Advancing SDG 7 and its interlinkages with other SDGs
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1 Advancing SDG 7 and its interlinkages with other SDGs Nebojsa Deputy Director General International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Professor Emeritus of Energy Economics Vienna University of Technology Symposium on SDG7 in Preparation for the HLPF 2018 Oslo, Norway October 2017
2 Sankt. Petersburg Airport Duty Free 2017 #2
3 2017 #3
4 2017 #4
5 The Natomo Family, Kouakourou, Mali 2005 PETER MENZEL PHOTOGRAPHY 2017 #5
6 The Ukita Family, Tokyo, Japan 2005 PETER MENZEL PHOTOGRAPHY 2017 #6
7 HDI Human Development Index &. Energy Year GJ/capita 2017 #7
8 HDI Human Development Index &. Energy Year GJ/capita 2017 #8
9 HDI Human Development Index &. Energy Year GJ/capita 2017 #9
10 HDI Human Development Index &. Energy Year GJ/capita 2017 #10
11 HDI Human Development Index &. Energy Year GJ/capita 2017 #11
12 HDI Human Development Index &. Energy Year TPES/capita 2017 #12
13 HDI Human Development Index &. Energy Year GJ/capita 2017 #13
14 Cambridge University Press 2017 #14
15 Cambridge University Press 2017 #15
16 2030 GEA Goals and Targets Universal Access to Modern Energy Double Energy Efficiency Improvement Double Renewable Share in Final Energy Aspirational & Ambitious but Achievable UN General Assembly resolution 65/ #16
17 Percentage of total population with electricity access Electrification 100% SE4All 80% South Africa Baseline 60% USA Brazil 40% Mexico China SE4All 20% USA Rural South Asia India Baseline Sub-Saharan Africa 0% Source: Pachauri et al, #17
18 Energy for Decent Living Household Community Society Source: Rao & Min, #18
19 Upstream Leverage Effect of End-Use Efficiency Improvements Source: Grubler, #19
20 EJ Global Primary Energy Historical Evolution Other renewables Nuclear Gas Oil Coal Biomass Kommerzielle Luftfahrt Nuklearenergie Mikrochip Dampfmaschine Elektrischer Motor Vakuumröhre Ottomotor Fernseher Renewables Nuclear Gas Oil Coal 0 Biomass #20
21 EJ Global Primary Energy A Transformational Pathway Savings Other renewables Nuclear Gas Oil Coal Biomass Energy savings (efficiency, conservation, and behavior) ~40% improvement by 2030 ~30% renewables by Nat-gas-CCS Coal-CCS Bio-CCS negative CO 2 Renewables Nuclear Gas Oil Coal 0 Biomass Source: Riahi et al, #21
22 Gm3 Global Water Withdrawals A Transformational Pathway Baseline Geothermal Solar Wind Hydro Nuclear Gas wccs Gas woccs Oil Coal wccs Coal woccs Biomass wccs Biomass woccs Nat-gas-CCS Coal-CCS Renewables Nuclear Gas 200 Limited Bioenergy Bio-CCS negative CO 2 Oil Coal 0 Biomass Source: Fricko et al, #22
23 Total Global Policy Costs ( ) Multiple Benefits of Integrated Policies 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% Only Energy Security Only Air Pollution and Health Only Climate Change All Three Objectives Source: McCollum et. al, 2012; IPCC, #23
24 Transformation Diffusion The World in 2050 (TWI2050.com) Doing More with Less within Planetary Boundaries Target space Vision: Sustainable Future One backcasting storyline and many transformational pathways Legitimacy of BAU eroding Target space Source: After WBGU, #24
25 Transformational Change Source: After Granger Morgan, #25
![Disruptive Change Darum geht zu allen Völkern [ ] und lehrt sie alles zu befolgen was ich Euch geboten](/docs-images/80/81921309/images/26-1.jpg "habe. Seid gewiss: Ich bin bei euch alle Tage bis ans Ende der Welt.")
26 Disruptive Change Darum geht zu allen Völkern [ ] und lehrt sie alles zu befolgen was ich Euch geboten habe. Seid gewiss: Ich bin bei euch alle Tage bis ans Ende der Welt. Source: Campanale, Carobntracker 2017 #26
27 Investment Portfolios World Today (941bill.) No Sustainability Policies (2558 bill.) Other conversion Renewable Electricity Oil Fossil Electricity Electricity Transmission Coal Gas 2050 Source: Riahi et al, #27
28 Investment Portfolios World Today (941bill.) No Sustainability Policies (2558 bill.) Renewable Electricity Other conversion Oil GEA-Efficiency (2849 bill.) Renewable Electricity CCS Other conversion Fossil Electricity Fossil Electricity Electricity Transmission Efficiency (marginal) Electricity Transmission Coal Gas 2050 Source: Riahi et al, #28 Coal Gas Oil
29 THANK YOU
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