German coal market: consumption of indigenous
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2 German coal market: consumption of indigenous and imported coal since 2000 mtce % 40 58% 30 77% 87% imported coal % 42% 23% % 2013 indigenous coal 1 GVSt 5/2014
3 Coal supplies to Germany in 2013 (steam coal, coking coal and coke) total: 61.0 mtce others* indigenous production Australia 8% 13% 8% Colombia 13% 11% EU (mainly Poland) 5% South Africa 20% 21% USA/Canada Russia Source: StaBuA * incl. destocking and statist. differences 2 GVSt 8/2014
4 Consumption structure of the German coal market 2013 Total coal sales 2013: 61.0 mtce of which from indigenous production: 7.8 mtce = 13% steel industry: 17.6 mtce 29% heat market: 3% 1.6 mtce 68% power stations: 41.8 mtce 3 GVSt 9/2014
5 German coal industry sites in Osnabrueck Ibbenbueren Saar coalfield Ensdorf Ruhr coalfield 2 Marl Recklinghausen 1 Herne Bottrop Dortmund Duisburg Essen Kamp- Lintfort t Saar- bruecken Hamm Mines 1 Prosper-Haniel 2 Auguste Victoria 3 Ibbenbueren RAG sites Herne: RAG RAG Deutsche Steinkohle RAG Mining Solutions RAG Analytics ay RAG Sales GVSt head office Essen: RAG Montan Immobilien Recklinghausen: RAG internal auditing Ensdorf: Saar regional admin. centre 4 GVSt 9/2014
6 Adaptation in the German coal industry 1990 to manpower (in thousand) production (mtce) GVSt 6/2014
7 State aid to the German coal industry (aid for disposals and closures) bn 4.25 planned estimates (prior to revenue-related reduction) * * 0.25 * 043* * 0.26 * *revenue-related reduction Until 2008 as in the 2003 coal-policy agreement (not considering deferred payments); as from 2009 planned estimates according to 2007 framework agreement; from 2019 no state aid. GVSt 6/2014 6
8 Vocational training in the coal industry 2014 business administration etc. chemistry and environment 2% 3% 9% mechatronics 50% 36% mechanical engineering electrical engineering total trainees: GVSt 9/2014
9 RAG AG: employment and relocation figures partial closure of Saar colliery Walsum colliery closure Lippe colliery closure Ost colliery closure approx. 850 staff relocations within the Ruhr area from 2014 to 2018 Saar colliery closure West colliery closure about 10,600 staff relocated within and between the Ruhr, Saar and Ibbenbueren coalfields Auguste Victoria colliery closure closure of Prosper-Haniel and dibbenbueren b collieries Graph: RAG,
10 Figures for RAG staff not eligible for early retirement January 2007 April 2012 June December 2007 Coal Industry Financing Act takes effect 01 April 2012 Collective wage agreement on socially acceptable personnel measures in view of German coal industry phase-out by 31 December 2018 takes effect GVSt 8/2014 9
11 Development of the general contribution rate for statutory pension insurance contribution rate in % 20,0 19,8 19,6 19,4 19,2 19,0 18,8 18, GVSt 8/2014
12 Primary energy consumption in Germany 2013 mtce 180 total: mtce % oil 22.9% % 11.8% % % 0.7% gas coal lignite renewables nuclear others* Source: AGEB, 9/ *incl. negative elec. exchange balance GVSt 9/2014
13 Power station capacity and electricity production in Germany 2013 shares in % capacity production photovoltaics wind others* gas coal biomass and hydro lignite Source: BDEW, 8/ GW (net) 596 TWh (net) 12 nuclear * oil, non-biogenic waste, landfill/sewage/mine gas, pumped storage etc. GVSt 8/2014
14 Germany s reliance on energy imports 2013 uranium oil gas coal 100% 98% 88% 87% renewables lignite 0% 3% PEC total 71% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: AGEB, 8/2014 GVSt 8/
15 The German Energy Plan: targets and timeframes reduction by increase in - 23% - 40% GHG renewables 12% share of gross 18% emissions - 55% final energy 30% compared to - 70% consumption % - 80% 60% -3% PEC renewables 25% - 20% compared to share of gross 35% 2008 electricity 50% consumption 65% - 50% 80% - 10% -3% electricity consumption compared to 2008 as at 2013* - 25% *) own calculations acc. to AGEB, 03/2014, and StaBuA, 06/ GVSt 6/2014
