Crops Statistics Division (CSD)

Transcription

1 Crops Statistics Division (CSD)

2 West Philippine Sea 2015 Population = 101,562,300

3 National Statistician (NS) DEPUTY National Statistician (NS) Censuses and Technical Coordination Office DEPUTY National Statistician (NS) (Sectoral Statistics) Office DEPUTY National Statistician (NS) Civil Registration and Central Support Office Assistant National Statistician (Macroeconomic Accounts Statistics) Assistant National Statistician (Economic Sector Statistics) Assistant National Statistician (Social Sector Statistics) Crops Statistics Division

4 Main Components: 1 Palay and Corn Production Survey (PCPS) - Quarterly 2 Monthly Palay and Corn Situation Reporting System (MPCSRS) - monthly monitoring of palay and corn crop situation 3 Palay and Corn Stocks Survey (PCSS1) - monthly survey of palay/rice and corn stocks Inventory

5 Palay and Corn Production Survey (PCPS) Aims to generate estimates and forecasts on palay and corn production, area and yield, and other production-related statistics

6 Palay and Corn Production Survey (PCPS) Coverage: 81 provinces Sample farming households in all sample barangays Domain: Province Sampling Frame: CAF Sampling Design: Two-Stage Stratified Replicated Sampling - PSU Barangay, selected using PPS - SSU Farm household, selected using systematic sampling Sample Size: Palay - Barangays Households 1,288 12,594

7 Palay and Corn Production Survey (PCPS) Data Collection Frequency: Quarterly (April, July, October, January) - First 10 days after reference quarter Method: Personal interview of sample farming households by Statistical Researcher using pre-structured questionnaires and being supervised by PSA personnel

8 Basic Information Collected: Production and area planted/harvested Monthly distribution of production and area harvested Production disposition/utilization Source of irrigation water Usage of seeds, fertilizer and pesticides Area with standing crop Planting intentions for the next quarter Awareness of program interventions and availment

9 Output: Estimates and forecasts on production, area harvested and yield per hectare for three quarters: - final crop estimates for the immediate past quarter - crop forecasts for the current quarter based on standing crop - crop forecast for the succeeding quarter based on farmers planting intentions

10 Illustration: Quarter Estimated Jan-Mar '16 Apr Jun '16 Jul-Sep '16 Oct-Dec '16 Jan-Mar '17 Apr Jun '17 Jul-Sep ' Survey Round 2017 Survey Round January rd April rd July rd October rd January rd April rd 4,150-SC 3,932-FE 4,050-PI 3,727-SC -FE 3,182-PI -SC -FE -PI -SC -FE -PI -SC -FE -PI -SC -PI PI SC FE -Planting intentions -Standing crops -Final estimates

11 Data Processing Manual editing and coding Data encoding o Decentralized data processing o Census and Survey Processing System (CSPro 41) Error listing/data verification Generation of Output tables Review of Output tables Data Review and Validation

12 Data Review and Validation Item Provincial Regional National Schedule 2 days after data processing at PSA Provincial Office (PO) 2 days after the provincial data review 1 to 2 days after the regional data review Presiding officer Provincial Statistics Officer (PSO) RD DNS(SSO)/ ANS(ESSS, MAS) Presenter PO staff PSOs RSSOs Participant PO staff RSSOS/PSOs Technical staff Main activity Review of municipal estimates Review of provincial estimates Review of regional estimates

13 Auxiliary Information Used in Data Validation: Weather Condition Availability of Irrigation Water Input Usage Supply/Demand Area/Crop Condition Information on Rice/Corn Program Implementation

14 Data Review Guidelines: 1 Acceptability of semester estimates 2 Damage reports 3 Check for any possible error in the compilation/encoding/computation (in case field reports could not explain changes in levels) 4 Check ratio of irrigated to rainfed for palay and white to yellow for corn 5 Output of the review process: Reviewed estimates, Narrative report

