»SUCCESSFUL EXAMPLES FROM GERMANY AND CONSIDERED IMPLICATIONS FOR HUNGARY«

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1 INDUSTRY 4.0»SUCCESSFUL EXAMPLES FROM GERMANY AND CONSIDERED IMPLICATIONS FOR HUNGARY«Fabian Schenk Fraunhofer IFF Germany International Conference Industry 4.0 and Logistics 4.0 May 22 Budapest Nmedia Fotolia

2 Content Overview 1. Industry 4.0: Definition and Status in Germany 2. Steps towards Industry Status and considerations on Hungary 4. Some relevant Fraunhofer competences and projects 2

3 Definition and Status in Germany Industry 4.0 Industrial Ecosystems: What a new factory nowadays looks like? Source: Siemens, Pictures of the future 3

4 Definition and Status in Germany Industry 4.0: Interaction of many individual devices and applications Miniaturization Computer performance Connectedness Simulation Identification Robots Position systems New products, usages, methods, tasks and business models Data storage 4

5 Definition and Status in Germany Technologies, Benefits and Potentials Technologies Today Condition / Process Monitoring Sensor Data Fusion Real-Time Data Analysis Data Management Data Visualization Benefits Today Process Transparency Predictive Maintenance Increased Process Stability Higher Uptime of Machinery Higher Quality Potentials Tomorrow Added Value Services on Production Data New Business and Service Models Data Safety and Security Interfaces, Standards and Norms Process Prediction 5

6 Definition and Status in Germany Industry 4.0 Productivity in Germany High expectations on additional effects due to Industry 4.0 until 2020 Increased Efficiency Cost Reduction Increased efficiency and cost reduction are reached via: Focusing on core competences Reduction of redundancies Improving product quality Higher flexibility and standardization of processes See: PWC (2014) Industrie 4.0-Chancen und Herausforderungen der vierten Industtiellen Revolution PWC asked 235 German companies from 5 different industries / many of them global market leaders 6

7 Definition and Status in Germany High qualitative expectation on Industry 4.0 solutions by German industry Expected qualitative advantages of Industry 4.0 solutions Improved Planning (Production, Logistics) 80% 15% 5% Higher customer satisfaction 67% 27% 11% Greater production flexibility Faster Time-to-Market Improving quality 62% 54% 49% 27% 32% 35% 11% 14% 16% PWC questioned 235 German companies from 5 different industries /many of them globa market leaders Customization of products 46% 34% 20% Improved horizontal and vertical integration of value chains is improving efficiency and production flexibility Significance of Effect high medium limited See: PWC (2014) Industrie 4.0-Chancen und Herausforderungen der vierten Industriellen Revolution, 7

8 Definition and Status in Germany Industry 4.0: Some Trends for Economy and Society Shift from mass production to individual products (lot-size 1) Fundamental changes of existing business models Requirements of demographic change will be met, as most new job-profiles will not be physically demanding Salaries of a region will not matter so much anymore Production will be strengthened in developed countries (Germany, USA) Optimization of production processes regarding energy and resource consumption Until 2020 globally 7 million traditional jobs will be lost and 2 million jobs with new profiles created (data: WEF) See: 8

9 Definition and Status in Germany Industry 4.0: Drivers and Impact in Germany Impact on Productivity and Revenues Productivity in manufacturing sectors will increase between 6 and 8% up to 2020 Annual growth effects by I4.0 technology on nominal German GDP will be 30 billion up to 2020 (more than 1% annually) Driving industries in Germany are: the process industry, automotive industry and mechanical industry German industry needs to invest annually 18 billion into Industry 4.0 Impact on Employment 6 % increase of employment in manufacturing sectors during the next ten years. Profiles of about 500K jobs will change Technology Driver Due to advanced know how in sensor technologies Germany is globally leading in Industry 4.0 See: See: PWC (2014) Industrie 4.0-Chancen und Herausforderungen der vierten Industtiellen Revolution, See: IAB (2015) Industry 4.0 and the consequences for labour market and economy Image: rickbouter.wordpress.com; 9

10 Definition and Status in Germany Required competencies & qualifications FhG IAO, vege Fotolia Project Engineer Knows production processes Understands workflows Computer Scientist Develops/implements algorithms Designs software architectures Mathematician Develops/analyzes data models Extracts added value information from data Business Developer Develops new data-based business models Creates customer needs 10

11 Steps towards Industry 4.0 What should policy makers do about I4.0 upgrading universities and motivating students to study supporting international standardization 32% 30% creation of competitive data security laws supporting investments by tax reductions increasing research support to universities and research institutes 24% 28% 27% 32% Source: PWC (2014) Industrie 4.0-Chancen und Herausforderungen der vierten Industriellen Revolution PWC questioned 235 German companies from 5 different industries /many of them global market leaders 11

12 Steps towards Industry 4.0 Industry 4.0: German government visions and actions Some questions to be answered by German policy makers: How to adapt the needed legal system?? How to motivate and activate competences and creativity of SMEs and entrepreneurs? How to qualify citizens and employees? How to arrange efficient financing for investments and R&D? Some actions of German policy makers: Informing and sensitizing of Industry by establishment of competence centers Subsidizing Industry 4.0 introduction consultancy Implementation of large scale support programs and initiatives on Microelectronics (Sensors), standardization, legal frameworks and IT security Dialogues with international partners countries (esp. China and USA) Source: BMWi (2016) Digitale Strategie 12

13 Status and considerations on Hungary PISA-study Singapore 2. Japan 3. Estonia 4. Chinese Taipei 5. Finland 6. Macao, China 7. Canada 8. Vietnam 9. Hong Kong, China 16. Germany 27. France 29. OECD Average 35. Hungary 48. Romania Picture: 13

14 Status and considerations on Hungary Volume index of production (2010 = 100) Euro-area Germany Hungary Source: 14

15 Status and considerations on Hungary Productivity, unemployment and salaries (Data from OECD) Hungary Germany GDP per hour worked in USD Hungary Germany EU-28 Unemployment rate 2010 Unemployment rate 2016 Average salary of employed people Average salary of employed people ,17% 6,97% 5,12% 4,11% USD USD USD USD Source: Source: (unemployment rate) Source: (salary) 15

16 Fraunhofer competences and projects Industry 4.0 CheckUp: Prepare to Evolve Any Industry; done fg. for Daimler, BMW etc. Company classification in relation to the guiding principles of»industry 4.0«; Process mapping and visualization; Smart Factory Classification of the company regarding to the requirements (maturity); Estimation of potential efficiencies and cost reductions; Derivation of short-, medium- and long-term measures for implementation; Strategies, migration, recommendations, actions towards the " factory of the future ; 16

17 Fraunhofer competences and projects Support along the entire product life cycle Maintenance Assistant systems Visual interactive repair instructions Education and Training Technical staff Operation service Assembly service Design Review Engineering Manufacturing Assembly Maintenance Virtual Knowledge Base Factory Planning Layout planning Process planning Functional Test Mechanics Electronics Control systems Technical Documentation Visual interactive catalogs Electronic manuals Job Preparation Work scheduling Resource optimization Logistics functions 17

18 Technology Partner Fraunhofer IFF Legyen együtt a kutatás! Fabian Schenk, M.A. Research Associate Phone: Fabian.Schenk@iff.fraunhofer.de Fraunhofer IFF Fraunhofer Institute for Factory Operation und Automation IFF Sandtorstrasse Magdeburg Germany Fraunhofer IFF 18

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