16 Contributions to the reduction in energy-related CO 2 emissions to 2020 acc. to Energy Plan targets CO 2 reduction target 2020 share of (final) 21% 22% (compared energy to 2010) consumption: 57% electricity heat fuels 46% 41% 13% electricity electricity heat heat fuels fuels efficiency renewables efficiency renewable efficiency renewables 18% 28% 39% 2% 10% 3% efficiency 67% renewables 33% Source: statement from Expert Commission on the second Monitoring Report Energy of the Future 15 GVSt 7/2014
17 Schematic of mine gas extraction from existing mine workings Source: STEAG GmbH,
18 Electricity generation from mine gas GWh NRW Saar Source: GVSt GVSt 6/2014
19 Accident trends accidents (total per million hours worked) underground trade and industry total coal industry total* * only units under mining-authority supervision Sources: German Statutory Accident Insurance/ RAG AG GVSt 9/
20 World primary energy consumption by energy source bn tce wind/solar/etc. biomass/gases hydro nuclear gas % 25% 22% 27% 29% coal oil Source: World Energy Council Germany, 2014 GVSt 6/
21 World net electricity generation by energy source TWh hydro/ other nuclear gas % 40% 38% 41% 41% coal oil Source: World Energy Council Germany, 2014 GVSt 8/
22 World energy reserves Middle East oil 350 bn tce (1 688 bn bl) 48% others oil 31% coal 50% gas 19% 19% 5% Russia Iran 18% 10% 0.4% EU Canada Venezuela EU 4% India 10% coal* 563 bn tce (892 bn t) 21% others EU 1% USA Turkmenistan gas 220 bn tce (186 trillion m 3 ) Qatar 18% 5% 13% 9% 17% rest of Middle East 12% Russia 25% others Australia 9% 27% USA 14% China 15% Russia *) of which: 73% coal 27% lignite Database: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 6/ GVSt 6/2014
23 German mining machinery production total production in of which exported in 2013: 92% mill Source: VDMA, 2013; 2013 value is an estimate 22 GVSt 2/2014
24 World coal production and consumption 2013 production: mtce consumption: mce North America EU Central Asia Japan mtce production consumption China India Central and South America south east Asia 352 Africa others Australia Sources: VDKi / IEA / BP / EIA / specific national statistics GVSt 8/2014
25 Sources of supply for German coal imports 2013 steam coal coking coal and coke* (37.2 mt) (12.3 mt) others Australia Colombia 4% 5% 21% 13% EU others 13% Poland 13% 19% Russia USA 20% 29% 8% South Africa Russia Australia 24% 28% 3% Canada USA *) coke converted to coal Sources: Coal industry statistics 2014 / Federal Statistical Office, acc. to Energy Statistics Act, GVSt 8/2014
26 Price trends: premium coking coal fob Australia (Queensland) and USA (east coast) US$/t US coking coal Australian coking coal Database: IHS McCloskey Coal Report, April 2010 to September GVSt 9/2014
27 Price trends: steam coal cif north-west Europe and free German border /tce MCIS /tce cif ARA BAFA (quarterly) free German border Database: IHS McCloskey Coal Report, January 2000 to September 2014; BAFA, third-country coal prices by quarter 26 GVSt 9/2014
28 Price trends: sea freight rates to Europe US$/t Hampton Roads (USA) Puerto Bolivar (Colombia) Richards Bay y( (South Africa) Destination: NW European ports ARA Database: IHS McCloskey Coal Report, January 2004 to September 2014 GVSt 9/
29 Expertise provided by FAB members German Federation of International Mining and Mineral Resources members: 31 consulting 25 financing, shareholding, mine exploration, mineral extraction 11 shaft construction, special services 8 advice on equipment set-up improvement and sustainability studies mining and environment activities financing investment mine development Source/graphics: German Federation of International Mining and Mineral Resources (FAB),
Primary energy consumption in Germany 2011
0 Primary energy consumption in Germany 2011 mt ce 180 160 140 120 155 total: 456 mt ce coal total: 13% imports domestic production 100 93 80 34% 60 40 20% 58 53 50 40 20 10% 12% 11% 9% 7 0 oil gas 3%
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