15 Major Output: Memorandum for the National Statistician - first week following survey month - available to public 45 days after the reference quarter Situation and Outlook Bulletin - latest production estimates - climate and rainfall - farm, wholesale and retail prices - fertilizer price - available to public 52 days after the reference quarter

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17 Other Uses of the Production Estimates: Input to the Food Security Committee (FSC) - Supply-Use estimates - probable stock position - probable importation

18 Palay Production Survey (PPS) Questionnaire

19 CSD Form 1a A SAMPLE IDENTIFICATION Republic of the Philippines Quezon City PALAY AND CORN PRODUCTION SURVEY PALAY PRODUCTION SURVEY april 2016 ROUND Approval No: PSA 1617 Expires on: 31 March 2017 Confidentiality All information contained on this form is held strictly confidential C1 AREA, PRODUCTION, SEED AND IRRIGATION INFORMATION FOR THE FIRST QUARTER (Continued) Quantity of seeds used Irrigation system 13 Total number of units 14 Unit of measure 15 Weight per unit of measure (kg) 16 Type of irrigation facility b/ (Indicate code) 17 Was the area actually irrigated? (Encircle code) 1 - Yes Irrigated 0 - No (Go to block C2) Rainfed Upland 1 Region 5 Stratum 2 Province 6 Replicate 3 Municipality 7 Household weight 4 Barangay 8 Household code ( EA - HSN ) B SAMPLE PARTICULARS 1 Name of agricultural operator (Complete name) (Last name) (First name) (MI) 2 Sample status (Encircle code) 10 - Palay household 20 - Non-palay household (Ask items 3 to 5 then end interview) 30 - Non-agricultural household (Ask item 3 then end interview) NOTE: This portion is to be accomplished after the interview 21 Result of visit (Encircle code) 23 Full name of informant 40 - Interview completed 24 Designation of informant (Encircle code) 50 - Interview not completed 1 - Barangay/Purok official 60 - Refused to be interviewed 2 - Neighbor 70 - Target respondent not contacted (Ask items 22 to 24) 3 - Other household member 22 Reason for code 70 (Encircle code) 3 First name of respondent 71 - Temporarily away/not at home 4 Respondent's classification (Encircle code) 72 - Area temporarily not accessible 1 - Household head and operator 73 - Resides outside the sample barangay 2 - Operator other than household head 74 - Unknown in the locality 3 - Other knowledgeable member of the household 5 Total agricultural area (ha) 6 Total palay area (ha) C INFORMATION ON PALAY HARVESTED C1 AREA, PRODUCTION, SEED AND IRRIGATION INFORMATION FOR THE FIRST QUARTER (JANUARY - MARCH 2016) 1 Did you