Application of Rainfall-runoffinundation. Pampanga River Basin
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1 ADB-ICHARM: Training Program on Flood Inundation Analysis (Nov 2012) Application of Rainfall-runoffinundation (RRI) Model to the Pampanga River Basin Hilton Hernando () Hilario Larry Esperanza (ARFFWC) Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)
2 ADB-ICHARM: Training Program on Flood Inundation Analysis (Nov 2012) Presentation Outline Brief on Pampanga River Basin Pampanga River Flood Forecasting & Warning System (PRFFWS) Event: Typhoon Pedring (Nesat) September 2011 and Southwest Monsoon of August 2012 RRI Model as applied to PRB event/s Calibration - Sept 2011 Validation - August 2012 Way Forward Programs (Challenges, Priorities & Opportunities other related activities) Other matters
3 ADB-ICHARM: Training Program on Flood Inundation Analysis (Nov 2012) The PAMPANGA RIVER BASIN
4 ADB-ICHARM: Training Program on Flood Inundation Analysis (Nov 2012) Provinces within the PAMPANGA RIVER BASIN
5 ADB-ICHARM: Training Program on Flood Inundation Analysis (Nov 2012) PRB: About 90 towns and 7 cities within the basin area.
6 PAMPANGA RIVER Basin MAIN TRIBUTARIES ADB-ICHARM: Training Program on Flood Inundation Analysis (Nov 2012) TALAVERA RIVER CARRANGLAN RIVER PANTABANGAN RIVER ILOG BALIWAG RIVER MURCON RIVER PAMPANGA RIVER BASIN DIGMALA RIVER CORONEL RIVER CABU RIVER Minatula River SIU RIVER QUITANGUIL RIVER CAAGASAN RIVER TABUATING RIVER Tambo River PEÑARANDA RIVER BULO RIVER RIO CHICO RIVER GARLANG RIVER MAASIM RIVER Manila Bay MANILA ANGAT RIVER
7 PAMPANGA RIVER Basin Flood Structures ADB-ICHARM: Training Program on Flood Inundation Analysis (Nov 2012)
8 PAMPANGA RIVER BASIN: THE NEED FOR FFWS At least 1 flooding a year Frequency of TC: about 5 in 3 years Very pronounced SW monsoon Relatively low elevation / flat terrain Narrow (some sections) and silted waterways Flood prone area: about 2,200 km 2 (Pampanga) & 400 km 2 (Pasac-Guagua) 2 Swamp areas Candaba & San Antonio 2 major Dam structures Angat & Pantabangan (Reported) slow sinking of the Pampanga Delta
9 ADB-ICHARM: Training Program on Flood Inundation Analysis (Nov 2012) FLOOD SITUATION within PRB
10
11 River overflowing
12 Some flashy tributaries
13 Floods from Dam releases
14 Other flooding issues within the basin: Coastal Floods (due to high tide)
15 A non-structural flood mitigating measure
16 Pampanga River Flood Forecasting & Warning System ADB-ICHARM: Training Program on Flood Inundation Analysis (Nov 2012) 1973 March 19, RR & 10 WL stns Monitoring Ctr in SFDO Telemetry system FFWSDO thru FFWS, Q.C. MOC Operational 24 / 7 5 personnel
17 Upstream rainfall station in Gabaldon, N.E. (Coronel River) (Eastside)
18 On the upper side (Northeast), Pampanga River starts at Pantabangan Dam
19 Calaanan Rainfall station (Digmala watershed) ADB-ICHARM: Training Program on Flood Inundation Analysis (Nov 2012)
20 Coronel River joins with Pampanga River before Sapang Buho station
21 Sapang Buho RR-WL 2009
22 Pampanga River at Mayapyap stn.
23 Penaranda River (East area) joins Pampanga R. before San isidro
24 Pampanga River at San Isidro
25 Rio Chico River at the NW part of the basin
26 Pampanga river at Arayat ADB-ICHARM: Training Program on Flood Inundation Analysis (Nov 2012)
27 Candaba swamp area
28 Candaba station
29 Candaba at flood season
30 Sulipan station
31 Mexico stn. (Abacan River)
32 Sasmuan stn. (Pasac-Guagua River System)
33 Event: Typhoon Pedring (Nesat) September 2011
34 Typhoon Pedring (Nesat)
35
36
37
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39
40
41 Typhoon Pedring (Sept 2011)
42 Typhoon Pedring (Sept 2011)
43 Typhoon Pedring (Sept 2011)
44 Typhoon Pedring (Sept 2011)
45 RRI calibration: PRB September 2011 flood event
46 ARCGIS PROGRAM: DOWNLOAD THE HYDROSHEDS DATA EXTRACT USING MASK TO MAKE A RASTER FILE
47 ARCGIS PROGRAM: ADB-ICHARM: Training Program on Flood Inundation Analysis (Nov 2012) * THE RESULT RASTER FILE OF PAMPANGA PAMPANGA DEM PAMPANGA DIR PAMPANGA ACC
48 RASTER FILE TO ASCII FILE AT THE ARCTOOL BOX USING THE CONVERSION TOOLS WE CONVERT THE RASTER FILE TO ASCII FILE OUTPUT FILE: PAMPANGA.TXT (DEM, ACC, DIR)
49 RRI model simulation
50 RRI model simulation
51 RRI model simulation
52 RRI model simulation
53 RRI model simulation
54 RRI model simulation
55 Some comparative results Flood started at around 0900H 1000H, Sept. 27, 2012 at Digmala Coronel rivers
56 Some comparative results Cabiao Floodway not passable starting around 11AM of 28 Sept and for the next 3-4 days
57
58
59 Event: Southwest Monsoon August 2012
60
61
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63 RRI validation: PRB August 2012 flood event
64 PRB: Inundation extent of August 2012 flood
65 Way forward Programs: Challenges, Priorities & Opportunities other related activities
66 Way forward activities (for now) Technical report on the application of RRI in the PRB (Sept 2011 & Aug 2012 events) Echo seminar to basin personnel RRI basic operational application procedural suite for Philippine situation Application of RRI model In the PRB (future flood events) forecasting mode Agno River Basin Other Basins in the Philippines (if possible) Enhancement of Parameters grouped into similar events
67
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