Heat and the Smart Energy System

Transcription

1 Heat and the Smart Energy System Jeff Douglas Energy Technologies Institute

2 Heat and the Smart Energy System 1. Why is Heat Important? 2. Meeting National Emissions Targets 3. Developing Power Networks 4. National Targets Get Local 2

3 Why is Heat Important? Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: UKERC (2011) 3

4 Meeting National Emissions Targets Mt CO2/year DB v3.3 / Optimiser v (Historic) Net Net CO2 Emissions Buildings Sector Buildings Efficiency Improvement Carbon Reduction Package % CO2 Saving Cost per Dwelling Retrofix 33% 7,500-21,000 Retrofix Plus 45% 15,000-31,000 = b x 00,s - for 26 million homes and not meet the target Systems view shows the need to decarbonise buildings but efficiency measures alone are not effective 4

5 Meeting National Emissions Targets TWh (Historic) Space Heat Production Space Heat Production Electric Heat Heat Networks Interconnectors DB v3.3 / Optimiser v3.3 Two principal pathways for heat - district heat networks and electricity with distinctly different infrastructure development needs TWh DB v3.3 / Optimiser v (Historic) Electricity Generation Geothermal Plant Wave Power Tidal Stream Tidal Range Severn Barrage Hydro Power Micro Solar PV Large Scale Ground Mounted Solar PV Micro Wind Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Micro CHP H2 Turbine Anaerobic Digestion CHP Plant Incineration of Waste IGCC Biomass with CCS Biomass Fired Generation Nuclear CCGT with CCS CCGT IGCC Coal with CCS IGCC Coal PC Coal with CCS PC Coal OCGT Macro CHP Oil Fired Generation 5

6 Developing Future Power Networks Network Information Network Reinforcement + Dynamic Operation Demand Participation Fault Level Management Storage Big infrastructure development questions What? Where? And When? Diagnostics 6

7 DB v3.3 / Optimiser v3.3 Developing Future Power Networks National Targets Net CO2 Emissions Power Network Systems Architecture Power Network Investment Energy System Strategy Consumer Requirements Local Projects Mt CO2/year (Historic) -200 Security Power Networks Joint Vision Sustainability Affordability Strategic, spatial plans for asset development are essential Consumer Products Strategic Spatial Plans Economic Benefits Energy transition strategy for heat, power, gas assets Efficient asset deployment Leadership / governance Local consensus building 7

8 ETI s EnergyPath Networks Tool Stakeholders clear on purpose, process, etc Agreement of input data, design options, etc First version master-plan (pathway, analysis, etc) Actions agreed to address issues / gaps Local spatial plans based on local characteristics and requirements 7

9 Design Implications for a Particular Area Zone Year: 2014 Location: Zone XY12 View: Heating source / by dwelling type Year: 2030 Location: Zone XY12 View: Heating source / by dwelling type Maps adapted from Girardian et al (2010) A GIS based system for the evaluation of integrated energy conversion systems in urban areas, Energy 35 (2010)

10 In Summary Strategic, spatial planning Takes a systems view Integrates key asset development Electricity Heat Gas Helps identify areas where heat networks likely + those where electric heating is probable solution Identifies local power network reinforcement / smartgrid opportunities Supports proactive planning and investment Aids consensus building - stakeholders and local communities Stakeholders clear on purpose, process, etc Agreement of input data, design options, etc First version master-plan (pathway, analysis, etc) Actions agreed to address issues / gaps 10