harvest palay during the period January - March 2016? (Encircle code) 1 - Yes 0 - No, (Go to block E, page 3) 2 Type of ecosystem (Encircle code/s) 1 - Irrigated 2 - Rainfed 3 - Upland 3 Type of seed planted a/ (Indicate code) 4 Area harvested (ha) 5 Month harvested (Encircle code) 01 - Jan 01 - Jan 01 - Jan 02 - Feb 03 - Mar 02 - Feb 03 - Mar 02 - Feb 03 - Mar 3 Quantity of inorganic fertilizer in bag of 50 kg (Specify type and NPK composition) Ex: Urea ( ) Complete ( ) 1 - Adequate 2 - Inadequate NPK ( ) NPK ( ) NPK ( ) NPK ( ) 4 Other inorganic Solid c Total number of units applied fertilizer d Weight per unit (kg) applied 5 Organic Solid c Total number of units applied fertilizer d Weight per unit (kg) applied 18 Adequacy of irrigation water (Encircle code) C2 FERTILIZER USAGE FOR THE FIRST QUARTER (JANUARY - MARCH 2016) 1 Did you apply fertilizer? (Indicate code) 1 - Yes 0 - No (Go to block C3) 2 Area applied with fertilizer ( ha ) Liquid c Total number of units applied a Product name b Fertilizer grade (NPK) a Product name b Fertilizer grade (NPK) d Volume per unit (liter) a Product name b Fertilizer grade (NPK) a Product name b Fertilizer grade (NPK) Liquid c Total number of units applied d Volume per unit (liter) C3 PESTICIDE USAGE FOR THE FIRST QUARTER (JANUARY - MARCH 2016) 1 Did you apply pesticide? (Indicate code) 1 - Yes 0 - No (Go to block C4) Quantity of dry palay produced (14% moisture content) 9 Month planted (Encircle code) 10 Area planted (ha) 6 Total number of units 7 Unit of measure 8 Weight per unit of measure (kg) 11 Name of the variety planted (Specify local or commercial name) 12 Method of crop establishment (Encircle code) a/ Type of seed planted : 1 - Hybrid 2 - Inbred - Certified 3 - Farmers'/Good seeds 4 - Traditional/Native 08 - Aug 09 - Sep 10 - Oct 09 - Sep 10 - Oct 09 - Sep 10 - Oct 11 - Nov 12 - Dec 1 - Transplanting 2 - Direct seeding 08 - Aug 11 - Nov 12 - Dec 1 - Transplanting 2 - Direct seeding 08 - Aug 11 - Nov 12 - Dec 1 - Transplanting 2 - Direct seeding 2 Area applied with pesticide (ha) 31a Name of pesticide 3 Pesticide applied 31c Total number of units applied b/ c/ 31b Classification c/ (Indicate code) 31d Unit of measure Weight or volume per unit 31e In kilogram (Solid) 31f In liter (Liquid) Type of Irrigation facility: 01 - NIS 02 - CIS-NIA 03 - CIS-LGU 04 - CIS-Private 05 - SWIP/SFR (Non-NIA) 06 - SWIP/SFR (NIA) 07 - Pump (Non-NIA) 08 - Pump (NIA) 09 - SDD 10 - Others (Specify) Pesticide Classification: 1 -Insecticide 2 -Herbicide 3 -Fungicide 4 -Rodenticide 5 -M olluscicide 6 -Nematocide 7 -Others (Specify)

