Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture

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1 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture Presentation by Stéphane Jost, Master in Human Development & Food Security Università Roma 3-18 May 2017

2 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture Early Warning Systems activities: Three main steps 1) Data collection 2) Data analysis 3) Dissemination of information

3 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection Pests, diseases Meteorological conditions Cropped areas cropping conditions Transports and storage Consumption Prices Trade, markets Governmental agricultural policies

4 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection Main sources of information come from national services (agrométéorology, hydrology, plant protection, statistics,...).

5 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection Crop and Food Supply Assessment Missions can also be organised

6 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection Three main components of FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Missions Crop Production and Food Supply Assessment (FAO) Macroeconomic Context Affecting Food Supply, Demand (FAO) Vulnerability and Food Needs Assessment (WFP/FAO)

7 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection Collected information is included in databases a) Agroclimatic and agronomic data and statistics at national and sub-national levels

8 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection b) maps of boundaries, roads, rivers,...

9 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection c) Cropping zones. crop calendars

10 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: Vegetation coverage

11 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: Cold Cloud Duration from METEOSAT

12 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: creation of animated sequences For example, evolution of monthly CCD images during growing season in West Africa :

13 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: Creation of difference images Vegetation Index in the Sahel September, reference year Vegetation Index in the Sahel - September (mean) Vegetation Index in the Sahel - September (diff. - mean)

14 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection NDVI Difference image NDVI Difference SPOT-4 VEGETATION difference image

15 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: Precipitation Last dekad of April 2017

16 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: Precipitation anomaly Last dekad of April 2017

17 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: Vegetation coverage NDVI anomaly Last dekad of April 2017

18 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis 2) Tools for data Analysis Main tools for analysis of the information a) Windisp (Windows Display) b) CCBS (Country Cereal Balance Sheets) c) National Food Prices Utility

19 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis a) WinDisp For example : WinDisp is a map and image display module used for the analysis and integration of satellite images, digital map and associated tabular data. Cereal production in Burkina Faso CCD dekadal image Crop zones for Sorghum Maps of roads, railways, cities,

20 a) WinDisp Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis Other example of WinDisp display : - Vegetation images (a and b) - Difference image indicating drought affected areas (c) - And reference provincial wheat production map (d). (a) (c) (b) (d)

21 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis b) Country Cereal Balance Sheets (CCBS)

22 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis

23 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis c) National Food Prices database

24 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis

25 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information 3) Dissemination of information

26 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information

27 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information

28 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information COUNTRIES WITH UNFAVOURABLE PROSPECTS FOR CURRENT CROPS in March 2017 (total: 2 countries)

29 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information

30 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information COUNTRIES REQUIRING EXTERNAL ASSISTANCE FOR FOOD in March 2017 (total: 37 countries)

31 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information

32 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information

33 Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture Master in Human Development & Food Security Università Roma 3 18 May 2017 Thank you for your attention

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