in the development phase and will combine observations of the climate system with the latest science to develop authoritative, quality-assured information about the past, current and future states of the climate in Europe and worldwide. This service will deliver substantial economic value to Europe by: informing policy development to protect citizens from climate-related hazards such as high-impact weather events improving planning of mitigation and adaptation practices for key human and societal activities promoting the development of new services for the benefit of society C3S will become a major contribution from the European Union to the WMO GFCS and its Climate Monitoring Architecture

18 18 /21 C3S: COPERNICUS CLIMATE CHANGE SERVICE (II) The wealth of climate information will be the basis for generating a wide variety of climate indicators aimed at supporting adaptation and mitigation policies in Europe in a number of sectors. These include, but are not limited to

19 European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) component of the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (Copernicus EMS) First operational European system monitoring and forecasting floods across Europe 19 /21 It provides complementary, flood early warning information up to 10 days in advance to its partners: National/Regional Hydrological Services European Response and Coordination Centre (ERCC) RAVI WG-CH follows up and coordinates with COPERNICUS/EFAS METEOALARM WMO South East Europe Flash Flood Guidance System

20 Some preliminary conclusions (I) 20 /21 Relative good implementation of GFCS in RA VI, although there is still room for improvement, in particular by elimination of sub-regional differences The designated RCC Network provides a substantial support for the GFCS deployment at national level Good access to WMO global and regional products Relatively good perceived quality of basic climate information Relatively good perceived quality of climate forecasting information although the limiting low predictability at seasonal scales (and beyond) over the region is an obstacle

21 Some preliminary conclusions (II) 21 /21 Satisfactory development of tailored products and services in support of decision-making for a variety of sectors. Need to strengthen user feedback and validation of end-uses COPERNICUS (C3S), ERA4CS (and other EU initiatives) are providing a very relevant support to GFCS in RA VI Need to expand this support to sub-regions outside of EU Many initiatives still in the research domain aiming to implement Climate Services in RAVI (EUPORIAS, MARCO, EU-MACS, Climateurope, MOSES, CLARITY, PUCS, etc.)

22 Thank you for your attention!