20 C3 PESTICIDE USAGE FOR THE FIRST QUARTER (Continued) E PALAY PRODUCTION FORECAST (Continued) Irrigated Rainfed Upland Irrigated Rainfed Upland 32a Name of pesticide 32b Classification c/ (Indicate code) 32c Total number of units applied Pesticide applied 32d Unit of measure Weight or volume per unit 32e In kilogram (Solid) 32f In liter (Liquid) Quantity of dry palay to be produced (14% moisture content) 6 Total number of units 7 Unit of measure 8 Weight per unit of measure (kg) 9 Month when crop was planted (Encircle code) 10 Area planted to crop that will be harvested (ha) 12 - Dec 01 - Jan 12 - Dec 01 - Jan 12 - Dec 01 - Jan 02 - Feb 03 - Mar 02 - Feb 03 - Mar 02 - Feb 03 - Mar 33a Name of pesticide F PALAY PLANTING INTENTIONS 4 Botanical extracts/spray applied (organic) 1 During the first quarter, did you hire laborers whether paid in cash or in kind for your palay farm operations? (Indicate code) 1 - Yes 0 - No D PALAY PRODUCTION DISPOSITION 104 paid to farm laborers? 105 used for seeds? 106 used as payment for loans? 107 used as payment for irrigation fee? 108 used for feeds? 110 given away T O T A L 41b Classification c/ (Indicate code) 41f In liter E PALAY PRODUCTION FORECAST (on standing crop) 1 Of your farm's total production (in local unit) for the period JANUARY - MARCH 2016, how many were/will be 101 sold? Weight or volume per unit 102 used for household consumption? 103 share of landowner? 111 used as payment for rentals 33b Classification c/ (Indicate code) 33c Total number of units applied Pesticide applied 33d Unit of measure C4 LABOR INPUTS Weight or volume per unit 109 post harvest wastage/losses? 1 Do you have standing palay on your farm as of March 31, 2016? (Encircle code) 1 - Yes 0 - No, (Go to block F, page 4) 2 Type of ecosystem (Encircle code/s) 3 Type of seed planted a/ (Indicate code) 33e In kilogram (Solid) 33f In liter (Liquid) 41a Name of botanical extracts/spray 41c Total number of units applied 41d Unit of measure 41e In kilogram (Solid) (Liquid) 4 Month when crop will be harvested (Encircle code ) 1 - Irrigated 2 - Rainfed 04 - Apr 04 - Apr 05 - May 06 - Jun 05 - May 06 - Jun 05 - May 06 - Jun 07 - Jul 08 - Aug 07 - Jul 08 - Aug 07 - Jul 08 - Aug 3 - Upland 04 - Apr 1 Do you intend to plant palay on your farm anytime from April - June 2016? (Encircle code) 1-Yes 0-No, (Go to block G) 2 Type of ecosystem (Encircle code) 1 - Irrigated 2 - Rainfed 3 - Upland 04 - Apr 04 - Apr 04 - Apr 3 Month when crop will be planted (Encircle code) 05 - May 06 - Jun 05 - May 06 - Jun 05 - May 06 - Jun 4 Area to be planted (ha) 06 - Jun 06 - Jun 06 - Jun 5 Month when crop will be harvested (Encircle code) 07 - Jul 08 - Aug 07 - Jul 08 - Aug 07 - Jul 08 - Aug 09 - Sep 10 - Oct 09 - Sep 10 - Oct 09 - Sep 10 - Oct G RESPONDENT'S ASSESSMENT OF THE HOUSEHOLD PALAY PRODUCTION (For sample households that harvested palay during JANUARY - MARCH 2016) 1 Was your farm's production in January - March 2016 larger than, smaller than, or about the same as your farm's palay production in the same quarter of 2015? (Encircle code) 1 - Larger than in Smaller than in About the same, go to block H 4 - No harvest last year, go to block H 2 What was/were the reason/s for the change in production? (Encircle code/s and explain further the reason/s) 1 - Change in area 2 - Weather effects 3 - Pests and diseases 4 - Seeds 5 - Fertilizer 6 - Irrigation services 7 - Others (Specify) H FARMER'S PARTICIPATION IN RICE PROGRAM 1 Are you aware of any government program on rice? (Encircle code) 1 - Yes 0 - No 2 Have you availed of any benefit from government program on rice? (Encircle code) 1 - Yes 0 - No, end interview 3 Which of the following program benefits and services have you availed? (Encircle code/s and provide details) 1 - Seeds 5 - Post harvest facilities 2 - Fertilizer and other inputs 6 - Marketing assistance 3 - Training on farming technology 7 - Loans 4 - Irrigation facilities 8 - Others (Specify) 4 Which of the availed benefits was/were used in your palay production during the January - March 2016 harvest? (Check box/es) None I DATA COLLECTOR, SUPERVISOR, PSO AND ENCODER IDENTIFICATION 1 NAME AND SIGNATURE OF STATISTICAL RESEACHERS : Contact no DATE : 2 NAME AND SIGNATURE OF FIELD SUPERVISOR : Contact no DATE : 5 Area to be harvested (ha) 3 NAME AND SIGNATURE OF PSO : Contact no DATE : a/ Type of seed planted : 1 - Hybrid 2 - Inbred - Certified 3 - Farmers'/Good seeds 4 - Traditional/Native c/ Pesticide Classification: 1 - Insecticide 2 - Herbicide 3 - Fungicide 4 - Rodenticide 5 - M olluscicide 6 - Nematocide 7 - Others (Specify 4 NAME AND SIGNATURE OF ENCODER : Contact no DATE :

21 Monthly Palay and Corn Situation Reporting System (MPCSRS) Monitoring of crop situation, ie, status of standing crop and actual plantings Basis of updating forecasts

22 Objective: To provide updates on the status of palay standing crops at various growth stages and actual plantings of forecasts based on farmers planting intentions Sub-samples of PCPS Sample Size -Palay : 644 barangays / 6,042 households Basic Information Collected: Updates on palay forecasts on standing crop and planting intentions

23 Frequency: First 5 days of the survey month Method: Personal interview by Statistical Researchers PCPS Survey Rounds January April July October MPCSRS Survey Months February March May June August September November

24 Data Processing Manual editing and coding Data encoding o Decentralized data processing o Census and Survey Processing System (CSPro 41) Error listing/data verification Generation of Output tables Review of Output tables Data Review and Validation

25 Outputs and Dissemination Updates on Palay Forecasts Special Release of updates on Palay 15 th day after the reference month; posted in PSA website Report downloadable from PSA website ( soft/hardcopy

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27 CSD Form 2a (Palay) Page 2 of 2 pages B UPDATE OF CURRENT QUARTER'S AREA AND PRODUCTION OF STANDING CROP / PLANTING INTENTIONS L i n e No Household Code (EA -HSN) B2 UPDATE ON CURRENT QUARTER'S PLANTING INTENTIONS Actual Plantings by Stage of Crop Growth (Ha) Type/s of Ecosystem Total Vegetative Reproductive Maturing (Indicate code) (Col17+Col18+Col19) Expected Month of Harvest Reasons for Material Change in Area (1) (2) (16) (17) (18) (19) (20) (21) (22) C STATISTICAL RESEARCHER AND PSO IDENTIFICATION Name and Signature of Statistical Researcher: Date : Name and Signature of PSO: Date :

28 Palay and Corn Stocks Survey (PCSS1) Objective: Generate estimates on the current stock level of rice and palay in farming and non-farming households

29 Commercial National Food Authority (NFA) Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) NFA depositories Household Stock inventory by sector

30 Data Collection Frequency: Monthly Method Personal interview by Statistical Researchers Field operation: First 4 days of the reference month Sampling Size o 1,079 Barangays / 15,286 Households Farming Households 9,766 Non-farming Households 5,520 Information Collected Palay/rice household stocks as of 6:00 AM of the first day of the reference month

31 Data Processing Manual editing and coding Data encoding o Decentralized data processing o Census and Survey Processing System (CSPro 41) Error listing/data verification Generation of Output tables Review of Output tables Data Review and Validation

32 Outputs and Dissemination RICE Report on Rice Stocks Inventory REPORT ON RICE AND CORN STOCKS INVENTORY Special Release on Rice and Corn Stocks Inventory 10 th day after the reference month; posted in PSA website (includes NFA data on stock positions in commercial and NFA warehouses) Data series downloadable from PSA website ( soft/hardcopy As of April 1, 2016, the total rice stock inventory was 336 million metric tons (Figure 1) This was 321 percent above the 254 million metric tons level in April 2015 and 256 percent higher than last month s inventory level of 267 million metric tons (Table 1) Year-on-year, rice stocks in commercial warehouses and NFA depositories grew by 255 percent and 1335 percent, respectively On the other hand, stocks in the households dropped by 28 percent from last year s inventory of 126 million metric tons(table 1) This month s rice stocks in all sectors increased compared with their levels last month Stocks in the households increased by 377 percent, in commercial warehouses by 424 percent, and in NFA depositories by 48 percent (Table 1) Of this month s total rice stock inventory, 364 percent were with the households, 299 percent in commercial warehouses, and 337 percent were in NFA depositories The latter comprised 872 percent of imported rice The total rice inventory for this month would be adequate for 99 days Stocks in the households would be enough for 36 days, those in NFA depositories for 33 days, and those in commercial warehouses for 30 days Table 1 Percentage change in the inventory of rice stocks, Philippines, April 2016 and March 2016 and April 2015 ITEM Figure 1 Inventory of rice stocks, Philippines, April 2015, March 2016 and April April 2015 Apr 1, 2016 March 2016 ('000 MT) (in million mt) Mar 1, Apr 1, April 2016 Household Commercial NFA 336 Percentage Change Apr 2016 / Apr 2016 / Mar 2016 Apr 2015 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) TOTAL STOCKS 3,3591 2,6742 2, Household 1, , (28) Commercial 1, NFA 1,1333 1,

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